Mladá Boleslav U19 vs Viktoria Plzeň U19
Match result probability Model pick: Viktoria Plzeň U19 win
Mladá Boleslav U19 win
33.4%
Draw
22.2%
Viktoria Plzeň U19 winPick
44.4%
At kickoff this becomes the match centre
Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.
Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect
Both teams to score
Yes63.4%
No36.6%
Total goals · 2.5
Over 2.565.9%
Under 2.534.1%
How much we know
Mladá Boleslav U19 history49 matches
Viktoria Plzeň U19 history49 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news
Your call
Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.
Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score
Match result: ours Viktoria Plzeň U19
Over / under 2.5: ours Over
Both teams to score: ours Yes
Life of this match
One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.
- Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 1 h ahead8 Nov · 08:45 UTC
- Lineups appearAbout an hour before kickoff, where the competition provides them. This prediction does not use lineups.≈ 09:00 UTC
- KickoffThis page becomes the match centre14 Nov · 10:00 UTC
- Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
- Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC
How reliable are picks like this?
Across 16,809 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 39.9% · said 37.7% · n 2,949
40–49% Won 45.3% · said 44.8% · n 6,860
50–59% Won 55.6% · said 54.4% · n 4,146
60–69% Won 63.9% · said 64.4% · n 2,031
70–79% Won 76.5% · said 73.9% · n 646
80%+ Won 83.1% · said 84.5% · n 177
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (44.4%). Picks in that band won 45.3% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,860 matches.
Why Viktoria Plzeň U19 are the pick
Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.
-
Viktoria Plzeň U19 are rated 25 Elo points higher
Elo 1,555 against 1,530. On rating alone Viktoria Plzeň U19 would be expected to take 54% of the points on offer.
-
Viktoria Plzeň U19 score more
1.88 goals a game over 49 matches for Mladá Boleslav U19, against 2.16 over 49 for Viktoria Plzeň U19.
-
Defences are close
Mladá Boleslav U19 concede 1.67 a game, Viktoria Plzeň U19 1.63.
-
Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games
67% of Mladá Boleslav U19 matches, against 69% for Viktoria Plzeň U19. The model puts this match at 66% for over 2.5.
These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.
Compare the two teams
Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.
Match history used: up to 23 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Viktoria Plzeň U19@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals 100
1529.8
ELO
1555.3
49
ELO · Matches
49
1529.8
Current Team ELO
1555.3
1555.3
Current Opponent ELO
1529.8
-25.49
Current ELO Difference
25.49
0.46
Expected score
0.54
49
History Matches
49
0.03
Residual Mean
0.06
52.39
Overperformance
54.60
0.20
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.12
Recent form16 signals 160
5
Matches
5
2.40
PPG
2.40
3.00
Goals for per game
3.80
0.60
Goals against per game
1.40
80.0%
Win rate
80.0%
10
Matches
10
2.10
PPG
2.00
2.80
Goals for per game
2.70
1.10
Goals against per game
1.20
70.0%
Win rate
60.0%
2.80
Recent 10 Goals Mean
2.70
1.66
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.90
1.10
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.20
1.22
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.25
0.56
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.86
2.45
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.58
Overall performance9 signals 90
49
Matches
49
1.43
PPG
1.65
42.9%
Win rate
49.0%
14.3%
Draw rate
18.4%
42.9%
Loss rate
32.7%
89.8%
Over 1.5 rate
87.8%
67.3%
Over 2.5 rate
69.4%
46.9%
Over 3.5 rate
53.1%
2.43
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.10
Venue performance10 signals 100
25
Matches
22
1.60
PPG
1.77
48.0%
Win rate
54.5%
16.0%
Draw rate
13.6%
36.0%
Loss rate
31.8%
96.0%
Over 1.5 rate
86.4%
68.0%
Over 2.5 rate
68.2%
44.0%
Over 3.5 rate
40.9%
2.76
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.25
25
History Matches
22
Scoring & attack16 signals 160
1.88
Goals for per game
2.16
81.6%
Scoring rate
83.7%
55.1%
BTTS rate
71.4%
2.08
Goals for per game
2.09
80.0%
Scoring rate
81.8%
48.0%
BTTS rate
68.2%
2.67
Goals for per game
4.00
100.0%
Scoring rate
100.0%
33.3%
BTTS rate
66.7%
49
History Matches
49
1.88
Goals Mean
2.16
1.48
Goals Std
1.50
81.6%
Scored 1+ rate
83.7%
55.1%
Scored 2+ rate
69.4%
28.6%
Scored 3+ rate
34.7%
2.08
Venue Goals Mean
2.09
Defense & conceding12 signals 120
1.67
Goals against per game
1.63
71.4%
Conceding rate
81.6%
1.44
Goals against per game
1.59
68.0%
Conceding rate
81.8%
1.00
Goals against per game
1.67
33.3%
Conceding rate
66.7%
49
History Matches
49
1.67
Conceded Mean
1.63
1.56
Conceded Std
1.40
49.0%
Conceded 2+ rate
40.8%
26.5%
Conceded 3+ rate
22.4%
1.44
Venue Conceded Mean
1.59
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals 110
28.6%
Clean-sheet rate
18.4%
18.4%
Failed-to-score rate
16.3%
32.0%
Clean-sheet rate
18.2%
20.0%
Failed-to-score rate
18.2%
66.7%
Clean-sheet rate
33.3%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
28.6%
Clean-sheet rate
18.4%
18.4%
Failed-to-score rate
16.3%
32.0%
Clean-sheet rate
18.2%
20.0%
Failed-to-score rate
18.2%
28.6%
Clean-sheet rate
18.4%
Volatility & stability4 signals 40
49
History Matches
49
0.91
Result entropy
0.93
2.43
Goal Difference Std
2.10
8.59
Stability score
6.58
Halftime resilience7 signals 70
49
Eligible Matches
48
15
Lead Matches
17
80.0%
Lead Win Rate
82.4%
0.82
Lead Points Retention
0.82
15
Trailing Matches
13
13.3%
Non-loss rate
30.8%
6.7%
Trailing Win Rate
15.4%
Goal timing5 signals 50
49
Halftime Coverage Matches
48
0.76
First Half Goals For Mean
0.88
0.82
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.83
1.12
Second Half Goals For Mean
1.27
0.86
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.79
Rest & schedule9 signals 90
83.92
Rest days
84.06
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
1
—
Short Rest Points Per Match
0.00
24
Normal Rest History Matches
24
1.58
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.63
24
Long Rest History Matches
23
1.21
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.83
Competition & season17 signals 170
3
Matches
3
2.00
PPG
2.00
66.7%
Win rate
66.7%
0.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
33.3%
Loss rate
33.3%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
66.7%
Over 2.5 rate
100.0%
66.7%
Over 3.5 rate
100.0%
2.87
Goal difference · Standard deviation
3.86
3
Current Competition Matches
3
2.00
Current Competition PPG
2.00
1.67
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
2.33
4
Competition Season Count
5
3
Eligible Competition Season Count
3
0.33
Portability PPG Std
0.25
0.80
Portability PPG Range
0.60
60.24
Portability Score
66.98
Odds & market11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal 10
49
Clean History Matches
49
Matchup differences86 signals 086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO-25.49
PPG-0.22
GF-0.29
GA0.04
PPG0.00
PPG-0.17
PPG0.00
PPG0.10
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches0
Clean-sheet rate10.2%
Failed-to-score rate2.0%
History Matches3
Clean-sheet rate13.8%
Failed-to-score rate1.8%
History Matches0
Goals Mean-0.29
Goals Std-0.02
Scored 1+ rate-0.02
Scored 2+ rate-0.14
Scored 3+ rate-0.06
Venue Goals Mean-0.01
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.10
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.24
History Matches0
Conceded Mean0.04
Conceded Std0.16
Clean-sheet rate10.2%
Conceded 2+ rate8.2%
Conceded 3+ rate4.1%
Venue Conceded Mean-0.15
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.10
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.03
History Matches0
Result entropy-0.02
Goal Difference Std0.33
Stability score2.01
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.31
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.13
Eligible Matches1
Lead Matches-2
Lead Win Rate-0.02
Lead Points Retention0.00
Trailing Matches2
Non-loss rate-0.17
Trailing Win Rate-0.09
Halftime Coverage Matches1
First Half Goals For Mean-0.12
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.02
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.15
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.07
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG0.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean-0.67
Competition Season Count-1
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Portability PPG Std0.08
Portability PPG Range0.20
Portability Score-6.74
Rest days-0.15
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-1
Normal Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.04
Long Rest History Matches1
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.62
Current Team ELO-25.49
Current Opponent ELO25.49
Current ELO Difference-50.97
Expected score-0.07
History Matches0
Residual Mean-0.03
Overperformance-2.21
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.07
Latest results, with our pick
Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.
Mladá Boleslav U19
W
Pardubice U190–2Mladá Boleslav U197 Nov · away
Pick: Mladá Boleslav U19 52% · hit L
Mladá Boleslav U191–3Hradec Králové U1931 Oct · home
Pick: Mladá Boleslav U19 50% · missed W
Sigma Olomouc U190–2Mladá Boleslav U1924 Oct · away
Pick: Sigma Olomouc U19 46% · missed D
Mladá Boleslav U191–1Slavia Praha U1917 Oct · home
Pick: Mladá Boleslav U19 76% · missed W
Mladá Boleslav U194–2Baník Ostrava U1929 Aug · home
Pick: Mladá Boleslav U19 45% · hit Viktoria Plzeň U19
W
Viktoria Plzeň U193–0Slovácko U197 Nov · home
Pick: Viktoria Plzeň U19 74% · hit W
Teplice U190–6Viktoria Plzeň U1931 Oct · away
Pick: Viktoria Plzeň U19 49% · hit W
Viktoria Plzeň U193–2České Budějovice U1928 Oct · home
Pick: Viktoria Plzeň U19 66% · hit L
Viktoria Plzeň U191–2Zlín U1924 Oct · home
Pick: Viktoria Plzeň U19 67% · missed W
Sigma Olomouc U190–3Viktoria Plzeň U1929 Aug · away
Pick: Sigma Olomouc U19 40% · missed About this match
Mladá Boleslav U19 and Viktoria Plzeň U19 meet in 1. Liga U19 on Saturday 14 November 2026, kickoff 10:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC: Mladá Boleslav U19 win 33.4%, draw 22.2%, Viktoria Plzeň U19 win 44.4%. The pick is Viktoria Plzeň U19 win. Over 2.5 goals: 65.9%. Both teams to score: 63.4%.
Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.