ScoreProb
Liga 1 Indonesia Round 9 2026

Persijap vs Garudayaksa

Persijap Home · Elo 1,486
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Garudayaksa Away · Elo 1,575
Gelora Bumi Kartini Stadium, Jepara Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Persijap win
Persijap winPick
38.9%
Draw
32.6%
Garudayaksa win
28.5%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes46.7%
No53.3%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.544.3%
Under 2.555.7%

How much we know

Persijap history39 matches
Garudayaksa history27 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 3 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 12:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 33–39% band (38.9%). Picks in that band won 40.1% of the time, and the model said 37.7% on average, over 2,635 matches.

Why Persijap are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Garudayaksa are rated 89 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,575 against 1,486. On rating alone Garudayaksa would be expected to take 62% of the points on offer.

  • Garudayaksa score far more

    1.00 goals a game over 39 matches for Persijap, against 1.81 over 27 for Garudayaksa.

  • Garudayaksa concede fewer

    Persijap concede 1.26 a game, Garudayaksa 0.78.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    46% of Persijap matches, against 44% for Garudayaksa. The model puts this match at 44% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 23 May 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Persijap
Garudayaksa
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1486.1
ELO
1574.6
39
ELO · Matches
27
1486.1
Current Team ELO
1574.6
1574.6
Current Opponent ELO
1486.1
-88.51
Current ELO Difference
88.51
0.38
Expected score
0.62
39
History Matches
27
-0.01
Residual Mean
0.14
49.39
Overperformance
58.10
0.20
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.13
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.00
PPG
2.20
0.60
Goals for per game
2.20
0.60
Goals against per game
1.00
20.0%
Win rate
60.0%
10
Matches
10
1.60
PPG
1.90
1.10
Goals for per game
1.70
0.60
Goals against per game
0.70
40.0%
Win rate
50.0%
1.10
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.70
1.14
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.35
0.60
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
0.70
0.80
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.78
0.96
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.86
1.43
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.48
Overall performance9 signals
90
39
Matches
27
1.15
PPG
1.85
28.2%
Win rate
48.1%
30.8%
Draw rate
40.7%
41.0%
Loss rate
11.1%
69.2%
Over 1.5 rate
66.7%
46.2%
Over 2.5 rate
44.4%
20.5%
Over 3.5 rate
33.3%
1.64
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.64
Venue performance10 signals
100
21
Matches
13
1.43
PPG
1.46
38.1%
Win rate
30.8%
28.6%
Draw rate
53.8%
33.3%
Loss rate
15.4%
66.7%
Over 1.5 rate
53.8%
42.9%
Over 2.5 rate
30.8%
9.5%
Over 3.5 rate
23.1%
1.48
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.08
21
History Matches
13
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
1.00
Goals for per game
1.81
56.4%
Scoring rate
77.8%
41.0%
BTTS rate
48.1%
1.05
Goals for per game
1.15
61.9%
Scoring rate
69.2%
42.9%
BTTS rate
38.5%
39
History Matches
27
1.00
Goals Mean
1.81
1.09
Goals Std
1.66
56.4%
Scored 1+ rate
77.8%
30.8%
Scored 2+ rate
51.9%
10.3%
Scored 3+ rate
22.2%
1.05
Venue Goals Mean
1.15
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
1.26
Goals against per game
0.78
64.1%
Conceding rate
55.6%
0.95
Goals against per game
0.77
57.1%
Conceding rate
46.2%
39
History Matches
27
1.26
Conceded Mean
0.78
1.19
Conceded Std
0.83
41.0%
Conceded 2+ rate
18.5%
15.4%
Conceded 3+ rate
3.7%
0.95
Venue Conceded Mean
0.77
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
35.9%
Clean-sheet rate
44.4%
43.6%
Failed-to-score rate
22.2%
42.9%
Clean-sheet rate
53.8%
38.1%
Failed-to-score rate
30.8%
35.9%
Clean-sheet rate
44.4%
43.6%
Failed-to-score rate
22.2%
42.9%
Clean-sheet rate
53.8%
38.1%
Failed-to-score rate
30.8%
35.9%
Clean-sheet rate
44.4%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
39
History Matches
27
0.99
Result entropy
0.88
1.64
Goal Difference Std
1.64
1.22
Stability score
12.45
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
39
Eligible Matches
27
8
Lead Matches
12
87.5%
Lead Win Rate
75.0%
0.88
Lead Points Retention
0.83
12
Trailing Matches
3
25.0%
Non-loss rate
33.3%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
39
Halftime Coverage Matches
27
0.44
First Half Goals For Mean
0.85
0.56
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.41
0.56
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.96
0.69
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.37
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Short Rest Points Per Match
168.1
Rest days
182.0
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
0
21
Normal Rest History Matches
15
1.05
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.80
17
Long Rest History Matches
11
1.29
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.82
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
2
Competition Season Count
1
2
Eligible Competition Season Count
1
0.37
Portability PPG Std
—
0.74
Portability PPG Range
—
57.43
Portability Score
—
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
39
Clean History Matches
27
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanPortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO-88.51
PPG-0.70
GF-0.81
GA0.48
PPG-0.03
PPG-1.20
PPG-0.30
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches12
Clean-sheet rate-0.09
Failed-to-score rate21.4%
History Matches8
Clean-sheet rate-0.11
Failed-to-score rate7.3%
History Matches12
Goals Mean-0.81
Goals Std-0.57
Scored 1+ rate-0.21
Scored 2+ rate-0.21
Scored 3+ rate-0.12
Venue Goals Mean-0.11
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.60
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.21
History Matches12
Conceded Mean0.48
Conceded Std0.36
Clean-sheet rate-0.09
Conceded 2+ rate22.5%
Conceded 3+ rate11.7%
Venue Conceded Mean0.18
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.10
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.02
History Matches12
Result entropy0.11
Goal Difference Std0.00
Stability score-11.22
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.10
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.05
Eligible Matches12
Lead Matches-4
Lead Win Rate12.5%
Lead Points Retention0.04
Trailing Matches9
Non-loss rate-0.08
Trailing Win Rate0.0%
Halftime Coverage Matches12
First Half Goals For Mean-0.42
First Half Goals Against Mean0.16
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.40
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.32
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count1
Eligible Competition Season Count1
Rest days-13.88
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest History Matches6
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.75
Long Rest History Matches6
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.52
Current Team ELO-88.51
Current Opponent ELO88.51
Current ELO Difference-177.0
Expected score-0.25
History Matches12
Residual Mean-0.15
Overperformance-8.71
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.06

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Persijap

D
Persebaya Surabaya1–1Persijap30 Oct · away
Pick: Persebaya Surabaya 58% · missed
D
Persijap1–1Java United24 Oct · home
Pick: Java United 42% · missed
L
Dewa United2–0Persijap20 Oct · away
Pick: Dewa United 59% · hit
L
Persijap0–1Isenmulang Kalteng16 Oct · home
Pick: Persijap 40% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Garudayaksa

W
Garudayaksa3–1PSS Sleman1 Nov · home
Pick: PSS Sleman 43% · missed
L
Garudayaksa1–2Persib Bandung25 Oct · home
Pick: Persib Bandung 48% · hit
L
Bali United5–0Garudayaksa21 Oct · away
Pick: Bali United 48% · hit
W
Garudayaksa3–1Arema FC17 Oct · home
Pick: Arema FC 43% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Persijap and Garudayaksa meet in Liga 1 on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 12:00 UTC. The match is played at Gelora Bumi Kartini Stadium, Jepara. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Persijap win 38.9%, draw 32.6%, Garudayaksa win 28.5%. The pick is Persijap win. Over 2.5 goals: 44.3%. Both teams to score: 46.7%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.