ScoreProb
Liga 1 Indonesia Round 9 2026

Persita vs Isenmulang Kalteng

Persita Home · Elo 1,458
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Isenmulang Kalteng Away · Elo 1,586
Utama Sport Center Kelapa Dua Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Persita win
Persita winPick
48.5%
Draw
23.0%
Isenmulang Kalteng win
28.4%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes50.8%
No49.2%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.549.0%
Under 2.551.0%

How much we know

Persita history48 matches
Isenmulang Kalteng history31 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 3 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 12:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (48.5%). Picks in that band won 45.4% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,162 matches.

Why Persita are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Isenmulang Kalteng are rated 128 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,586 against 1,458. On rating alone Isenmulang Kalteng would be expected to take 68% of the points on offer.

  • Isenmulang Kalteng score far more

    1.06 goals a game over 48 matches for Persita, against 2.16 over 31 for Isenmulang Kalteng.

  • Isenmulang Kalteng concede fewer

    Persita concede 1.23 a game, Isenmulang Kalteng 1.06.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    42% of Persita matches, against 48% for Isenmulang Kalteng. The model puts this match at 49% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 23 May 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Persita
Isenmulang Kalteng
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1458.0
ELO
1586.2
48
ELO · Matches
31
1458.0
Current Team ELO
1586.2
1586.2
Current Opponent ELO
1458.0
-128.1
Current ELO Difference
128.1
0.32
Expected score
0.68
48
History Matches
31
-0.04
Residual Mean
0.14
47.01
Overperformance
58.44
-0.22
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.17
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
0.80
PPG
2.00
0.60
Goals for per game
2.20
1.80
Goals against per game
1.40
20.0%
Win rate
60.0%
10
Matches
10
0.70
PPG
2.10
0.70
Goals for per game
2.00
1.40
Goals against per game
1.30
20.0%
Win rate
60.0%
0.70
Recent 10 Goals Mean
2.00
1.19
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.26
1.40
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.30
0.92
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.10
0.73
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.82
1.62
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.42
Overall performance9 signals
90
48
Matches
31
1.19
PPG
1.90
33.3%
Win rate
51.6%
18.8%
Draw rate
35.5%
47.9%
Loss rate
12.9%
66.7%
Over 1.5 rate
77.4%
41.7%
Over 2.5 rate
48.4%
16.7%
Over 3.5 rate
32.3%
1.62
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.88
Venue performance10 signals
100
24
Matches
15
1.50
PPG
1.60
45.8%
Win rate
40.0%
12.5%
Draw rate
40.0%
41.7%
Loss rate
20.0%
75.0%
Over 1.5 rate
73.3%
54.2%
Over 2.5 rate
33.3%
20.8%
Over 3.5 rate
13.3%
1.76
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.29
24
History Matches
15
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
1.06
Goals for per game
2.16
58.3%
Scoring rate
83.9%
43.8%
BTTS rate
58.1%
1.38
Goals for per game
1.20
66.7%
Scoring rate
80.0%
45.8%
BTTS rate
53.3%
48
History Matches
31
1.06
Goals Mean
2.16
1.18
Goals Std
2.75
58.3%
Scored 1+ rate
83.9%
29.2%
Scored 2+ rate
51.6%
12.5%
Scored 3+ rate
22.6%
1.38
Venue Goals Mean
1.20
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
1.23
Goals against per game
1.06
81.3%
Conceding rate
67.7%
1.17
Goals against per game
0.93
75.0%
Conceding rate
66.7%
48
History Matches
31
1.23
Conceded Mean
1.06
0.90
Conceded Std
0.95
31.3%
Conceded 2+ rate
29.0%
8.3%
Conceded 3+ rate
9.7%
1.17
Venue Conceded Mean
0.93
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
18.8%
Clean-sheet rate
32.3%
41.7%
Failed-to-score rate
16.1%
25.0%
Clean-sheet rate
33.3%
33.3%
Failed-to-score rate
20.0%
18.8%
Clean-sheet rate
32.3%
41.7%
Failed-to-score rate
16.1%
25.0%
Clean-sheet rate
33.3%
33.3%
Failed-to-score rate
20.0%
18.8%
Clean-sheet rate
32.3%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
48
History Matches
31
0.94
Result entropy
0.89
1.62
Goal Difference Std
2.88
6.01
Stability score
11.41
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
48
Eligible Matches
31
13
Lead Matches
15
76.9%
Lead Win Rate
93.3%
0.82
Lead Points Retention
0.96
20
Trailing Matches
9
25.0%
Non-loss rate
66.7%
15.0%
Trailing Win Rate
22.2%
Goal timing5 signals
50
48
Halftime Coverage Matches
31
0.50
First Half Goals For Mean
1.03
0.58
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.52
0.56
Second Half Goals For Mean
1.13
0.65
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.55
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Short Rest Points Per Match
168.1
Rest days
183.2
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
0
29
Normal Rest History Matches
20
1.03
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.75
18
Long Rest History Matches
10
1.44
Long Rest Points Per Match
2.30
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
2
Competition Season Count
2
2
Eligible Competition Season Count
2
0.23
Portability PPG Std
0.06
0.47
Portability PPG Range
0.11
68.19
Portability Score
90.00
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
48
Clean History Matches
31
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO-128.1
PPG-0.72
GF-1.10
GA0.16
PPG-0.10
PPG-1.20
PPG-1.40
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches17
Clean-sheet rate-0.14
Failed-to-score rate25.5%
History Matches9
Clean-sheet rate-0.08
Failed-to-score rate13.3%
History Matches17
Goals Mean-1.10
Goals Std-1.57
Scored 1+ rate-0.26
Scored 2+ rate-0.22
Scored 3+ rate-0.10
Venue Goals Mean0.18
Recent 10 Goals Mean-1.30
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.08
History Matches17
Conceded Mean0.16
Conceded Std-0.05
Clean-sheet rate-0.14
Conceded 2+ rate2.2%
Conceded 3+ rate-0.01
Venue Conceded Mean0.23
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.10
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.18
History Matches17
Result entropy0.05
Goal Difference Std-1.25
Stability score-5.40
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.09
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.20
Eligible Matches17
Lead Matches-2
Lead Win Rate-0.16
Lead Points Retention-0.14
Trailing Matches11
Non-loss rate-0.42
Trailing Win Rate-0.07
Halftime Coverage Matches17
First Half Goals For Mean-0.53
First Half Goals Against Mean0.07
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.57
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.10
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count0
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Portability PPG Std0.18
Portability PPG Range0.36
Portability Score-21.81
Rest days-15.04
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest History Matches9
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.72
Long Rest History Matches8
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.86
Current Team ELO-128.1
Current Opponent ELO128.1
Current ELO Difference-256.3
Expected score-0.35
History Matches17
Residual Mean-0.18
Overperformance-11.43
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.40

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Persita

W
Persik Kediri1–5Persita31 Oct · away
Pick: Persik Kediri 37% · missed
D
Persita1–1Bali United25 Oct · home
Pick: Bali United 41% · missed
W
Persita3–2Persija17 Oct · home
Pick: Persija 44% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Isenmulang Kalteng

L
Persib Bandung4–0Isenmulang Kalteng1 Nov · away
Pick: Persib Bandung 66% · hit
D
Isenmulang Kalteng0–0PSIM Yogyakarta24 Oct · home
Pick: Isenmulang Kalteng 40% · missed
D
Isenmulang Kalteng1–1Java United20 Oct · home
Pick: Java United 39% · missed
W
Persijap0–1Isenmulang Kalteng16 Oct · away
Pick: Persijap 40% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Persita and Isenmulang Kalteng meet in Liga 1 on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 12:00 UTC. The match is played at Utama Sport Center Kelapa Dua. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Persita win 48.5%, draw 23.0%, Isenmulang Kalteng win 28.4%. The pick is Persita win. Over 2.5 goals: 49.0%. Both teams to score: 50.8%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.