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Primera B Metropolitana Argentina Quarter-finals 2026

Real Pilar vs Talleres Remedios

Real Pilar Home · Elo 1,560
Sat 14 Nov
UTC
Not started
Talleres Remedios Away · Elo 1,514
Municipal de Pilar-Carlos Barraza, Buenos Aires Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Real Pilar win
Real Pilar winPick
41.1%
Draw
33.9%
Talleres Remedios win
25.0%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes42.9%
No57.1%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.535.5%
Under 2.564.5%

How much we know

Real Pilar history69 matches
Talleres Remedios history59 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 12 h ahead
    8 Nov · 08:45 UTC
  2. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    14 Nov · 21:00 UTC
  3. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  4. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 16,809 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 39.9% · said 37.7% · n 2,949
40–49% Won 45.3% · said 44.8% · n 6,860
50–59% Won 55.6% · said 54.4% · n 4,146
60–69% Won 63.9% · said 64.4% · n 2,031
70–79% Won 76.5% · said 73.9% · n 646
80%+ Won 83.1% · said 84.5% · n 177
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (41.1%). Picks in that band won 45.3% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,860 matches.

Why Real Pilar are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Real Pilar are rated 46 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,560 against 1,514. On rating alone Real Pilar would be expected to take 57% of the points on offer.

  • Real Pilar score more

    1.12 goals a game over 69 matches for Real Pilar, against 0.81 over 59 for Talleres Remedios.

  • Defences are close

    Real Pilar concede 0.84 a game, Talleres Remedios 0.83.

  • Real Pilar games more often go over 2.5 goals

    33% of Real Pilar matches, against 24% for Talleres Remedios. The model puts this match at 36% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 25 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Real Pilar
Talleres Remedios@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1559.8
ELO
1513.9
69
ELO · Matches
59
1559.8
Current Team ELO
1513.9
1513.9
Current Opponent ELO
1559.8
45.93
Current ELO Difference
-45.93
0.57
Expected score
0.43
69
History Matches
59
0.03
Residual Mean
0.02
52.47
Overperformance
51.32
0.08
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.03
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
2.20
PPG
1.00
1.00
Goals for per game
0.60
0.20
Goals against per game
0.80
60.0%
Win rate
20.0%
10
Matches
10
1.80
PPG
1.50
1.20
Goals for per game
1.10
0.80
Goals against per game
0.70
50.0%
Win rate
40.0%
1.20
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.10
0.87
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.83
0.80
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
0.70
0.87
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.90
0.94
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.99
0.92
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.28
Overall performance9 signals
90
69
Matches
59
1.68
PPG
1.27
46.4%
Win rate
35.6%
29.0%
Draw rate
20.3%
24.6%
Loss rate
44.1%
56.5%
Over 1.5 rate
50.8%
33.3%
Over 2.5 rate
23.7%
14.5%
Over 3.5 rate
3.4%
1.24
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.38
Venue performance10 signals
100
31
Matches
28
1.74
PPG
1.18
48.4%
Win rate
32.1%
29.0%
Draw rate
21.4%
22.6%
Loss rate
46.4%
58.1%
Over 1.5 rate
57.1%
38.7%
Over 2.5 rate
28.6%
19.4%
Over 3.5 rate
3.6%
1.24
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.51
31
History Matches
28
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.12
Goals for per game
0.81
69.6%
Scoring rate
54.2%
43.5%
BTTS rate
25.4%
1.29
Goals for per game
0.86
71.0%
Scoring rate
53.6%
48.4%
BTTS rate
28.6%
1.10
Goals for per game
1.07
69.0%
Scoring rate
69.0%
51.7%
BTTS rate
24.1%
69
History Matches
59
1.12
Goals Mean
0.81
1.00
Goals Std
0.91
69.6%
Scored 1+ rate
54.2%
31.9%
Scored 2+ rate
22.0%
7.2%
Scored 3+ rate
3.4%
1.29
Venue Goals Mean
0.86
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
0.84
Goals against per game
0.83
59.4%
Conceding rate
55.9%
0.81
Goals against per game
0.93
61.3%
Conceding rate
60.7%
0.93
Goals against per game
0.52
69.0%
Conceding rate
37.9%
69
History Matches
59
0.84
Conceded Mean
0.83
0.86
Conceded Std
0.87
18.8%
Conceded 2+ rate
23.7%
5.8%
Conceded 3+ rate
3.4%
0.81
Venue Conceded Mean
0.93
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
40.6%
Clean-sheet rate
44.1%
30.4%
Failed-to-score rate
45.8%
38.7%
Clean-sheet rate
39.3%
29.0%
Failed-to-score rate
46.4%
31.0%
Clean-sheet rate
62.1%
31.0%
Failed-to-score rate
31.0%
40.6%
Clean-sheet rate
44.1%
30.4%
Failed-to-score rate
45.8%
38.7%
Clean-sheet rate
39.3%
29.0%
Failed-to-score rate
46.4%
40.6%
Clean-sheet rate
44.1%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
69
History Matches
59
0.97
Result entropy
0.96
1.24
Goal Difference Std
1.38
3.47
Stability score
4.18
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
69
Eligible Matches
59
19
Lead Matches
12
84.2%
Lead Win Rate
91.7%
0.88
Lead Points Retention
0.92
16
Trailing Matches
16
37.5%
Non-loss rate
12.5%
12.5%
Trailing Win Rate
6.3%
Goal timing5 signals
50
69
Halftime Coverage Matches
59
0.42
First Half Goals For Mean
0.32
0.41
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.37
0.70
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.49
0.43
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.46
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
81.13
Rest days
81.13
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
3
Short Rest History Matches
1
2.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
1.00
36
Normal Rest History Matches
32
1.39
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.63
29
Long Rest History Matches
25
1.97
Long Rest Points Per Match
0.88
Competition & season17 signals
170
29
Matches
29
1.62
PPG
1.79
44.8%
Win rate
51.7%
27.6%
Draw rate
24.1%
27.6%
Loss rate
24.1%
62.1%
Over 1.5 rate
48.3%
37.9%
Over 2.5 rate
20.7%
10.3%
Over 3.5 rate
3.4%
1.05
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.28
29
Current Competition Matches
29
1.62
Current Competition PPG
1.79
0.17
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
0.55
4
Competition Season Count
2
2
Eligible Competition Season Count
2
0.10
Portability PPG Std
0.51
0.20
Portability PPG Range
1.03
83.68
Portability Score
49.35
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
69
Clean History Matches
59
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO45.93
PPG0.41
GF0.30
GA0.01
PPG-0.17
PPG0.56
PPG1.20
PPG0.30
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches10
Clean-sheet rate-0.03
Failed-to-score rate-0.15
History Matches3
Clean-sheet rate-0.01
Failed-to-score rate-0.17
History Matches10
Goals Mean0.30
Goals Std0.09
Scored 1+ rate15.3%
Scored 2+ rate9.9%
Scored 3+ rate3.9%
Venue Goals Mean0.43
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.10
Recent 10 Goals Std0.04
History Matches10
Conceded Mean0.01
Conceded Std0.00
Clean-sheet rate-0.03
Conceded 2+ rate-0.05
Conceded 3+ rate2.4%
Venue Conceded Mean-0.12
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.10
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.03
History Matches10
Result entropy0.01
Goal Difference Std-0.15
Stability score-0.70
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.05
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.36
Eligible Matches10
Lead Matches7
Lead Win Rate-0.07
Lead Points Retention-0.04
Trailing Matches0
Non-loss rate25.0%
Trailing Win Rate6.3%
Halftime Coverage Matches10
First Half Goals For Mean0.10
First Half Goals Against Mean0.03
Second Half Goals For Mean0.20
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.02
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG-0.17
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean-0.38
Competition Season Count2
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Portability PPG Std-0.42
Portability PPG Range-0.83
Portability Score34.33
Rest days0.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches2
Short Rest Points Per Match1.00
Normal Rest History Matches4
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.24
Long Rest History Matches4
Long Rest Points Per Match1.09
Current Team ELO45.93
Current Opponent ELO-45.93
Current ELO Difference91.85
Expected score0.13
History Matches10
Residual Mean0.01
Overperformance1.15
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.05

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Real Pilar

W
Real Pilar2–1Liniers24 Oct · home
Pick: Real Pilar 53% · hit
L
UAI Urquiza1–0Real Pilar12 Oct · away
Pick: Real Pilar 38% · missed
W
Real Pilar2–0Brown DE Adrogue25 Aug · home
Pick: Real Pilar 52% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Talleres Remedios

L
Comunicaciones1–0Talleres Remedios2 Nov · away
Pick: Comunicaciones 38% · hit
W
Talleres Remedios4–0Dock Sud25 Oct · home
Pick: Talleres Remedios 51% · hit
L
Sportivo Italiano2–0Talleres Remedios4 Oct · away
Pick: Sportivo Italiano 45% · hit
D
Villa Dalmine0–0Talleres Remedios25 Aug · away
Pick: Villa Dalmine 44% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Real Pilar and Talleres Remedios meet in Primera B Metropolitana on Saturday 14 November 2026, kickoff 21:00 UTC. The match is played at Municipal de Pilar-Carlos Barraza, Buenos Aires. ScoreProb published its prediction on 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC: Real Pilar win 41.1%, draw 33.9%, Talleres Remedios win 25.0%. The pick is Real Pilar win. Over 2.5 goals: 35.5%. Both teams to score: 42.9%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.