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Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein Germany Schleswig-Holstein - 17 2026

Rotenhof vs TSB Flensburg

Rotenhof Home · Elo 1,465
Sat 14 Nov
UTC
Not started
TSB Flensburg Away · Elo 1,499
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: TSB Flensburg win
Rotenhof win
36.9%
Draw
24.4%
TSB Flensburg winPick
38.7%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes65.1%
No34.9%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.570.3%
Under 2.529.7%

How much we know

Rotenhof history44 matches
TSB Flensburg history17 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 4 h ahead
    8 Nov · 08:45 UTC
  2. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    14 Nov · 13:00 UTC
  3. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  4. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 16,809 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 39.9% · said 37.7% · n 2,949
40–49% Won 45.3% · said 44.8% · n 6,860
50–59% Won 55.6% · said 54.4% · n 4,146
60–69% Won 63.9% · said 64.4% · n 2,031
70–79% Won 76.5% · said 73.9% · n 646
80%+ Won 83.1% · said 84.5% · n 177
This pick sits in the 33–39% band (38.7%). Picks in that band won 39.9% of the time, and the model said 37.7% on average, over 2,949 matches.

Why TSB Flensburg are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • TSB Flensburg are rated 33 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,499 against 1,465. On rating alone TSB Flensburg would be expected to take 55% of the points on offer.

  • TSB Flensburg score more

    1.73 goals a game over 44 matches for Rotenhof, against 2.06 over 17 for TSB Flensburg.

  • TSB Flensburg concede fewer

    Rotenhof concede 2.45 a game, TSB Flensburg 1.94.

  • Rotenhof games more often go over 2.5 goals

    89% of Rotenhof matches, against 65% for TSB Flensburg. The model puts this match at 70% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 23 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Rotenhof
TSB Flensburg@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1465.4
ELO
1498.9
44
ELO · Matches
17
1465.4
Current Team ELO
1498.9
1498.9
Current Opponent ELO
1465.4
-33.47
Current ELO Difference
33.47
0.45
Expected score
0.55
44
History Matches
17
-0.05
Residual Mean
0.01
46.57
Overperformance
50.59
0.04
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.02
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.20
PPG
2.00
2.20
Goals for per game
1.80
2.60
Goals against per game
1.00
20.0%
Win rate
60.0%
10
Matches
10
1.30
PPG
1.20
1.90
Goals for per game
1.50
2.50
Goals against per game
1.70
30.0%
Win rate
30.0%
1.90
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.50
0.94
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.28
2.50
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.70
1.50
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.55
0.99
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.99
2.01
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.60
Overall performance9 signals
90
44
Matches
17
1.07
PPG
1.35
27.3%
Win rate
35.3%
25.0%
Draw rate
29.4%
47.7%
Loss rate
35.3%
97.7%
Over 1.5 rate
70.6%
88.6%
Over 2.5 rate
64.7%
68.2%
Over 3.5 rate
52.9%
2.38
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.97
Venue performance10 signals
100
19
Matches
7
1.21
PPG
0.43
36.8%
Win rate
0.0%
10.5%
Draw rate
42.9%
52.6%
Loss rate
57.1%
94.7%
Over 1.5 rate
57.1%
84.2%
Over 2.5 rate
42.9%
63.2%
Over 3.5 rate
42.9%
2.28
Goal difference · Standard deviation
0.99
19
History Matches
7
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.73
Goals for per game
2.06
86.4%
Scoring rate
70.6%
77.3%
BTTS rate
64.7%
1.74
Goals for per game
1.00
84.2%
Scoring rate
57.1%
68.4%
BTTS rate
57.1%
2.20
Goals for per game
1.80
100.0%
Scoring rate
80.0%
100.0%
BTTS rate
60.0%
44
History Matches
17
1.73
Goals Mean
2.06
1.16
Goals Std
1.98
86.4%
Scored 1+ rate
70.6%
54.5%
Scored 2+ rate
52.9%
20.5%
Scored 3+ rate
35.3%
1.74
Venue Goals Mean
1.00
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
2.45
Goals against per game
1.94
90.9%
Conceding rate
82.4%
2.16
Goals against per game
1.86
84.2%
Conceding rate
85.7%
2.60
Goals against per game
1.00
100.0%
Conceding rate
60.0%
44
History Matches
17
2.45
Conceded Mean
1.94
1.68
Conceded Std
1.39
70.5%
Conceded 2+ rate
52.9%
45.5%
Conceded 3+ rate
41.2%
2.16
Venue Conceded Mean
1.86
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
9.1%
Clean-sheet rate
17.6%
13.6%
Failed-to-score rate
29.4%
15.8%
Clean-sheet rate
14.3%
15.8%
Failed-to-score rate
42.9%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
40.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
20.0%
9.1%
Clean-sheet rate
17.6%
13.6%
Failed-to-score rate
29.4%
15.8%
Clean-sheet rate
14.3%
15.8%
Failed-to-score rate
42.9%
9.1%
Clean-sheet rate
17.6%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
44
History Matches
17
0.96
Result entropy
1.00
2.38
Goal Difference Std
1.97
4.07
Stability score
0.32
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
43
Eligible Matches
17
14
Lead Matches
3
64.3%
Lead Win Rate
66.7%
0.74
Lead Points Retention
0.78
21
Trailing Matches
4
33.3%
Non-loss rate
25.0%
4.8%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
43
Halftime Coverage Matches
17
0.70
First Half Goals For Mean
0.94
1.00
First Half Goals Against Mean
1.00
1.05
Second Half Goals For Mean
1.12
1.37
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.94
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
84.04
Rest days
83.04
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
3
Short Rest History Matches
1
1.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
0.00
24
Normal Rest History Matches
8
0.92
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.13
16
Long Rest History Matches
7
1.31
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.57
Competition & season17 signals
170
5
Matches
5
1.20
PPG
2.00
20.0%
Win rate
60.0%
60.0%
Draw rate
20.0%
20.0%
Loss rate
20.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
60.0%
100.0%
Over 2.5 rate
60.0%
100.0%
Over 3.5 rate
40.0%
1.36
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.33
5
Current Competition Matches
5
1.20
Current Competition PPG
2.00
-0.40
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
0.80
4
Competition Season Count
3
3
Eligible Competition Season Count
2
0.19
Portability PPG Std
0.55
0.42
Portability PPG Range
1.09
72.16
Portability Score
47.83
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
44
Clean History Matches
17
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO-33.47
PPG-0.28
GF-0.33
GA0.51
PPG-0.80
PPG0.78
PPG-0.80
PPG0.10
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches27
Clean-sheet rate-0.09
Failed-to-score rate-0.16
History Matches12
Clean-sheet rate1.5%
Failed-to-score rate-0.27
History Matches27
Goals Mean-0.33
Goals Std-0.83
Scored 1+ rate15.8%
Scored 2+ rate1.6%
Scored 3+ rate-0.15
Venue Goals Mean0.74
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.40
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.34
History Matches27
Conceded Mean0.51
Conceded Std0.29
Clean-sheet rate-0.09
Conceded 2+ rate17.5%
Conceded 3+ rate4.3%
Venue Conceded Mean0.30
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.80
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.05
History Matches27
Result entropy-0.04
Goal Difference Std0.41
Stability score3.74
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.00
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.41
Eligible Matches26
Lead Matches11
Lead Win Rate-0.02
Lead Points Retention-0.04
Trailing Matches17
Non-loss rate8.3%
Trailing Win Rate4.8%
Halftime Coverage Matches26
First Half Goals For Mean-0.24
First Half Goals Against Mean0.00
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.07
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.43
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG-0.80
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean-1.20
Competition Season Count1
Eligible Competition Season Count1
Portability PPG Std-0.35
Portability PPG Range-0.67
Portability Score24.34
Rest days1.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches2
Short Rest Points Per Match1.00
Normal Rest History Matches16
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.21
Long Rest History Matches9
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.26
Current Team ELO-33.47
Current Opponent ELO33.47
Current ELO Difference-66.94
Expected score-0.10
History Matches27
Residual Mean-0.06
Overperformance-4.02
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.06

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Rotenhof

D
Hohenwestedt1–1Rotenhof7 Nov · away
Pick: Hohenwestedt 47% · missed
W
VfR Neumünster1–2Rotenhof1 Nov · away
Pick: VfR Neumünster 67% · missed
D
Rotenhof2–2Kaltenkirchen24 Oct · home
Pick: Rotenhof 39% · missed
L
Holstein Kiel II5–0Rotenhof18 Oct · away
Pick: Holstein Kiel II 80% · hit
L
Rotenhof0–2SV Eichede29 Aug · home
Pick: Rotenhof 42% · missed

TSB Flensburg

L
Oldenburger SV2–0TSB Flensburg7 Nov · away
Pick: Oldenburger SV 45% · hit
W
Hohenwestedt0–1TSB Flensburg31 Oct · away
Pick: Hohenwestedt 41% · missed
L
TSB Flensburg2–3VfR Neumünster25 Oct · home
Pick: VfR Neumünster 56% · hit
W
Kaltenkirchen1–3TSB Flensburg17 Oct · away
Pick: Kaltenkirchen 39% · missed
L
TSB Flensburg1–2Heider SV30 Aug · home
Pick: TSB Flensburg 50% · missed

About this match

Rotenhof and TSB Flensburg meet in Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein on Saturday 14 November 2026, kickoff 13:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC: Rotenhof win 36.9%, draw 24.4%, TSB Flensburg win 38.7%. The pick is TSB Flensburg win. Over 2.5 goals: 70.3%. Both teams to score: 65.1%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.