Slovan Liberec II vs Neratovice-Byškovice
What we said before kickoff Result: Slovan Liberec II win
Slovan Liberec II winPick Result
53.0%
Draw
19.6%
Neratovice-Byškovice win
27.4%
How our picks did
Based on the final score. It joins the public record at the next nightly settlement.
Match result
Our pickSlovan Liberec II win · 53.0%
What happenedSlovan Liberec II win · we gave it 53.0%
Hit Over 2.5 goals
Our pickOver · 79.0%
What happenedOver · 5 goals
Hit Both teams to score
Our pickYes · 65.4%
What happenedYes · 4–1
Hit How surprising was it?
Result: Slovan Liberec II win. In our numbers it ranked first of the three.
53%
chance we gave it0%50%100%
1 in 1.9
on average A pick at 53% is expected to miss about 5 times in 10. One match does not judge a model. The record across every settled match does.
See the full record
Match at a glancegoals · cards · changes
0'HT90'
Slovan Liberec II aboveNeratovice-Byškovice below
Full time · 4–1
87'
F. Sladovnik
F. Mikes
86'4–1
S. Brtinsky
85'
V. Kaspar
S. Cistecky
85'
S. Brtinsky
M. Filipek
81'
A. Rejsek
F. Nerger
70'
S. Gabriel
M. Kulha
70'
M. Zaboj
D. Sustr
70'
O. Jakoubek
O. Magdi
63'3–1
S. Cistecky
61'
J. Prinda
S. Jager
48'
D. Sustr
Yellow card
46'
S. Wexler
S. Barta
Half-time · 2–1
33'2–1
M. Filipek
20'1–1
O. Magdi
10'1–0
J. Ashuku
No events of this kind yet.
Kick-off
Both teams to score
Yes65.4%
No34.6%
Total goals · 2.5
Over 2.579.0%
Under 2.521.0%
How much we know
Slovan Liberec II history54 matches
Neratovice-Byškovice history57 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news
Your calls on this match
Made on this device before kickoff, compared with the result.
Life of this match
Every step is time-stamped, from first prediction to settled result.
- Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 0 h ahead1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
- Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not changeLatest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
- Kickoff7 Nov · 09:15 UTC
- Full time: 4–1All three of our picks hit
- Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC
Share this result
A picture made for this match: teams, our probabilities and the verified stamp. Works in chats and on social.
The card keeps the pre-match numbers. A miss is shared as plainly as a hit.
How reliable are picks like this?
Across 16,809 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 39.9% · said 37.7% · n 2,949
40–49% Won 45.3% · said 44.8% · n 6,860
50–59% Won 55.6% · said 54.4% · n 4,146
60–69% Won 63.9% · said 64.4% · n 2,031
70–79% Won 76.5% · said 73.9% · n 646
80%+ Won 83.1% · said 84.5% · n 177
This pick sits in the 50–59% band (53.0%). Picks in that band won 55.6% of the time, and the model said 54.4% on average, over 4,146 matches.
Why Slovan Liberec II are the pick
Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.
-
Neratovice-Byškovice are rated 70 Elo points higher
Elo 1,539 against 1,469. On rating alone Neratovice-Byškovice would be expected to take 60% of the points on offer.
-
Scoring rates are level
2.02 goals a game over 54 matches for Slovan Liberec II, against 2.07 over 57 for Neratovice-Byškovice.
-
Neratovice-Byškovice concede fewer
Slovan Liberec II concede 2.13 a game, Neratovice-Byškovice 1.74.
-
Slovan Liberec II games more often go over 2.5 goals
78% of Slovan Liberec II matches, against 63% for Neratovice-Byškovice. The model puts this match at 79% for over 2.5.
These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.
Compare the two teams
Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.
Match history used: up to 22 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Neratovice-Byškovice@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals 100
1468.6
ELO
1538.6
54
ELO · Matches
57
1468.6
Current Team ELO
1538.6
1538.6
Current Opponent ELO
1468.6
-69.99
Current ELO Difference
69.99
0.40
Expected score
0.60
54
History Matches
57
-0.03
Residual Mean
0.03
47.65
Overperformance
52.55
0.31
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.26
Recent form16 signals 160
5
Matches
5
1.80
PPG
2.00
2.20
Goals for per game
3.40
2.00
Goals against per game
2.00
60.0%
Win rate
60.0%
10
Matches
10
2.10
PPG
2.20
3.60
Goals for per game
2.80
1.70
Goals against per game
1.80
70.0%
Win rate
70.0%
3.60
Recent 10 Goals Mean
2.80
3.01
Recent 10 Goals Std
2.71
1.70
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.80
1.19
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.72
0.56
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.73
3.53
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
3.69
Overall performance9 signals 90
54
Matches
57
1.04
PPG
1.60
27.8%
Win rate
45.6%
20.4%
Draw rate
22.8%
51.9%
Loss rate
31.6%
92.6%
Over 1.5 rate
91.2%
77.8%
Over 2.5 rate
63.2%
55.6%
Over 3.5 rate
47.4%
2.61
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.79
Venue performance10 signals 100
25
Matches
28
1.20
PPG
1.54
32.0%
Win rate
42.9%
24.0%
Draw rate
25.0%
44.0%
Loss rate
32.1%
96.0%
Over 1.5 rate
89.3%
84.0%
Over 2.5 rate
57.1%
64.0%
Over 3.5 rate
50.0%
2.45
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.61
25
History Matches
28
Scoring & attack16 signals 160
2.02
Goals for per game
2.07
74.1%
Scoring rate
80.7%
70.4%
BTTS rate
57.9%
2.44
Goals for per game
1.82
92.0%
Scoring rate
82.1%
84.0%
BTTS rate
64.3%
2.00
Goals for per game
1.00
100.0%
Scoring rate
66.7%
100.0%
BTTS rate
66.7%
54
History Matches
57
2.02
Goals Mean
2.07
2.07
Goals Std
1.90
74.1%
Scored 1+ rate
80.7%
48.1%
Scored 2+ rate
56.1%
29.6%
Scored 3+ rate
33.3%
2.44
Venue Goals Mean
1.82
Defense & conceding12 signals 120
2.13
Goals against per game
1.74
94.4%
Conceding rate
73.7%
1.80
Goals against per game
1.68
92.0%
Conceding rate
78.6%
1.00
Goals against per game
2.67
100.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
54
History Matches
57
2.13
Conceded Mean
1.74
1.23
Conceded Std
1.75
68.5%
Conceded 2+ rate
43.9%
29.6%
Conceded 3+ rate
28.1%
1.80
Venue Conceded Mean
1.68
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals 110
5.6%
Clean-sheet rate
26.3%
25.9%
Failed-to-score rate
19.3%
8.0%
Clean-sheet rate
21.4%
8.0%
Failed-to-score rate
17.9%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
33.3%
5.6%
Clean-sheet rate
26.3%
25.9%
Failed-to-score rate
19.3%
8.0%
Clean-sheet rate
21.4%
8.0%
Failed-to-score rate
17.9%
5.6%
Clean-sheet rate
26.3%
Volatility & stability4 signals 40
54
History Matches
57
0.93
Result entropy
0.96
2.61
Goal Difference Std
2.79
7.11
Stability score
3.59
Halftime resilience7 signals 70
54
Eligible Matches
57
19
Lead Matches
24
63.2%
Lead Win Rate
79.2%
0.70
Lead Points Retention
0.85
24
Trailing Matches
18
8.3%
Non-loss rate
27.8%
4.2%
Trailing Win Rate
5.6%
Goal timing5 signals 50
54
Halftime Coverage Matches
57
0.94
First Half Goals For Mean
0.93
1.09
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.81
1.07
Second Half Goals For Mean
1.14
1.04
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.93
Rest & schedule9 signals 90
90.76
Rest days
77.04
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
3
—
Short Rest Points Per Match
2.33
33
Normal Rest History Matches
30
0.91
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.63
20
Long Rest History Matches
23
1.30
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.39
Competition & season17 signals 170
1
Matches
3
3.00
PPG
1.33
100.0%
Win rate
33.3%
0.0%
Draw rate
33.3%
0.0%
Loss rate
33.3%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
100.0%
Over 2.5 rate
66.7%
0.0%
Over 3.5 rate
33.3%
—
Goal difference · Standard deviation
3.09
1
Current Competition Matches
3
3.00
Current Competition PPG
1.33
1.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-1.67
6
Competition Season Count
6
3
Eligible Competition Season Count
4
0.50
Portability PPG Std
0.58
1.16
Portability PPG Range
1.52
49.92
Portability Score
46.15
Odds & market11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal 10
54
Clean History Matches
57
Matchup differences86 signals 086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO-69.99
PPG-0.56
GF-0.05
GA0.39
PPG1.67
PPG-0.34
PPG-0.20
PPG-0.10
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-3
Clean-sheet rate-0.21
Failed-to-score rate6.6%
History Matches-3
Clean-sheet rate-0.13
Failed-to-score rate-0.10
History Matches-3
Goals Mean-0.05
Goals Std0.17
Scored 1+ rate-0.07
Scored 2+ rate-0.08
Scored 3+ rate-0.04
Venue Goals Mean0.62
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.80
Recent 10 Goals Std0.29
History Matches-3
Conceded Mean0.39
Conceded Std-0.52
Clean-sheet rate-0.21
Conceded 2+ rate24.7%
Conceded 3+ rate1.6%
Venue Conceded Mean0.12
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.10
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.53
History Matches-3
Result entropy-0.04
Goal Difference Std-0.18
Stability score3.52
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.17
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.15
Eligible Matches-3
Lead Matches-5
Lead Win Rate-0.16
Lead Points Retention-0.15
Trailing Matches6
Non-loss rate-0.19
Trailing Win Rate-0.01
Halftime Coverage Matches-3
First Half Goals For Mean0.01
First Half Goals Against Mean0.29
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.07
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.11
Current Competition Matches-2
Current Competition PPG1.67
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean2.67
Competition Season Count0
Eligible Competition Season Count-1
Portability PPG Std-0.08
Portability PPG Range-0.36
Portability Score3.77
Rest days13.72
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-3
Normal Rest History Matches3
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.72
Long Rest History Matches-3
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.09
Current Team ELO-69.99
Current Opponent ELO69.99
Current ELO Difference-140.0
Expected score-0.20
History Matches-3
Residual Mean-0.07
Overperformance-4.91
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.05
Latest results, with our pick
Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.
Slovan Liberec II
D
Baník Souš1–1Slovan Liberec II31 Oct · away
Pick: Baník Souš 56% · missed D
Slovan Liberec II0–0Čáslav28 Oct · home
Pick: Slovan Liberec II 54% · missed W
Slovan Liberec II5–1Horní Ředice24 Oct · home
Pick: Slovan Liberec II 55% · hit W
Hradec Králové II1–2Slovan Liberec II18 Oct · away
Pick: Hradec Králové II 44% · missed D
Varnsdorf1–1Slovan Liberec II4 Oct · away
Pick: Varnsdorf 42% · missed Neratovice-Byškovice
W
Horní Ředice0–2Neratovice-Byškovice31 Oct · away
Pick: Neratovice-Byškovice 42% · hit W
Neratovice-Byškovice6–1Chrudim24 Oct · home
Pick: Chrudim 42% · missed D
Benátky nad Jizerou0–0Neratovice-Byškovice18 Oct · away
Pick: Benátky nad Jizerou 55% · missed W
Teplice II0–2Neratovice-Byškovice4 Oct · away
Pick: Teplice II 52% · missed L
Neratovice-Byškovice1–2Varnsdorf29 Aug · home
Pick: Varnsdorf 42% · hit Match report
Slovan Liberec II and Neratovice-Byškovice finished 4–1 in 3. liga - CFL B on Saturday 7 November 2026. It was 2–1 at half time. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC, before kickoff: Slovan Liberec II win 53.0%, draw 19.6%, Neratovice-Byškovice win 27.4%. All three picks hit.
Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.