ScoreProb
Challenger Pro League Belgium Round 10 2026

Sporting Hasselt vs Patro Eisden

Sporting Hasselt Home · Elo 1,613
Fri 6 Nov
UTC
Not started
Patro Eisden Away · Elo 1,539
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 31 Oct, 08:40 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Sporting Hasselt win
Sporting Hasselt winPick
48.1%
Draw
28.2%
Patro Eisden win
23.7%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live stats · shots, possession, corners, side by side
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes52.5%
No47.5%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.557.4%
Under 2.542.6%

How much we know

Sporting Hasselt history53 matches
Patro Eisden history64 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 10 h ahead
    31 Oct · 08:40 UTC
  2. Re-published 15 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 06:57 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    6 Nov · 19:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,274 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,668
40–49% Won 45.5% · said 44.8% · n 6,228
50–59% Won 55.7% · said 54.4% · n 3,755
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,872
70–79% Won 76.3% · said 73.9% · n 587
80%+ Won 83.5% · said 84.5% · n 164
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (48.1%). Picks in that band won 45.5% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,228 matches.

Why Sporting Hasselt are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Sporting Hasselt are rated 73 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,613 against 1,539. On rating alone Sporting Hasselt would be expected to take 60% of the points on offer.

  • Sporting Hasselt score far more

    2.42 goals a game over 53 matches for Sporting Hasselt, against 1.34 over 64 for Patro Eisden.

  • Sporting Hasselt concede fewer

    Sporting Hasselt concede 0.94 a game, Patro Eisden 1.33.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    57% of Sporting Hasselt matches, against 52% for Patro Eisden. The model puts this match at 57% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 23 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Sporting Hasselt
Patro Eisden@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1612.7
ELO
1539.4
53
ELO · Matches
64
1612.7
Current Team ELO
1539.4
1539.4
Current Opponent ELO
1612.7
73.31
Current ELO Difference
-73.31
0.60
Expected score
0.40
53
History Matches
64
0.10
Residual Mean
0.02
57.38
Overperformance
51.77
0.10
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.08
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
2.60
PPG
1.60
2.20
Goals for per game
1.20
0.40
Goals against per game
1.00
80.0%
Win rate
40.0%
10
Matches
10
2.20
PPG
1.10
2.40
Goals for per game
1.10
0.60
Goals against per game
1.80
70.0%
Win rate
20.0%
2.40
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.10
2.84
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.04
0.60
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.80
0.80
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.40
0.73
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.94
3.19
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.73
Overall performance9 signals
90
53
Matches
64
1.98
PPG
1.61
60.4%
Win rate
43.8%
17.0%
Draw rate
29.7%
22.6%
Loss rate
26.6%
77.4%
Over 1.5 rate
71.9%
56.6%
Over 2.5 rate
51.6%
43.4%
Over 3.5 rate
31.3%
2.51
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.79
Venue performance10 signals
100
26
Matches
34
2.08
PPG
1.47
65.4%
Win rate
38.2%
11.5%
Draw rate
32.4%
23.1%
Loss rate
29.4%
76.9%
Over 1.5 rate
76.5%
61.5%
Over 2.5 rate
52.9%
42.3%
Over 3.5 rate
32.4%
2.12
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.69
26
History Matches
34
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
2.42
Goals for per game
1.34
79.2%
Scoring rate
73.4%
43.4%
BTTS rate
53.1%
2.15
Goals for per game
1.32
76.9%
Scoring rate
67.6%
38.5%
BTTS rate
55.9%
1.00
Goals for per game
1.50
100.0%
Scoring rate
100.0%
0.0%
BTTS rate
100.0%
53
History Matches
64
2.42
Goals Mean
1.34
2.22
Goals Std
1.18
79.2%
Scored 1+ rate
73.4%
52.8%
Scored 2+ rate
37.5%
41.5%
Scored 3+ rate
15.6%
2.15
Venue Goals Mean
1.32
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
0.94
Goals against per game
1.33
56.6%
Conceding rate
68.8%
0.88
Goals against per game
1.35
53.8%
Conceding rate
73.5%
0.00
Goals against per game
1.50
0.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
53
History Matches
64
0.94
Conceded Mean
1.33
1.02
Conceded Std
1.32
30.2%
Conceded 2+ rate
35.9%
3.8%
Conceded 3+ rate
14.1%
0.88
Venue Conceded Mean
1.35
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
43.4%
Clean-sheet rate
31.3%
20.8%
Failed-to-score rate
26.6%
46.2%
Clean-sheet rate
26.5%
23.1%
Failed-to-score rate
32.4%
100.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
43.4%
Clean-sheet rate
31.3%
20.8%
Failed-to-score rate
26.6%
46.2%
Clean-sheet rate
26.5%
23.1%
Failed-to-score rate
32.4%
43.4%
Clean-sheet rate
31.3%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
53
History Matches
64
0.86
Result entropy
0.98
2.51
Goal Difference Std
1.79
14.25
Stability score
2.21
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
47
Eligible Matches
64
16
Lead Matches
20
87.5%
Lead Win Rate
80.0%
0.90
Lead Points Retention
0.85
11
Trailing Matches
18
36.4%
Non-loss rate
38.9%
27.3%
Trailing Win Rate
16.7%
Goal timing5 signals
50
47
Halftime Coverage Matches
64
0.74
First Half Goals For Mean
0.52
0.43
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.52
1.64
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.83
0.57
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.81
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
75.07
Rest days
76.04
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
2
Short Rest History Matches
7
2.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
1.71
27
Normal Rest History Matches
30
2.11
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.80
23
Long Rest History Matches
26
1.87
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.31
Competition & season17 signals
170
2
Matches
2
3.00
PPG
1.50
100.0%
Win rate
50.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
0.0%
Loss rate
50.0%
0.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
0.0%
Over 2.5 rate
100.0%
0.0%
Over 3.5 rate
0.0%
0.00
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.00
2
Current Competition Matches
2
3.00
Current Competition PPG
1.50
1.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
0.00
5
Competition Season Count
8
3
Eligible Competition Season Count
4
0.19
Portability PPG Std
0.73
0.43
Portability PPG Range
2.00
72.86
Portability Score
40.58
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
53
Clean History Matches
64
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO73.31
PPG0.37
GF1.07
GA-0.38
PPG1.50
PPG0.61
PPG1.00
PPG1.10
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-11
Clean-sheet rate12.1%
Failed-to-score rate-0.06
History Matches-8
Clean-sheet rate19.7%
Failed-to-score rate-0.09
History Matches-11
Goals Mean1.07
Goals Std1.04
Scored 1+ rate5.8%
Scored 2+ rate15.3%
Scored 3+ rate25.9%
Venue Goals Mean0.83
Recent 10 Goals Mean1.30
Recent 10 Goals Std1.79
History Matches-11
Conceded Mean-0.38
Conceded Std-0.31
Clean-sheet rate12.1%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.06
Conceded 3+ rate-0.10
Venue Conceded Mean-0.47
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-1.20
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.60
History Matches-11
Result entropy-0.12
Goal Difference Std0.73
Stability score12.04
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.21
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std1.45
Eligible Matches-17
Lead Matches-4
Lead Win Rate7.5%
Lead Points Retention0.05
Trailing Matches-7
Non-loss rate-0.03
Trailing Win Rate10.6%
Halftime Coverage Matches-17
First Half Goals For Mean0.23
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.09
Second Half Goals For Mean0.81
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.24
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG1.50
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean1.00
Competition Season Count-3
Eligible Competition Season Count-1
Portability PPG Std-0.55
Portability PPG Range-1.57
Portability Score32.28
Rest days-0.97
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-5
Short Rest Points Per Match0.29
Normal Rest History Matches-3
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.31
Long Rest History Matches-3
Long Rest Points Per Match0.56
Current Team ELO73.31
Current Opponent ELO-73.31
Current ELO Difference146.6
Expected score0.21
History Matches-11
Residual Mean0.08
Overperformance5.61
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.18

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Sporting Hasselt

W
Club Brugge II3–4Sporting Hasselt31 Oct · away
Pick: Club Brugge II 40% · missed
L
Sporting Hasselt1–2Cercle Brugge16 Oct · home
Pick: Sporting Hasselt 44% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Patro Eisden

W
Patro Eisden3–1Lokeren-Temse31 Oct · home
Pick: Patro Eisden 41% · hit
W
Liège2–3Patro Eisden25 Oct · away
Pick: Liège 38% · missed
L
KVC Westerlo2–0Patro Eisden16 Oct · away
Pick: KVC Westerlo 44% · hit
L
Patro Eisden1–2Club Brugge II29 Aug · home
Pick: Patro Eisden 46% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Sporting Hasselt and Patro Eisden meet in Challenger Pro League on Friday 6 November 2026, kickoff 19:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 31 Oct, 08:40 UTC: Sporting Hasselt win 48.1%, draw 28.2%, Patro Eisden win 23.7%. The pick is Sporting Hasselt win. Over 2.5 goals: 57.4%. Both teams to score: 52.5%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.