Tanta SC vs La Viena FC
Match result probability Model pick: La Viena FC win
Tanta SC win
28.2%
Draw
32.9%
La Viena FC winPick
38.8%
At kickoff this becomes the match centre
Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.
Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect
Both teams to score
Yes44.5%
No55.5%
Total goals · 2.5
Over 2.533.6%
Under 2.566.4%
How much we know
Tanta SC history54 matches
La Viena FC history54 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news
Your call
Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.
Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score
Match result: ours La Viena FC
Over / under 2.5: ours Under
Both teams to score: ours No
Life of this match
One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.
- Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 3 h ahead7 Nov · 08:56 UTC
- Lineups appearAbout an hour before kickoff, where the competition provides them. This prediction does not use lineups.≈ 11:30 UTC
- KickoffThis page becomes the match centre13 Nov · 12:30 UTC
- Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
- Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC
How reliable are picks like this?
Across 15,663 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,748
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,387
50–59% Won 55.7% · said 54.4% · n 3,845
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,914
70–79% Won 76.0% · said 73.9% · n 601
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 168
This pick sits in the 33–39% band (38.8%). Picks in that band won 40.1% of the time, and the model said 37.7% on average, over 2,748 matches.
Why La Viena FC are the pick
Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.
-
La Viena FC are rated 59 Elo points higher
Elo 1,529 against 1,471. On rating alone La Viena FC would be expected to take 58% of the points on offer.
-
Scoring rates are level
0.85 goals a game over 54 matches for Tanta SC, against 0.94 over 54 for La Viena FC.
-
La Viena FC concede fewer
Tanta SC concede 0.94 a game, La Viena FC 0.78.
-
Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games
24% of Tanta SC matches, against 24% for La Viena FC. The model puts this match at 34% for over 2.5.
These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.
Compare the two teams
Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.
Match history used: up to 22 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
La Viena FC@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals 100
1470.9
ELO
1529.5
54
ELO · Matches
54
1470.9
Current Team ELO
1529.5
1529.5
Current Opponent ELO
1470.9
-58.56
Current ELO Difference
58.56
0.42
Expected score
0.58
54
History Matches
54
-0.02
Residual Mean
0.03
48.58
Overperformance
52.01
0.08
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.17
Recent form16 signals 160
5
Matches
5
1.60
PPG
2.00
1.80
Goals for per game
1.60
1.80
Goals against per game
0.20
40.0%
Win rate
60.0%
10
Matches
10
1.40
PPG
2.00
1.30
Goals for per game
1.30
1.30
Goals against per game
0.30
30.0%
Win rate
60.0%
1.30
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.30
1.19
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.35
1.30
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
0.30
1.00
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.46
0.94
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.86
1.67
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.55
Overall performance9 signals 90
54
Matches
54
1.13
PPG
1.39
22.2%
Win rate
35.2%
46.3%
Draw rate
33.3%
31.5%
Loss rate
31.5%
55.6%
Over 1.5 rate
50.0%
24.1%
Over 2.5 rate
24.1%
11.1%
Over 3.5 rate
14.8%
1.13
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.32
Venue performance10 signals 100
29
Matches
27
1.17
PPG
1.56
24.1%
Win rate
37.0%
44.8%
Draw rate
44.4%
31.0%
Loss rate
18.5%
62.1%
Over 1.5 rate
44.4%
20.7%
Over 2.5 rate
7.4%
10.3%
Over 3.5 rate
7.4%
1.07
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.01
29
History Matches
27
Scoring & attack16 signals 160
0.85
Goals for per game
0.94
63.0%
Scoring rate
55.6%
50.0%
BTTS rate
29.6%
0.93
Goals for per game
0.85
72.4%
Scoring rate
59.3%
55.2%
BTTS rate
25.9%
2.00
Goals for per game
—
100.0%
Scoring rate
—
100.0%
BTTS rate
—
54
History Matches
54
0.85
Goals Mean
0.94
0.91
Goals Std
1.04
63.0%
Scored 1+ rate
55.6%
13.0%
Scored 2+ rate
27.8%
5.6%
Scored 3+ rate
9.3%
0.93
Venue Goals Mean
0.85
Defense & conceding12 signals 120
0.94
Goals against per game
0.78
70.4%
Conceding rate
51.9%
0.97
Goals against per game
0.56
75.9%
Conceding rate
44.4%
1.00
Goals against per game
—
100.0%
Conceding rate
—
54
History Matches
54
0.94
Conceded Mean
0.78
0.83
Conceded Std
0.90
18.5%
Conceded 2+ rate
20.4%
3.7%
Conceded 3+ rate
5.6%
0.97
Venue Conceded Mean
0.56
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals 110
29.6%
Clean-sheet rate
48.1%
37.0%
Failed-to-score rate
44.4%
24.1%
Clean-sheet rate
55.6%
27.6%
Failed-to-score rate
40.7%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
—
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
—
29.6%
Clean-sheet rate
48.1%
37.0%
Failed-to-score rate
44.4%
24.1%
Clean-sheet rate
55.6%
27.6%
Failed-to-score rate
40.7%
29.6%
Clean-sheet rate
48.1%
Volatility & stability4 signals 40
54
History Matches
54
0.96
Result entropy
1.00
1.13
Goal Difference Std
1.32
4.00
Stability score
0.09
Halftime resilience7 signals 70
54
Eligible Matches
54
11
Lead Matches
13
54.5%
Lead Win Rate
61.5%
0.64
Lead Points Retention
0.69
11
Trailing Matches
4
36.4%
Non-loss rate
0.0%
9.1%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals 50
54
Halftime Coverage Matches
54
0.43
First Half Goals For Mean
0.41
0.41
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.19
0.43
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.54
0.54
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.59
Rest & schedule9 signals 90
83.96
Rest days
183.0
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
1
Short Rest History Matches
0
0.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
—
34
Normal Rest History Matches
32
1.24
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.13
18
Long Rest History Matches
21
1.00
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.71
Competition & season17 signals 170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1
Matches
0
3.00
PPG
—
100.0%
Win rate
—
0.0%
Draw rate
—
0.0%
Loss rate
—
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
—
100.0%
Over 2.5 rate
—
0.0%
Over 3.5 rate
—
1
Current Competition Matches
0
3.00
Current Competition PPG
—
1.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
—
3
Competition Season Count
2
2
Eligible Competition Season Count
2
0.13
Portability PPG Std
0.27
0.26
Portability PPG Range
0.54
79.17
Portability Score
65.01
Odds & market11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal 10
54
Clean History Matches
54
Matchup differences86 signals 086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO-58.56
PPG-0.26
GF-0.09
GA0.17
PPG-0.38
PPG-0.40
PPG-0.60
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches0
Clean-sheet rate-0.19
Failed-to-score rate-0.07
History Matches2
Clean-sheet rate-0.31
Failed-to-score rate-0.13
History Matches0
Goals Mean-0.09
Goals Std-0.13
Scored 1+ rate7.4%
Scored 2+ rate-0.15
Scored 3+ rate-0.04
Venue Goals Mean0.08
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.00
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.16
History Matches0
Conceded Mean0.17
Conceded Std-0.07
Clean-sheet rate-0.19
Conceded 2+ rate-0.02
Conceded 3+ rate-0.02
Venue Conceded Mean0.41
Recent 10 Conceded Mean1.00
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.55
History Matches0
Result entropy-0.04
Goal Difference Std-0.19
Stability score3.91
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.07
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.12
Eligible Matches0
Lead Matches-2
Lead Win Rate-0.07
Lead Points Retention-0.06
Trailing Matches7
Non-loss rate36.4%
Trailing Win Rate9.1%
Halftime Coverage Matches0
First Half Goals For Mean0.02
First Half Goals Against Mean0.22
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.11
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.06
Current Competition Matches1
Competition Season Count1
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Portability PPG Std-0.14
Portability PPG Range-0.28
Portability Score14.16
Rest days-99.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches1
Normal Rest History Matches2
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.11
Long Rest History Matches-3
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.71
Current Team ELO-58.56
Current Opponent ELO58.56
Current ELO Difference-117.1
Expected score-0.17
History Matches0
Residual Mean-0.05
Overperformance-3.43
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.10
Latest results, with our pick
Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.
Tanta SC
D
Mega Sport2–2Tanta SC22 Oct · away
Pick: Draw 42% · hit D
Tanta SC0–0Dayrout15 Oct · home
Pick: Tanta SC 50% · missed Earlier results appear as match history is added
La Viena FC
D
La Viena FC1–1Dayrout29 Oct · home
Pick: La Viena FC 45% · missed W
Ismaily SC0–1La Viena FC23 Oct · away
Pick: La Viena FC 41% · hit D
La Viena FC0–0Haras El Hodood15 Oct · home
Pick: La Viena FC 43% · missed Earlier results appear as match history is added
About this match
Tanta SC and La Viena FC meet in Second League on Friday 13 November 2026, kickoff 12:30 UTC. The match is played at Tanta Stadium. ScoreProb published its prediction on 7 Nov, 08:56 UTC: Tanta SC win 28.2%, draw 32.9%, La Viena FC win 38.8%. The pick is La Viena FC win. Over 2.5 goals: 33.6%. Both teams to score: 44.5%.
Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.