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Friendlies World Friendly International 2026

Thailand U23 vs Singapore U23

Thailand U23 Home · Elo 1,504
Sat 14 Nov
UTC
Not started
Singapore U23 Away · Elo 1,470
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Thailand U23 win
Thailand U23 winPick
61.7%
Draw
16.4%
Singapore U23 win
21.9%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live stats · shots, possession, corners, side by side
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes56.4%
No43.6%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.565.6%
Under 2.534.4%

How much we know

Thailand U23 history15 matches
Singapore U23 history3 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 5 d 23 h ahead
    8 Nov · 08:45 UTC
  2. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    14 Nov · 08:00 UTC
  3. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  4. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 16,809 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 39.9% · said 37.7% · n 2,949
40–49% Won 45.3% · said 44.8% · n 6,860
50–59% Won 55.6% · said 54.4% · n 4,146
60–69% Won 63.9% · said 64.4% · n 2,031
70–79% Won 76.5% · said 73.9% · n 646
80%+ Won 83.1% · said 84.5% · n 177
This pick sits in the 60–69% band (61.7%). Picks in that band won 63.9% of the time, and the model said 64.4% on average, over 2,031 matches.

Why Thailand U23 are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Thailand U23 are rated 35 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,504 against 1,470. On rating alone Thailand U23 would be expected to take 55% of the points on offer.

  • Thailand U23 score far more

    1.87 goals a game over 15 matches for Thailand U23, against 0.67 over 3 for Singapore U23.

  • Thailand U23 concede fewer

    Thailand U23 concede 1.40 a game, Singapore U23 2.33.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    67% of Thailand U23 matches, against 67% for Singapore U23. The model puts this match at 66% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 10 Jun 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Thailand U23
Singapore U23@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1504.4
ELO
1469.6
15
ELO · Matches
3
1504.4
Current Team ELO
1469.6
1469.6
Current Opponent ELO
1504.4
34.78
Current ELO Difference
-34.78
0.55
Expected score
0.45
15
History Matches
3
0.02
Residual Mean
-0.48
50.87
Overperformance
43.79
-0.11
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.48
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
3
0.80
PPG
0.00
1.60
Goals for per game
0.67
2.60
Goals against per game
2.33
20.0%
Win rate
0.0%
10
Matches
3
1.00
PPG
0.00
1.40
Goals for per game
0.67
1.90
Goals against per game
2.33
20.0%
Win rate
0.0%
1.40
Recent 10 Goals Mean
0.67
0.66
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.47
1.90
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
2.33
1.45
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.25
0.96
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.00
1.20
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
0.94
Overall performance9 signals
90
15
Matches
3
1.40
PPG
0.00
33.3%
Win rate
0.0%
40.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
26.7%
Loss rate
100.0%
80.0%
Over 1.5 rate
66.7%
66.7%
Over 2.5 rate
66.7%
53.3%
Over 3.5 rate
33.3%
2.16
Goal difference · Standard deviation
0.94
Venue performance10 signals
100
8
Matches
1
1.50
PPG
0.00
37.5%
Win rate
0.0%
37.5%
Draw rate
0.0%
25.0%
Loss rate
100.0%
62.5%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
50.0%
Over 2.5 rate
100.0%
37.5%
Over 3.5 rate
0.0%
2.40
Goal difference · Standard deviation
—
8
History Matches
1
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.87
Goals for per game
0.67
86.7%
Scoring rate
66.7%
66.7%
BTTS rate
66.7%
1.75
Goals for per game
1.00
75.0%
Scoring rate
100.0%
50.0%
BTTS rate
100.0%
1.60
Goals for per game
—
100.0%
Scoring rate
—
80.0%
BTTS rate
—
15
History Matches
3
1.87
Goals Mean
0.67
1.50
Goals Std
0.47
86.7%
Scored 1+ rate
66.7%
53.3%
Scored 2+ rate
0.0%
20.0%
Scored 3+ rate
0.0%
1.75
Venue Goals Mean
1.00
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.40
Goals against per game
2.33
66.7%
Conceding rate
100.0%
1.25
Goals against per game
2.00
50.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
2.60
Goals against per game
—
80.0%
Conceding rate
—
15
History Matches
3
1.40
Conceded Mean
2.33
1.40
Conceded Std
1.25
40.0%
Conceded 2+ rate
66.7%
20.0%
Conceded 3+ rate
33.3%
1.25
Venue Conceded Mean
2.00
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
33.3%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
13.3%
Failed-to-score rate
33.3%
50.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
25.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
20.0%
Clean-sheet rate
—
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
—
33.3%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
13.3%
Failed-to-score rate
33.3%
50.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
25.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
33.3%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
15
History Matches
3
0.99
Result entropy
0.00
2.16
Goal Difference Std
0.94
1.22
Stability score
100.0
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
15
Eligible Matches
3
6
Lead Matches
0
66.7%
Lead Win Rate
—
0.72
Lead Points Retention
—
4
Trailing Matches
1
25.0%
Non-loss rate
0.0%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
15
Halftime Coverage Matches
3
0.93
First Half Goals For Mean
0.00
0.60
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.67
0.93
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.67
0.80
Second Half Goals Against Mean
1.67
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
157.9
Rest days
431.0
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
8
Short Rest History Matches
1
1.25
Short Rest Points Per Match
0.00
2
Normal Rest History Matches
1
2.00
Normal Rest Points Per Match
0.00
4
Long Rest History Matches
0
1.00
Long Rest Points Per Match
—
Competition & season17 signals
170
5
Matches
0
0.80
PPG
—
20.0%
Win rate
—
20.0%
Draw rate
—
60.0%
Loss rate
—
80.0%
Over 1.5 rate
—
80.0%
Over 2.5 rate
—
80.0%
Over 3.5 rate
—
1.41
Goal difference · Standard deviation
—
5
Current Competition Matches
0
0.80
Current Competition PPG
—
-1.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
—
4
Competition Season Count
1
4
Eligible Competition Season Count
1
0.73
Portability PPG Std
—
1.67
Portability PPG Range
—
40.72
Portability Score
—
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
15
Clean History Matches
3
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreLead Win RateLead Points RetentionCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanPortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreLong Rest Points Per Match
ELO34.78
PPG1.40
GF1.20
GA-0.93
PPG1.50
PPG0.80
PPG1.00
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches12
Clean-sheet rate33.3%
Failed-to-score rate-0.20
History Matches7
Clean-sheet rate50.0%
Failed-to-score rate25.0%
History Matches12
Goals Mean1.20
Goals Std1.03
Scored 1+ rate20.0%
Scored 2+ rate53.3%
Scored 3+ rate20.0%
Venue Goals Mean0.75
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.73
Recent 10 Goals Std0.19
History Matches12
Conceded Mean-0.93
Conceded Std0.16
Clean-sheet rate33.3%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.27
Conceded 3+ rate-0.13
Venue Conceded Mean-0.75
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.43
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.20
History Matches12
Result entropy0.99
Goal Difference Std1.21
Stability score-98.78
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.96
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.26
Eligible Matches12
Lead Matches6
Trailing Matches3
Non-loss rate25.0%
Trailing Win Rate0.0%
Halftime Coverage Matches12
First Half Goals For Mean0.93
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.07
Second Half Goals For Mean0.27
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.87
Current Competition Matches5
Competition Season Count3
Eligible Competition Season Count3
Rest days-273.0
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches7
Short Rest Points Per Match1.25
Normal Rest History Matches1
Normal Rest Points Per Match2.00
Long Rest History Matches4
Current Team ELO34.78
Current Opponent ELO-34.78
Current ELO Difference69.57
Expected score0.10
History Matches12
Residual Mean0.50
Overperformance7.08
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.36

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Thailand U23

No earlier results with our pick yet

Singapore U23

No earlier results with our pick yet

About this match

Thailand U23 and Singapore U23 meet in Friendlies on Saturday 14 November 2026, kickoff 08:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC: Thailand U23 win 61.7%, draw 16.4%, Singapore U23 win 21.9%. The pick is Thailand U23 win. Over 2.5 goals: 65.6%. Both teams to score: 56.4%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.