Transvaal vs Broki
What we said before kickoff Result: Broki win
Transvaal win
35.3%
Draw
26.1%
Broki winPick Result
38.6%
How our picks did
Based on the final score. It joins the public record at the next nightly settlement.
Match result
Our pickBroki win · 38.6%
What happenedBroki win · we gave it 38.6%
Hit Over 2.5 goals
Our pickOver · 58.2%
What happenedUnder · 1 goal
Missed Both teams to score
Our pickYes · 56.1%
What happenedNo · 0–1
Missed How surprising was it?
Result: Broki win. In our numbers it ranked first of the three.
39%
chance we gave it0%50%100%
1 in 2.6
on average A pick at 39% is expected to miss about 6 times in 10. One match does not judge a model. The record across every settled match does.
See the full record
Both teams to score
Yes56.1%
No43.9%
Total goals · 2.5
Over 2.558.2%
Under 2.541.8%
How much we know
Transvaal history16 matches
Broki history30 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news
Your calls on this match
Made on this device before kickoff, compared with the result.
Life of this match
Every step is time-stamped, from first prediction to settled result.
- Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 10 h ahead2 Nov · 08:51 UTC
- Re-published 2 more timesThe numbers did not changeLatest 2 Nov · 20:35 UTC
- Kickoff8 Nov · 19:30 UTC
- Full time: 0–1One of our three picks hit
- Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC
Share this result
A picture made for this match: teams, our probabilities and the verified stamp. Works in chats and on social.
The card keeps the pre-match numbers. A miss is shared as plainly as a hit.
How reliable are picks like this?
Across 16,809 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 39.9% · said 37.7% · n 2,949
40–49% Won 45.3% · said 44.8% · n 6,860
50–59% Won 55.6% · said 54.4% · n 4,146
60–69% Won 63.9% · said 64.4% · n 2,031
70–79% Won 76.5% · said 73.9% · n 646
80%+ Won 83.1% · said 84.5% · n 177
This pick sits in the 33–39% band (38.6%). Picks in that band won 39.9% of the time, and the model said 37.7% on average, over 2,949 matches.
Why Broki are the pick
Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.
-
Transvaal are rated 56 Elo points higher
Elo 1,530 against 1,474. On rating alone Transvaal would be expected to take 58% of the points on offer.
-
Scoring rates are level
1.50 goals a game over 16 matches for Transvaal, against 1.53 over 30 for Broki.
-
Transvaal concede fewer
Transvaal concede 1.00 a game, Broki 1.87.
-
Broki games more often go over 2.5 goals
50% of Transvaal matches, against 63% for Broki. The model puts this match at 58% for over 2.5.
These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.
Compare the two teams
Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.
Match history used: up to 7 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Broki@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals 100
1530.4
ELO
1474.1
16
ELO · Matches
30
1530.4
Current Team ELO
1474.1
1474.1
Current Opponent ELO
1530.4
56.26
Current ELO Difference
-56.26
0.58
Expected score
0.42
16
History Matches
30
0.08
Residual Mean
-0.05
53.63
Overperformance
47.20
-0.05
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.23
Recent form16 signals 160
5
Matches
5
1.60
PPG
1.60
2.20
Goals for per game
2.00
1.20
Goals against per game
1.00
40.0%
Win rate
40.0%
10
Matches
10
1.30
PPG
1.80
1.50
Goals for per game
2.20
1.40
Goals against per game
1.30
30.0%
Win rate
50.0%
1.50
Recent 10 Goals Mean
2.20
1.43
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.17
1.40
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.30
1.43
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.19
0.99
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.94
2.17
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.51
Overall performance9 signals 90
16
Matches
30
1.69
PPG
1.03
43.8%
Win rate
26.7%
37.5%
Draw rate
23.3%
18.8%
Loss rate
50.0%
68.8%
Over 1.5 rate
73.3%
50.0%
Over 2.5 rate
63.3%
31.3%
Over 3.5 rate
43.3%
1.97
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.47
Venue performance10 signals 100
7
Matches
16
1.14
PPG
1.19
14.3%
Win rate
31.3%
71.4%
Draw rate
25.0%
14.3%
Loss rate
43.8%
71.4%
Over 1.5 rate
68.8%
28.6%
Over 2.5 rate
56.3%
28.6%
Over 3.5 rate
31.3%
1.67
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.85
7
History Matches
16
Scoring & attack16 signals 160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
1.50
Goals for per game
1.53
75.0%
Scoring rate
66.7%
50.0%
BTTS rate
53.3%
1.29
Goals for per game
1.38
71.4%
Scoring rate
68.8%
57.1%
BTTS rate
50.0%
16
History Matches
30
1.50
Goals Mean
1.53
1.37
Goals Std
1.52
75.0%
Scored 1+ rate
66.7%
37.5%
Scored 2+ rate
40.0%
18.8%
Scored 3+ rate
30.0%
1.29
Venue Goals Mean
1.38
Defense & conceding12 signals 120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
1.00
Goals against per game
1.87
56.3%
Conceding rate
76.7%
1.00
Goals against per game
1.31
57.1%
Conceding rate
75.0%
16
History Matches
30
1.00
Conceded Mean
1.87
1.27
Conceded Std
1.87
18.8%
Conceded 2+ rate
46.7%
12.5%
Conceded 3+ rate
30.0%
1.00
Venue Conceded Mean
1.31
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
43.8%
Clean-sheet rate
23.3%
25.0%
Failed-to-score rate
33.3%
42.9%
Clean-sheet rate
25.0%
28.6%
Failed-to-score rate
31.3%
43.8%
Clean-sheet rate
23.3%
25.0%
Failed-to-score rate
33.3%
42.9%
Clean-sheet rate
25.0%
28.6%
Failed-to-score rate
31.3%
43.8%
Clean-sheet rate
23.3%
Volatility & stability4 signals 40
16
History Matches
30
0.95
Result entropy
0.95
1.97
Goal Difference Std
2.47
5.03
Stability score
5.46
Halftime resilience7 signals 70
13
Eligible Matches
21
3
Lead Matches
5
100.0%
Lead Win Rate
60.0%
1.00
Lead Points Retention
0.67
2
Trailing Matches
8
0.0%
Non-loss rate
12.5%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals 50
13
Halftime Coverage Matches
21
0.46
First Half Goals For Mean
0.76
0.38
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.95
0.85
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.81
0.54
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.90
Rest & schedule9 signals 90
217.0
Rest days
93.90
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
2
—
Short Rest Points Per Match
2.00
4
Normal Rest History Matches
9
2.00
Normal Rest Points Per Match
0.78
11
Long Rest History Matches
18
1.45
Long Rest Points Per Match
0.94
Competition & season17 signals 170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
2
Competition Season Count
3
2
Eligible Competition Season Count
2
0.37
Portability PPG Std
0.39
0.75
Portability PPG Range
0.79
57.29
Portability Score
56.00
Odds & market11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal 10
16
Clean History Matches
30
Matchup differences86 signals 086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO56.26
PPG0.65
GF-0.03
GA-0.87
PPG-0.04
PPG0.00
PPG-0.50
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-14
Clean-sheet rate20.4%
Failed-to-score rate-0.08
History Matches-9
Clean-sheet rate17.9%
Failed-to-score rate-0.03
History Matches-14
Goals Mean-0.03
Goals Std-0.15
Scored 1+ rate8.3%
Scored 2+ rate-0.03
Scored 3+ rate-0.11
Venue Goals Mean-0.09
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.70
Recent 10 Goals Std0.27
History Matches-14
Conceded Mean-0.87
Conceded Std-0.60
Clean-sheet rate20.4%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.28
Conceded 3+ rate-0.18
Venue Conceded Mean-0.31
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.10
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.24
History Matches-14
Result entropy0.00
Goal Difference Std-0.50
Stability score-0.43
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.05
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.65
Eligible Matches-8
Lead Matches-2
Lead Win Rate40.0%
Lead Points Retention0.33
Trailing Matches-6
Non-loss rate-0.13
Trailing Win Rate0.0%
Halftime Coverage Matches-8
First Half Goals For Mean-0.30
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.57
Second Half Goals For Mean0.04
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.37
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count-1
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Portability PPG Std-0.02
Portability PPG Range-0.04
Portability Score1.29
Rest days123.1
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-2
Normal Rest History Matches-5
Normal Rest Points Per Match1.22
Long Rest History Matches-7
Long Rest Points Per Match0.51
Current Team ELO56.26
Current Opponent ELO-56.26
Current ELO Difference112.5
Expected score0.16
History Matches-14
Residual Mean0.13
Overperformance6.43
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.28
Latest results, with our pick
Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.
Transvaal
W
Coronie Boys0–3Transvaal4 Nov · away
Pick: Transvaal 36% · hit W
Transvaal3–0PVV24 Oct · home
Pick: Transvaal 50% · hit W
Flora0–1Transvaal17 Oct · away
Pick: Transvaal 53% · hit Earlier results appear as match history is added
Broki
W
FC Inter Wanica0–3Broki1 Nov · away
Pick: Broki 64% · hit D
Flora0–0Broki24 Oct · away
Pick: Broki 56% · missed L
Robin Hood3–0Broki18 Oct · away
Pick: Robin Hood 51% · hit D
Broki1–1Voorwaarts14 Oct · home
Pick: Broki 43% · missed Earlier results appear as match history is added
Match report
Transvaal and Broki finished 0–1 in Eerste Divisie on Sunday 8 November 2026. It was 0–0 at half time. ScoreProb published its prediction on 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC, before kickoff: Transvaal win 35.3%, draw 26.1%, Broki win 38.6%. One of the three picks hit.
Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.