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1. Liga Classic - Group 1 Switzerland Group 1 - 14 2026

Vevey Sports vs Naters

Vevey Sports Home · Elo 1,281
Sat 14 Nov
UTC
Not started
Naters Away · Elo 1,489
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Naters win
Vevey Sports win
14.3%
Draw
12.4%
Naters winPick
73.4%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes59.8%
No40.2%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.577.2%
Under 2.522.8%

How much we know

Vevey Sports history56 matches
Naters history50 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 7 h ahead
    8 Nov · 08:45 UTC
  2. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    14 Nov · 16:30 UTC
  3. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  4. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 16,809 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 39.9% · said 37.7% · n 2,949
40–49% Won 45.3% · said 44.8% · n 6,860
50–59% Won 55.6% · said 54.4% · n 4,146
60–69% Won 63.9% · said 64.4% · n 2,031
70–79% Won 76.5% · said 73.9% · n 646
80%+ Won 83.1% · said 84.5% · n 177
This pick sits in the 70–79% band (73.4%). Picks in that band won 76.5% of the time, and the model said 73.9% on average, over 646 matches.

Why Naters are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Naters are rated 208 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,489 against 1,281. On rating alone Naters would be expected to take 77% of the points on offer.

  • Naters score far more

    1.02 goals a game over 56 matches for Vevey Sports, against 1.88 over 50 for Naters.

  • Naters concede fewer

    Vevey Sports concede 2.89 a game, Naters 1.98.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    73% of Vevey Sports matches, against 76% for Naters. The model puts this match at 77% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 23 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Vevey Sports
Naters@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1281.0
ELO
1489.1
56
ELO · Matches
50
1281.0
Current Team ELO
1489.1
1489.1
Current Opponent ELO
1281.0
-208.1
Current ELO Difference
208.1
0.23
Expected score
0.77
56
History Matches
50
-0.19
Residual Mean
-0.02
35.82
Overperformance
48.72
-0.25
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.05
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
0.00
PPG
2.20
0.80
Goals for per game
3.40
3.20
Goals against per game
2.40
0.0%
Win rate
60.0%
10
Matches
10
0.00
PPG
1.40
1.00
Goals for per game
2.70
4.40
Goals against per game
3.20
0.0%
Win rate
40.0%
1.00
Recent 10 Goals Mean
2.70
0.89
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.55
4.40
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
3.20
2.01
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.83
0.00
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.96
2.33
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.20
Overall performance9 signals
90
56
Matches
50
0.46
PPG
1.28
8.9%
Win rate
34.0%
19.6%
Draw rate
26.0%
71.4%
Loss rate
40.0%
89.3%
Over 1.5 rate
92.0%
73.2%
Over 2.5 rate
76.0%
53.6%
Over 3.5 rate
56.0%
2.15
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.02
Venue performance10 signals
100
28
Matches
27
0.64
PPG
1.22
14.3%
Win rate
33.3%
21.4%
Draw rate
22.2%
64.3%
Loss rate
44.4%
85.7%
Over 1.5 rate
88.9%
60.7%
Over 2.5 rate
81.5%
42.9%
Over 3.5 rate
59.3%
1.30
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.18
28
History Matches
27
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.02
Goals for per game
1.88
66.1%
Scoring rate
90.0%
64.3%
BTTS rate
74.0%
1.11
Goals for per game
1.85
71.4%
Scoring rate
85.2%
67.9%
BTTS rate
70.4%
1.33
Goals for per game
2.67
66.7%
Scoring rate
100.0%
66.7%
BTTS rate
100.0%
56
History Matches
50
1.02
Goals Mean
1.88
0.97
Goals Std
1.27
66.1%
Scored 1+ rate
90.0%
25.0%
Scored 2+ rate
54.0%
8.9%
Scored 3+ rate
28.0%
1.11
Venue Goals Mean
1.85
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
2.89
Goals against per game
1.98
94.6%
Conceding rate
84.0%
2.07
Goals against per game
2.33
92.9%
Conceding rate
85.2%
3.67
Goals against per game
2.33
100.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
56
History Matches
50
2.89
Conceded Mean
1.98
1.93
Conceded Std
1.50
76.8%
Conceded 2+ rate
54.0%
51.8%
Conceded 3+ rate
34.0%
2.07
Venue Conceded Mean
2.33
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
5.4%
Clean-sheet rate
16.0%
33.9%
Failed-to-score rate
10.0%
7.1%
Clean-sheet rate
14.8%
28.6%
Failed-to-score rate
14.8%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
33.3%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
5.4%
Clean-sheet rate
16.0%
33.9%
Failed-to-score rate
10.0%
7.1%
Clean-sheet rate
14.8%
28.6%
Failed-to-score rate
14.8%
5.4%
Clean-sheet rate
16.0%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
56
History Matches
50
0.71
Result entropy
0.99
2.15
Goal Difference Std
2.02
29.39
Stability score
1.37
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
53
Eligible Matches
42
8
Lead Matches
13
25.0%
Lead Win Rate
61.5%
0.50
Lead Points Retention
0.69
34
Trailing Matches
16
2.9%
Non-loss rate
25.0%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
6.3%
Goal timing5 signals
50
53
Halftime Coverage Matches
42
0.42
First Half Goals For Mean
0.83
1.45
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.83
0.58
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.83
1.47
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.98
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
84.04
Rest days
83.15
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
3
Short Rest History Matches
2
0.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
0.00
31
Normal Rest History Matches
28
0.52
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.46
21
Long Rest History Matches
19
0.48
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.21
Competition & season17 signals
170
3
Matches
3
0.00
PPG
1.67
0.0%
Win rate
33.3%
0.0%
Draw rate
66.7%
100.0%
Loss rate
0.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
100.0%
Over 2.5 rate
66.7%
100.0%
Over 3.5 rate
66.7%
1.25
Goal difference · Standard deviation
0.47
3
Current Competition Matches
3
0.00
Current Competition PPG
1.67
-2.33
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
0.33
6
Competition Season Count
5
3
Eligible Competition Season Count
3
0.46
Portability PPG Std
0.17
1.06
Portability PPG Range
0.40
52.32
Portability Score
75.04
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
56
Clean History Matches
50
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO-208.1
PPG-0.82
GF-0.86
GA0.91
PPG-1.67
PPG-0.58
PPG-2.20
PPG-1.40
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches6
Clean-sheet rate-0.11
Failed-to-score rate23.9%
History Matches1
Clean-sheet rate-0.08
Failed-to-score rate13.8%
History Matches6
Goals Mean-0.86
Goals Std-0.30
Scored 1+ rate-0.24
Scored 2+ rate-0.29
Scored 3+ rate-0.19
Venue Goals Mean-0.74
Recent 10 Goals Mean-1.70
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.66
History Matches6
Conceded Mean0.91
Conceded Std0.43
Clean-sheet rate-0.11
Conceded 2+ rate22.8%
Conceded 3+ rate17.8%
Venue Conceded Mean-0.26
Recent 10 Conceded Mean1.20
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.18
History Matches6
Result entropy-0.28
Goal Difference Std0.12
Stability score28.02
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.96
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.13
Eligible Matches11
Lead Matches-5
Lead Win Rate-0.37
Lead Points Retention-0.19
Trailing Matches18
Non-loss rate-0.22
Trailing Win Rate-0.06
Halftime Coverage Matches11
First Half Goals For Mean-0.42
First Half Goals Against Mean0.62
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.25
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.50
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG-1.67
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean-2.67
Competition Season Count1
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Portability PPG Std0.29
Portability PPG Range0.66
Portability Score-22.72
Rest days0.90
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches1
Short Rest Points Per Match0.00
Normal Rest History Matches3
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.95
Long Rest History Matches2
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.73
Current Team ELO-208.1
Current Opponent ELO208.1
Current ELO Difference-416.2
Expected score-0.54
History Matches6
Residual Mean-0.17
Overperformance-12.89
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.30

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Vevey Sports

L
La Chaux-de-Fonds1–0Vevey Sports7 Nov · away
Pick: La Chaux-de-Fonds 77% · hit
L
Vevey Sports2–3Monthey31 Oct · home
Pick: Monthey 81% · hit
L
Coffrane5–1Vevey Sports25 Oct · away
Pick: Coffrane 74% · hit
L
Münsingen6–1Vevey Sports18 Oct · away
Pick: Münsingen 60% · hit
L
Lancy2–1Vevey Sports29 Aug · away
Pick: Lancy 82% · hit

Naters

L
Naters1–2Portalban / Gletterens7 Nov · home
Pick: Naters 38% · missed
L
Sion II3–1Naters31 Oct · away
Pick: Sion II 49% · hit
W
Naters2–1Lancy24 Oct · home
Pick: Naters 40% · hit
W
Naters3–2La Chaux-de-Fonds17 Oct · home
Pick: Naters 44% · hit
L
Monthey3–1Naters29 Aug · away
Pick: Monthey 45% · hit

About this match

Vevey Sports and Naters meet in 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 on Saturday 14 November 2026, kickoff 16:30 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC: Vevey Sports win 14.3%, draw 12.4%, Naters win 73.4%. The pick is Naters win. Over 2.5 goals: 77.2%. Both teams to score: 59.8%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.