Vojvodina vs FK Crvena Zvezda
Match result probability Model pick: FK Crvena Zvezda win
Vojvodina win
21.3%
Draw
21.1%
FK Crvena Zvezda winPick
57.6%
At kickoff this becomes the match centre
Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.
Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live stats · shots, possession, corners, side by side
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect
Both teams to score
Yes55.2%
No44.8%
Total goals · 2.5
Over 2.562.9%
Under 2.537.1%
How much we know
Vojvodina history77 matches
FK Crvena Zvezda history100 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news
Your call
Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.
Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score
Match result: ours FK Crvena Zvezda
Over / under 2.5: ours Over
Both teams to score: ours Yes
Life of this match
One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.
- Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 8 h ahead1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
- Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not changeLatest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
- Lineups appearAbout an hour before kickoff, where the competition provides them. This prediction does not use lineups.≈ 16:00 UTC
- KickoffThis page becomes the match centre7 Nov · 17:00 UTC
- Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
- Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC
How reliable are picks like this?
Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 50–59% band (57.6%). Picks in that band won 55.8% of the time, and the model said 54.4% on average, over 3,719 matches.
Why FK Crvena Zvezda are the pick
Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.
-
FK Crvena Zvezda are rated 89 Elo points higher
Elo 1,711 against 1,622. On rating alone FK Crvena Zvezda would be expected to take 63% of the points on offer.
-
FK Crvena Zvezda score far more
1.58 goals a game over 77 matches for Vojvodina, against 2.45 over 100 for FK Crvena Zvezda.
-
FK Crvena Zvezda concede fewer
Vojvodina concede 1.22 a game, FK Crvena Zvezda 0.98.
-
FK Crvena Zvezda games more often go over 2.5 goals
57% of Vojvodina matches, against 68% for FK Crvena Zvezda. The model puts this match at 63% for over 2.5.
These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.
Compare the two teams
Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.
Match history used: up to 24 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
FK Crvena Zvezda@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals 100
1622.0
ELO
1711.3
77
ELO · Matches
100
1622.0
Current Team ELO
1711.3
1711.3
Current Opponent ELO
1622.0
-89.33
Current ELO Difference
89.33
0.37
Expected score
0.63
77
History Matches
100
0.07
Residual Mean
0.10
55.69
Overperformance
58.55
-0.15
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.02
Recent form16 signals 160
5
Matches
5
1.80
PPG
1.80
1.20
Goals for per game
2.20
1.40
Goals against per game
0.60
60.0%
Win rate
60.0%
10
Matches
10
1.20
PPG
1.90
1.30
Goals for per game
2.60
1.90
Goals against per game
0.90
40.0%
Win rate
60.0%
1.30
Recent 10 Goals Mean
2.60
1.10
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.80
1.90
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
0.90
1.51
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.04
0.61
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.82
2.33
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.65
Overall performance9 signals 90
77
Matches
100
1.75
PPG
2.23
51.9%
Win rate
69.0%
19.5%
Draw rate
16.0%
28.6%
Loss rate
15.0%
75.3%
Over 1.5 rate
85.0%
57.1%
Over 2.5 rate
68.0%
35.1%
Over 3.5 rate
44.0%
1.86
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.97
Venue performance10 signals 100
36
Matches
49
1.81
PPG
2.16
52.8%
Win rate
67.3%
22.2%
Draw rate
14.3%
25.0%
Loss rate
18.4%
75.0%
Over 1.5 rate
79.6%
55.6%
Over 2.5 rate
65.3%
36.1%
Over 3.5 rate
36.7%
2.03
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.72
36
History Matches
49
Scoring & attack16 signals 160
1.58
Goals for per game
2.45
77.9%
Scoring rate
89.0%
53.2%
BTTS rate
56.0%
1.69
Goals for per game
2.04
75.0%
Scoring rate
83.7%
41.7%
BTTS rate
53.1%
1.67
Goals for per game
3.50
83.3%
Scoring rate
100.0%
33.3%
BTTS rate
25.0%
77
History Matches
100
1.58
Goals Mean
2.45
1.26
Goals Std
1.65
77.9%
Scored 1+ rate
89.0%
46.8%
Scored 2+ rate
68.0%
23.4%
Scored 3+ rate
44.0%
1.69
Venue Goals Mean
2.04
Defense & conceding12 signals 120
1.22
Goals against per game
0.98
66.2%
Conceding rate
64.0%
1.11
Goals against per game
1.06
52.8%
Conceding rate
63.3%
1.00
Goals against per game
0.25
50.0%
Conceding rate
25.0%
77
History Matches
100
1.22
Conceded Mean
0.98
1.23
Conceded Std
0.96
29.9%
Conceded 2+ rate
24.0%
19.5%
Conceded 3+ rate
9.0%
1.11
Venue Conceded Mean
1.06
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals 110
33.8%
Clean-sheet rate
36.0%
22.1%
Failed-to-score rate
11.0%
47.2%
Clean-sheet rate
36.7%
25.0%
Failed-to-score rate
16.3%
50.0%
Clean-sheet rate
75.0%
16.7%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
33.8%
Clean-sheet rate
36.0%
22.1%
Failed-to-score rate
11.0%
47.2%
Clean-sheet rate
36.7%
25.0%
Failed-to-score rate
16.3%
33.8%
Clean-sheet rate
36.0%
Volatility & stability4 signals 40
77
History Matches
100
0.93
Result entropy
0.76
1.86
Goal Difference Std
1.97
7.45
Stability score
24.10
Halftime resilience7 signals 70
76
Eligible Matches
100
23
Lead Matches
58
87.0%
Lead Win Rate
91.4%
0.90
Lead Points Retention
0.94
23
Trailing Matches
16
30.4%
Non-loss rate
43.8%
17.4%
Trailing Win Rate
25.0%
Goal timing5 signals 50
76
Halftime Coverage Matches
100
0.63
First Half Goals For Mean
1.12
0.57
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.41
0.96
Second Half Goals For Mean
1.33
0.66
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.57
Rest & schedule9 signals 90
75.92
Rest days
76.00
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
6
Short Rest History Matches
15
1.50
Short Rest Points Per Match
2.33
46
Normal Rest History Matches
65
1.83
Normal Rest Points Per Match
2.17
24
Long Rest History Matches
19
1.71
Long Rest Points Per Match
2.32
Competition & season17 signals 170
6
Matches
4
2.00
PPG
3.00
66.7%
Win rate
100.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
33.3%
Loss rate
0.0%
83.3%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
50.0%
Over 2.5 rate
75.0%
33.3%
Over 3.5 rate
75.0%
2.13
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.30
6
Current Competition Matches
4
2.00
Current Competition PPG
3.00
0.67
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
3.25
8
Competition Season Count
11
6
Eligible Competition Season Count
10
0.25
Portability PPG Std
0.53
0.70
Portability PPG Range
1.50
66.24
Portability Score
48.55
Odds & market11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal 10
77
Clean History Matches
100
Matchup differences86 signals 086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO-89.33
PPG-0.48
GF-0.87
GA0.24
PPG-1.00
PPG-0.36
PPG0.00
PPG-0.70
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-23
Clean-sheet rate-0.02
Failed-to-score rate11.1%
History Matches-13
Clean-sheet rate10.5%
Failed-to-score rate8.7%
History Matches-23
Goals Mean-0.87
Goals Std-0.39
Scored 1+ rate-0.11
Scored 2+ rate-0.21
Scored 3+ rate-0.21
Venue Goals Mean-0.35
Recent 10 Goals Mean-1.30
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.70
History Matches-23
Conceded Mean0.24
Conceded Std0.28
Clean-sheet rate-0.02
Conceded 2+ rate5.9%
Conceded 3+ rate10.5%
Venue Conceded Mean0.05
Recent 10 Conceded Mean1.00
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.47
History Matches-23
Result entropy0.17
Goal Difference Std-0.10
Stability score-16.66
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.20
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.32
Eligible Matches-24
Lead Matches-35
Lead Win Rate-0.04
Lead Points Retention-0.04
Trailing Matches7
Non-loss rate-0.13
Trailing Win Rate-0.08
Halftime Coverage Matches-24
First Half Goals For Mean-0.49
First Half Goals Against Mean0.16
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.37
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.09
Current Competition Matches2
Current Competition PPG-1.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean-2.58
Competition Season Count-3
Eligible Competition Season Count-4
Portability PPG Std-0.28
Portability PPG Range-0.80
Portability Score17.69
Rest days-0.08
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-9
Short Rest Points Per Match-0.83
Normal Rest History Matches-19
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.34
Long Rest History Matches5
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.61
Current Team ELO-89.33
Current Opponent ELO89.33
Current ELO Difference-178.7
Expected score-0.25
History Matches-23
Residual Mean-0.03
Overperformance-2.86
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.17
Latest results, with our pick
Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.
Vojvodina
W
OFK Beograd0–2Vojvodina1 Nov · away
Pick: Vojvodina 48% · hit L
Sloven Ruma1–0Vojvodina28 Oct · away
Pick: Vojvodina 39% · missed D
Mladost Lucani1–1Vojvodina24 Oct · away
Pick: Mladost Lucani 38% · missed W
Cukaricki0–5Vojvodina29 Aug · away
Pick: Cukaricki 47% · missed Earlier results appear as match history is added
FK Crvena Zvezda
W
Jedinstvo Ub1–5FK Crvena Zvezda28 Oct · away
Pick: FK Crvena Zvezda 63% · hit D
FK Crvena Zvezda2–2FC Copenhagen22 Oct · home
Pick: FK Crvena Zvezda 47% · missed L
FC Lugano3–2FK Crvena Zvezda15 Oct · away
Pick: FK Crvena Zvezda 47% · missed W
Zemun0–2FK Crvena Zvezda30 Aug · away
Pick: FK Crvena Zvezda 61% · hit Earlier results appear as match history is added
About this match
Vojvodina and FK Crvena Zvezda meet in Super Liga on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 17:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Vojvodina win 21.3%, draw 21.1%, FK Crvena Zvezda win 57.6%. The pick is FK Crvena Zvezda win. Over 2.5 goals: 62.9%. Both teams to score: 55.2%.
Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.