ScoreProb
U19 Bundesliga Germany Preliminary 2026

Wolfsburg U19 vs Hannover 96 U19

Wolfsburg U19 Home · Elo 1,624
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Hannover 96 U19 Away · Elo 1,585
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Wolfsburg U19 win
Wolfsburg U19 winPick
52.7%
Draw
17.9%
Hannover 96 U19 win
29.4%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes65.6%
No34.4%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.576.2%
Under 2.523.8%

How much we know

Wolfsburg U19 history46 matches
Hannover 96 U19 history38 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 3 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 12:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 50–59% band (52.7%). Picks in that band won 55.8% of the time, and the model said 54.4% on average, over 3,719 matches.

Why Wolfsburg U19 are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Wolfsburg U19 are rated 39 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,624 against 1,585. On rating alone Wolfsburg U19 would be expected to take 56% of the points on offer.

  • Scoring rates are level

    2.67 goals a game over 46 matches for Wolfsburg U19, against 2.58 over 38 for Hannover 96 U19.

  • Wolfsburg U19 concede fewer

    Wolfsburg U19 concede 1.28 a game, Hannover 96 U19 1.97.

  • Hannover 96 U19 games more often go over 2.5 goals

    74% of Wolfsburg U19 matches, against 92% for Hannover 96 U19. The model puts this match at 76% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 22 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Wolfsburg U19
Hannover 96 U19
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1624.2
ELO
1585.4
46
ELO · Matches
38
1624.2
Current Team ELO
1585.4
1585.4
Current Opponent ELO
1624.2
38.77
Current ELO Difference
-38.77
0.56
Expected score
0.44
46
History Matches
38
0.14
Residual Mean
0.11
59.59
Overperformance
57.09
0.11
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.31
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
2.40
PPG
2.40
3.20
Goals for per game
3.80
1.20
Goals against per game
1.80
80.0%
Win rate
80.0%
10
Matches
10
2.10
PPG
2.40
2.80
Goals for per game
3.50
2.10
Goals against per game
1.90
70.0%
Win rate
80.0%
2.80
Recent 10 Goals Mean
3.50
1.78
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.28
2.10
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.90
1.70
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.30
0.56
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.46
2.83
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.11
Overall performance9 signals
90
46
Matches
38
2.00
PPG
1.71
63.0%
Win rate
52.6%
10.9%
Draw rate
13.2%
26.1%
Loss rate
34.2%
89.1%
Over 1.5 rate
97.4%
73.9%
Over 2.5 rate
92.1%
52.2%
Over 3.5 rate
63.2%
2.83
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.50
Venue performance10 signals
100
24
Matches
20
1.96
PPG
1.60
58.3%
Win rate
45.0%
20.8%
Draw rate
25.0%
20.8%
Loss rate
30.0%
87.5%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
70.8%
Over 2.5 rate
90.0%
50.0%
Over 3.5 rate
65.0%
3.03
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.09
24
History Matches
20
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
2.67
Goals for per game
2.58
84.8%
Scoring rate
94.7%
54.3%
BTTS rate
84.2%
2.58
Goals for per game
2.35
83.3%
Scoring rate
100.0%
54.2%
BTTS rate
95.0%
2.50
Goals for per game
3.25
100.0%
Scoring rate
100.0%
75.0%
BTTS rate
75.0%
46
History Matches
38
2.67
Goals Mean
2.58
2.14
Goals Std
1.73
84.8%
Scored 1+ rate
94.7%
69.6%
Scored 2+ rate
68.4%
43.5%
Scored 3+ rate
42.1%
2.58
Venue Goals Mean
2.35
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.28
Goals against per game
1.97
63.0%
Conceding rate
89.5%
1.13
Goals against per game
2.10
58.3%
Conceding rate
95.0%
1.50
Goals against per game
1.75
75.0%
Conceding rate
75.0%
46
History Matches
38
1.28
Conceded Mean
1.97
1.41
Conceded Std
1.39
32.6%
Conceded 2+ rate
57.9%
17.4%
Conceded 3+ rate
26.3%
1.13
Venue Conceded Mean
2.10
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
37.0%
Clean-sheet rate
10.5%
15.2%
Failed-to-score rate
5.3%
41.7%
Clean-sheet rate
5.0%
16.7%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
25.0%
Clean-sheet rate
25.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
37.0%
Clean-sheet rate
10.5%
15.2%
Failed-to-score rate
5.3%
41.7%
Clean-sheet rate
5.0%
16.7%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
37.0%
Clean-sheet rate
10.5%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
46
History Matches
38
0.80
Result entropy
0.88
2.83
Goal Difference Std
2.50
19.66
Stability score
11.56
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
46
Eligible Matches
38
20
Lead Matches
19
95.0%
Lead Win Rate
89.5%
0.95
Lead Points Retention
0.93
11
Trailing Matches
12
27.3%
Non-loss rate
16.7%
18.2%
Trailing Win Rate
8.3%
Goal timing5 signals
50
46
Halftime Coverage Matches
38
1.00
First Half Goals For Mean
1.24
0.63
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.84
1.67
Second Half Goals For Mean
1.34
0.65
Second Half Goals Against Mean
1.13
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
77.04
Rest days
77.04
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
3
Short Rest History Matches
1
0.33
Short Rest Points Per Match
3.00
23
Normal Rest History Matches
15
2.43
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.60
19
Long Rest History Matches
21
1.84
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.76
Competition & season17 signals
170
4
Matches
4
2.25
PPG
2.25
75.0%
Win rate
75.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
25.0%
Loss rate
25.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
75.0%
Over 2.5 rate
100.0%
50.0%
Over 3.5 rate
75.0%
1.87
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.50
4
Current Competition Matches
4
2.25
Current Competition PPG
2.25
1.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
1.50
6
Competition Season Count
5
4
Eligible Competition Season Count
3
0.50
Portability PPG Std
0.53
1.21
Portability PPG Range
1.25
49.90
Portability Score
48.38
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
46
Clean History Matches
38
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO38.77
PPG0.29
GF0.09
GA-0.69
PPG0.00
PPG0.36
PPG0.00
PPG-0.30
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches8
Clean-sheet rate26.4%
Failed-to-score rate10.0%
History Matches4
Clean-sheet rate36.7%
Failed-to-score rate16.7%
History Matches8
Goals Mean0.09
Goals Std0.41
Scored 1+ rate-0.10
Scored 2+ rate1.1%
Scored 3+ rate1.4%
Venue Goals Mean0.23
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.70
Recent 10 Goals Std0.49
History Matches8
Conceded Mean-0.69
Conceded Std0.02
Clean-sheet rate26.4%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.25
Conceded 3+ rate-0.09
Venue Conceded Mean-0.98
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.20
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.40
History Matches8
Result entropy-0.08
Goal Difference Std0.33
Stability score8.10
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.10
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.72
Eligible Matches8
Lead Matches1
Lead Win Rate5.5%
Lead Points Retention0.02
Trailing Matches-1
Non-loss rate10.6%
Trailing Win Rate9.8%
Halftime Coverage Matches8
First Half Goals For Mean-0.24
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.21
Second Half Goals For Mean0.33
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.48
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG0.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean-0.50
Competition Season Count1
Eligible Competition Season Count1
Portability PPG Std-0.03
Portability PPG Range-0.04
Portability Score1.52
Rest days0.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches2
Short Rest Points Per Match-2.67
Normal Rest History Matches8
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.83
Long Rest History Matches-2
Long Rest Points Per Match0.08
Current Team ELO38.77
Current Opponent ELO-38.77
Current ELO Difference77.54
Expected score0.11
History Matches8
Residual Mean0.03
Overperformance2.50
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.20

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Wolfsburg U19

W
Preußen Münster U190–1Wolfsburg U1931 Oct · away
Pick: Preußen Münster U19 39% · missed
L
Paderborn U193–2Wolfsburg U1924 Oct · away
Pick: Wolfsburg U19 56% · missed
W
Wolfsburg U197–0Meppen U1917 Oct · home
Pick: Wolfsburg U19 70% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Hannover 96 U19

W
Hannover 96 U197–0Paderborn U1930 Oct · home
Pick: Hannover 96 U19 55% · hit
W
Hannover 96 U194–1Havelse U1918 Oct · home
Pick: Hannover 96 U19 75% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Wolfsburg U19 and Hannover 96 U19 meet in U19 Bundesliga on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 12:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Wolfsburg U19 win 52.7%, draw 17.9%, Hannover 96 U19 win 29.4%. The pick is Wolfsburg U19 win. Over 2.5 goals: 76.2%. Both teams to score: 65.6%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.