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Supreme Division Women Russia Round 26 2026

Yenisey W vs Zenit W

Yenisey W Home · Elo 1,305
Sat 14 Nov
UTC
Not started
Zenit W Away · Elo 1,655
Football Arena Yenisei, Krasnoyarsk Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Zenit W win
Yenisey W win
4.5%
Draw
9.8%
Zenit W winPick
85.6%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes32.4%
No67.6%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.562.0%
Under 2.538.0%

How much we know

Yenisey W history38 matches
Zenit W history38 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 1 h ahead
    8 Nov · 08:45 UTC
  2. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    14 Nov · 10:00 UTC
  3. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  4. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 16,809 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 39.9% · said 37.7% · n 2,949
40–49% Won 45.3% · said 44.8% · n 6,860
50–59% Won 55.6% · said 54.4% · n 4,146
60–69% Won 63.9% · said 64.4% · n 2,031
70–79% Won 76.5% · said 73.9% · n 646
80%+ Won 83.1% · said 84.5% · n 177
This pick sits in the 80%+ band (85.6%). Picks in that band won 83.1% of the time, and the model said 84.5% on average, over 177 matches. This band has few matches, so treat the figures with care.

Why Zenit W are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Zenit W are rated 350 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,655 against 1,305. On rating alone Zenit W would be expected to take 88% of the points on offer.

  • Zenit W score far more

    0.37 goals a game over 38 matches for Yenisey W, against 2.29 over 38 for Zenit W.

  • Zenit W concede fewer

    Yenisey W concede 2.68 a game, Zenit W 0.47.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    55% of Yenisey W matches, against 55% for Zenit W. The model puts this match at 62% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 8 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Yenisey W
Zenit W@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1304.9
ELO
1655.1
38
ELO · Matches
38
1304.9
Current Team ELO
1655.1
1655.1
Current Opponent ELO
1304.9
-350.2
Current ELO Difference
350.2
0.12
Expected score
0.88
38
History Matches
38
-0.26
Residual Mean
0.20
33.24
Overperformance
63.02
-0.15
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.21
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
0.20
PPG
2.60
0.40
Goals for per game
2.60
3.20
Goals against per game
0.40
0.0%
Win rate
80.0%
10
Matches
10
0.20
PPG
2.60
0.30
Goals for per game
2.60
2.50
Goals against per game
0.40
0.0%
Win rate
80.0%
0.30
Recent 10 Goals Mean
2.60
0.64
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.36
2.50
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
0.40
1.57
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.49
0.46
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.46
1.72
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.54
Overall performance9 signals
90
38
Matches
38
0.21
PPG
2.37
2.6%
Win rate
73.7%
13.2%
Draw rate
15.8%
84.2%
Loss rate
10.5%
71.1%
Over 1.5 rate
68.4%
55.3%
Over 2.5 rate
55.3%
34.2%
Over 3.5 rate
36.8%
2.10
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.98
Venue performance10 signals
100
18
Matches
19
0.17
PPG
2.26
0.0%
Win rate
68.4%
16.7%
Draw rate
21.1%
83.3%
Loss rate
10.5%
66.7%
Over 1.5 rate
68.4%
55.6%
Over 2.5 rate
52.6%
27.8%
Over 3.5 rate
31.6%
1.37
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.83
18
History Matches
19
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
0.37
Goals for per game
2.29
28.9%
Scoring rate
84.2%
26.3%
BTTS rate
31.6%
0.44
Goals for per game
2.11
38.9%
Scoring rate
78.9%
38.9%
BTTS rate
26.3%
0.40
Goals for per game
2.71
33.3%
Scoring rate
92.9%
33.3%
BTTS rate
35.7%
38
History Matches
38
0.37
Goals Mean
2.29
0.62
Goals Std
1.72
28.9%
Scored 1+ rate
84.2%
7.9%
Scored 2+ rate
57.9%
0.0%
Scored 3+ rate
44.7%
0.44
Venue Goals Mean
2.11
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
2.68
Goals against per game
0.47
89.5%
Conceding rate
36.8%
2.33
Goals against per game
0.37
88.9%
Conceding rate
31.6%
2.47
Goals against per game
0.36
86.7%
Conceding rate
35.7%
38
History Matches
38
2.68
Conceded Mean
0.47
2.03
Conceded Std
0.79
63.2%
Conceded 2+ rate
5.3%
50.0%
Conceded 3+ rate
2.6%
2.33
Venue Conceded Mean
0.37
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
10.5%
Clean-sheet rate
63.2%
71.1%
Failed-to-score rate
15.8%
11.1%
Clean-sheet rate
68.4%
61.1%
Failed-to-score rate
21.1%
13.3%
Clean-sheet rate
64.3%
66.7%
Failed-to-score rate
7.1%
10.5%
Clean-sheet rate
63.2%
71.1%
Failed-to-score rate
15.8%
11.1%
Clean-sheet rate
68.4%
61.1%
Failed-to-score rate
21.1%
10.5%
Clean-sheet rate
63.2%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
38
History Matches
38
0.46
Result entropy
0.69
2.10
Goal Difference Std
1.98
53.82
Stability score
31.42
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
38
Eligible Matches
38
2
Lead Matches
24
50.0%
Lead Win Rate
100.0%
0.50
Lead Points Retention
1.00
21
Trailing Matches
3
0.0%
Non-loss rate
33.3%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
38
Halftime Coverage Matches
38
0.21
First Half Goals For Mean
1.29
1.24
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.26
0.16
Second Half Goals For Mean
1.00
1.45
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.21
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Short Rest Points Per Match
98.17
Rest days
105.0
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
0
15
Normal Rest History Matches
16
0.27
Normal Rest Points Per Match
2.06
22
Long Rest History Matches
21
0.18
Long Rest Points Per Match
2.67
Competition & season17 signals
170
15
Matches
14
0.20
PPG
2.71
0.0%
Win rate
85.7%
20.0%
Draw rate
14.3%
80.0%
Loss rate
0.0%
73.3%
Over 1.5 rate
85.7%
60.0%
Over 2.5 rate
64.3%
40.0%
Over 3.5 rate
42.9%
1.61
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.49
15
Current Competition Matches
14
0.20
Current Competition PPG
2.71
-2.07
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
2.36
2
Competition Season Count
2
2
Eligible Competition Season Count
2
0.01
Portability PPG Std
0.27
0.02
Portability PPG Range
0.55
98.29
Portability Score
64.62
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
38
Clean History Matches
38
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO-350.2
PPG-2.16
GF-1.92
GA2.21
PPG-2.51
PPG-2.10
PPG-2.40
PPG-2.40
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches0
Clean-sheet rate-0.53
Failed-to-score rate55.3%
History Matches-1
Clean-sheet rate-0.57
Failed-to-score rate40.1%
History Matches0
Goals Mean-1.92
Goals Std-1.09
Scored 1+ rate-0.55
Scored 2+ rate-0.50
Scored 3+ rate-0.45
Venue Goals Mean-1.66
Recent 10 Goals Mean-2.30
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.72
History Matches0
Conceded Mean2.21
Conceded Std1.24
Clean-sheet rate-0.53
Conceded 2+ rate57.9%
Conceded 3+ rate47.4%
Venue Conceded Mean1.96
Recent 10 Conceded Mean2.10
Recent 10 Conceded Std1.08
History Matches0
Result entropy-0.22
Goal Difference Std0.12
Stability score22.40
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.00
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.18
Eligible Matches0
Lead Matches-22
Lead Win Rate-0.50
Lead Points Retention-0.50
Trailing Matches18
Non-loss rate-0.33
Trailing Win Rate0.0%
Halftime Coverage Matches0
First Half Goals For Mean-1.08
First Half Goals Against Mean0.97
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.84
Second Half Goals Against Mean1.24
Current Competition Matches1
Current Competition PPG-2.51
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean-4.42
Competition Season Count0
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Portability PPG Std-0.27
Portability PPG Range-0.53
Portability Score33.68
Rest days-6.79
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest History Matches-1
Normal Rest Points Per Match-1.80
Long Rest History Matches1
Long Rest Points Per Match-2.48
Current Team ELO-350.2
Current Opponent ELO350.2
Current ELO Difference-700.5
Expected score-0.76
History Matches0
Residual Mean-0.45
Overperformance-29.78
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.36

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Yenisey W

L
Krasnodar W3–1Yenisey W7 Nov · away
Pick: Krasnodar W 76% · hit
L
Yenisey W1–3Ryazan W24 Oct · home
Pick: Ryazan W 51% · hit
L
Yenisey W0–1Zvezda Perm W18 Oct · home
Pick: Zvezda Perm W 52% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Zenit W

D
Zenit W0–0CSKA Moskva W7 Nov · home
Pick: Zenit W 47% · missed
W
Zenit W3–1Lokomotiv Moskva W31 Oct · home
Pick: Zenit W 55% · hit
W
Krylya Sovetov W0–1Zenit W24 Oct · away
Pick: Zenit W 56% · hit
L
Zenit W1–2Chertanovo W18 Oct · home
Pick: Zenit W 81% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Yenisey W and Zenit W meet in Supreme Division Women on Saturday 14 November 2026, kickoff 10:00 UTC. The match is played at Football Arena Yenisei, Krasnoyarsk. ScoreProb published its prediction on 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC: Yenisey W win 4.5%, draw 9.8%, Zenit W win 85.6%. The pick is Zenit W win. Over 2.5 goals: 62.0%. Both teams to score: 32.4%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.