Zeta vs Mladost Lješkopolje
What we said before kickoff Result: Draw
Zeta win
28.5%
Draw Result
32.6%
Mladost Lješkopolje winPick
38.9%
How our picks did
Based on the final score. It joins the public record at the next nightly settlement.
Match result
Our pickMladost Lješkopolje win · 38.9%
What happenedDraw · we gave it 32.6%
Missed Over 2.5 goals
Our pickUnder · 56.8%
What happenedUnder · No goals
Hit Both teams to score
Our pickNo · 53.9%
What happenedNo · 0–0
Hit How surprising was it?
Result: Draw. In our numbers it ranked second of the three.
33%
chance we gave it0%50%100%
1 in 3.1
on average A pick at 39% is expected to miss about 6 times in 10. One match does not judge a model. The record across every settled match does.
See the full record
Both teams to score
Yes46.1%
No53.9%
Total goals · 2.5
Over 2.543.2%
Under 2.556.8%
How much we know
Zeta history4 matches
Mladost Lješkopolje history54 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news
Your calls on this match
Made on this device before kickoff, compared with the result.
Life of this match
Every step is time-stamped, from first prediction to settled result.
- Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 2 d 4 h ahead2 Nov · 07:01 UTC
- Re-published 2 more timesThe numbers did not changeLatest 2 Nov · 18:58 UTC
- Kickoff4 Nov · 12:00 UTC
- Full time: 0–0Two of our three picks hit
- Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC
Share this result
A picture made for this match: teams, our probabilities and the verified stamp. Works in chats and on social.
The card keeps the pre-match numbers. A miss is shared as plainly as a hit.
How reliable are picks like this?
Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 33–39% band (38.9%). Picks in that band won 40.1% of the time, and the model said 37.7% on average, over 2,635 matches.
Why Mladost Lješkopolje are the pick
Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.
-
The Elo ratings are level
Elo 1,505 against 1,511. On rating alone the teams are close to even.
-
Mladost Lješkopolje score more
1.00 goals a game over 4 matches for Zeta, against 1.17 over 54 for Mladost Lješkopolje.
-
Zeta concede fewer
Zeta concede 0.50 a game, Mladost Lješkopolje 1.41.
-
Mladost Lješkopolje games more often go over 2.5 goals
0% of Zeta matches, against 48% for Mladost Lješkopolje. The model puts this match at 43% for over 2.5.
These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.
Compare the two teams
Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.
Match history used: up to 24 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Mladost Lješkopolje@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals 100
1505.1
ELO
1511.1
4
ELO · Matches
54
1505.1
Current Team ELO
1511.1
1511.1
Current Opponent ELO
1505.1
-5.99
Current ELO Difference
5.99
0.49
Expected score
0.51
4
History Matches
54
0.06
Residual Mean
0.02
51.03
Overperformance
51.13
0.06
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.21
Recent form16 signals 160
4
Matches
5
1.50
PPG
2.60
1.00
Goals for per game
2.60
0.50
Goals against per game
0.80
25.0%
Win rate
80.0%
4
Matches
10
1.50
PPG
2.00
1.00
Goals for per game
1.80
0.50
Goals against per game
0.80
25.0%
Win rate
60.0%
1.00
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.80
0.71
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.66
0.50
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
0.80
0.50
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.75
0.51
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.86
0.87
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.41
Overall performance9 signals 90
4
Matches
54
1.50
PPG
1.28
25.0%
Win rate
35.2%
75.0%
Draw rate
22.2%
0.0%
Loss rate
42.6%
75.0%
Over 1.5 rate
64.8%
0.0%
Over 2.5 rate
48.1%
0.0%
Over 3.5 rate
27.8%
0.87
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.95
Venue performance10 signals 100
2
Matches
26
2.00
PPG
0.96
50.0%
Win rate
26.9%
50.0%
Draw rate
15.4%
0.0%
Loss rate
57.7%
50.0%
Over 1.5 rate
65.4%
0.0%
Over 2.5 rate
53.8%
0.0%
Over 3.5 rate
30.8%
1.00
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.40
2
History Matches
26
Scoring & attack16 signals 160
1.00
Goals for per game
1.17
75.0%
Scoring rate
61.1%
50.0%
BTTS rate
42.6%
1.00
Goals for per game
1.04
50.0%
Scoring rate
50.0%
0.0%
BTTS rate
30.8%
1.50
Goals for per game
2.50
100.0%
Scoring rate
100.0%
50.0%
BTTS rate
50.0%
4
History Matches
54
1.00
Goals Mean
1.17
0.71
Goals Std
1.30
75.0%
Scored 1+ rate
61.1%
25.0%
Scored 2+ rate
29.6%
0.0%
Scored 3+ rate
16.7%
1.00
Venue Goals Mean
1.04
Defense & conceding12 signals 120
0.50
Goals against per game
1.41
50.0%
Conceding rate
72.2%
0.00
Goals against per game
1.69
0.0%
Conceding rate
69.2%
0.50
Goals against per game
0.50
50.0%
Conceding rate
50.0%
4
History Matches
54
0.50
Conceded Mean
1.41
0.50
Conceded Std
1.38
0.0%
Conceded 2+ rate
37.0%
0.0%
Conceded 3+ rate
18.5%
0.00
Venue Conceded Mean
1.69
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals 110
50.0%
Clean-sheet rate
27.8%
25.0%
Failed-to-score rate
38.9%
100.0%
Clean-sheet rate
30.8%
50.0%
Failed-to-score rate
50.0%
50.0%
Clean-sheet rate
50.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
50.0%
Clean-sheet rate
27.8%
25.0%
Failed-to-score rate
38.9%
100.0%
Clean-sheet rate
30.8%
50.0%
Failed-to-score rate
50.0%
50.0%
Clean-sheet rate
27.8%
Volatility & stability4 signals 40
4
History Matches
54
0.51
Result entropy
0.97
0.87
Goal Difference Std
1.95
48.81
Stability score
3.03
Halftime resilience7 signals 70
4
Eligible Matches
54
1
Lead Matches
12
0.0%
Lead Win Rate
83.3%
0.33
Lead Points Retention
0.89
1
Trailing Matches
15
100.0%
Non-loss rate
20.0%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals 50
4
Halftime Coverage Matches
54
0.25
First Half Goals For Mean
0.46
0.25
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.54
0.75
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.70
0.25
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.87
Rest & schedule9 signals 90
73.79
Rest days
72.85
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
1
—
Short Rest Points Per Match
0.00
1
Normal Rest History Matches
38
1.00
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.29
2
Long Rest History Matches
14
2.00
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.43
Competition & season17 signals 170
2
Matches
2
2.00
PPG
3.00
50.0%
Win rate
100.0%
50.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
0.0%
Loss rate
0.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
0.0%
Over 2.5 rate
100.0%
0.0%
Over 3.5 rate
0.0%
1.00
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.00
2
Current Competition Matches
2
2.00
Current Competition PPG
3.00
1.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
2.00
2
Competition Season Count
4
0
Eligible Competition Season Count
2
—
Portability PPG Std
0.12
—
Portability PPG Range
0.24
—
Portability Score
80.72
Odds & market11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal 10
4
Clean History Matches
54
Matchup differences86 signals 086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scorePortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO-5.99
PPG0.22
GF-0.17
GA-0.91
PPG-1.00
PPG1.04
PPG-1.10
PPG-0.50
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-50
Clean-sheet rate22.2%
Failed-to-score rate-0.14
History Matches-24
Clean-sheet rate69.2%
Failed-to-score rate0.0%
History Matches-50
Goals Mean-0.17
Goals Std-0.59
Scored 1+ rate13.9%
Scored 2+ rate-0.05
Scored 3+ rate-0.17
Venue Goals Mean-0.04
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.80
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.95
History Matches-50
Conceded Mean-0.91
Conceded Std-0.88
Clean-sheet rate22.2%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.37
Conceded 3+ rate-0.19
Venue Conceded Mean-1.69
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.30
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.25
History Matches-50
Result entropy-0.46
Goal Difference Std-1.09
Stability score45.78
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.35
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.55
Eligible Matches-50
Lead Matches-11
Lead Win Rate-0.83
Lead Points Retention-0.56
Trailing Matches-14
Non-loss rate80.0%
Trailing Win Rate0.0%
Halftime Coverage Matches-50
First Half Goals For Mean-0.21
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.29
Second Half Goals For Mean0.05
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.62
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG-1.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean-1.00
Competition Season Count-2
Eligible Competition Season Count-2
Rest days0.94
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-1
Normal Rest History Matches-37
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.29
Long Rest History Matches-12
Long Rest Points Per Match0.57
Current Team ELO-5.99
Current Opponent ELO5.99
Current ELO Difference-11.98
Expected score-0.02
History Matches-50
Residual Mean0.05
Overperformance-0.11
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.15
Latest results, with our pick
Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.
Zeta
W
Zeta5–2Berane25 Oct · home
Pick: Zeta 43% · hit W
Zeta1–0Grbalj4 Oct · home
Pick: Zeta 38% · hit Earlier results appear as match history is added
Mladost Lješkopolje
D
Rudar1–1Mladost Lješkopolje25 Oct · away
Pick: Rudar 41% · missed W
Mladost Lješkopolje2–1Lovćen6 Oct · home
Pick: Mladost Lješkopolje 53% · hit Earlier results appear as match history is added
Match report
Zeta and Mladost Lješkopolje finished 0–0 in Second League on Wednesday 4 November 2026. It was 0–0 at half time. ScoreProb published its prediction on 2 Nov, 07:01 UTC, before kickoff: Zeta win 28.5%, draw 32.6%, Mladost Lješkopolje win 38.9%. Two of the three picks hit.
Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.