Bzenec vs Hluk
Match result probability Model pick: Bzenec win
Bzenec winPick
46.5%
Draw
13.2%
Hluk win
40.3%
At kickoff this becomes the match centre
Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.
Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect
Both teams to score
Yes62.2%
No37.8%
Total goals · 2.5
Over 2.577.4%
Under 2.522.6%
How much we know
Bzenec history50 matches
Hluk history5 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news
Your call
Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.
Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score
Match result: ours Bzenec
Over / under 2.5: ours Over
Both teams to score: ours Yes
Life of this match
One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.
- Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 4 h ahead8 Nov · 08:45 UTC
- Lineups appearAbout an hour before kickoff, where the competition provides them. This prediction does not use lineups.≈ 12:00 UTC
- KickoffThis page becomes the match centre14 Nov · 13:00 UTC
- Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
- Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC
How reliable are picks like this?
Across 16,809 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 39.9% · said 37.7% · n 2,949
40–49% Won 45.3% · said 44.8% · n 6,860
50–59% Won 55.6% · said 54.4% · n 4,146
60–69% Won 63.9% · said 64.4% · n 2,031
70–79% Won 76.5% · said 73.9% · n 646
80%+ Won 83.1% · said 84.5% · n 177
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (46.5%). Picks in that band won 45.3% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,860 matches.
Why Bzenec are the pick
Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.
-
The Elo ratings are level
Elo 1,508 against 1,483. On rating alone the teams are close to even.
-
Hluk score more
1.88 goals a game over 50 matches for Bzenec, against 2.60 over 5 for Hluk.
-
Bzenec concede fewer
Bzenec concede 1.96 a game, Hluk 2.60.
-
Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games
78% of Bzenec matches, against 80% for Hluk. The model puts this match at 77% for over 2.5.
These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.
Compare the two teams
Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.
Match history used: up to 23 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
ELO & ratings10 signals 100
1507.8
ELO
1483.1
50
ELO · Matches
5
1507.8
Current Team ELO
1483.1
1483.1
Current Opponent ELO
1507.8
24.66
Current ELO Difference
-24.66
0.54
Expected score
0.46
50
History Matches
5
0.01
Residual Mean
-0.15
50.50
Overperformance
46.96
0.00
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.15
Recent form16 signals 160
5
Matches
5
1.80
PPG
1.00
1.60
Goals for per game
2.60
2.00
Goals against per game
2.60
60.0%
Win rate
20.0%
10
Matches
5
1.40
PPG
1.00
1.20
Goals for per game
2.60
1.70
Goals against per game
2.60
40.0%
Win rate
20.0%
1.20
Recent 10 Goals Mean
2.60
1.17
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.62
1.70
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
2.60
1.68
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.50
0.96
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.96
2.29
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.67
Overall performance9 signals 90
50
Matches
5
1.52
PPG
1.00
48.0%
Win rate
20.0%
8.0%
Draw rate
40.0%
44.0%
Loss rate
40.0%
94.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
78.0%
Over 2.5 rate
80.0%
52.0%
Over 3.5 rate
80.0%
2.64
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.67
Venue performance10 signals 100
25
Matches
2
1.96
PPG
1.00
60.0%
Win rate
0.0%
16.0%
Draw rate
100.0%
24.0%
Loss rate
0.0%
92.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
72.0%
Over 2.5 rate
50.0%
48.0%
Over 3.5 rate
50.0%
2.29
Goal difference · Standard deviation
0.00
25
History Matches
2
Scoring & attack16 signals 160
1.88
Goals for per game
2.60
74.0%
Scoring rate
100.0%
56.0%
BTTS rate
100.0%
2.28
Goals for per game
3.00
84.0%
Scoring rate
100.0%
60.0%
BTTS rate
100.0%
1.67
Goals for per game
2.00
66.7%
Scoring rate
100.0%
66.7%
BTTS rate
100.0%
50
History Matches
5
1.88
Goals Mean
2.60
1.63
Goals Std
1.62
74.0%
Scored 1+ rate
100.0%
56.0%
Scored 2+ rate
60.0%
32.0%
Scored 3+ rate
40.0%
2.28
Venue Goals Mean
3.00
Defense & conceding12 signals 120
1.96
Goals against per game
2.60
82.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
1.40
Goals against per game
3.00
76.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
3.33
Goals against per game
1.67
100.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
50
History Matches
5
1.96
Conceded Mean
2.60
1.50
Conceded Std
1.50
54.0%
Conceded 2+ rate
60.0%
36.0%
Conceded 3+ rate
60.0%
1.40
Venue Conceded Mean
3.00
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals 110
18.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
26.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
24.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
16.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
33.3%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
18.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
26.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
24.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
16.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
18.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
Volatility & stability4 signals 40
50
History Matches
5
0.83
Result entropy
0.96
2.64
Goal Difference Std
1.67
16.66
Stability score
3.98
Halftime resilience7 signals 70
49
Eligible Matches
4
12
Lead Matches
1
100.0%
Lead Win Rate
0.0%
1.00
Lead Points Retention
0.33
21
Trailing Matches
2
23.8%
Non-loss rate
0.0%
19.0%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals 50
49
Halftime Coverage Matches
4
0.86
First Half Goals For Mean
0.50
0.94
First Half Goals Against Mean
1.00
0.96
Second Half Goals For Mean
1.50
1.02
Second Half Goals Against Mean
1.00
Rest & schedule9 signals 90
83.92
Rest days
84.92
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
1
Short Rest History Matches
0
0.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
—
24
Normal Rest History Matches
3
1.75
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.67
24
Long Rest History Matches
1
1.42
Long Rest Points Per Match
0.00
Competition & season17 signals 170
3
Matches
3
1.00
PPG
1.33
33.3%
Win rate
33.3%
0.0%
Draw rate
33.3%
66.7%
Loss rate
33.3%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
100.0%
Over 2.5 rate
66.7%
66.7%
Over 3.5 rate
66.7%
2.62
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.05
3
Current Competition Matches
3
1.00
Current Competition PPG
1.33
-1.67
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
0.33
7
Competition Season Count
3
3
Eligible Competition Season Count
1
0.30
Portability PPG Std
—
0.71
Portability PPG Range
—
62.56
Portability Score
—
Odds & market11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal 10
50
Clean History Matches
5
Matchup differences86 signals 086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scorePortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO24.66
PPG0.52
GF-0.72
GA-0.64
PPG-0.33
PPG0.96
PPG0.80
PPG0.40
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches45
Clean-sheet rate18.0%
Failed-to-score rate26.0%
History Matches23
Clean-sheet rate24.0%
Failed-to-score rate16.0%
History Matches45
Goals Mean-0.72
Goals Std0.01
Scored 1+ rate-0.26
Scored 2+ rate-0.04
Scored 3+ rate-0.08
Venue Goals Mean-0.72
Recent 10 Goals Mean-1.40
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.46
History Matches45
Conceded Mean-0.64
Conceded Std0.00
Clean-sheet rate18.0%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.06
Conceded 3+ rate-0.24
Venue Conceded Mean-1.60
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.90
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.18
History Matches45
Result entropy-0.13
Goal Difference Std0.96
Stability score12.68
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.00
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.62
Eligible Matches45
Lead Matches11
Lead Win Rate100.0%
Lead Points Retention0.67
Trailing Matches19
Non-loss rate23.8%
Trailing Win Rate19.0%
Halftime Coverage Matches45
First Half Goals For Mean0.36
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.06
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.54
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.02
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG-0.33
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean-2.00
Competition Season Count4
Eligible Competition Season Count2
Rest days-1.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches1
Normal Rest History Matches21
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.08
Long Rest History Matches23
Long Rest Points Per Match1.42
Current Team ELO24.66
Current Opponent ELO-24.66
Current ELO Difference49.32
Expected score0.07
History Matches45
Residual Mean0.16
Overperformance3.54
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.15
Latest results, with our pick
Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.
Bzenec
W
Břeclav1–2Bzenec7 Nov · away
Pick: Břeclav 54% · missed D
Bzenec2–2Holešov31 Oct · home
Pick: Holešov 40% · missed W
Brumov1–3Bzenec25 Oct · away
Pick: Brumov 50% · missed W
Bzenec7–0Baťov17 Oct · home
Pick: Bzenec 52% · hit L
Bzenec3–4Slavičín29 Aug · home
Pick: Bzenec 38% · missed Hluk
L
Hluk0–4Tatran Všechovice7 Nov · home
Pick: Tatran Všechovice 63% · hit L
Slavičín3–1Hluk1 Nov · away
Pick: Slavičín 52% · hit D
Sokol Lanžhot1–1Hluk18 Oct · away
Pick: Sokol Lanžhot 54% · missed D
Prostejov B3–3Hluk29 Aug · away
Pick: Hluk 47% · missed Earlier results appear as match history is added
About this match
Bzenec and Hluk meet in 4. liga - Divizie E on Saturday 14 November 2026, kickoff 13:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC: Bzenec win 46.5%, draw 13.2%, Hluk win 40.3%. The pick is Bzenec win. Over 2.5 goals: 77.4%. Both teams to score: 62.2%.
Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.