ScoreProb
Log in
4. liga - Divizie E Czechia Group E - 1 2026

Nové Sady vs SK Krumvir

Nové Sady Home · Elo 1,399
Sat 14 Nov
UTC
Not started
SK Krumvir Away · Elo 1,523
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: SK Krumvir win
Nové Sady win
26.2%
Draw
12.9%
SK Krumvir winPick
61.0%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes55.9%
No44.1%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.568.8%
Under 2.531.2%

How much we know

Nové Sady history51 matches
SK Krumvir history5 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 4 h ahead
    8 Nov · 08:45 UTC
  2. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    14 Nov · 13:00 UTC
  3. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  4. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 16,809 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 39.9% · said 37.7% · n 2,949
40–49% Won 45.3% · said 44.8% · n 6,860
50–59% Won 55.6% · said 54.4% · n 4,146
60–69% Won 63.9% · said 64.4% · n 2,031
70–79% Won 76.5% · said 73.9% · n 646
80%+ Won 83.1% · said 84.5% · n 177
This pick sits in the 60–69% band (61.0%). Picks in that band won 63.9% of the time, and the model said 64.4% on average, over 2,031 matches.

Why SK Krumvir are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • SK Krumvir are rated 125 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,523 against 1,399. On rating alone SK Krumvir would be expected to take 67% of the points on offer.

  • SK Krumvir score far more

    1.31 goals a game over 51 matches for Nové Sady, against 2.40 over 5 for SK Krumvir.

  • SK Krumvir concede fewer

    Nové Sady concede 2.08 a game, SK Krumvir 1.60.

  • SK Krumvir games more often go over 2.5 goals

    57% of Nové Sady matches, against 100% for SK Krumvir. The model puts this match at 69% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 23 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Nové Sady
SK Krumvir@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1398.8
ELO
1523.3
51
ELO · Matches
5
1398.8
Current Team ELO
1523.3
1523.3
Current Opponent ELO
1398.8
-124.6
Current ELO Difference
124.6
0.33
Expected score
0.67
51
History Matches
5
-0.09
Residual Mean
0.29
43.34
Overperformance
55.76
-0.15
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.29
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
0.60
PPG
2.40
1.00
Goals for per game
2.40
3.60
Goals against per game
1.60
20.0%
Win rate
80.0%
10
Matches
5
0.60
PPG
2.40
1.10
Goals for per game
2.40
3.00
Goals against per game
1.60
10.0%
Win rate
80.0%
1.10
Recent 10 Goals Mean
2.40
1.22
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.62
3.00
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.60
1.95
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.20
0.82
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.46
2.26
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.04
Overall performance9 signals
90
51
Matches
5
0.96
PPG
2.40
21.6%
Win rate
80.0%
31.4%
Draw rate
0.0%
47.1%
Loss rate
20.0%
86.3%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
56.9%
Over 2.5 rate
100.0%
41.2%
Over 3.5 rate
20.0%
2.06
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.04
Venue performance10 signals
100
27
Matches
1
0.89
PPG
3.00
18.5%
Win rate
100.0%
33.3%
Draw rate
0.0%
48.1%
Loss rate
0.0%
85.2%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
44.4%
Over 2.5 rate
100.0%
37.0%
Over 3.5 rate
0.0%
1.77
Goal difference · Standard deviation
—
27
History Matches
1
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.31
Goals for per game
2.40
72.5%
Scoring rate
80.0%
68.6%
BTTS rate
60.0%
1.19
Goals for per game
2.00
66.7%
Scoring rate
100.0%
66.7%
BTTS rate
100.0%
1.00
Goals for per game
3.33
66.7%
Scoring rate
100.0%
66.7%
BTTS rate
66.7%
51
History Matches
5
1.31
Goals Mean
2.40
1.29
Goals Std
1.62
72.5%
Scored 1+ rate
80.0%
29.4%
Scored 2+ rate
80.0%
17.6%
Scored 3+ rate
40.0%
1.19
Venue Goals Mean
2.00
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
2.08
Goals against per game
1.60
92.2%
Conceding rate
80.0%
1.81
Goals against per game
1.00
96.3%
Conceding rate
100.0%
3.67
Goals against per game
1.33
100.0%
Conceding rate
66.7%
51
History Matches
5
2.08
Conceded Mean
1.60
1.58
Conceded Std
1.20
51.0%
Conceded 2+ rate
40.0%
29.4%
Conceded 3+ rate
40.0%
1.81
Venue Conceded Mean
1.00
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
7.8%
Clean-sheet rate
20.0%
27.5%
Failed-to-score rate
20.0%
3.7%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
33.3%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
33.3%
33.3%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
7.8%
Clean-sheet rate
20.0%
27.5%
Failed-to-score rate
20.0%
3.7%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
33.3%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
7.8%
Clean-sheet rate
20.0%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
51
History Matches
5
0.96
Result entropy
0.46
2.06
Goal Difference Std
2.04
4.49
Stability score
54.45
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
50
Eligible Matches
5
13
Lead Matches
2
46.2%
Lead Win Rate
100.0%
0.56
Lead Points Retention
1.00
20
Trailing Matches
0
35.0%
Non-loss rate
—
10.0%
Trailing Win Rate
—
Goal timing5 signals
50
50
Halftime Coverage Matches
5
0.72
First Half Goals For Mean
1.00
0.90
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.20
0.62
Second Half Goals For Mean
1.40
1.16
Second Half Goals Against Mean
1.40
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
83.92
Rest days
84.21
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
2
Short Rest History Matches
0
0.50
Short Rest Points Per Match
—
30
Normal Rest History Matches
3
0.87
Normal Rest Points Per Match
2.00
18
Long Rest History Matches
1
1.17
Long Rest Points Per Match
3.00
Competition & season17 signals
170
3
Matches
3
0.00
PPG
3.00
0.0%
Win rate
100.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
100.0%
Loss rate
0.0%
66.7%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
66.7%
Over 2.5 rate
100.0%
66.7%
Over 3.5 rate
33.3%
1.70
Goal difference · Standard deviation
0.82
3
Current Competition Matches
3
0.00
Current Competition PPG
3.00
-2.67
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
2.00
6
Competition Season Count
2
4
Eligible Competition Season Count
1
0.74
Portability PPG Std
—
2.00
Portability PPG Range
—
40.40
Portability Score
—
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
51
Clean History Matches
5
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreNon-loss rateTrailing Win RatePortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO-124.6
PPG-1.44
GF-1.09
GA0.48
PPG-3.00
PPG-2.11
PPG-1.80
PPG-1.80
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches46
Clean-sheet rate-0.12
Failed-to-score rate7.5%
History Matches26
Clean-sheet rate3.7%
Failed-to-score rate33.3%
History Matches46
Goals Mean-1.09
Goals Std-0.33
Scored 1+ rate-0.07
Scored 2+ rate-0.51
Scored 3+ rate-0.22
Venue Goals Mean-0.81
Recent 10 Goals Mean-1.30
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.40
History Matches46
Conceded Mean0.48
Conceded Std0.38
Clean-sheet rate-0.12
Conceded 2+ rate11.0%
Conceded 3+ rate-0.11
Venue Conceded Mean0.81
Recent 10 Conceded Mean1.40
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.75
History Matches46
Result entropy0.50
Goal Difference Std0.02
Stability score-49.96
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.36
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.22
Eligible Matches45
Lead Matches11
Lead Win Rate-0.54
Lead Points Retention-0.44
Trailing Matches20
Halftime Coverage Matches45
First Half Goals For Mean-0.28
First Half Goals Against Mean0.70
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.78
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.24
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG-3.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean-4.67
Competition Season Count4
Eligible Competition Season Count3
Rest days-0.29
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches2
Normal Rest History Matches27
Normal Rest Points Per Match-1.13
Long Rest History Matches17
Long Rest Points Per Match-1.83
Current Team ELO-124.6
Current Opponent ELO124.6
Current ELO Difference-249.1
Expected score-0.34
History Matches46
Residual Mean-0.38
Overperformance-12.42
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.43

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Nové Sady

L
Nové Sady1–2Kozlovice31 Oct · home
Pick: Kozlovice 71% · hit
W
Nové Sady2–0Břeclav17 Oct · home
Pick: Břeclav 48% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

SK Krumvir

D
Prostejov B2–2SK Krumvir7 Nov · away
Pick: SK Krumvir 52% · missed
L
SK Krumvir1–4Sokol Lanžhot31 Oct · home
Pick: SK Krumvir 49% · missed
L
Kroměříž II4–2SK Krumvir25 Oct · away
Pick: SK Krumvir 71% · missed
W
SK Krumvir3–0Kozlovice17 Oct · home
Pick: SK Krumvir 37% · hit
L
Tatran Všechovice2–0SK Krumvir30 Aug · away
Pick: Tatran Všechovice 63% · hit

About this match

Nové Sady and SK Krumvir meet in 4. liga - Divizie E on Saturday 14 November 2026, kickoff 13:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC: Nové Sady win 26.2%, draw 12.9%, SK Krumvir win 61.0%. The pick is SK Krumvir win. Over 2.5 goals: 68.8%. Both teams to score: 55.9%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.