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4. liga - Divizie E Czechia Group E - 1 2026

Tatran Všechovice vs Kozlovice

Tatran Všechovice Home · Elo 1,577
Sat 14 Nov
UTC
Not started
Kozlovice Away · Elo 1,563
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Tatran Všechovice win
Tatran Všechovice winPick
42.7%
Draw
24.2%
Kozlovice win
33.1%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes64.2%
No35.8%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.566.9%
Under 2.533.1%

How much we know

Tatran Všechovice history46 matches
Kozlovice history54 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 4 h ahead
    8 Nov · 08:45 UTC
  2. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    14 Nov · 13:00 UTC
  3. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  4. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 16,809 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 39.9% · said 37.7% · n 2,949
40–49% Won 45.3% · said 44.8% · n 6,860
50–59% Won 55.6% · said 54.4% · n 4,146
60–69% Won 63.9% · said 64.4% · n 2,031
70–79% Won 76.5% · said 73.9% · n 646
80%+ Won 83.1% · said 84.5% · n 177
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (42.7%). Picks in that band won 45.3% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,860 matches.

Why Tatran Všechovice are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • The Elo ratings are level

    Elo 1,577 against 1,563. On rating alone the teams are close to even.

  • Scoring rates are level

    2.15 goals a game over 46 matches for Tatran Všechovice, against 1.94 over 54 for Kozlovice.

  • Defences are close

    Tatran Všechovice concede 1.57 a game, Kozlovice 1.46.

  • Tatran Všechovice games more often go over 2.5 goals

    67% of Tatran Všechovice matches, against 59% for Kozlovice. The model puts this match at 67% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 24 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Tatran Všechovice
Kozlovice@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1577.1
ELO
1562.7
46
ELO · Matches
54
1577.1
Current Team ELO
1562.7
1562.7
Current Opponent ELO
1577.1
14.34
Current ELO Difference
-14.34
0.52
Expected score
0.48
46
History Matches
54
0.08
Residual Mean
0.06
55.49
Overperformance
54.35
0.11
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.19
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
2.20
PPG
2.20
2.80
Goals for per game
2.40
1.20
Goals against per game
1.20
60.0%
Win rate
60.0%
10
Matches
10
1.90
PPG
2.30
2.40
Goals for per game
2.50
1.50
Goals against per game
1.10
50.0%
Win rate
70.0%
2.40
Recent 10 Goals Mean
2.50
1.85
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.69
1.50
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.10
0.92
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.14
0.86
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.73
2.02
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.80
Overall performance9 signals
90
46
Matches
54
1.70
PPG
1.65
47.8%
Win rate
44.4%
26.1%
Draw rate
31.5%
26.1%
Loss rate
24.1%
93.5%
Over 1.5 rate
77.8%
67.4%
Over 2.5 rate
59.3%
52.2%
Over 3.5 rate
51.9%
2.19
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.11
Venue performance10 signals
100
22
Matches
26
1.59
PPG
1.27
40.9%
Win rate
30.8%
36.4%
Draw rate
34.6%
22.7%
Loss rate
34.6%
95.5%
Over 1.5 rate
69.2%
59.1%
Over 2.5 rate
50.0%
40.9%
Over 3.5 rate
38.5%
1.92
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.09
22
History Matches
26
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
2.15
Goals for per game
1.94
89.1%
Scoring rate
81.5%
73.9%
BTTS rate
68.5%
2.05
Goals for per game
1.46
95.5%
Scoring rate
73.1%
86.4%
BTTS rate
57.7%
3.67
Goals for per game
2.67
100.0%
Scoring rate
100.0%
66.7%
BTTS rate
66.7%
46
History Matches
54
2.15
Goals Mean
1.94
1.57
Goals Std
1.60
89.1%
Scored 1+ rate
81.5%
54.3%
Scored 2+ rate
48.1%
37.0%
Scored 3+ rate
35.2%
2.05
Venue Goals Mean
1.46
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.57
Goals against per game
1.46
84.8%
Conceding rate
77.8%
1.41
Goals against per game
1.38
90.9%
Conceding rate
69.2%
1.00
Goals against per game
1.00
66.7%
Conceding rate
66.7%
46
History Matches
54
1.57
Conceded Mean
1.46
1.19
Conceded Std
1.38
43.5%
Conceded 2+ rate
37.0%
19.6%
Conceded 3+ rate
18.5%
1.41
Venue Conceded Mean
1.38
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
15.2%
Clean-sheet rate
22.2%
10.9%
Failed-to-score rate
18.5%
9.1%
Clean-sheet rate
30.8%
4.5%
Failed-to-score rate
26.9%
33.3%
Clean-sheet rate
33.3%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
15.2%
Clean-sheet rate
22.2%
10.9%
Failed-to-score rate
18.5%
9.1%
Clean-sheet rate
30.8%
4.5%
Failed-to-score rate
26.9%
15.2%
Clean-sheet rate
22.2%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
46
History Matches
54
0.96
Result entropy
0.97
2.19
Goal Difference Std
2.11
4.08
Stability score
2.87
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
46
Eligible Matches
54
17
Lead Matches
13
88.2%
Lead Win Rate
92.3%
0.90
Lead Points Retention
0.95
11
Trailing Matches
12
27.3%
Non-loss rate
50.0%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
25.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
46
Halftime Coverage Matches
54
0.98
First Half Goals For Mean
0.89
0.78
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.80
1.17
Second Half Goals For Mean
1.06
0.78
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.67
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
83.20
Rest days
82.94
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
1
—
Short Rest Points Per Match
0.00
26
Normal Rest History Matches
27
1.96
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.74
19
Long Rest History Matches
25
1.37
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.56
Competition & season17 signals
170
3
Matches
3
3.00
PPG
2.33
100.0%
Win rate
66.7%
0.0%
Draw rate
33.3%
0.0%
Loss rate
0.0%
66.7%
Over 1.5 rate
66.7%
66.7%
Over 2.5 rate
66.7%
66.7%
Over 3.5 rate
66.7%
1.70
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.70
3
Current Competition Matches
3
3.00
Current Competition PPG
2.33
2.67
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
1.67
6
Competition Season Count
7
3
Eligible Competition Season Count
4
0.66
Portability PPG Std
0.89
1.57
Portability PPG Range
2.33
43.08
Portability Score
35.84
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
46
Clean History Matches
54
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO14.34
PPG0.05
GF0.21
GA0.10
PPG0.67
PPG0.32
PPG0.00
PPG-0.40
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-8
Clean-sheet rate-0.07
Failed-to-score rate-0.08
History Matches-4
Clean-sheet rate-0.22
Failed-to-score rate-0.22
History Matches-8
Goals Mean0.21
Goals Std-0.03
Scored 1+ rate7.6%
Scored 2+ rate6.2%
Scored 3+ rate1.8%
Venue Goals Mean0.58
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.10
Recent 10 Goals Std0.17
History Matches-8
Conceded Mean0.10
Conceded Std-0.19
Clean-sheet rate-0.07
Conceded 2+ rate6.4%
Conceded 3+ rate1.0%
Venue Conceded Mean0.02
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.40
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.21
History Matches-8
Result entropy-0.01
Goal Difference Std0.08
Stability score1.21
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.13
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.22
Eligible Matches-8
Lead Matches4
Lead Win Rate-0.04
Lead Points Retention-0.05
Trailing Matches-1
Non-loss rate-0.23
Trailing Win Rate-0.25
Halftime Coverage Matches-8
First Half Goals For Mean0.09
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.01
Second Half Goals For Mean0.12
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.12
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG0.67
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean1.00
Competition Season Count-1
Eligible Competition Season Count-1
Portability PPG Std-0.23
Portability PPG Range-0.76
Portability Score7.24
Rest days0.26
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-1
Normal Rest History Matches-1
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.22
Long Rest History Matches-6
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.19
Current Team ELO14.34
Current Opponent ELO-14.34
Current ELO Difference28.69
Expected score0.04
History Matches-8
Residual Mean0.02
Overperformance1.15
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.08

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Tatran Všechovice

W
Hluk0–4Tatran Všechovice7 Nov · away
Pick: Tatran Všechovice 63% · hit
W
Tatran Všechovice5–0Břeclav31 Oct · home
Pick: Tatran Všechovice 64% · hit
L
Holešov2–1Tatran Všechovice24 Oct · away
Pick: Tatran Všechovice 47% · missed
W
Tatran Všechovice3–0Brumov18 Oct · home
Pick: Tatran Všechovice 65% · hit
W
Tatran Všechovice2–1Prostejov B4 Oct · home
Pick: Tatran Všechovice 75% · hit

Kozlovice

W
Nové Sady1–2Kozlovice31 Oct · away
Pick: Kozlovice 71% · hit
D
Kozlovice0–0Sokol Lanžhot25 Oct · home
Pick: Kozlovice 63% · missed
L
SK Krumvir3–0Kozlovice17 Oct · away
Pick: SK Krumvir 37% · hit
D
Kozlovice1–1Břeclav4 Oct · home
Pick: Kozlovice 58% · missed
W
Kroměříž II0–1Kozlovice30 Aug · away
Pick: Kozlovice 81% · hit

About this match

Tatran Všechovice and Kozlovice meet in 4. liga - Divizie E on Saturday 14 November 2026, kickoff 13:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC: Tatran Všechovice win 42.7%, draw 24.2%, Kozlovice win 33.1%. The pick is Tatran Všechovice win. Over 2.5 goals: 66.9%. Both teams to score: 64.2%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.