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4. liga - Divizie E Czechia Group E - 1 2026

Slavičín vs Sokol Lanžhot

Slavičín Home · Elo 1,482
Sat 14 Nov
UTC
Not started
Sokol Lanžhot Away · Elo 1,523
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Sokol Lanžhot win
Slavičín win
33.7%
Draw
23.1%
Sokol Lanžhot winPick
43.2%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes54.5%
No45.5%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.557.7%
Under 2.542.3%

How much we know

Slavičín history45 matches
Sokol Lanžhot history51 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 4 h ahead
    8 Nov · 08:45 UTC
  2. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    14 Nov · 13:00 UTC
  3. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  4. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 16,809 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 39.9% · said 37.7% · n 2,949
40–49% Won 45.3% · said 44.8% · n 6,860
50–59% Won 55.6% · said 54.4% · n 4,146
60–69% Won 63.9% · said 64.4% · n 2,031
70–79% Won 76.5% · said 73.9% · n 646
80%+ Won 83.1% · said 84.5% · n 177
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (43.2%). Picks in that band won 45.3% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,860 matches.

Why Sokol Lanžhot are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Sokol Lanžhot are rated 41 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,523 against 1,482. On rating alone Sokol Lanžhot would be expected to take 56% of the points on offer.

  • Scoring rates are level

    1.44 goals a game over 45 matches for Slavičín, against 1.51 over 51 for Sokol Lanžhot.

  • Sokol Lanžhot concede fewer

    Slavičín concede 1.67 a game, Sokol Lanžhot 1.20.

  • Slavičín games more often go over 2.5 goals

    60% of Slavičín matches, against 51% for Sokol Lanžhot. The model puts this match at 58% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 24 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Slavičín
Sokol Lanžhot@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1481.6
ELO
1522.5
45
ELO · Matches
51
1481.6
Current Team ELO
1522.5
1522.5
Current Opponent ELO
1481.6
-40.89
Current ELO Difference
40.89
0.44
Expected score
0.56
45
History Matches
51
-0.02
Residual Mean
0.03
48.83
Overperformance
52.23
0.03
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.01
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.20
PPG
1.20
2.00
Goals for per game
1.00
2.20
Goals against per game
1.20
40.0%
Win rate
40.0%
10
Matches
10
1.60
PPG
1.60
1.90
Goals for per game
1.20
1.70
Goals against per game
1.10
50.0%
Win rate
50.0%
1.90
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.20
1.04
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.25
1.70
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.10
1.62
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.37
0.86
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.86
1.60
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.30
Overall performance9 signals
90
45
Matches
51
1.22
PPG
1.51
35.6%
Win rate
43.1%
15.6%
Draw rate
21.6%
48.9%
Loss rate
35.3%
80.0%
Over 1.5 rate
70.6%
60.0%
Over 2.5 rate
51.0%
40.0%
Over 3.5 rate
31.4%
1.70
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.27
Venue performance10 signals
100
23
Matches
23
1.22
PPG
1.30
34.8%
Win rate
39.1%
17.4%
Draw rate
13.0%
47.8%
Loss rate
47.8%
73.9%
Over 1.5 rate
73.9%
52.2%
Over 2.5 rate
47.8%
30.4%
Over 3.5 rate
26.1%
1.67
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.28
23
History Matches
23
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.44
Goals for per game
1.51
86.7%
Scoring rate
72.5%
68.9%
BTTS rate
41.2%
1.22
Goals for per game
1.35
82.6%
Scoring rate
65.2%
60.9%
BTTS rate
34.8%
1.33
Goals for per game
1.33
100.0%
Scoring rate
66.7%
66.7%
BTTS rate
33.3%
45
History Matches
51
1.44
Goals Mean
1.51
1.04
Goals Std
1.50
86.7%
Scored 1+ rate
72.5%
33.3%
Scored 2+ rate
33.3%
20.0%
Scored 3+ rate
27.5%
1.22
Venue Goals Mean
1.35
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.67
Goals against per game
1.20
77.8%
Conceding rate
60.8%
1.48
Goals against per game
1.35
69.6%
Conceding rate
69.6%
2.00
Goals against per game
1.33
66.7%
Conceding rate
66.7%
45
History Matches
51
1.67
Conceded Mean
1.20
1.37
Conceded Std
1.36
48.9%
Conceded 2+ rate
29.4%
24.4%
Conceded 3+ rate
19.6%
1.48
Venue Conceded Mean
1.35
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
22.2%
Clean-sheet rate
39.2%
13.3%
Failed-to-score rate
27.5%
30.4%
Clean-sheet rate
30.4%
17.4%
Failed-to-score rate
34.8%
33.3%
Clean-sheet rate
33.3%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
33.3%
22.2%
Clean-sheet rate
39.2%
13.3%
Failed-to-score rate
27.5%
30.4%
Clean-sheet rate
30.4%
17.4%
Failed-to-score rate
34.8%
22.2%
Clean-sheet rate
39.2%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
45
History Matches
51
0.92
Result entropy
0.97
1.70
Goal Difference Std
2.27
8.34
Stability score
3.41
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
45
Eligible Matches
51
10
Lead Matches
12
90.0%
Lead Win Rate
83.3%
0.90
Lead Points Retention
0.89
15
Trailing Matches
19
20.0%
Non-loss rate
26.3%
6.7%
Trailing Win Rate
10.5%
Goal timing5 signals
50
45
Halftime Coverage Matches
51
0.60
First Half Goals For Mean
0.51
0.87
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.61
0.84
Second Half Goals For Mean
1.00
0.80
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.59
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
83.20
Rest days
82.94
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
2
—
Short Rest Points Per Match
0.50
21
Normal Rest History Matches
27
1.29
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.33
23
Long Rest History Matches
21
1.22
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.90
Competition & season17 signals
170
3
Matches
3
1.00
PPG
1.00
33.3%
Win rate
33.3%
0.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
66.7%
Loss rate
66.7%
66.7%
Over 1.5 rate
66.7%
66.7%
Over 2.5 rate
66.7%
33.3%
Over 3.5 rate
33.3%
1.25
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.16
3
Current Competition Matches
3
1.00
Current Competition PPG
1.00
-0.67
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
0.00
6
Competition Season Count
5
3
Eligible Competition Season Count
4
0.41
Portability PPG Std
0.39
1.01
Portability PPG Range
0.81
54.66
Portability Score
56.06
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
45
Clean History Matches
51
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO-40.89
PPG-0.29
GF-0.07
GA0.47
PPG0.00
PPG-0.09
PPG0.00
PPG0.00
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-6
Clean-sheet rate-0.17
Failed-to-score rate-0.14
History Matches0
Clean-sheet rate0.0%
Failed-to-score rate-0.17
History Matches-6
Goals Mean-0.07
Goals Std-0.46
Scored 1+ rate14.1%
Scored 2+ rate0.0%
Scored 3+ rate-0.07
Venue Goals Mean-0.13
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.70
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.20
History Matches-6
Conceded Mean0.47
Conceded Std0.01
Clean-sheet rate-0.17
Conceded 2+ rate19.5%
Conceded 3+ rate4.8%
Venue Conceded Mean0.13
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.60
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.24
History Matches-6
Result entropy-0.05
Goal Difference Std-0.57
Stability score4.93
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.00
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.70
Eligible Matches-6
Lead Matches-2
Lead Win Rate6.7%
Lead Points Retention0.01
Trailing Matches-4
Non-loss rate-0.06
Trailing Win Rate-0.04
Halftime Coverage Matches-6
First Half Goals For Mean0.09
First Half Goals Against Mean0.26
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.16
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.21
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG0.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean-0.67
Competition Season Count1
Eligible Competition Season Count-1
Portability PPG Std0.02
Portability PPG Range0.20
Portability Score-1.40
Rest days0.26
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-2
Normal Rest History Matches-6
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.05
Long Rest History Matches2
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.69
Current Team ELO-40.89
Current Opponent ELO40.89
Current ELO Difference-81.79
Expected score-0.12
History Matches-6
Residual Mean-0.05
Overperformance-3.40
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.02

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Slavičín

W
Slavičín3–1Hluk1 Nov · home
Pick: Slavičín 52% · hit
W
Břeclav0–2Slavičín24 Oct · away
Pick: Břeclav 51% · missed
W
Slavičín2–0Holešov18 Oct · home
Pick: Holešov 41% · missed
W
Bzenec3–4Slavičín29 Aug · away
Pick: Bzenec 38% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Sokol Lanžhot

W
SK Krumvir1–4Sokol Lanžhot31 Oct · away
Pick: SK Krumvir 49% · missed
D
Kozlovice0–0Sokol Lanžhot25 Oct · away
Pick: Kozlovice 63% · missed
D
Sokol Lanžhot1–1Hluk18 Oct · home
Pick: Sokol Lanžhot 54% · missed
W
Sokol Lanžhot2–0Holešov4 Oct · home
Pick: Sokol Lanžhot 41% · hit
L
Šternberk4–1Sokol Lanžhot29 Aug · away
Pick: Sokol Lanžhot 63% · missed

About this match

Slavičín and Sokol Lanžhot meet in 4. liga - Divizie E on Saturday 14 November 2026, kickoff 13:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC: Slavičín win 33.7%, draw 23.1%, Sokol Lanžhot win 43.2%. The pick is Sokol Lanžhot win. Over 2.5 goals: 57.7%. Both teams to score: 54.5%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.