Flénu vs Albert Quévy-Mons
Match result probability Model pick: Albert Quévy-Mons win
Flénu win
24.2%
Draw
23.5%
Albert Quévy-Mons winPick
52.2%
At kickoff this becomes the match centre
Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.
Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect
Both teams to score
Yes56.3%
No43.7%
Total goals · 2.5
Over 2.561.3%
Under 2.538.7%
How much we know
Flénu history37 matches
Albert Quévy-Mons history47 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news
Your call
Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.
Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score
Match result: ours Albert Quévy-Mons
Over / under 2.5: ours Over
Both teams to score: ours Yes
Life of this match
One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.
- Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 10 h ahead8 Nov · 08:45 UTC
- Lineups appearAbout an hour before kickoff, where the competition provides them. This prediction does not use lineups.≈ 18:00 UTC
- KickoffThis page becomes the match centre14 Nov · 19:00 UTC
- Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
- Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC
How reliable are picks like this?
Across 16,809 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 39.9% · said 37.7% · n 2,949
40–49% Won 45.3% · said 44.8% · n 6,860
50–59% Won 55.6% · said 54.4% · n 4,146
60–69% Won 63.9% · said 64.4% · n 2,031
70–79% Won 76.5% · said 73.9% · n 646
80%+ Won 83.1% · said 84.5% · n 177
This pick sits in the 50–59% band (52.2%). Picks in that band won 55.6% of the time, and the model said 54.4% on average, over 4,146 matches.
Why Albert Quévy-Mons are the pick
Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.
-
Albert Quévy-Mons are rated 45 Elo points higher
Elo 1,595 against 1,550. On rating alone Albert Quévy-Mons would be expected to take 56% of the points on offer.
-
Flénu score more
2.14 goals a game over 37 matches for Flénu, against 1.60 over 47 for Albert Quévy-Mons.
-
Albert Quévy-Mons concede fewer
Flénu concede 1.41 a game, Albert Quévy-Mons 0.83.
-
Flénu games more often go over 2.5 goals
78% of Flénu matches, against 40% for Albert Quévy-Mons. The model puts this match at 61% for over 2.5.
These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.
Compare the two teams
Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.
Match history used: up to 12 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Albert Quévy-Mons@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals 100
1550.5
ELO
1595.5
37
ELO · Matches
47
1550.5
Current Team ELO
1595.5
1595.5
Current Opponent ELO
1550.5
-45.01
Current ELO Difference
45.01
0.44
Expected score
0.56
37
History Matches
47
0.07
Residual Mean
0.09
54.81
Overperformance
56.64
-0.02
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.05
Recent form16 signals 160
5
Matches
5
1.80
PPG
1.60
2.80
Goals for per game
1.00
2.40
Goals against per game
0.40
60.0%
Win rate
40.0%
10
Matches
10
1.60
PPG
1.60
2.30
Goals for per game
1.40
1.90
Goals against per game
1.00
50.0%
Win rate
40.0%
2.30
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.40
1.55
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.43
1.90
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.00
1.22
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.00
0.86
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.96
2.29
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.36
Overall performance9 signals 90
37
Matches
47
1.73
PPG
1.81
51.4%
Win rate
51.1%
18.9%
Draw rate
27.7%
29.7%
Loss rate
21.3%
86.5%
Over 1.5 rate
70.2%
78.4%
Over 2.5 rate
40.4%
45.9%
Over 3.5 rate
23.4%
1.95
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.68
Venue performance10 signals 100
20
Matches
25
1.70
PPG
1.72
50.0%
Win rate
48.0%
20.0%
Draw rate
28.0%
30.0%
Loss rate
24.0%
90.0%
Over 1.5 rate
60.0%
90.0%
Over 2.5 rate
40.0%
60.0%
Over 3.5 rate
28.0%
2.09
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.47
20
History Matches
25
Scoring & attack16 signals 160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
2.14
Goals for per game
1.60
83.8%
Scoring rate
74.5%
70.3%
BTTS rate
40.4%
2.35
Goals for per game
1.36
85.0%
Scoring rate
72.0%
75.0%
BTTS rate
40.0%
37
History Matches
47
2.14
Goals Mean
1.60
1.49
Goals Std
1.39
83.8%
Scored 1+ rate
74.5%
67.6%
Scored 2+ rate
46.8%
32.4%
Scored 3+ rate
21.3%
2.35
Venue Goals Mean
1.36
Defense & conceding12 signals 120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
1.41
Goals against per game
0.83
75.7%
Conceding rate
55.3%
1.60
Goals against per game
0.92
80.0%
Conceding rate
56.0%
37
History Matches
47
1.41
Conceded Mean
0.83
1.20
Conceded Std
0.93
40.5%
Conceded 2+ rate
19.1%
16.2%
Conceded 3+ rate
8.5%
1.60
Venue Conceded Mean
0.92
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
24.3%
Clean-sheet rate
44.7%
16.2%
Failed-to-score rate
25.5%
20.0%
Clean-sheet rate
44.0%
15.0%
Failed-to-score rate
28.0%
24.3%
Clean-sheet rate
44.7%
16.2%
Failed-to-score rate
25.5%
20.0%
Clean-sheet rate
44.0%
15.0%
Failed-to-score rate
28.0%
24.3%
Clean-sheet rate
44.7%
Volatility & stability4 signals 40
37
History Matches
47
0.93
Result entropy
0.94
1.95
Goal Difference Std
1.68
7.35
Stability score
6.43
Halftime resilience7 signals 70
17
Eligible Matches
46
7
Lead Matches
20
71.4%
Lead Win Rate
80.0%
0.81
Lead Points Retention
0.85
4
Trailing Matches
9
25.0%
Non-loss rate
33.3%
25.0%
Trailing Win Rate
22.2%
Goal timing5 signals 50
17
Halftime Coverage Matches
46
1.06
First Half Goals For Mean
0.80
0.76
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.39
0.94
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.80
0.65
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.43
Rest & schedule9 signals 90
105.1
Rest days
94.04
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
1
—
Short Rest Points Per Match
3.00
21
Normal Rest History Matches
28
2.29
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.68
15
Long Rest History Matches
17
1.07
Long Rest Points Per Match
2.00
Competition & season17 signals 170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
3
Competition Season Count
4
1
Eligible Competition Season Count
2
—
Portability PPG Std
0.22
—
Portability PPG Range
0.45
—
Portability Score
69.06
Odds & market11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal 10
37
Clean History Matches
47
Matchup differences86 signals 086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanPortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO-45.01
PPG-0.08
GF0.54
GA0.58
PPG-0.02
PPG0.20
PPG0.00
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-10
Clean-sheet rate-0.20
Failed-to-score rate-0.09
History Matches-5
Clean-sheet rate-0.24
Failed-to-score rate-0.13
History Matches-10
Goals Mean0.54
Goals Std0.10
Scored 1+ rate9.3%
Scored 2+ rate20.8%
Scored 3+ rate11.2%
Venue Goals Mean0.99
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.90
Recent 10 Goals Std0.12
History Matches-10
Conceded Mean0.58
Conceded Std0.27
Clean-sheet rate-0.20
Conceded 2+ rate21.4%
Conceded 3+ rate7.7%
Venue Conceded Mean0.68
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.90
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.22
History Matches-10
Result entropy-0.01
Goal Difference Std0.28
Stability score0.92
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.10
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.93
Eligible Matches-29
Lead Matches-13
Lead Win Rate-0.09
Lead Points Retention-0.04
Trailing Matches-5
Non-loss rate-0.08
Trailing Win Rate2.8%
Halftime Coverage Matches-29
First Half Goals For Mean0.25
First Half Goals Against Mean0.37
Second Half Goals For Mean0.14
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.21
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count-1
Eligible Competition Season Count-1
Rest days11.08
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-1
Normal Rest History Matches-7
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.61
Long Rest History Matches-2
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.93
Current Team ELO-45.01
Current Opponent ELO45.01
Current ELO Difference-90.03
Expected score-0.13
History Matches-10
Residual Mean-0.02
Overperformance-1.83
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.07
Latest results, with our pick
Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.
Flénu
D
Flénu1–1Rochefort31 Oct · home
Pick: Rochefort 46% · missed L
Flénu0–4Tubize25 Oct · home
Pick: Tubize 50% · hit L
Standard Liège II1–0Flénu18 Oct · away
Pick: Standard Liège II 43% · hit L
RWDM3–0Flénu29 Aug · away
Pick: RWDM 58% · hit Earlier results appear as match history is added
Albert Quévy-Mons
W
Albert Quévy-Mons3–0Standard Liège II7 Nov · home
Pick: Albert Quévy-Mons 58% · hit L
Union Saint-Gilloise II4–3Albert Quévy-Mons31 Oct · away
Pick: Albert Quévy-Mons 49% · missed W
RWDM1–2Albert Quévy-Mons24 Oct · away
Pick: Albert Quévy-Mons 47% · hit W
Albert Quévy-Mons2–0Rochefort21 Oct · home
Pick: Albert Quévy-Mons 48% · hit L
Standard Liège II3–2Albert Quévy-Mons7 Oct · away
Pick: Albert Quévy-Mons 47% · missed About this match
Flénu and Albert Quévy-Mons meet in First Amateur Division on Saturday 14 November 2026, kickoff 19:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC: Flénu win 24.2%, draw 23.5%, Albert Quévy-Mons win 52.2%. The pick is Albert Quévy-Mons win. Over 2.5 goals: 61.3%. Both teams to score: 56.3%.
Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.