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3. SNL - East Slovenia East - 14 2026

Fužinar vs Limbuš Pekre

Fužinar Home · Elo 1,534
Sat 14 Nov
UTC
Not started
Limbuš Pekre Away · Elo 1,495
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Fužinar win
Fužinar winPick
63.1%
Draw
20.3%
Limbuš Pekre win
16.6%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes61.8%
No38.2%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.574.3%
Under 2.525.7%

How much we know

Fužinar history23 matches
Limbuš Pekre history2 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 4 h ahead
    8 Nov · 08:45 UTC
  2. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    14 Nov · 13:00 UTC
  3. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  4. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 16,809 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 39.9% · said 37.7% · n 2,949
40–49% Won 45.3% · said 44.8% · n 6,860
50–59% Won 55.6% · said 54.4% · n 4,146
60–69% Won 63.9% · said 64.4% · n 2,031
70–79% Won 76.5% · said 73.9% · n 646
80%+ Won 83.1% · said 84.5% · n 177
This pick sits in the 60–69% band (63.1%). Picks in that band won 63.9% of the time, and the model said 64.4% on average, over 2,031 matches.

Why Fužinar are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Fužinar are rated 39 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,534 against 1,495. On rating alone Fužinar would be expected to take 56% of the points on offer.

  • Fužinar score far more

    2.48 goals a game over 23 matches for Fužinar, against 1.50 over 2 for Limbuš Pekre.

  • Defences are close

    Fužinar concede 1.43 a game, Limbuš Pekre 1.50.

  • Fužinar games more often go over 2.5 goals

    78% of Fužinar matches, against 50% for Limbuš Pekre. The model puts this match at 74% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 23 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Fužinar
Limbuš Pekre@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1533.7
ELO
1494.7
23
ELO · Matches
2
1533.7
Current Team ELO
1494.7
1494.7
Current Opponent ELO
1533.7
39.02
Current ELO Difference
-39.02
0.56
Expected score
0.44
23
History Matches
2
0.08
Residual Mean
-0.05
54.10
Overperformance
49.59
-0.01
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.05
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
2
0.60
PPG
1.50
1.20
Goals for per game
1.50
2.40
Goals against per game
1.50
20.0%
Win rate
50.0%
10
Matches
2
1.60
PPG
1.50
2.30
Goals for per game
1.50
1.60
Goals against per game
1.50
50.0%
Win rate
50.0%
2.30
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.50
1.68
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.50
1.60
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.50
1.50
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.50
0.86
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.63
2.79
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.00
Overall performance9 signals
90
23
Matches
2
1.74
PPG
1.50
52.2%
Win rate
50.0%
17.4%
Draw rate
0.0%
30.4%
Loss rate
50.0%
91.3%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
78.3%
Over 2.5 rate
50.0%
56.5%
Over 3.5 rate
50.0%
2.74
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.00
Venue performance10 signals
100
12
Matches
0
2.08
PPG
—
66.7%
Win rate
—
8.3%
Draw rate
—
25.0%
Loss rate
—
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
—
100.0%
Over 2.5 rate
—
75.0%
Over 3.5 rate
—
2.70
Goal difference · Standard deviation
—
12
History Matches
0
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
2.48
Goals for per game
1.50
82.6%
Scoring rate
50.0%
60.9%
BTTS rate
50.0%
3.25
Goals for per game
—
91.7%
Scoring rate
—
66.7%
BTTS rate
—
1.50
Goals for per game
1.50
100.0%
Scoring rate
50.0%
50.0%
BTTS rate
50.0%
23
History Matches
2
2.48
Goals Mean
1.50
1.93
Goals Std
1.50
82.6%
Scored 1+ rate
50.0%
60.9%
Scored 2+ rate
50.0%
39.1%
Scored 3+ rate
50.0%
3.25
Venue Goals Mean
—
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.43
Goals against per game
1.50
73.9%
Conceding rate
100.0%
1.42
Goals against per game
—
75.0%
Conceding rate
—
1.00
Goals against per game
1.50
50.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
23
History Matches
2
1.43
Conceded Mean
1.50
1.28
Conceded Std
0.50
43.5%
Conceded 2+ rate
50.0%
13.0%
Conceded 3+ rate
0.0%
1.42
Venue Conceded Mean
—
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
26.1%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
17.4%
Failed-to-score rate
50.0%
25.0%
Clean-sheet rate
—
8.3%
Failed-to-score rate
—
50.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
50.0%
26.1%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
17.4%
Failed-to-score rate
50.0%
25.0%
Clean-sheet rate
—
8.3%
Failed-to-score rate
—
26.1%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
23
History Matches
2
0.92
Result entropy
0.63
2.74
Goal Difference Std
2.00
8.46
Stability score
36.91
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
23
Eligible Matches
2
11
Lead Matches
1
81.8%
Lead Win Rate
100.0%
0.85
Lead Points Retention
1.00
5
Trailing Matches
1
0.0%
Non-loss rate
0.0%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
23
Halftime Coverage Matches
2
1.26
First Half Goals For Mean
1.50
0.78
First Half Goals Against Mean
1.50
1.22
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.00
0.65
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.00
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
83.19
Rest days
83.92
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
1
Short Rest History Matches
0
3.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
—
12
Normal Rest History Matches
1
1.92
Normal Rest Points Per Match
3.00
9
Long Rest History Matches
0
1.44
Long Rest Points Per Match
—
Competition & season17 signals
170
2
Matches
2
1.50
PPG
1.50
50.0%
Win rate
50.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
50.0%
Loss rate
50.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
50.0%
Over 2.5 rate
50.0%
0.0%
Over 3.5 rate
50.0%
1.50
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.00
2
Current Competition Matches
2
1.50
Current Competition PPG
1.50
0.50
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
0.00
3
Competition Season Count
1
2
Eligible Competition Season Count
0
0.25
Portability PPG Std
—
0.50
Portability PPG Range
—
66.67
Portability Score
—
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
23
Clean History Matches
2
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreClean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rateVenue Goals MeanVenue Conceded MeanPortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreShort Rest Points Per MatchLong Rest Points Per Match
ELO39.02
PPG0.24
GF0.98
GA-0.07
PPG0.00
PPG-0.90
PPG0.10
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches21
Clean-sheet rate26.1%
Failed-to-score rate-0.33
History Matches12
History Matches21
Goals Mean0.98
Goals Std0.43
Scored 1+ rate32.6%
Scored 2+ rate10.9%
Scored 3+ rate-0.11
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.80
Recent 10 Goals Std0.18
History Matches21
Conceded Mean-0.07
Conceded Std0.78
Clean-sheet rate26.1%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.07
Conceded 3+ rate13.0%
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.10
Recent 10 Conceded Std1.00
History Matches21
Result entropy0.28
Goal Difference Std0.74
Stability score-28.45
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.23
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.79
Eligible Matches21
Lead Matches10
Lead Win Rate-0.18
Lead Points Retention-0.15
Trailing Matches4
Non-loss rate0.0%
Trailing Win Rate0.0%
Halftime Coverage Matches21
First Half Goals For Mean-0.24
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.72
Second Half Goals For Mean1.22
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.65
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG0.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean0.50
Competition Season Count2
Eligible Competition Season Count2
Rest days-0.73
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches1
Normal Rest History Matches11
Normal Rest Points Per Match-1.08
Long Rest History Matches9
Current Team ELO39.02
Current Opponent ELO-39.02
Current ELO Difference78.05
Expected score0.11
History Matches21
Residual Mean0.12
Overperformance4.51
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.04

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Fužinar

L
Podvinci3–1Fužinar31 Oct · away
Pick: Fužinar 51% · missed
W
Fužinar3–0Čarda Martjanci28 Oct · home
Pick: Fužinar 51% · hit
W
Fužinar5–1Čarda Martjanci24 Oct · home
Pick: Fužinar 51% · hit
L
Rače1–0Fužinar17 Oct · away
Pick: Fužinar 40% · missed
W
Fužinar5–1Dobrovce29 Aug · home
Pick: Fužinar 83% · hit

Limbuš Pekre

D
Ljutomer2–2Limbuš Pekre31 Oct · away
Pick: Ljutomer 58% · missed
L
Limbuš Pekre1–3Podvinci28 Oct · home
Pick: Limbuš Pekre 46% · missed
L
Limbuš Pekre1–2Odranci29 Aug · home
Pick: Odranci 45% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Fužinar and Limbuš Pekre meet in 3. SNL - East on Saturday 14 November 2026, kickoff 13:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC: Fužinar win 63.1%, draw 20.3%, Limbuš Pekre win 16.6%. The pick is Fužinar win. Over 2.5 goals: 74.3%. Both teams to score: 61.8%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.