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3. SNL - East Slovenia East - 14 2026

Videm vs Korotan Prevalje

Videm Home · Elo 1,558
Sat 14 Nov
UTC
Not started
Korotan Prevalje Away · Elo 1,533
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Korotan Prevalje win
Videm win
38.3%
Draw
22.6%
Korotan Prevalje winPick
39.1%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes62.3%
No37.7%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.570.3%
Under 2.529.7%

How much we know

Videm history21 matches
Korotan Prevalje history19 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 4 h ahead
    8 Nov · 08:45 UTC
  2. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    14 Nov · 13:00 UTC
  3. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  4. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 16,809 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 39.9% · said 37.7% · n 2,949
40–49% Won 45.3% · said 44.8% · n 6,860
50–59% Won 55.6% · said 54.4% · n 4,146
60–69% Won 63.9% · said 64.4% · n 2,031
70–79% Won 76.5% · said 73.9% · n 646
80%+ Won 83.1% · said 84.5% · n 177
This pick sits in the 33–39% band (39.1%). Picks in that band won 39.9% of the time, and the model said 37.7% on average, over 2,949 matches.

Why Korotan Prevalje are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • The Elo ratings are level

    Elo 1,558 against 1,533. On rating alone the teams are close to even.

  • Videm score more

    2.29 goals a game over 21 matches for Videm, against 1.84 over 19 for Korotan Prevalje.

  • Defences are close

    Videm concede 1.67 a game, Korotan Prevalje 1.63.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    71% of Videm matches, against 68% for Korotan Prevalje. The model puts this match at 70% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 23 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Videm
Korotan Prevalje@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1557.7
ELO
1532.9
21
ELO · Matches
19
1557.7
Current Team ELO
1532.9
1532.9
Current Opponent ELO
1557.7
24.84
Current ELO Difference
-24.84
0.54
Expected score
0.46
21
History Matches
19
0.13
Residual Mean
0.09
56.70
Overperformance
54.37
-0.02
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.03
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.80
PPG
1.40
3.00
Goals for per game
1.80
2.80
Goals against per game
2.40
60.0%
Win rate
40.0%
10
Matches
10
1.60
PPG
1.70
2.40
Goals for per game
2.00
2.30
Goals against per game
2.00
50.0%
Win rate
50.0%
2.40
Recent 10 Goals Mean
2.00
1.62
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.10
2.30
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
2.00
1.90
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.79
0.86
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.94
1.97
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.19
Overall performance9 signals
90
21
Matches
19
2.00
PPG
1.79
61.9%
Win rate
52.6%
14.3%
Draw rate
21.1%
23.8%
Loss rate
26.3%
76.2%
Over 1.5 rate
89.5%
71.4%
Over 2.5 rate
68.4%
52.4%
Over 3.5 rate
52.6%
2.38
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.44
Venue performance10 signals
100
10
Matches
9
2.80
PPG
1.78
90.0%
Win rate
55.6%
10.0%
Draw rate
11.1%
0.0%
Loss rate
33.3%
80.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
80.0%
Over 2.5 rate
77.8%
50.0%
Over 3.5 rate
55.6%
1.17
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.71
10
History Matches
9
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
2.29
Goals for per game
1.84
85.7%
Scoring rate
84.2%
57.1%
BTTS rate
52.6%
2.70
Goals for per game
1.67
100.0%
Scoring rate
77.8%
60.0%
BTTS rate
55.6%
2.00
Goals for per game
2.00
100.0%
Scoring rate
50.0%
100.0%
BTTS rate
50.0%
21
History Matches
19
2.29
Goals Mean
1.84
1.55
Goals Std
1.23
85.7%
Scored 1+ rate
84.2%
66.7%
Scored 2+ rate
57.9%
38.1%
Scored 3+ rate
31.6%
2.70
Venue Goals Mean
1.67
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.67
Goals against per game
1.63
66.7%
Conceding rate
63.2%
0.90
Goals against per game
2.00
60.0%
Conceding rate
77.8%
2.50
Goals against per game
1.00
100.0%
Conceding rate
50.0%
21
History Matches
19
1.67
Conceded Mean
1.63
1.91
Conceded Std
1.72
38.1%
Conceded 2+ rate
42.1%
19.0%
Conceded 3+ rate
26.3%
0.90
Venue Conceded Mean
2.00
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
33.3%
Clean-sheet rate
36.8%
14.3%
Failed-to-score rate
15.8%
40.0%
Clean-sheet rate
22.2%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
22.2%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
50.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
50.0%
33.3%
Clean-sheet rate
36.8%
14.3%
Failed-to-score rate
15.8%
40.0%
Clean-sheet rate
22.2%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
22.2%
33.3%
Clean-sheet rate
36.8%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
21
History Matches
19
0.83
Result entropy
0.93
2.38
Goal Difference Std
2.44
16.57
Stability score
7.41
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
20
Eligible Matches
17
6
Lead Matches
7
100.0%
Lead Win Rate
85.7%
1.00
Lead Points Retention
0.90
5
Trailing Matches
4
40.0%
Non-loss rate
50.0%
20.0%
Trailing Win Rate
25.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
20
Halftime Coverage Matches
17
0.85
First Half Goals For Mean
0.76
0.80
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.71
1.45
Second Half Goals For Mean
1.00
0.75
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.71
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Short Rest Points Per Match
83.19
Rest days
83.83
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
0
9
Normal Rest History Matches
6
2.33
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.33
11
Long Rest History Matches
12
1.64
Long Rest Points Per Match
2.17
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Portability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability Score
2
Matches
2
1.50
PPG
2.00
50.0%
Win rate
50.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
50.0%
50.0%
Loss rate
0.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
50.0%
100.0%
Over 2.5 rate
50.0%
50.0%
Over 3.5 rate
50.0%
1.50
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.00
2
Current Competition Matches
2
1.50
Current Competition PPG
2.00
-0.50
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
1.00
3
Competition Season Count
3
1
Eligible Competition Season Count
1
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
21
Clean History Matches
19
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scorePortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO24.84
PPG0.21
GF0.44
GA0.04
PPG-0.50
PPG1.02
PPG0.40
PPG-0.10
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches2
Clean-sheet rate-0.04
Failed-to-score rate-0.02
History Matches1
Clean-sheet rate17.8%
Failed-to-score rate-0.22
History Matches2
Goals Mean0.44
Goals Std0.32
Scored 1+ rate1.5%
Scored 2+ rate8.8%
Scored 3+ rate6.5%
Venue Goals Mean1.03
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.40
Recent 10 Goals Std0.53
History Matches2
Conceded Mean0.04
Conceded Std0.19
Clean-sheet rate-0.04
Conceded 2+ rate-0.04
Conceded 3+ rate-0.07
Venue Conceded Mean-1.10
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.30
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.11
History Matches2
Result entropy-0.09
Goal Difference Std-0.06
Stability score9.16
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.08
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.22
Eligible Matches3
Lead Matches-1
Lead Win Rate14.3%
Lead Points Retention0.10
Trailing Matches1
Non-loss rate-0.10
Trailing Win Rate-0.05
Halftime Coverage Matches3
First Half Goals For Mean0.09
First Half Goals Against Mean0.09
Second Half Goals For Mean0.45
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.04
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG-0.50
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean-1.50
Competition Season Count0
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Rest days-0.65
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest History Matches3
Normal Rest Points Per Match1.00
Long Rest History Matches-1
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.53
Current Team ELO24.84
Current Opponent ELO-24.84
Current ELO Difference49.67
Expected score0.07
History Matches2
Residual Mean0.04
Overperformance2.33
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.05

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Videm

L
Videm1–3NK Ormoz31 Oct · home
Pick: Videm 43% · missed
W
Ljutomer0–3Videm28 Oct · away
Pick: Ljutomer 49% · missed
L
Videm0–2Brinje-Grosuplje25 Oct · home
Pick: Brinje-Grosuplje 37% · hit
W
Videm1–0Šampion Celje4 Oct · home
Pick: Videm 51% · hit
L
Šmartno3–0Videm29 Aug · away
Pick: Šmartno 48% · hit

Korotan Prevalje

W
Korotan Prevalje3–1Hajdina31 Oct · home
Pick: Korotan Prevalje 48% · hit
W
Korotan Prevalje3–0Šampion Celje28 Oct · home
Pick: Korotan Prevalje 60% · hit
L
Korotan Prevalje0–2Celje25 Oct · home
Pick: Celje 63% · hit
D
Rače0–0Korotan Prevalje26 Aug · away
Pick: Korotan Prevalje 42% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Videm and Korotan Prevalje meet in 3. SNL - East on Saturday 14 November 2026, kickoff 13:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC: Videm win 38.3%, draw 22.6%, Korotan Prevalje win 39.1%. The pick is Korotan Prevalje win. Over 2.5 goals: 70.3%. Both teams to score: 62.3%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.