ScoreProb
Super League Switzerland Round 13 2026

Grasshoppers vs Lausanne

Grasshoppers Home · Elo 1,450
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Lausanne Away · Elo 1,512
Letzigrund Stadion Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Lausanne win
Grasshoppers win
28.3%
Draw
22.3%
Lausanne winPick
49.4%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live stats · shots, possession, corners, side by side
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes60.8%
No39.2%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.558.9%
Under 2.541.1%

How much we know

Grasshoppers history76 matches
Lausanne history90 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 10 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 19:30 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (49.4%). Picks in that band won 45.4% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,162 matches.

Why Lausanne are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Lausanne are rated 63 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,512 against 1,450. On rating alone Lausanne would be expected to take 59% of the points on offer.

  • Lausanne score more

    1.39 goals a game over 76 matches for Grasshoppers, against 1.64 over 90 for Lausanne.

  • Lausanne concede fewer

    Grasshoppers concede 1.72 a game, Lausanne 1.44.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    61% of Grasshoppers matches, against 62% for Lausanne. The model puts this match at 59% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 22 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Grasshoppers
Lausanne@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1449.5
ELO
1512.1
76
ELO · Matches
90
1449.5
Current Team ELO
1512.1
1512.1
Current Opponent ELO
1449.5
-62.54
Current ELO Difference
62.54
0.41
Expected score
0.59
76
History Matches
90
-0.04
Residual Mean
0.00
46.83
Overperformance
50.40
0.03
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.04
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
0.80
PPG
1.40
1.80
Goals for per game
1.80
2.00
Goals against per game
1.40
20.0%
Win rate
40.0%
10
Matches
10
1.10
PPG
1.40
1.90
Goals for per game
1.60
1.90
Goals against per game
1.30
30.0%
Win rate
40.0%
1.90
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.60
1.51
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.74
1.90
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.30
1.30
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.19
0.94
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.96
2.57
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.61
Overall performance9 signals
90
76
Matches
90
1.03
PPG
1.38
26.3%
Win rate
36.7%
23.7%
Draw rate
27.8%
50.0%
Loss rate
35.6%
82.9%
Over 1.5 rate
84.4%
60.5%
Over 2.5 rate
62.2%
38.2%
Over 3.5 rate
36.7%
2.07
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.15
Venue performance10 signals
100
34
Matches
46
1.06
PPG
1.22
26.5%
Win rate
30.4%
26.5%
Draw rate
30.4%
47.1%
Loss rate
39.1%
85.3%
Over 1.5 rate
78.3%
64.7%
Over 2.5 rate
54.3%
44.1%
Over 3.5 rate
32.6%
1.82
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.27
34
History Matches
46
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.39
Goals for per game
1.64
76.3%
Scoring rate
81.1%
60.5%
BTTS rate
61.1%
1.56
Goals for per game
1.41
85.3%
Scoring rate
71.7%
67.6%
BTTS rate
54.3%
1.00
Goals for per game
1.00
100.0%
Scoring rate
75.0%
100.0%
BTTS rate
50.0%
76
History Matches
90
1.39
Goals Mean
1.64
1.30
Goals Std
1.52
76.3%
Scored 1+ rate
81.1%
32.9%
Scored 2+ rate
42.2%
18.4%
Scored 3+ rate
21.1%
1.56
Venue Goals Mean
1.41
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.72
Goals against per game
1.44
81.6%
Conceding rate
75.6%
1.65
Goals against per game
1.48
82.4%
Conceding rate
76.1%
2.33
Goals against per game
1.00
100.0%
Conceding rate
75.0%
76
History Matches
90
1.72
Conceded Mean
1.44
1.35
Conceded Std
1.17
51.3%
Conceded 2+ rate
45.6%
23.7%
Conceded 3+ rate
16.7%
1.65
Venue Conceded Mean
1.48
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
18.4%
Clean-sheet rate
24.4%
23.7%
Failed-to-score rate
18.9%
17.6%
Clean-sheet rate
23.9%
14.7%
Failed-to-score rate
28.3%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
25.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
25.0%
18.4%
Clean-sheet rate
24.4%
23.7%
Failed-to-score rate
18.9%
17.6%
Clean-sheet rate
23.9%
14.7%
Failed-to-score rate
28.3%
18.4%
Clean-sheet rate
24.4%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
76
History Matches
90
0.95
Result entropy
0.99
2.07
Goal Difference Std
2.15
5.42
Stability score
0.66
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
76
Eligible Matches
87
23
Lead Matches
29
65.2%
Lead Win Rate
65.5%
0.71
Lead Points Retention
0.75
26
Trailing Matches
24
26.9%
Non-loss rate
20.8%
3.8%
Trailing Win Rate
4.2%
Goal timing5 signals
50
76
Halftime Coverage Matches
87
0.62
First Half Goals For Mean
0.77
0.71
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.55
0.78
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.86
1.01
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.93
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
84.15
Rest days
77.15
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
12
Short Rest History Matches
20
0.58
Short Rest Points Per Match
1.65
38
Normal Rest History Matches
50
1.24
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.34
25
Long Rest History Matches
19
0.92
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.26
Competition & season17 signals
170
3
Matches
4
0.33
PPG
1.25
0.0%
Win rate
25.0%
33.3%
Draw rate
50.0%
66.7%
Loss rate
25.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
50.0%
66.7%
Over 2.5 rate
25.0%
33.3%
Over 3.5 rate
25.0%
1.25
Goal difference · Standard deviation
0.71
3
Current Competition Matches
4
0.33
Current Competition PPG
1.25
-1.33
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
0.00
7
Competition Season Count
8
5
Eligible Competition Season Count
6
0.54
Portability PPG Std
0.46
1.67
Portability PPG Range
1.23
48.06
Portability Score
51.84
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
76
Clean History Matches
90
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO-62.54
PPG-0.35
GF-0.25
GA0.28
PPG-0.92
PPG-0.16
PPG-0.60
PPG-0.30
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-14
Clean-sheet rate-0.06
Failed-to-score rate4.8%
History Matches-12
Clean-sheet rate-0.06
Failed-to-score rate-0.14
History Matches-14
Goals Mean-0.25
Goals Std-0.22
Scored 1+ rate-0.05
Scored 2+ rate-0.09
Scored 3+ rate-0.03
Venue Goals Mean0.15
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.30
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.23
History Matches-14
Conceded Mean0.28
Conceded Std0.19
Clean-sheet rate-0.06
Conceded 2+ rate5.8%
Conceded 3+ rate7.0%
Venue Conceded Mean0.17
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.60
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.11
History Matches-14
Result entropy-0.05
Goal Difference Std-0.08
Stability score4.76
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.02
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.04
Eligible Matches-11
Lead Matches-6
Lead Win Rate0.00
Lead Points Retention-0.04
Trailing Matches2
Non-loss rate6.1%
Trailing Win Rate0.00
Halftime Coverage Matches-11
First Half Goals For Mean-0.15
First Half Goals Against Mean0.16
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.09
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.08
Current Competition Matches-1
Current Competition PPG-0.92
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean-1.33
Competition Season Count-1
Eligible Competition Season Count-1
Portability PPG Std0.08
Portability PPG Range0.44
Portability Score-3.78
Rest days7.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-8
Short Rest Points Per Match-1.07
Normal Rest History Matches-12
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.10
Long Rest History Matches6
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.34
Current Team ELO-62.54
Current Opponent ELO62.54
Current ELO Difference-125.1
Expected score-0.18
History Matches-14
Residual Mean-0.04
Overperformance-3.57
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.01

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Grasshoppers

D
Grasshoppers2–2FC Vaduz31 Oct · home
Pick: Grasshoppers 39% · missed
D
FC Basel 18930–0Grasshoppers25 Oct · away
Pick: FC Basel 1893 58% · missed
W
Grenchen0–8Grasshoppers17 Oct · away
Pick: Grasshoppers 44% · hit
L
FC Vaduz5–2Grasshoppers30 Aug · away
Pick: FC Vaduz 50% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Lausanne

L
Lausanne4–5FC Thun1 Nov · home
Pick: Lausanne 59% · missed
L
FC Sion1–0Lausanne25 Oct · away
Pick: FC Sion 51% · hit
W
Winkeln St. Gallen0–7Lausanne18 Oct · away
Pick: Lausanne 51% · hit
L
Lausanne2–3FC Zurich29 Aug · home
Pick: Lausanne 66% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Grasshoppers and Lausanne meet in Super League on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 19:30 UTC. The match is played at Letzigrund Stadion. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Grasshoppers win 28.3%, draw 22.3%, Lausanne win 49.4%. The pick is Lausanne win. Over 2.5 goals: 58.9%. Both teams to score: 60.8%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.