Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Ramat Gan
Match result probability Model pick: Hapoel Petah Tikva win
Hapoel Petah Tikva winPick
46.1%
Draw
26.8%
Hapoel Ramat Gan win
27.1%
At kickoff this becomes the match centre
Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.
Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live stats · shots, possession, corners, side by side
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect
Both teams to score
Yes53.6%
No46.4%
Total goals · 2.5
Over 2.551.5%
Under 2.548.5%
How much we know
Hapoel Petah Tikva history68 matches
Hapoel Ramat Gan history64 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news
Your call
Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.
Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score
Match result: ours Hapoel Petah Tikva
Over / under 2.5: ours Over
Both teams to score: ours Yes
Life of this match
One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.
- Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 9 h ahead1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
- Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not changeLatest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
- Lineups appearAbout an hour before kickoff, where the competition provides them. This prediction does not use lineups.≈ 17:00 UTC
- KickoffThis page becomes the match centre7 Nov · 18:00 UTC
- Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
- Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC
How reliable are picks like this?
Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (46.1%). Picks in that band won 45.4% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,162 matches.
Why Hapoel Petah Tikva are the pick
Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.
-
Hapoel Ramat Gan are rated 77 Elo points higher
Elo 1,565 against 1,488. On rating alone Hapoel Ramat Gan would be expected to take 61% of the points on offer.
-
Hapoel Ramat Gan score more
1.43 goals a game over 68 matches for Hapoel Petah Tikva, against 1.64 over 64 for Hapoel Ramat Gan.
-
Defences are close
Hapoel Petah Tikva concede 1.19 a game, Hapoel Ramat Gan 1.20.
-
Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games
50% of Hapoel Petah Tikva matches, against 53% for Hapoel Ramat Gan. The model puts this match at 52% for over 2.5.
These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.
Compare the two teams
Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.
Match history used: up to 22 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Hapoel Ramat Gan@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals 100
1487.8
ELO
1565.0
68
ELO · Matches
64
1487.8
Current Team ELO
1565.0
1565.0
Current Opponent ELO
1487.8
-77.26
Current ELO Difference
77.26
0.39
Expected score
0.61
68
History Matches
64
-0.01
Residual Mean
0.06
49.56
Overperformance
54.23
-0.14
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.08
Recent form16 signals 160
5
Matches
5
0.00
PPG
1.00
0.40
Goals for per game
2.00
1.80
Goals against per game
2.20
0.0%
Win rate
20.0%
10
Matches
10
0.90
PPG
1.80
0.80
Goals for per game
1.90
1.20
Goals against per game
1.60
20.0%
Win rate
50.0%
0.80
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.90
0.75
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.70
1.20
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.60
0.98
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.66
0.94
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.94
1.20
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
0.78
Overall performance9 signals 90
68
Matches
64
1.49
PPG
1.59
41.2%
Win rate
45.3%
25.0%
Draw rate
23.4%
33.8%
Loss rate
31.3%
67.6%
Over 1.5 rate
76.6%
50.0%
Over 2.5 rate
53.1%
30.9%
Over 3.5 rate
31.3%
1.98
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.69
Venue performance10 signals 100
36
Matches
30
1.58
PPG
1.53
44.4%
Win rate
43.3%
25.0%
Draw rate
23.3%
30.6%
Loss rate
33.3%
66.7%
Over 1.5 rate
66.7%
47.2%
Over 2.5 rate
46.7%
33.3%
Over 3.5 rate
30.0%
1.89
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.58
36
History Matches
30
Scoring & attack16 signals 160
1.43
Goals for per game
1.64
73.5%
Scoring rate
78.1%
45.6%
BTTS rate
59.4%
1.50
Goals for per game
1.47
75.0%
Scoring rate
73.3%
44.4%
BTTS rate
46.7%
0.00
Goals for per game
1.00
0.0%
Scoring rate
100.0%
0.0%
BTTS rate
100.0%
68
History Matches
64
1.43
Goals Mean
1.64
1.36
Goals Std
1.43
73.5%
Scored 1+ rate
78.1%
36.8%
Scored 2+ rate
46.9%
17.6%
Scored 3+ rate
25.0%
1.50
Venue Goals Mean
1.47
Defense & conceding12 signals 120
1.19
Goals against per game
1.20
63.2%
Conceding rate
75.0%
1.08
Goals against per game
1.07
58.3%
Conceding rate
63.3%
1.00
Goals against per game
2.00
100.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
68
History Matches
64
1.19
Conceded Mean
1.20
1.25
Conceded Std
0.95
32.4%
Conceded 2+ rate
34.4%
14.7%
Conceded 3+ rate
9.4%
1.08
Venue Conceded Mean
1.07
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals 110
36.8%
Clean-sheet rate
25.0%
26.5%
Failed-to-score rate
21.9%
41.7%
Clean-sheet rate
36.7%
25.0%
Failed-to-score rate
26.7%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
100.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
36.8%
Clean-sheet rate
25.0%
26.5%
Failed-to-score rate
21.9%
41.7%
Clean-sheet rate
36.7%
25.0%
Failed-to-score rate
26.7%
36.8%
Clean-sheet rate
25.0%
Volatility & stability4 signals 40
68
History Matches
64
0.98
Result entropy
0.97
1.98
Goal Difference Std
1.69
1.82
Stability score
3.31
Halftime resilience7 signals 70
68
Eligible Matches
63
27
Lead Matches
19
74.1%
Lead Win Rate
78.9%
0.78
Lead Points Retention
0.82
13
Trailing Matches
13
23.1%
Non-loss rate
38.5%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
7.7%
Goal timing5 signals 50
68
Halftime Coverage Matches
63
0.72
First Half Goals For Mean
0.68
0.41
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.48
0.71
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.95
0.78
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.73
Rest & schedule9 signals 90
77.04
Rest days
77.02
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
6
Short Rest History Matches
6
0.50
Short Rest Points Per Match
1.67
43
Normal Rest History Matches
42
1.49
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.43
18
Long Rest History Matches
15
1.72
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.93
Competition & season17 signals 170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1
Matches
1
0.00
PPG
0.00
0.0%
Win rate
0.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
100.0%
Loss rate
100.0%
0.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
0.0%
Over 2.5 rate
100.0%
0.0%
Over 3.5 rate
0.0%
1
Current Competition Matches
1
0.00
Current Competition PPG
0.00
-1.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-1.00
7
Competition Season Count
7
4
Eligible Competition Season Count
3
0.76
Portability PPG Std
0.13
2.05
Portability PPG Range
0.32
39.64
Portability Score
79.30
Odds & market11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal 10
68
Clean History Matches
64
Matchup differences86 signals 086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO-77.26
PPG-0.11
GF-0.21
GA-0.01
PPG0.00
PPG0.05
PPG-1.00
PPG-0.90
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches4
Clean-sheet rate11.8%
Failed-to-score rate4.6%
History Matches6
Clean-sheet rate5.0%
Failed-to-score rate-0.02
History Matches4
Goals Mean-0.21
Goals Std-0.06
Scored 1+ rate-0.05
Scored 2+ rate-0.10
Scored 3+ rate-0.07
Venue Goals Mean0.03
Recent 10 Goals Mean-1.10
Recent 10 Goals Std0.05
History Matches4
Conceded Mean-0.01
Conceded Std0.30
Clean-sheet rate11.8%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.02
Conceded 3+ rate5.3%
Venue Conceded Mean0.02
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.40
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.32
History Matches4
Result entropy0.01
Goal Difference Std0.29
Stability score-1.49
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.00
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.42
Eligible Matches5
Lead Matches8
Lead Win Rate-0.05
Lead Points Retention-0.05
Trailing Matches0
Non-loss rate-0.15
Trailing Win Rate-0.08
Halftime Coverage Matches5
First Half Goals For Mean0.04
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.06
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.25
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.05
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG0.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean0.00
Competition Season Count0
Eligible Competition Season Count1
Portability PPG Std0.63
Portability PPG Range1.73
Portability Score-39.65
Rest days0.02
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Short Rest Points Per Match-1.17
Normal Rest History Matches1
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.06
Long Rest History Matches3
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.21
Current Team ELO-77.26
Current Opponent ELO77.26
Current ELO Difference-154.5
Expected score-0.22
History Matches4
Residual Mean-0.06
Overperformance-4.67
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.22
Latest results, with our pick
Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.
Hapoel Petah Tikva
W
Hapoel Petah Tikva1–0Hapoel Katamon29 Aug · home
Pick: Hapoel Petah Tikva 46% · hit Earlier results appear as match history is added
Hapoel Ramat Gan
L
Hapoel Ramat Gan1–2Maccabi Petah Tikva24 Oct · home
Pick: Hapoel Ramat Gan 44% · missed L
Hapoel Ramat Gan1–2Hapoel Beer Sheva29 Aug · home
Pick: Hapoel Beer Sheva 43% · hit Earlier results appear as match history is added
About this match
Hapoel Petah Tikva and Hapoel Ramat Gan meet in Ligat Ha'al on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 18:00 UTC. The match is played at HaMoshava Stadium, Petah Tikva. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Hapoel Petah Tikva win 46.1%, draw 26.8%, Hapoel Ramat Gan win 27.1%. The pick is Hapoel Petah Tikva win. Over 2.5 goals: 51.5%. Both teams to score: 53.6%.
Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.