ScoreProb
Ligat Ha'al Israel Round 10 2026

Maccabi Haifa vs Maccabi Netanya

Maccabi Haifa Home · Elo 1,549
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Maccabi Netanya Away · Elo 1,544
Sammy Ofer Stadium, Haifa Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Maccabi Haifa win
Maccabi Haifa winPick
56.6%
Draw
21.7%
Maccabi Netanya win
21.7%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live stats · shots, possession, corners, side by side
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes58.7%
No41.3%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.562.1%
Under 2.537.9%

How much we know

Maccabi Haifa history71 matches
Maccabi Netanya history66 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 9 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 18:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 50–59% band (56.6%). Picks in that band won 55.8% of the time, and the model said 54.4% on average, over 3,719 matches.

Why Maccabi Haifa are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • The Elo ratings are level

    Elo 1,549 against 1,544. On rating alone the teams are close to even.

  • Scoring rates are level

    1.73 goals a game over 71 matches for Maccabi Haifa, against 1.67 over 66 for Maccabi Netanya.

  • Defences are close

    Maccabi Haifa concede 1.52 a game, Maccabi Netanya 1.62.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    59% of Maccabi Haifa matches, against 61% for Maccabi Netanya. The model puts this match at 62% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 24 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Maccabi Haifa
Maccabi Netanya@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1549.3
ELO
1544.1
71
ELO · Matches
66
1549.3
Current Team ELO
1544.1
1544.1
Current Opponent ELO
1549.3
5.20
Current ELO Difference
-5.20
0.51
Expected score
0.49
71
History Matches
66
0.04
Residual Mean
0.04
53.26
Overperformance
52.72
0.07
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.16
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.80
PPG
1.40
1.40
Goals for per game
1.20
1.40
Goals against per game
1.00
60.0%
Win rate
40.0%
10
Matches
10
1.70
PPG
2.00
2.20
Goals for per game
1.90
1.70
Goals against per game
1.00
50.0%
Win rate
60.0%
2.20
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.90
1.66
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.37
1.70
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.00
1.00
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.89
0.94
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.86
1.80
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.30
Overall performance9 signals
90
71
Matches
66
1.46
PPG
1.55
40.8%
Win rate
45.5%
23.9%
Draw rate
18.2%
35.2%
Loss rate
36.4%
81.7%
Over 1.5 rate
81.8%
59.2%
Over 2.5 rate
60.6%
40.8%
Over 3.5 rate
39.4%
2.20
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.14
Venue performance10 signals
100
38
Matches
32
1.42
PPG
1.66
42.1%
Win rate
53.1%
15.8%
Draw rate
6.3%
42.1%
Loss rate
40.6%
84.2%
Over 1.5 rate
81.3%
65.8%
Over 2.5 rate
65.6%
44.7%
Over 3.5 rate
50.0%
2.11
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.32
38
History Matches
32
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.73
Goals for per game
1.67
74.6%
Scoring rate
77.3%
53.5%
BTTS rate
59.1%
1.84
Goals for per game
1.78
76.3%
Scoring rate
71.9%
55.3%
BTTS rate
50.0%
2.00
Goals for per game
0.00
100.0%
Scoring rate
0.0%
100.0%
BTTS rate
0.0%
71
History Matches
66
1.73
Goals Mean
1.67
1.61
Goals Std
1.37
74.6%
Scored 1+ rate
77.3%
45.1%
Scored 2+ rate
50.0%
29.6%
Scored 3+ rate
24.2%
1.84
Venue Goals Mean
1.78
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.52
Goals against per game
1.62
74.6%
Conceding rate
77.3%
1.58
Goals against per game
1.69
78.9%
Conceding rate
75.0%
1.00
Goals against per game
0.00
100.0%
Conceding rate
0.0%
71
History Matches
66
1.52
Conceded Mean
1.62
1.27
Conceded Std
1.54
43.7%
Conceded 2+ rate
42.4%
26.8%
Conceded 3+ rate
19.7%
1.58
Venue Conceded Mean
1.69
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
25.4%
Clean-sheet rate
22.7%
25.4%
Failed-to-score rate
22.7%
21.1%
Clean-sheet rate
25.0%
23.7%
Failed-to-score rate
28.1%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
100.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
100.0%
25.4%
Clean-sheet rate
22.7%
25.4%
Failed-to-score rate
22.7%
21.1%
Clean-sheet rate
25.0%
23.7%
Failed-to-score rate
28.1%
25.4%
Clean-sheet rate
22.7%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
71
History Matches
66
0.98
Result entropy
0.94
2.20
Goal Difference Std
2.14
2.10
Stability score
5.68
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
71
Eligible Matches
66
24
Lead Matches
22
79.2%
Lead Win Rate
72.7%
0.85
Lead Points Retention
0.77
22
Trailing Matches
22
31.8%
Non-loss rate
27.3%
13.6%
Trailing Win Rate
22.7%
Goal timing5 signals
50
71
Halftime Coverage Matches
66
0.75
First Half Goals For Mean
0.79
0.65
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.73
0.99
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.88
0.87
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.89
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
77.02
Rest days
75.04
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
4
Short Rest History Matches
6
0.25
Short Rest Points Per Match
1.83
43
Normal Rest History Matches
35
1.70
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.51
23
Long Rest History Matches
24
1.17
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.46
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1
Matches
1
3.00
PPG
1.00
100.0%
Win rate
0.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
100.0%
0.0%
Loss rate
0.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
0.0%
100.0%
Over 2.5 rate
0.0%
0.0%
Over 3.5 rate
0.0%
1
Current Competition Matches
1
3.00
Current Competition PPG
1.00
1.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
0.00
10
Competition Season Count
8
5
Eligible Competition Season Count
4
0.36
Portability PPG Std
0.28
1.05
Portability PPG Range
0.71
58.46
Portability Score
64.27
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
71
Clean History Matches
66
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO5.20
PPG-0.08
GF0.07
GA-0.10
PPG2.00
PPG-0.24
PPG0.40
PPG-0.30
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches5
Clean-sheet rate2.6%
Failed-to-score rate2.6%
History Matches6
Clean-sheet rate-0.04
Failed-to-score rate-0.04
History Matches5
Goals Mean0.07
Goals Std0.24
Scored 1+ rate-0.03
Scored 2+ rate-0.05
Scored 3+ rate5.3%
Venue Goals Mean0.06
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.30
Recent 10 Goals Std0.29
History Matches5
Conceded Mean-0.10
Conceded Std-0.28
Clean-sheet rate2.6%
Conceded 2+ rate1.2%
Conceded 3+ rate7.1%
Venue Conceded Mean-0.11
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.70
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.11
History Matches5
Result entropy0.04
Goal Difference Std0.06
Stability score-3.58
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.07
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.50
Eligible Matches5
Lead Matches2
Lead Win Rate6.4%
Lead Points Retention0.07
Trailing Matches0
Non-loss rate4.5%
Trailing Win Rate-0.09
Halftime Coverage Matches5
First Half Goals For Mean-0.04
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.08
Second Half Goals For Mean0.11
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.02
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG2.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean1.00
Competition Season Count2
Eligible Competition Season Count1
Portability PPG Std0.08
Portability PPG Range0.34
Portability Score-5.81
Rest days1.98
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-2
Short Rest Points Per Match-1.58
Normal Rest History Matches8
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.18
Long Rest History Matches-1
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.28
Current Team ELO5.20
Current Opponent ELO-5.20
Current ELO Difference10.39
Expected score0.01
History Matches5
Residual Mean0.01
Overperformance0.53
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.08

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Maccabi Haifa

L
Hapoel Tel Aviv2–1Maccabi Haifa2 Nov · away
Pick: Hapoel Tel Aviv 50% · hit
L
Maccabi Haifa2–5Hapoel Beer Sheva26 Oct · home
Pick: Hapoel Beer Sheva 47% · hit
W
Hapoel Katamon1–4Maccabi Haifa12 Oct · away
Pick: Maccabi Haifa 46% · hit
L
Maccabi Tel Aviv3–1Maccabi Haifa31 Aug · away
Pick: Maccabi Tel Aviv 64% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Maccabi Netanya

D
Ironi Tiberias1–1Maccabi Netanya24 Oct · away
Pick: Ironi Tiberias 43% · missed
W
Beitar Jerusalem1–4Maccabi Netanya29 Aug · away
Pick: Beitar Jerusalem 60% · missed
D
Maccabi Netanya0–0Bnei Sakhnin24 Aug · home
Pick: Maccabi Netanya 52% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Maccabi Haifa and Maccabi Netanya meet in Ligat Ha'al on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 18:00 UTC. The match is played at Sammy Ofer Stadium, Haifa. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Maccabi Haifa win 56.6%, draw 21.7%, Maccabi Netanya win 21.7%. The pick is Maccabi Haifa win. Over 2.5 goals: 62.1%. Both teams to score: 58.7%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.