ScoreProb
1st League - FBiH Bosnia & Herzegovina FBiH - 13 2026

Radnik Hadžići vs Rudar Kakanj

Radnik Hadžići Home · Elo 1,511
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Rudar Kakanj Away · Elo 1,481
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Radnik Hadžići win
Radnik Hadžići winPick
85.0%
Draw
8.4%
Rudar Kakanj win
6.6%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live score and events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Live stats · not provided for this competition by our data source
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes38.1%
No61.9%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.573.2%
Under 2.526.8%

How much we know

Radnik Hadžići history42 matches
Rudar Kakanj history2 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 3 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 12:30 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 80%+ band (85.0%). Picks in that band won 83.3% of the time, and the model said 84.5% on average, over 162 matches. This band has few matches, so treat the figures with care.

Why Radnik Hadžići are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Radnik Hadžići are rated 30 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,511 against 1,481. On rating alone Radnik Hadžići would be expected to take 54% of the points on offer.

  • Radnik Hadžići score far more

    1.43 goals a game over 42 matches for Radnik Hadžići, against 0.00 over 2 for Rudar Kakanj.

  • Radnik Hadžići concede fewer

    Radnik Hadžići concede 1.29 a game, Rudar Kakanj 3.00.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    57% of Radnik Hadžići matches, against 50% for Rudar Kakanj. The model puts this match at 73% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 23 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Radnik Hadžići
Rudar Kakanj
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1510.9
ELO
1481.2
42
ELO · Matches
2
1510.9
Current Team ELO
1481.2
1481.2
Current Opponent ELO
1510.9
29.79
Current ELO Difference
-29.79
0.54
Expected score
0.46
42
History Matches
2
0.01
Residual Mean
-0.47
50.82
Overperformance
45.73
-0.12
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.47
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
2
1.20
PPG
0.00
1.20
Goals for per game
0.00
1.00
Goals against per game
3.00
20.0%
Win rate
0.0%
10
Matches
2
1.00
PPG
0.00
1.00
Goals for per game
0.00
1.10
Goals against per game
3.00
20.0%
Win rate
0.0%
1.00
Recent 10 Goals Mean
0.00
0.77
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.00
1.10
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
3.00
1.14
Recent 10 Conceded Std
2.00
0.96
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.00
1.22
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.00
Overall performance9 signals
90
42
Matches
2
1.52
PPG
0.00
42.9%
Win rate
0.0%
23.8%
Draw rate
0.0%
33.3%
Loss rate
100.0%
78.6%
Over 1.5 rate
50.0%
57.1%
Over 2.5 rate
50.0%
33.3%
Over 3.5 rate
50.0%
1.57
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.00
Venue performance10 signals
100
21
Matches
1
1.76
PPG
0.00
52.4%
Win rate
0.0%
19.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
28.6%
Loss rate
100.0%
71.4%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
47.6%
Over 2.5 rate
100.0%
28.6%
Over 3.5 rate
100.0%
1.47
Goal difference · Standard deviation
—
21
History Matches
1
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.43
Goals for per game
0.00
76.2%
Scoring rate
0.0%
59.5%
BTTS rate
0.0%
1.52
Goals for per game
0.00
76.2%
Scoring rate
0.0%
52.4%
BTTS rate
0.0%
1.00
Goals for per game
0.00
50.0%
Scoring rate
0.0%
0.0%
BTTS rate
0.0%
42
History Matches
2
1.43
Goals Mean
0.00
1.09
Goals Std
0.00
76.2%
Scored 1+ rate
0.0%
45.2%
Scored 2+ rate
0.0%
19.0%
Scored 3+ rate
0.0%
1.52
Venue Goals Mean
0.00
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.29
Goals against per game
3.00
76.2%
Conceding rate
100.0%
1.00
Goals against per game
5.00
71.4%
Conceding rate
100.0%
0.00
Goals against per game
3.00
0.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
42
History Matches
2
1.29
Conceded Mean
3.00
1.01
Conceded Std
2.00
38.1%
Conceded 2+ rate
50.0%
11.9%
Conceded 3+ rate
50.0%
1.00
Venue Conceded Mean
5.00
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
23.8%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
23.8%
Failed-to-score rate
100.0%
28.6%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
23.8%
Failed-to-score rate
100.0%
100.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
50.0%
Failed-to-score rate
100.0%
23.8%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
23.8%
Failed-to-score rate
100.0%
28.6%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
23.8%
Failed-to-score rate
100.0%
23.8%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
42
History Matches
2
0.97
Result entropy
0.00
1.57
Goal Difference Std
2.00
2.51
Stability score
100.0
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
41
Eligible Matches
1
13
Lead Matches
0
76.9%
Lead Win Rate
—
0.82
Lead Points Retention
—
14
Trailing Matches
0
21.4%
Non-loss rate
—
14.3%
Trailing Win Rate
—
Goal timing5 signals
50
41
Halftime Coverage Matches
1
0.59
First Half Goals For Mean
0.00
0.59
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.00
0.83
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.00
0.73
Second Half Goals Against Mean
1.00
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
76.90
Rest days
76.90
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
1
Short Rest History Matches
0
0.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
—
25
Normal Rest History Matches
1
1.64
Normal Rest Points Per Match
0.00
15
Long Rest History Matches
0
1.47
Long Rest Points Per Match
—
Competition & season17 signals
170
2
Matches
2
2.00
PPG
0.00
50.0%
Win rate
0.0%
50.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
0.0%
Loss rate
100.0%
50.0%
Over 1.5 rate
50.0%
0.0%
Over 2.5 rate
50.0%
0.0%
Over 3.5 rate
50.0%
1.00
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.00
2
Current Competition Matches
2
2.00
Current Competition PPG
0.00
1.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-3.00
5
Competition Season Count
1
2
Eligible Competition Season Count
0
0.40
Portability PPG Std
—
0.80
Portability PPG Range
—
55.65
Portability Score
—
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
42
Clean History Matches
2
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreLead Win RateLead Points RetentionNon-loss rateTrailing Win RatePortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreShort Rest Points Per MatchLong Rest Points Per Match
ELO29.79
PPG1.52
GF1.43
GA-1.71
PPG2.00
PPG1.76
PPG1.20
PPG1.00
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches40
Clean-sheet rate23.8%
Failed-to-score rate-0.76
History Matches20
Clean-sheet rate28.6%
Failed-to-score rate-0.76
History Matches40
Goals Mean1.43
Goals Std1.09
Scored 1+ rate76.2%
Scored 2+ rate45.2%
Scored 3+ rate19.0%
Venue Goals Mean1.52
Recent 10 Goals Mean1.00
Recent 10 Goals Std0.77
History Matches40
Conceded Mean-1.71
Conceded Std-0.99
Clean-sheet rate23.8%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.12
Conceded 3+ rate-0.38
Venue Conceded Mean-4.00
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-1.90
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.86
History Matches40
Result entropy0.97
Goal Difference Std-0.43
Stability score-97.49
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.96
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.78
Eligible Matches40
Lead Matches13
Trailing Matches14
Halftime Coverage Matches40
First Half Goals For Mean0.59
First Half Goals Against Mean0.59
Second Half Goals For Mean0.83
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.27
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG2.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean4.00
Competition Season Count4
Eligible Competition Season Count2
Rest days0.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches1
Normal Rest History Matches24
Normal Rest Points Per Match1.64
Long Rest History Matches15
Current Team ELO29.79
Current Opponent ELO-29.79
Current ELO Difference59.59
Expected score0.09
History Matches40
Residual Mean0.48
Overperformance5.08
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.35

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Radnik Hadžići

W
Čapljina1–2Radnik Hadžići31 Oct · away
Pick: Radnik Hadžići 57% · hit
W
Radnik Hadžići2–1Igman Konjic24 Oct · home
Pick: Radnik Hadžići 49% · hit
L
Bratstvo Gračanica2–1Radnik Hadžići17 Oct · away
Pick: Bratstvo Gračanica 37% · hit
L
Zvijezda Gradačac2–0Radnik Hadžići29 Aug · away
Pick: Radnik Hadžići 48% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Rudar Kakanj

L
Rudar Kakanj0–6Zvijezda Gradačac31 Oct · home
Pick: Zvijezda Gradačac 58% · hit
L
TOŠK Tešanj5–1Rudar Kakanj25 Oct · away
Pick: TOŠK Tešanj 79% · hit
D
Rudar Kakanj1–1Budućnost Banovići17 Oct · home
Pick: Budućnost Banovići 49% · missed
L
Rudar Kakanj0–2Stupčanica Olovo29 Aug · home
Pick: Stupčanica Olovo 54% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Radnik Hadžići and Rudar Kakanj meet in 1st League - FBiH on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 12:30 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Radnik Hadžići win 85.0%, draw 8.4%, Rudar Kakanj win 6.6%. The pick is Radnik Hadžići win. Over 2.5 goals: 73.2%. Both teams to score: 38.1%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.