Rudar Prijedor vs Leotar
Match result probability Model pick: Rudar Prijedor win
Rudar Prijedor winPick
43.6%
Draw
25.1%
Leotar win
31.3%
At kickoff this becomes the match centre
Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.
Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect
Both teams to score
Yes45.9%
No54.1%
Total goals · 2.5
Over 2.543.7%
Under 2.556.3%
How much we know
Rudar Prijedor history57 matches
Leotar history46 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news
Your call
Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.
Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score
Match result: ours Rudar Prijedor
Over / under 2.5: ours Under
Both teams to score: ours No
Life of this match
One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.
- Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 3 h ahead8 Nov · 08:45 UTC
- Lineups appearAbout an hour before kickoff, where the competition provides them. This prediction does not use lineups.≈ 11:00 UTC
- KickoffThis page becomes the match centre14 Nov · 12:00 UTC
- Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
- Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC
How reliable are picks like this?
Across 16,809 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 39.9% · said 37.7% · n 2,949
40–49% Won 45.3% · said 44.8% · n 6,860
50–59% Won 55.6% · said 54.4% · n 4,146
60–69% Won 63.9% · said 64.4% · n 2,031
70–79% Won 76.5% · said 73.9% · n 646
80%+ Won 83.1% · said 84.5% · n 177
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (43.6%). Picks in that band won 45.3% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,860 matches.
Why Rudar Prijedor are the pick
Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.
-
Leotar are rated 132 Elo points higher
Elo 1,572 against 1,440. On rating alone Leotar would be expected to take 68% of the points on offer.
-
Leotar score more
1.04 goals a game over 57 matches for Rudar Prijedor, against 1.35 over 46 for Leotar.
-
Leotar concede fewer
Rudar Prijedor concede 1.32 a game, Leotar 0.72.
-
Rudar Prijedor games more often go over 2.5 goals
42% of Rudar Prijedor matches, against 30% for Leotar. The model puts this match at 44% for over 2.5.
These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.
Compare the two teams
Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.
Match history used: up to 8 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Leotar@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals 100
1440.2
ELO
1572.3
57
ELO · Matches
46
1440.2
Current Team ELO
1572.3
1572.3
Current Opponent ELO
1440.2
-132.2
Current ELO Difference
132.2
0.32
Expected score
0.68
57
History Matches
46
-0.05
Residual Mean
0.07
46.30
Overperformance
55.15
-0.15
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.26
Recent form16 signals 160
5
Matches
5
0.20
PPG
1.40
1.20
Goals for per game
0.80
2.80
Goals against per game
0.40
0.0%
Win rate
20.0%
10
Matches
10
0.70
PPG
2.20
1.00
Goals for per game
2.00
2.00
Goals against per game
0.30
20.0%
Win rate
60.0%
1.00
Recent 10 Goals Mean
2.00
1.10
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.61
2.00
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
0.30
1.26
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.64
0.73
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.61
1.26
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.55
Overall performance9 signals 90
57
Matches
46
1.11
PPG
1.52
29.8%
Win rate
37.0%
21.1%
Draw rate
41.3%
49.1%
Loss rate
21.7%
59.6%
Over 1.5 rate
65.2%
42.1%
Over 2.5 rate
30.4%
22.8%
Over 3.5 rate
17.4%
1.81
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.82
Venue performance10 signals 100
29
Matches
24
1.41
PPG
1.21
41.4%
Win rate
25.0%
17.2%
Draw rate
45.8%
41.4%
Loss rate
29.2%
69.0%
Over 1.5 rate
54.2%
44.8%
Over 2.5 rate
25.0%
27.6%
Over 3.5 rate
12.5%
1.32
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.41
29
History Matches
24
Scoring & attack16 signals 160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
1.04
Goals for per game
1.35
57.9%
Scoring rate
67.4%
38.6%
BTTS rate
34.8%
1.21
Goals for per game
0.83
75.9%
Scoring rate
54.2%
51.7%
BTTS rate
29.2%
57
History Matches
46
1.04
Goals Mean
1.35
1.20
Goals Std
1.45
57.9%
Scored 1+ rate
67.4%
29.8%
Scored 2+ rate
37.0%
8.8%
Scored 3+ rate
15.2%
1.21
Venue Goals Mean
0.83
Defense & conceding12 signals 120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
1.32
Goals against per game
0.72
71.9%
Conceding rate
47.8%
1.31
Goals against per game
0.83
69.0%
Conceding rate
45.8%
57
History Matches
46
1.32
Conceded Mean
0.72
1.26
Conceded Std
0.92
33.3%
Conceded 2+ rate
17.4%
17.5%
Conceded 3+ rate
4.3%
1.31
Venue Conceded Mean
0.83
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
28.1%
Clean-sheet rate
52.2%
42.1%
Failed-to-score rate
32.6%
31.0%
Clean-sheet rate
54.2%
24.1%
Failed-to-score rate
45.8%
28.1%
Clean-sheet rate
52.2%
42.1%
Failed-to-score rate
32.6%
31.0%
Clean-sheet rate
54.2%
24.1%
Failed-to-score rate
45.8%
28.1%
Clean-sheet rate
52.2%
Volatility & stability4 signals 40
57
History Matches
46
0.94
Result entropy
0.97
1.81
Goal Difference Std
1.82
5.51
Stability score
3.07
Halftime resilience7 signals 70
57
Eligible Matches
46
13
Lead Matches
18
76.9%
Lead Win Rate
72.2%
0.79
Lead Points Retention
0.80
18
Trailing Matches
7
16.7%
Non-loss rate
14.3%
5.6%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals 50
57
Halftime Coverage Matches
46
0.46
First Half Goals For Mean
0.63
0.54
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.33
0.58
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.72
0.77
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.39
Rest & schedule9 signals 90
98.13
Rest days
167.9
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
5
Short Rest History Matches
5
1.80
Short Rest Points Per Match
1.40
34
Normal Rest History Matches
26
1.03
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.58
17
Long Rest History Matches
14
1.06
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.50
Competition & season17 signals 170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
4
Competition Season Count
3
3
Eligible Competition Season Count
2
0.34
Portability PPG Std
0.38
0.79
Portability PPG Range
0.77
59.47
Portability Score
56.65
Odds & market11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal 10
57
Clean History Matches
46
Matchup differences86 signals 086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
ELO-132.2
PPG-0.42
GF-0.31
GA0.60
PPG0.21
PPG-1.20
PPG-1.50
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches11
Clean-sheet rate-0.24
Failed-to-score rate9.5%
History Matches5
Clean-sheet rate-0.23
Failed-to-score rate-0.22
History Matches11
Goals Mean-0.31
Goals Std-0.25
Scored 1+ rate-0.09
Scored 2+ rate-0.07
Scored 3+ rate-0.06
Venue Goals Mean0.37
Recent 10 Goals Mean-1.00
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.52
History Matches11
Conceded Mean0.60
Conceded Std0.33
Clean-sheet rate-0.24
Conceded 2+ rate15.9%
Conceded 3+ rate13.2%
Venue Conceded Mean0.48
Recent 10 Conceded Mean1.70
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.62
History Matches11
Result entropy-0.02
Goal Difference Std-0.01
Stability score2.44
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.12
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.29
Eligible Matches11
Lead Matches-5
Lead Win Rate4.7%
Lead Points Retention0.00
Trailing Matches11
Non-loss rate2.4%
Trailing Win Rate5.6%
Halftime Coverage Matches11
First Half Goals For Mean-0.17
First Half Goals Against Mean0.22
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.14
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.38
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count1
Eligible Competition Season Count1
Portability PPG Std-0.04
Portability PPG Range0.03
Portability Score2.81
Rest days-69.73
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Short Rest Points Per Match0.40
Normal Rest History Matches8
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.55
Long Rest History Matches3
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.44
Current Team ELO-132.2
Current Opponent ELO132.2
Current ELO Difference-264.4
Expected score-0.36
History Matches11
Residual Mean-0.12
Overperformance-8.84
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.41
Latest results, with our pick
Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.
Rudar Prijedor
L
TOŠK Tešanj5–2Rudar Prijedor28 Oct · away
Pick: TOŠK Tešanj 38% · hit L
Famos Vojkovići4–2Rudar Prijedor21 Oct · away
Pick: Famos Vojkovići 39% · hit Earlier results appear as match history is added
Leotar
L
Famos Vojkovići1–0Leotar28 Oct · away
Pick: Famos Vojkovići 38% · hit D
Slavija1–1Leotar24 Oct · away
Pick: Slavija 35% · missed W
Leotar3–0Velež Nevesinje21 Oct · home
Pick: Leotar 54% · hit W
Leotar1–0Laktaši17 Oct · home
Pick: Laktaši 40% · missed D
Drina Zvornik2–2Leotar29 Aug · away
Pick: Drina Zvornik 36% · missed About this match
Rudar Prijedor and Leotar meet in 1st League - RS on Saturday 14 November 2026, kickoff 12:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC: Rudar Prijedor win 43.6%, draw 25.1%, Leotar win 31.3%. The pick is Rudar Prijedor win. Over 2.5 goals: 43.7%. Both teams to score: 45.9%.
Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.