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Regionalliga - Nord Germany North - 18 2026

Schöningen vs HSC Hannover

Schöningen Home · Elo 1,509
Sat 14 Nov
UTC
Not started
HSC Hannover Away · Elo 1,499
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Schöningen win
Schöningen winPick
51.4%
Draw
22.4%
HSC Hannover win
26.2%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes61.6%
No38.4%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.571.1%
Under 2.528.9%

How much we know

Schöningen history71 matches
HSC Hannover history57 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 4 h ahead
    8 Nov · 08:45 UTC
  2. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    14 Nov · 13:00 UTC
  3. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  4. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 16,809 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 39.9% · said 37.7% · n 2,949
40–49% Won 45.3% · said 44.8% · n 6,860
50–59% Won 55.6% · said 54.4% · n 4,146
60–69% Won 63.9% · said 64.4% · n 2,031
70–79% Won 76.5% · said 73.9% · n 646
80%+ Won 83.1% · said 84.5% · n 177
This pick sits in the 50–59% band (51.4%). Picks in that band won 55.6% of the time, and the model said 54.4% on average, over 4,146 matches.

Why Schöningen are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • The Elo ratings are level

    Elo 1,509 against 1,499. On rating alone the teams are close to even.

  • Scoring rates are level

    1.73 goals a game over 71 matches for Schöningen, against 1.77 over 57 for HSC Hannover.

  • Defences are close

    Schöningen concede 2.01 a game, HSC Hannover 2.23.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    70% of Schöningen matches, against 74% for HSC Hannover. The model puts this match at 71% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 16 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Schöningen
HSC Hannover@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1508.6
ELO
1499.0
71
ELO · Matches
57
1508.6
Current Team ELO
1499.0
1499.0
Current Opponent ELO
1508.6
9.56
Current ELO Difference
-9.56
0.51
Expected score
0.49
71
History Matches
57
0.00
Residual Mean
-0.01
49.79
Overperformance
49.57
0.23
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.28
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
2.60
PPG
1.60
1.80
Goals for per game
1.80
0.40
Goals against per game
1.40
80.0%
Win rate
40.0%
10
Matches
10
1.90
PPG
2.00
2.00
Goals for per game
2.50
2.10
Goals against per game
1.50
60.0%
Win rate
60.0%
2.00
Recent 10 Goals Mean
2.50
1.48
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.75
2.10
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.50
2.43
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.28
0.82
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.86
3.01
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.67
Overall performance9 signals
90
71
Matches
57
1.34
PPG
1.30
38.0%
Win rate
36.8%
19.7%
Draw rate
19.3%
42.3%
Loss rate
43.9%
90.1%
Over 1.5 rate
86.0%
70.4%
Over 2.5 rate
73.7%
50.7%
Over 3.5 rate
61.4%
2.38
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.26
Venue performance10 signals
100
32
Matches
30
1.13
PPG
1.23
31.3%
Win rate
36.7%
18.8%
Draw rate
13.3%
50.0%
Loss rate
50.0%
87.5%
Over 1.5 rate
86.7%
65.6%
Over 2.5 rate
76.7%
46.9%
Over 3.5 rate
66.7%
2.33
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.38
32
History Matches
30
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.73
Goals for per game
1.77
73.2%
Scoring rate
78.9%
60.6%
BTTS rate
63.2%
1.44
Goals for per game
1.67
68.8%
Scoring rate
76.7%
59.4%
BTTS rate
70.0%
1.75
Goals for per game
2.00
100.0%
Scoring rate
75.0%
50.0%
BTTS rate
25.0%
71
History Matches
57
1.73
Goals Mean
1.77
1.46
Goals Std
1.54
73.2%
Scored 1+ rate
78.9%
53.5%
Scored 2+ rate
45.6%
29.6%
Scored 3+ rate
31.6%
1.44
Venue Goals Mean
1.67
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
2.01
Goals against per game
2.23
81.7%
Conceding rate
80.7%
2.16
Goals against per game
2.40
81.3%
Conceding rate
90.0%
0.50
Goals against per game
1.50
50.0%
Conceding rate
50.0%
71
History Matches
57
2.01
Conceded Mean
2.23
1.71
Conceded Std
1.76
52.1%
Conceded 2+ rate
63.2%
32.4%
Conceded 3+ rate
40.4%
2.16
Venue Conceded Mean
2.40
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
18.3%
Clean-sheet rate
19.3%
26.8%
Failed-to-score rate
21.1%
18.8%
Clean-sheet rate
10.0%
31.3%
Failed-to-score rate
23.3%
50.0%
Clean-sheet rate
50.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
25.0%
18.3%
Clean-sheet rate
19.3%
26.8%
Failed-to-score rate
21.1%
18.8%
Clean-sheet rate
10.0%
31.3%
Failed-to-score rate
23.3%
18.3%
Clean-sheet rate
19.3%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
71
History Matches
57
0.96
Result entropy
0.95
2.38
Goal Difference Std
2.26
4.26
Stability score
4.71
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
70
Eligible Matches
56
24
Lead Matches
14
75.0%
Lead Win Rate
85.7%
0.79
Lead Points Retention
0.90
23
Trailing Matches
22
17.4%
Non-loss rate
22.7%
8.7%
Trailing Win Rate
4.5%
Goal timing5 signals
50
70
Halftime Coverage Matches
56
0.71
First Half Goals For Mean
0.71
0.77
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.98
0.97
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.96
1.26
Second Half Goals Against Mean
1.14
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
90.00
Rest days
90.00
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
7
Short Rest History Matches
1
0.71
Short Rest Points Per Match
1.00
44
Normal Rest History Matches
37
1.50
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.27
19
Long Rest History Matches
18
1.21
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.28
Competition & season17 signals
170
4
Matches
4
2.50
PPG
1.75
75.0%
Win rate
50.0%
25.0%
Draw rate
25.0%
0.0%
Loss rate
25.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
75.0%
25.0%
Over 2.5 rate
50.0%
0.0%
Over 3.5 rate
25.0%
0.83
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.80
4
Current Competition Matches
4
2.50
Current Competition PPG
1.75
1.25
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
0.50
6
Competition Season Count
5
5
Eligible Competition Season Count
4
0.51
Portability PPG Std
0.48
1.50
Portability PPG Range
1.20
49.51
Portability Score
50.78
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
71
Clean History Matches
57
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO9.56
PPG0.04
GF-0.04
GA-0.21
PPG0.75
PPG-0.11
PPG1.00
PPG-0.10
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches14
Clean-sheet rate-0.01
Failed-to-score rate5.7%
History Matches2
Clean-sheet rate8.8%
Failed-to-score rate7.9%
History Matches14
Goals Mean-0.04
Goals Std-0.08
Scored 1+ rate-0.06
Scored 2+ rate7.9%
Scored 3+ rate-0.02
Venue Goals Mean-0.23
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.50
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.26
History Matches14
Conceded Mean-0.21
Conceded Std-0.05
Clean-sheet rate-0.01
Conceded 2+ rate-0.11
Conceded 3+ rate-0.08
Venue Conceded Mean-0.24
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.60
Recent 10 Conceded Std1.14
History Matches14
Result entropy0.00
Goal Difference Std0.12
Stability score-0.45
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.05
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std1.34
Eligible Matches14
Lead Matches10
Lead Win Rate-0.11
Lead Points Retention-0.11
Trailing Matches1
Non-loss rate-0.05
Trailing Win Rate4.2%
Halftime Coverage Matches14
First Half Goals For Mean0.00
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.21
Second Half Goals For Mean0.01
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.11
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG0.75
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean0.75
Competition Season Count1
Eligible Competition Season Count1
Portability PPG Std0.03
Portability PPG Range0.30
Portability Score-1.27
Rest days0.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches6
Short Rest Points Per Match-0.29
Normal Rest History Matches7
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.23
Long Rest History Matches1
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.07
Current Team ELO9.56
Current Opponent ELO-9.56
Current ELO Difference19.11
Expected score0.03
History Matches14
Residual Mean0.00
Overperformance0.22
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.05

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Schöningen

W
Atlas Delmenhorst1–3Schöningen7 Nov · away
Pick: Schöningen 44% · hit
L
Schöningen0–3Phönix Lübeck31 Oct · home
Pick: Schöningen 50% · missed
L
Hannover 96 II4–2Schöningen17 Oct · away
Pick: Hannover 96 II 41% · hit
L
HSC Hannover2–0Schöningen4 Oct · away
Pick: Schöningen 48% · missed
D
Bremer SV2–2Schöningen30 Aug · away
Pick: Schöningen 49% · missed

HSC Hannover

D
HSC Hannover1–1SV Drochtersen/Assel1 Nov · home
Pick: HSC Hannover 41% · missed
L
VfB Oldenburg2–1HSC Hannover24 Oct · away
Pick: VfB Oldenburg 70% · hit
D
HSC Hannover1–1Todesfelde18 Oct · home
Pick: HSC Hannover 44% · missed
W
HSC Hannover2–0Schöningen4 Oct · home
Pick: Schöningen 48% · missed
D
Werder Bremen II1–1HSC Hannover29 Aug · away
Pick: HSC Hannover 44% · missed

About this match

Schöningen and HSC Hannover meet in Regionalliga - Nord on Saturday 14 November 2026, kickoff 13:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC: Schöningen win 51.4%, draw 22.4%, HSC Hannover win 26.2%. The pick is Schöningen win. Over 2.5 goals: 71.1%. Both teams to score: 61.6%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.