Singapore U23 vs Vietnam U23
Match result probability Model pick: Vietnam U23 win
Singapore U23 win
20.8%
Draw
16.3%
Vietnam U23 winPick
62.9%
At kickoff this becomes the match centre
Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.
Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live stats · shots, possession, corners, side by side
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect
Both teams to score
Yes43.7%
No56.3%
Total goals · 2.5
Over 2.550.9%
Under 2.549.1%
How much we know
Singapore U23 history3 matches
Vietnam U23 history16 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news
Your call
Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.
Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score
Match result: ours Vietnam U23
Over / under 2.5: ours Over
Both teams to score: ours No
Life of this match
One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.
- Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 3 h ahead6 Nov · 08:47 UTC
- Lineups appearAbout an hour before kickoff, where the competition provides them. This prediction does not use lineups.≈ 11:00 UTC
- KickoffThis page becomes the match centre12 Nov · 12:00 UTC
- Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
- Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC
How reliable are picks like this?
Across 15,392 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,699
40–49% Won 45.5% · said 44.8% · n 6,277
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,777
60–69% Won 63.7% · said 64.4% · n 1,884
70–79% Won 76.4% · said 73.9% · n 589
80%+ Won 83.1% · said 84.4% · n 166
This pick sits in the 60–69% band (62.9%). Picks in that band won 63.7% of the time, and the model said 64.4% on average, over 1,884 matches.
Why Vietnam U23 are the pick
Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.
-
Vietnam U23 are rated 77 Elo points higher
Elo 1,546 against 1,470. On rating alone Vietnam U23 would be expected to take 61% of the points on offer.
-
Vietnam U23 score far more
0.67 goals a game over 3 matches for Singapore U23, against 1.38 over 16 for Vietnam U23.
-
Vietnam U23 concede fewer
Singapore U23 concede 2.33 a game, Vietnam U23 0.81.
-
Singapore U23 games more often go over 2.5 goals
67% of Singapore U23 matches, against 44% for Vietnam U23. The model puts this match at 51% for over 2.5.
These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.
Compare the two teams
Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.
Match history used: up to 31 Mar 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Singapore U23
Vietnam U23@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals 100
1469.6
ELO
1546.2
3
ELO · Matches
16
1469.6
Current Team ELO
1546.2
1546.2
Current Opponent ELO
1469.6
-76.63
Current ELO Difference
76.63
0.39
Expected score
0.61
3
History Matches
16
-0.48
Residual Mean
0.17
43.79
Overperformance
57.34
-0.48
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.02
Recent form16 signals 160
3
Matches
5
0.00
PPG
0.40
0.67
Goals for per game
0.60
2.33
Goals against per game
1.60
0.0%
Win rate
0.0%
3
Matches
10
0.00
PPG
1.50
0.67
Goals for per game
1.10
2.33
Goals against per game
1.10
0.0%
Win rate
40.0%
0.67
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.10
0.47
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.83
2.33
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.10
1.25
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.94
0.00
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.99
0.94
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.34
Overall performance9 signals 90
3
Matches
16
0.00
PPG
2.06
0.0%
Win rate
62.5%
0.0%
Draw rate
18.8%
100.0%
Loss rate
18.8%
66.7%
Over 1.5 rate
62.5%
66.7%
Over 2.5 rate
43.8%
33.3%
Over 3.5 rate
12.5%
0.94
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.37
Venue performance10 signals 100
2
Matches
6
0.00
PPG
2.00
0.0%
Win rate
66.7%
0.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
100.0%
Loss rate
33.3%
50.0%
Over 1.5 rate
33.3%
50.0%
Over 2.5 rate
33.3%
50.0%
Over 3.5 rate
0.0%
1.00
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.37
2
History Matches
6
Scoring & attack16 signals 160
0.67
Goals for per game
1.38
66.7%
Scoring rate
81.3%
66.7%
BTTS rate
37.5%
0.50
Goals for per game
1.17
50.0%
Scoring rate
66.7%
50.0%
BTTS rate
16.7%
—
Goals for per game
0.33
—
Scoring rate
33.3%
—
BTTS rate
33.3%
3
History Matches
16
0.67
Goals Mean
1.38
0.47
Goals Std
0.86
66.7%
Scored 1+ rate
81.3%
0.0%
Scored 2+ rate
50.0%
0.0%
Scored 3+ rate
6.3%
0.50
Venue Goals Mean
1.17
Defense & conceding12 signals 120
2.33
Goals against per game
0.81
100.0%
Conceding rate
56.3%
2.50
Goals against per game
0.50
100.0%
Conceding rate
50.0%
—
Goals against per game
1.00
—
Conceding rate
100.0%
3
History Matches
16
2.33
Conceded Mean
0.81
1.25
Conceded Std
0.88
66.7%
Conceded 2+ rate
18.8%
33.3%
Conceded 3+ rate
6.3%
2.50
Venue Conceded Mean
0.50
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals 110
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
43.8%
33.3%
Failed-to-score rate
18.8%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
50.0%
50.0%
Failed-to-score rate
33.3%
—
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
—
Failed-to-score rate
66.7%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
43.8%
33.3%
Failed-to-score rate
18.8%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
50.0%
50.0%
Failed-to-score rate
33.3%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
43.8%
Volatility & stability4 signals 40
3
History Matches
16
0.00
Result entropy
0.84
0.94
Goal Difference Std
1.37
100.0
Stability score
16.12
Halftime resilience7 signals 70
3
Eligible Matches
16
0
Lead Matches
7
—
Lead Win Rate
71.4%
—
Lead Points Retention
0.81
1
Trailing Matches
2
0.0%
Non-loss rate
0.0%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals 50
3
Halftime Coverage Matches
16
0.00
First Half Goals For Mean
0.69
0.67
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.31
0.67
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.69
1.67
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.50
Rest & schedule9 signals 90
429.1
Rest days
226.0
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
1
Short Rest History Matches
5
0.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
2.00
1
Normal Rest History Matches
7
0.00
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.86
0
Long Rest History Matches
3
—
Long Rest Points Per Match
2.33
Competition & season17 signals 170
0
Matches
3
—
PPG
0.33
—
Win rate
0.0%
—
Draw rate
33.3%
—
Loss rate
66.7%
—
Over 1.5 rate
33.3%
—
Over 2.5 rate
0.0%
—
Over 3.5 rate
0.0%
—
Goal difference · Standard deviation
0.47
0
Current Competition Matches
3
—
Current Competition PPG
0.33
—
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-0.67
1
Competition Season Count
4
1
Eligible Competition Season Count
4
—
Portability PPG Std
1.10
—
Portability PPG Range
2.67
—
Portability Score
31.34
Odds & market11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal 10
3
Clean History Matches
16
Matchup differences86 signals 086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreLead Win RateLead Points RetentionCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanPortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreLong Rest Points Per Match
ELO-76.63
PPG-2.06
GF-0.71
GA1.52
PPG-2.00
PPG-0.40
PPG-1.50
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-13
Clean-sheet rate-0.44
Failed-to-score rate14.6%
History Matches-4
Clean-sheet rate-0.50
Failed-to-score rate16.7%
History Matches-13
Goals Mean-0.71
Goals Std-0.39
Scored 1+ rate-0.15
Scored 2+ rate-0.50
Scored 3+ rate-0.06
Venue Goals Mean-0.67
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.43
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.36
History Matches-13
Conceded Mean1.52
Conceded Std0.37
Clean-sheet rate-0.44
Conceded 2+ rate47.9%
Conceded 3+ rate27.1%
Venue Conceded Mean2.00
Recent 10 Conceded Mean1.23
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.30
History Matches-13
Result entropy-0.84
Goal Difference Std-0.43
Stability score83.88
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.99
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.40
Eligible Matches-13
Lead Matches-7
Trailing Matches-1
Non-loss rate0.0%
Trailing Win Rate0.0%
Halftime Coverage Matches-13
First Half Goals For Mean-0.69
First Half Goals Against Mean0.35
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.02
Second Half Goals Against Mean1.17
Current Competition Matches-3
Competition Season Count-3
Eligible Competition Season Count-3
Rest days203.1
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-4
Short Rest Points Per Match-2.00
Normal Rest History Matches-6
Normal Rest Points Per Match-1.86
Long Rest History Matches-3
Current Team ELO-76.63
Current Opponent ELO76.63
Current ELO Difference-153.3
Expected score-0.22
History Matches-13
Residual Mean-0.64
Overperformance-13.55
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.46
Latest results, with our pick
Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.
Singapore U23
No earlier results with our pick yet
Vietnam U23
No earlier results with our pick yet
About this match
Singapore U23 and Vietnam U23 meet in Friendlies on Thursday 12 November 2026, kickoff 12:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 6 Nov, 08:47 UTC: Singapore U23 win 20.8%, draw 16.3%, Vietnam U23 win 62.9%. The pick is Vietnam U23 win. Over 2.5 goals: 50.9%. Both teams to score: 43.7%.
Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.