YF Juventus vs Bulle
Match result probability Model pick: Bulle win
YF Juventus win
39.6%
Draw
18.8%
Bulle winPick
41.5%
At kickoff this becomes the match centre
Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.
Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect
Both teams to score
Yes62.9%
No37.1%
Total goals · 2.5
Over 2.569.1%
Under 2.530.9%
How much we know
YF Juventus history65 matches
Bulle history61 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news
Your call
Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.
Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score
Match result: ours Bulle
Over / under 2.5: ours Over
Both teams to score: ours Yes
Life of this match
One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.
- Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 6 h ahead8 Nov · 08:45 UTC
- Lineups appearAbout an hour before kickoff, where the competition provides them. This prediction does not use lineups.≈ 14:00 UTC
- KickoffThis page becomes the match centre14 Nov · 15:00 UTC
- Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
- Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC
How reliable are picks like this?
Across 16,809 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 39.9% · said 37.7% · n 2,949
40–49% Won 45.3% · said 44.8% · n 6,860
50–59% Won 55.6% · said 54.4% · n 4,146
60–69% Won 63.9% · said 64.4% · n 2,031
70–79% Won 76.5% · said 73.9% · n 646
80%+ Won 83.1% · said 84.5% · n 177
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (41.5%). Picks in that band won 45.3% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,860 matches.
Why Bulle are the pick
Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.
-
YF Juventus are rated 74 Elo points higher
Elo 1,602 against 1,528. On rating alone YF Juventus would be expected to take 60% of the points on offer.
-
YF Juventus score more
2.09 goals a game over 65 matches for YF Juventus, against 1.87 over 61 for Bulle.
-
YF Juventus concede fewer
YF Juventus concede 1.14 a game, Bulle 1.82.
-
Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games
69% of YF Juventus matches, against 69% for Bulle. The model puts this match at 69% for over 2.5.
These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.
Compare the two teams
Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.
Match history used: up to 22 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Bulle@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals 100
1601.8
ELO
1527.8
65
ELO · Matches
61
1601.8
Current Team ELO
1527.8
1527.8
Current Opponent ELO
1601.8
74.02
Current ELO Difference
-74.02
0.60
Expected score
0.40
65
History Matches
61
0.08
Residual Mean
0.02
56.08
Overperformance
51.52
-0.15
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.26
Recent form16 signals 160
5
Matches
5
0.60
PPG
2.00
1.00
Goals for per game
2.80
3.20
Goals against per game
1.80
20.0%
Win rate
60.0%
10
Matches
10
1.30
PPG
2.30
1.40
Goals for per game
2.80
2.00
Goals against per game
1.80
40.0%
Win rate
70.0%
1.40
Recent 10 Goals Mean
2.80
1.02
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.08
2.00
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.80
1.90
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.08
0.86
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.73
2.33
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.41
Overall performance9 signals 90
65
Matches
61
1.95
PPG
1.31
60.0%
Win rate
34.4%
15.4%
Draw rate
27.9%
24.6%
Loss rate
37.7%
84.6%
Over 1.5 rate
95.1%
69.2%
Over 2.5 rate
68.9%
38.5%
Over 3.5 rate
50.8%
2.20
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.72
Venue performance10 signals 100
34
Matches
32
1.94
PPG
1.34
58.8%
Win rate
31.3%
17.6%
Draw rate
40.6%
23.5%
Loss rate
28.1%
82.4%
Over 1.5 rate
96.9%
64.7%
Over 2.5 rate
65.6%
38.2%
Over 3.5 rate
53.1%
2.28
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.49
34
History Matches
32
Scoring & attack16 signals 160
2.09
Goals for per game
1.87
89.2%
Scoring rate
95.1%
56.9%
BTTS rate
83.6%
2.09
Goals for per game
1.81
88.2%
Scoring rate
96.9%
50.0%
BTTS rate
93.8%
1.00
Goals for per game
3.00
75.0%
Scoring rate
100.0%
50.0%
BTTS rate
100.0%
65
History Matches
61
2.09
Goals Mean
1.87
1.48
Goals Std
1.19
89.2%
Scored 1+ rate
95.1%
58.5%
Scored 2+ rate
49.2%
33.8%
Scored 3+ rate
27.9%
2.09
Venue Goals Mean
1.81
Defense & conceding12 signals 120
1.14
Goals against per game
1.82
64.6%
Conceding rate
86.9%
1.12
Goals against per game
1.84
55.9%
Conceding rate
93.8%
2.50
Goals against per game
1.67
75.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
65
History Matches
61
1.14
Conceded Mean
1.82
1.26
Conceded Std
1.21
24.6%
Conceded 2+ rate
55.7%
15.4%
Conceded 3+ rate
26.2%
1.12
Venue Conceded Mean
1.84
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals 110
35.4%
Clean-sheet rate
13.1%
10.8%
Failed-to-score rate
4.9%
44.1%
Clean-sheet rate
6.3%
11.8%
Failed-to-score rate
3.1%
25.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
25.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
35.4%
Clean-sheet rate
13.1%
10.8%
Failed-to-score rate
4.9%
44.1%
Clean-sheet rate
6.3%
11.8%
Failed-to-score rate
3.1%
35.4%
Clean-sheet rate
13.1%
Volatility & stability4 signals 40
65
History Matches
61
0.86
Result entropy
0.99
2.20
Goal Difference Std
1.72
14.48
Stability score
0.70
Halftime resilience7 signals 70
55
Eligible Matches
59
30
Lead Matches
20
90.0%
Lead Win Rate
55.0%
0.91
Lead Points Retention
0.65
7
Trailing Matches
19
0.0%
Non-loss rate
36.8%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
10.5%
Goal timing5 signals 50
55
Halftime Coverage Matches
59
1.04
First Half Goals For Mean
0.98
0.49
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.88
0.95
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.92
0.71
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.93
Rest & schedule9 signals 90
84.00
Rest days
84.13
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
7
Short Rest History Matches
4
2.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
0.75
42
Normal Rest History Matches
30
1.90
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.40
15
Long Rest History Matches
26
2.20
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.31
Competition & season17 signals 170
4
Matches
3
0.75
PPG
2.33
25.0%
Win rate
66.7%
0.0%
Draw rate
33.3%
75.0%
Loss rate
0.0%
75.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
75.0%
Over 2.5 rate
100.0%
50.0%
Over 3.5 rate
100.0%
1.50
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.25
4
Current Competition Matches
3
0.75
Current Competition PPG
2.33
-1.50
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
1.33
9
Competition Season Count
6
6
Eligible Competition Season Count
4
0.50
Portability PPG Std
0.65
1.62
Portability PPG Range
1.67
50.07
Portability Score
43.50
Odds & market11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal 10
65
Clean History Matches
61
Matchup differences86 signals 086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO74.02
PPG0.64
GF0.22
GA-0.68
PPG-1.58
PPG0.60
PPG-1.40
PPG-1.00
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches4
Clean-sheet rate22.3%
Failed-to-score rate5.9%
History Matches2
Clean-sheet rate37.9%
Failed-to-score rate8.6%
History Matches4
Goals Mean0.22
Goals Std0.28
Scored 1+ rate-0.06
Scored 2+ rate9.3%
Scored 3+ rate6.0%
Venue Goals Mean0.28
Recent 10 Goals Mean-1.40
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.06
History Matches4
Conceded Mean-0.68
Conceded Std0.06
Clean-sheet rate22.3%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.31
Conceded 3+ rate-0.11
Venue Conceded Mean-0.73
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.20
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.82
History Matches4
Result entropy-0.14
Goal Difference Std0.48
Stability score13.78
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.13
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.92
Eligible Matches-4
Lead Matches10
Lead Win Rate35.0%
Lead Points Retention0.26
Trailing Matches-12
Non-loss rate-0.37
Trailing Win Rate-0.11
Halftime Coverage Matches-4
First Half Goals For Mean0.05
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.39
Second Half Goals For Mean0.03
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.22
Current Competition Matches1
Current Competition PPG-1.58
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean-2.83
Competition Season Count3
Eligible Competition Season Count2
Portability PPG Std-0.15
Portability PPG Range-0.05
Portability Score6.57
Rest days-0.13
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches3
Short Rest Points Per Match1.25
Normal Rest History Matches12
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.50
Long Rest History Matches-11
Long Rest Points Per Match0.89
Current Team ELO74.02
Current Opponent ELO-74.02
Current ELO Difference148.0
Expected score0.21
History Matches4
Residual Mean0.06
Overperformance4.56
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.42
Latest results, with our pick
Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.
YF Juventus
W
Lugano II1–6YF Juventus7 Nov · away
Pick: YF Juventus 38% · hit L
YF Juventus0–2Brühl31 Oct · home
Pick: YF Juventus 42% · missed W
YF Juventus3–1Breitenrain24 Oct · home
Pick: YF Juventus 43% · hit L
Zürich II2–1YF Juventus17 Oct · away
Pick: Zürich II 51% · hit L
YF Juventus2–3Basel II29 Aug · home
Pick: YF Juventus 50% · missed Bulle
W
Bulle3–0Zürich II7 Nov · home
Pick: Bulle 63% · hit W
Bellinzona0–1Bulle1 Nov · away
Pick: Bulle 69% · hit W
Bulle3–2Grand-Saconnex25 Oct · home
Pick: Bulle 49% · hit W
Kreuzlingen2–3Bulle21 Oct · away
Pick: Bulle 50% · hit L
Bulle0–1FC WIL 190017 Oct · home
Pick: FC WIL 1900 43% · hit About this match
YF Juventus and Bulle meet in 1. Liga Promotion on Saturday 14 November 2026, kickoff 15:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC: YF Juventus win 39.6%, draw 18.8%, Bulle win 41.5%. The pick is Bulle win. Over 2.5 goals: 69.1%. Both teams to score: 62.9%.
Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.