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Football League - Highland League Scotland Highland League - 17 2026

Banks O' Dee vs Formartine United

Banks O' Dee Home · Elo 1,525
Sat 14 Nov
UTC
Not started
Formartine United Away · Elo 1,603
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Formartine United win
Banks O' Dee win
31.8%
Draw
25.9%
Formartine United winPick
42.2%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes56.8%
No43.2%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.558.5%
Under 2.541.5%

How much we know

Banks O' Dee history54 matches
Formartine United history51 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 6 h ahead
    8 Nov · 08:45 UTC
  2. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    14 Nov · 15:00 UTC
  3. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  4. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 16,809 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 39.9% · said 37.7% · n 2,949
40–49% Won 45.3% · said 44.8% · n 6,860
50–59% Won 55.6% · said 54.4% · n 4,146
60–69% Won 63.9% · said 64.4% · n 2,031
70–79% Won 76.5% · said 73.9% · n 646
80%+ Won 83.1% · said 84.5% · n 177
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (42.2%). Picks in that band won 45.3% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,860 matches.

Why Formartine United are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Formartine United are rated 78 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,603 against 1,525. On rating alone Formartine United would be expected to take 61% of the points on offer.

  • Scoring rates are level

    1.78 goals a game over 54 matches for Banks O' Dee, against 1.86 over 51 for Formartine United.

  • Formartine United concede fewer

    Banks O' Dee concede 1.33 a game, Formartine United 1.00.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    54% of Banks O' Dee matches, against 59% for Formartine United. The model puts this match at 59% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 26 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Banks O' Dee
Formartine United@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1524.5
ELO
1602.8
54
ELO · Matches
51
1524.5
Current Team ELO
1602.8
1602.8
Current Opponent ELO
1524.5
-78.31
Current ELO Difference
78.31
0.39
Expected score
0.61
54
History Matches
51
0.03
Residual Mean
0.10
51.88
Overperformance
57.13
-0.18
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.09
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
0.80
PPG
2.60
1.20
Goals for per game
3.20
3.00
Goals against per game
1.40
20.0%
Win rate
80.0%
10
Matches
10
1.00
PPG
2.20
1.40
Goals for per game
2.30
2.60
Goals against per game
1.40
20.0%
Win rate
70.0%
1.40
Recent 10 Goals Mean
2.30
0.66
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.27
2.60
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.40
2.20
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.02
0.96
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.73
2.27
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.76
Overall performance9 signals
90
54
Matches
51
1.72
PPG
1.98
50.0%
Win rate
56.9%
22.2%
Draw rate
27.5%
27.8%
Loss rate
15.7%
85.2%
Over 1.5 rate
78.4%
53.7%
Over 2.5 rate
58.8%
37.0%
Over 3.5 rate
39.2%
2.27
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.58
Venue performance10 signals
100
29
Matches
25
2.07
PPG
1.76
65.5%
Win rate
48.0%
10.3%
Draw rate
32.0%
24.1%
Loss rate
20.0%
79.3%
Over 1.5 rate
72.0%
58.6%
Over 2.5 rate
56.0%
44.8%
Over 3.5 rate
28.0%
2.27
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.20
29
History Matches
25
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.78
Goals for per game
1.86
85.2%
Scoring rate
80.4%
55.6%
BTTS rate
62.7%
2.07
Goals for per game
1.60
89.7%
Scoring rate
72.0%
51.7%
BTTS rate
72.0%
1.57
Goals for per game
2.14
100.0%
Scoring rate
85.7%
71.4%
BTTS rate
85.7%
54
History Matches
51
1.78
Goals Mean
1.86
1.42
Goals Std
1.33
85.2%
Scored 1+ rate
80.4%
46.3%
Scored 2+ rate
58.8%
25.9%
Scored 3+ rate
33.3%
2.07
Venue Goals Mean
1.60
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.33
Goals against per game
1.00
70.4%
Conceding rate
72.5%
1.10
Goals against per game
1.04
62.1%
Conceding rate
88.0%
2.14
Goals against per game
1.71
71.4%
Conceding rate
100.0%
54
History Matches
51
1.33
Conceded Mean
1.00
1.41
Conceded Std
0.89
31.5%
Conceded 2+ rate
19.6%
16.7%
Conceded 3+ rate
3.9%
1.10
Venue Conceded Mean
1.04
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
29.6%
Clean-sheet rate
27.5%
14.8%
Failed-to-score rate
19.6%
37.9%
Clean-sheet rate
12.0%
10.3%
Failed-to-score rate
28.0%
28.6%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
14.3%
29.6%
Clean-sheet rate
27.5%
14.8%
Failed-to-score rate
19.6%
37.9%
Clean-sheet rate
12.0%
10.3%
Failed-to-score rate
28.0%
29.6%
Clean-sheet rate
27.5%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
54
History Matches
51
0.94
Result entropy
0.88
2.27
Goal Difference Std
1.58
5.64
Stability score
12.03
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
43
Eligible Matches
40
15
Lead Matches
14
80.0%
Lead Win Rate
85.7%
0.87
Lead Points Retention
0.90
16
Trailing Matches
10
18.8%
Non-loss rate
60.0%
6.3%
Trailing Win Rate
30.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
43
Halftime Coverage Matches
40
0.77
First Half Goals For Mean
0.73
0.79
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.58
0.95
Second Half Goals For Mean
1.13
0.65
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.38
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
80.84
Rest days
84.04
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
11
Short Rest History Matches
11
1.64
Short Rest Points Per Match
1.91
28
Normal Rest History Matches
26
1.82
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.77
14
Long Rest History Matches
13
1.71
Long Rest Points Per Match
2.38
Competition & season17 signals
170
7
Matches
7
1.29
PPG
1.86
28.6%
Win rate
57.1%
42.9%
Draw rate
14.3%
28.6%
Loss rate
28.6%
85.7%
Over 1.5 rate
85.7%
42.9%
Over 2.5 rate
85.7%
42.9%
Over 3.5 rate
57.1%
2.13
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.84
7
Current Competition Matches
7
1.29
Current Competition PPG
1.86
-0.57
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
0.43
6
Competition Season Count
6
4
Eligible Competition Season Count
3
0.31
Portability PPG Std
0.20
0.81
Portability PPG Range
0.50
61.48
Portability Score
71.01
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
54
Clean History Matches
51
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO-78.31
PPG-0.26
GF-0.08
GA0.33
PPG-0.57
PPG0.31
PPG-1.80
PPG-1.20
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches3
Clean-sheet rate2.2%
Failed-to-score rate-0.05
History Matches4
Clean-sheet rate25.9%
Failed-to-score rate-0.18
History Matches3
Goals Mean-0.08
Goals Std0.09
Scored 1+ rate4.8%
Scored 2+ rate-0.13
Scored 3+ rate-0.07
Venue Goals Mean0.47
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.90
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.61
History Matches3
Conceded Mean0.33
Conceded Std0.53
Clean-sheet rate2.2%
Conceded 2+ rate11.9%
Conceded 3+ rate12.7%
Venue Conceded Mean0.06
Recent 10 Conceded Mean1.20
Recent 10 Conceded Std1.18
History Matches3
Result entropy0.06
Goal Difference Std0.68
Stability score-6.39
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.23
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.51
Eligible Matches3
Lead Matches1
Lead Win Rate-0.06
Lead Points Retention-0.04
Trailing Matches6
Non-loss rate-0.41
Trailing Win Rate-0.24
Halftime Coverage Matches3
First Half Goals For Mean0.04
First Half Goals Against Mean0.22
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.17
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.28
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG-0.57
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean-1.00
Competition Season Count0
Eligible Competition Season Count1
Portability PPG Std0.11
Portability PPG Range0.31
Portability Score-9.53
Rest days-3.20
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Short Rest Points Per Match-0.27
Normal Rest History Matches2
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.05
Long Rest History Matches1
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.67
Current Team ELO-78.31
Current Opponent ELO78.31
Current ELO Difference-156.6
Expected score-0.22
History Matches3
Residual Mean-0.07
Overperformance-5.26
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.26

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Banks O' Dee

W
Banks O' Dee4–0Clachnacuddin17 Oct · home
Pick: Clachnacuddin 50% · missed
W
Banks O' Dee2–0Motherwell U2113 Oct · home
Pick: Banks O' Dee 61% · hit
L
Banks O' Dee1–3Fraserburgh7 Oct · home
Pick: Fraserburgh 57% · hit
W
Banks O' Dee6–3Invergordon29 Aug · home
Pick: Banks O' Dee 69% · hit
L
Ross County4–0Banks O' Dee25 Aug · away
Pick: Ross County 70% · hit

Formartine United

L
Formartine United0–2Cove Rangers3 Nov · home
Pick: Formartine United 48% · missed
L
Wick Academy2–1Formartine United17 Oct · away
Pick: Formartine United 75% · missed
L
Cove Rangers2–1Formartine United13 Oct · away
Pick: Formartine United 46% · missed
W
Formartine United2–1Deveronvale7 Oct · home
Pick: Formartine United 78% · hit
W
Forres Mechanics1–2Formartine United29 Aug · away
Pick: Formartine United 39% · hit

About this match

Banks O' Dee and Formartine United meet in Football League - Highland League on Saturday 14 November 2026, kickoff 15:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC: Banks O' Dee win 31.8%, draw 25.9%, Formartine United win 42.2%. The pick is Formartine United win. Over 2.5 goals: 58.5%. Both teams to score: 56.8%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.