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Football League - Highland League Scotland Highland League - 17 2026

Buckie Thistle vs Wick Academy

Buckie Thistle Home · Elo 1,574
Sat 14 Nov
UTC
Not started
Wick Academy Away · Elo 1,380
Victoria Park, Buckie Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Buckie Thistle win
Buckie Thistle winPick
80.7%
Draw
12.4%
Wick Academy win
6.9%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes47.6%
No52.4%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.580.8%
Under 2.519.2%

How much we know

Buckie Thistle history51 matches
Wick Academy history46 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 6 h ahead
    8 Nov · 08:45 UTC
  2. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    14 Nov · 15:00 UTC
  3. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  4. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 16,809 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 39.9% · said 37.7% · n 2,949
40–49% Won 45.3% · said 44.8% · n 6,860
50–59% Won 55.6% · said 54.4% · n 4,146
60–69% Won 63.9% · said 64.4% · n 2,031
70–79% Won 76.5% · said 73.9% · n 646
80%+ Won 83.1% · said 84.5% · n 177
This pick sits in the 80%+ band (80.7%). Picks in that band won 83.1% of the time, and the model said 84.5% on average, over 177 matches. This band has few matches, so treat the figures with care.

Why Buckie Thistle are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Buckie Thistle are rated 193 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,574 against 1,380. On rating alone Buckie Thistle would be expected to take 75% of the points on offer.

  • Buckie Thistle score far more

    2.04 goals a game over 51 matches for Buckie Thistle, against 1.24 over 46 for Wick Academy.

  • Buckie Thistle concede fewer

    Buckie Thistle concede 1.29 a game, Wick Academy 1.83.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    63% of Buckie Thistle matches, against 59% for Wick Academy. The model puts this match at 81% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 22 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Buckie Thistle
Wick Academy@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1573.6
ELO
1380.3
51
ELO · Matches
46
1573.6
Current Team ELO
1380.3
1380.3
Current Opponent ELO
1573.6
193.4
Current ELO Difference
-193.4
0.75
Expected score
0.25
51
History Matches
46
0.07
Residual Mean
-0.12
54.68
Overperformance
41.30
0.31
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.36
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
2.60
PPG
0.00
3.80
Goals for per game
0.60
1.00
Goals against per game
3.60
80.0%
Win rate
0.0%
10
Matches
10
2.50
PPG
0.10
2.70
Goals for per game
0.50
0.70
Goals against per game
3.20
80.0%
Win rate
0.0%
2.70
Recent 10 Goals Mean
0.50
2.05
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.67
0.70
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
3.20
0.78
Recent 10 Conceded Std
2.04
0.58
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.30
2.05
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.19
Overall performance9 signals
90
51
Matches
46
1.75
PPG
0.93
51.0%
Win rate
23.9%
21.6%
Draw rate
21.7%
27.5%
Loss rate
54.3%
86.3%
Over 1.5 rate
80.4%
62.7%
Over 2.5 rate
58.7%
45.1%
Over 3.5 rate
32.6%
2.50
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.31
Venue performance10 signals
100
24
Matches
22
1.79
PPG
0.91
54.2%
Win rate
22.7%
16.7%
Draw rate
22.7%
29.2%
Loss rate
54.5%
79.2%
Over 1.5 rate
86.4%
58.3%
Over 2.5 rate
54.5%
37.5%
Over 3.5 rate
31.8%
2.66
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.43
24
History Matches
22
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
2.04
Goals for per game
1.24
84.3%
Scoring rate
65.2%
54.9%
BTTS rate
54.3%
2.17
Goals for per game
1.00
79.2%
Scoring rate
68.2%
45.8%
BTTS rate
50.0%
3.50
Goals for per game
0.43
100.0%
Scoring rate
28.6%
50.0%
BTTS rate
28.6%
51
History Matches
46
2.04
Goals Mean
1.24
1.79
Goals Std
1.39
84.3%
Scored 1+ rate
65.2%
54.9%
Scored 2+ rate
30.4%
27.5%
Scored 3+ rate
13.0%
2.17
Venue Goals Mean
1.00
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.29
Goals against per game
1.83
64.7%
Conceding rate
78.3%
1.17
Goals against per game
2.23
58.3%
Conceding rate
77.3%
0.83
Goals against per game
3.14
50.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
51
History Matches
46
1.29
Conceded Mean
1.83
1.30
Conceded Std
1.63
37.3%
Conceded 2+ rate
54.3%
17.6%
Conceded 3+ rate
26.1%
1.17
Venue Conceded Mean
2.23
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
35.3%
Clean-sheet rate
21.7%
15.7%
Failed-to-score rate
34.8%
41.7%
Clean-sheet rate
22.7%
20.8%
Failed-to-score rate
31.8%
50.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
71.4%
35.3%
Clean-sheet rate
21.7%
15.7%
Failed-to-score rate
34.8%
41.7%
Clean-sheet rate
22.7%
20.8%
Failed-to-score rate
31.8%
35.3%
Clean-sheet rate
21.7%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
51
History Matches
46
0.94
Result entropy
0.92
2.50
Goal Difference Std
2.31
6.32
Stability score
8.50
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
40
Eligible Matches
34
18
Lead Matches
7
83.3%
Lead Win Rate
42.9%
0.87
Lead Points Retention
0.57
11
Trailing Matches
15
9.1%
Non-loss rate
6.7%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
6.7%
Goal timing5 signals
50
40
Halftime Coverage Matches
34
1.03
First Half Goals For Mean
0.44
0.65
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.94
1.00
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.56
0.73
Second Half Goals Against Mean
1.18
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
84.04
Rest days
84.04
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
9
Short Rest History Matches
5
1.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
1.20
30
Normal Rest History Matches
27
1.80
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.11
11
Long Rest History Matches
13
2.27
Long Rest Points Per Match
0.46
Competition & season17 signals
170
6
Matches
7
2.67
PPG
0.00
83.3%
Win rate
0.0%
16.7%
Draw rate
0.0%
0.0%
Loss rate
100.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
66.7%
Over 2.5 rate
57.1%
50.0%
Over 3.5 rate
28.6%
2.13
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.25
6
Current Competition Matches
7
2.67
Current Competition PPG
0.00
2.67
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-2.71
4
Competition Season Count
4
4
Eligible Competition Season Count
3
0.45
Portability PPG Std
0.68
1.26
Portability PPG Range
1.67
52.50
Portability Score
42.35
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
51
Clean History Matches
46
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO193.4
PPG0.81
GF0.80
GA-0.53
PPG2.67
PPG0.88
PPG2.60
PPG2.40
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches5
Clean-sheet rate13.6%
Failed-to-score rate-0.19
History Matches2
Clean-sheet rate18.9%
Failed-to-score rate-0.11
History Matches5
Goals Mean0.80
Goals Std0.41
Scored 1+ rate19.1%
Scored 2+ rate24.5%
Scored 3+ rate14.4%
Venue Goals Mean1.17
Recent 10 Goals Mean2.20
Recent 10 Goals Std1.38
History Matches5
Conceded Mean-0.53
Conceded Std-0.33
Clean-sheet rate13.6%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.17
Conceded 3+ rate-0.08
Venue Conceded Mean-1.06
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-2.50
Recent 10 Conceded Std-1.26
History Matches5
Result entropy0.02
Goal Difference Std0.20
Stability score-2.18
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.29
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.14
Eligible Matches6
Lead Matches11
Lead Win Rate40.5%
Lead Points Retention0.30
Trailing Matches-4
Non-loss rate2.4%
Trailing Win Rate-0.07
Halftime Coverage Matches6
First Half Goals For Mean0.58
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.29
Second Half Goals For Mean0.44
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.45
Current Competition Matches-1
Current Competition PPG2.67
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean5.38
Competition Season Count0
Eligible Competition Season Count1
Portability PPG Std-0.23
Portability PPG Range-0.41
Portability Score10.15
Rest days0.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches4
Short Rest Points Per Match-0.20
Normal Rest History Matches3
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.69
Long Rest History Matches-2
Long Rest Points Per Match1.81
Current Team ELO193.4
Current Opponent ELO-193.4
Current ELO Difference386.8
Expected score0.51
History Matches5
Residual Mean0.19
Overperformance13.37
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.67

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Buckie Thistle

L
Buckie Thistle2–3Deveronvale17 Oct · home
Pick: Buckie Thistle 84% · missed
L
Buckie Thistle2–4Lossiemouth7 Oct · home
Pick: Buckie Thistle 74% · missed
W
Buckie Thistle5–0Rothes29 Aug · home
Pick: Buckie Thistle 93% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Wick Academy

L
Inverurie Loco Works2–0Wick Academy31 Oct · away
Pick: Inverurie Loco Works 70% · hit
D
Turriff United3–3Wick Academy24 Oct · away
Pick: Turriff United 72% · missed
W
Wick Academy2–1Formartine United17 Oct · home
Pick: Formartine United 75% · missed
L
Wick Academy0–4Clachnacuddin7 Oct · home
Pick: Clachnacuddin 72% · hit
L
Keith4–1Wick Academy29 Aug · away
Pick: Keith 69% · hit

About this match

Buckie Thistle and Wick Academy meet in Football League - Highland League on Saturday 14 November 2026, kickoff 15:00 UTC. The match is played at Victoria Park, Buckie. ScoreProb published its prediction on 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC: Buckie Thistle win 80.7%, draw 12.4%, Wick Academy win 6.9%. The pick is Buckie Thistle win. Over 2.5 goals: 80.8%. Both teams to score: 47.6%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.