ScoreProb
Log in
Football League - Highland League Scotland Highland League - 17 2026

Fraserburgh vs Huntly

Fraserburgh Home · Elo 1,601
Sat 14 Nov
UTC
Not started
Huntly Away · Elo 1,462
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Fraserburgh win
Fraserburgh winPick
73.6%
Draw
15.3%
Huntly win
11.1%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes52.2%
No47.8%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.565.8%
Under 2.534.2%

How much we know

Fraserburgh history55 matches
Huntly history48 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 6 h ahead
    8 Nov · 08:45 UTC
  2. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    14 Nov · 15:00 UTC
  3. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  4. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 16,809 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 39.9% · said 37.7% · n 2,949
40–49% Won 45.3% · said 44.8% · n 6,860
50–59% Won 55.6% · said 54.4% · n 4,146
60–69% Won 63.9% · said 64.4% · n 2,031
70–79% Won 76.5% · said 73.9% · n 646
80%+ Won 83.1% · said 84.5% · n 177
This pick sits in the 70–79% band (73.6%). Picks in that band won 76.5% of the time, and the model said 73.9% on average, over 646 matches.

Why Fraserburgh are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Fraserburgh are rated 139 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,601 against 1,462. On rating alone Fraserburgh would be expected to take 69% of the points on offer.

  • Fraserburgh score far more

    2.15 goals a game over 55 matches for Fraserburgh, against 1.29 over 48 for Huntly.

  • Fraserburgh concede fewer

    Fraserburgh concede 0.93 a game, Huntly 1.46.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    56% of Fraserburgh matches, against 52% for Huntly. The model puts this match at 66% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 26 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Fraserburgh
Huntly@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1601.0
ELO
1462.3
55
ELO · Matches
48
1601.0
Current Team ELO
1462.3
1462.3
Current Opponent ELO
1601.0
138.7
Current ELO Difference
-138.7
0.69
Expected score
0.31
55
History Matches
48
0.09
Residual Mean
-0.04
56.88
Overperformance
47.32
-0.01
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.06
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.40
PPG
1.60
1.60
Goals for per game
1.80
1.00
Goals against per game
2.00
40.0%
Win rate
40.0%
10
Matches
10
2.00
PPG
1.40
2.10
Goals for per game
1.50
0.60
Goals against per game
1.50
60.0%
Win rate
30.0%
2.10
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.50
2.02
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.02
0.60
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.50
0.80
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.69
0.86
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.94
2.46
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.00
Overall performance9 signals
90
55
Matches
48
2.05
PPG
1.17
63.6%
Win rate
29.2%
14.5%
Draw rate
29.2%
21.8%
Loss rate
41.7%
76.4%
Over 1.5 rate
75.0%
56.4%
Over 2.5 rate
52.1%
43.6%
Over 3.5 rate
29.2%
2.43
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.09
Venue performance10 signals
100
29
Matches
24
2.21
PPG
1.17
69.0%
Win rate
29.2%
13.8%
Draw rate
29.2%
17.2%
Loss rate
41.7%
79.3%
Over 1.5 rate
66.7%
58.6%
Over 2.5 rate
50.0%
41.4%
Over 3.5 rate
20.8%
2.26
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.72
29
History Matches
24
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
2.15
Goals for per game
1.29
85.5%
Scoring rate
66.7%
40.0%
BTTS rate
50.0%
2.48
Goals for per game
1.04
86.2%
Scoring rate
54.2%
37.9%
BTTS rate
41.7%
2.43
Goals for per game
1.50
85.7%
Scoring rate
83.3%
14.3%
BTTS rate
50.0%
55
History Matches
48
2.15
Goals Mean
1.29
1.79
Goals Std
1.41
85.5%
Scored 1+ rate
66.7%
49.1%
Scored 2+ rate
33.3%
38.2%
Scored 3+ rate
16.7%
2.48
Venue Goals Mean
1.04
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
0.93
Goals against per game
1.46
50.9%
Conceding rate
75.0%
0.66
Goals against per game
1.33
48.3%
Conceding rate
75.0%
0.29
Goals against per game
1.83
14.3%
Conceding rate
66.7%
55
History Matches
48
0.93
Conceded Mean
1.46
1.16
Conceded Std
1.34
25.5%
Conceded 2+ rate
41.7%
10.9%
Conceded 3+ rate
14.6%
0.66
Venue Conceded Mean
1.33
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
49.1%
Clean-sheet rate
25.0%
14.5%
Failed-to-score rate
33.3%
51.7%
Clean-sheet rate
25.0%
13.8%
Failed-to-score rate
45.8%
85.7%
Clean-sheet rate
33.3%
14.3%
Failed-to-score rate
16.7%
49.1%
Clean-sheet rate
25.0%
14.5%
Failed-to-score rate
33.3%
51.7%
Clean-sheet rate
25.0%
13.8%
Failed-to-score rate
45.8%
49.1%
Clean-sheet rate
25.0%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
55
History Matches
48
0.82
Result entropy
0.99
2.43
Goal Difference Std
2.09
18.06
Stability score
1.37
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
45
Eligible Matches
37
20
Lead Matches
14
95.0%
Lead Win Rate
71.4%
0.97
Lead Points Retention
0.79
11
Trailing Matches
11
18.2%
Non-loss rate
9.1%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
45
Halftime Coverage Matches
37
1.02
First Half Goals For Mean
0.78
0.44
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.70
1.09
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.43
0.51
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.73
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
80.84
Rest days
84.04
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
10
Short Rest History Matches
9
2.60
Short Rest Points Per Match
1.00
28
Normal Rest History Matches
24
1.93
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.25
16
Long Rest History Matches
14
2.00
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.14
Competition & season17 signals
170
7
Matches
6
2.29
PPG
1.33
71.4%
Win rate
33.3%
14.3%
Draw rate
33.3%
14.3%
Loss rate
33.3%
71.4%
Over 1.5 rate
66.7%
42.9%
Over 2.5 rate
66.7%
28.6%
Over 3.5 rate
50.0%
2.47
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.43
7
Current Competition Matches
6
2.29
Current Competition PPG
1.33
2.14
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-0.33
7
Competition Season Count
5
4
Eligible Competition Season Count
3
0.53
Portability PPG Std
0.20
1.29
Portability PPG Range
0.44
48.38
Portability Score
71.87
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
55
Clean History Matches
48
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO138.7
PPG0.89
GF0.85
GA-0.53
PPG0.95
PPG1.04
PPG-0.20
PPG0.60
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches7
Clean-sheet rate24.1%
Failed-to-score rate-0.19
History Matches5
Clean-sheet rate26.7%
Failed-to-score rate-0.32
History Matches7
Goals Mean0.85
Goals Std0.38
Scored 1+ rate18.8%
Scored 2+ rate15.8%
Scored 3+ rate21.5%
Venue Goals Mean1.44
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.60
Recent 10 Goals Std1.00
History Matches7
Conceded Mean-0.53
Conceded Std-0.18
Clean-sheet rate24.1%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.16
Conceded 3+ rate-0.04
Venue Conceded Mean-0.68
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.90
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.89
History Matches7
Result entropy-0.17
Goal Difference Std0.34
Stability score16.69
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.07
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.46
Eligible Matches8
Lead Matches6
Lead Win Rate23.6%
Lead Points Retention0.18
Trailing Matches0
Non-loss rate9.1%
Trailing Win Rate0.0%
Halftime Coverage Matches8
First Half Goals For Mean0.24
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.26
Second Half Goals For Mean0.66
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.22
Current Competition Matches1
Current Competition PPG0.95
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean2.48
Competition Season Count2
Eligible Competition Season Count1
Portability PPG Std0.34
Portability PPG Range0.84
Portability Score-23.49
Rest days-3.20
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches1
Short Rest Points Per Match1.60
Normal Rest History Matches4
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.68
Long Rest History Matches2
Long Rest Points Per Match0.86
Current Team ELO138.7
Current Opponent ELO-138.7
Current ELO Difference277.4
Expected score0.38
History Matches7
Residual Mean0.13
Overperformance9.57
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.07

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Fraserburgh

D
Turriff United1–1Fraserburgh31 Oct · away
Pick: Fraserburgh 56% · missed
D
Nairn County2–2Fraserburgh24 Oct · away
Pick: Fraserburgh 69% · missed
D
Fraserburgh1–1Brora Rangers17 Oct · home
Pick: Fraserburgh 44% · missed
L
Fraserburgh2–3Dundee II13 Oct · home
Pick: Fraserburgh 87% · missed
W
Banks O' Dee1–3Fraserburgh7 Oct · away
Pick: Fraserburgh 57% · hit

Huntly

W
Huntly4–0Nairn County31 Oct · home
Pick: Huntly 50% · hit
D
Forres Mechanics2–2Huntly17 Oct · away
Pick: Forres Mechanics 47% · missed
W
Rothes1–3Huntly7 Oct · away
Pick: Huntly 84% · hit
L
Strathspey Thistle3–0Huntly29 Aug · away
Pick: Huntly 41% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Fraserburgh and Huntly meet in Football League - Highland League on Saturday 14 November 2026, kickoff 15:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC: Fraserburgh win 73.6%, draw 15.3%, Huntly win 11.1%. The pick is Fraserburgh win. Over 2.5 goals: 65.8%. Both teams to score: 52.2%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.