Blumenthaler SV vs OSC Bremerhaven
Match result probability Model pick: Blumenthaler SV win
Blumenthaler SV winPick
60.5%
Draw
15.9%
OSC Bremerhaven win
23.5%
At kickoff this becomes the match centre
Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.
Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect
Both teams to score
Yes67.9%
No32.1%
Total goals · 2.5
Over 2.580.1%
Under 2.519.9%
How much we know
Blumenthaler SV history49 matches
OSC Bremerhaven history47 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news
Your call
Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.
Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score
Match result: ours Blumenthaler SV
Over / under 2.5: ours Over
Both teams to score: ours Yes
Life of this match
One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.
- Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 3 h ahead8 Nov · 08:45 UTC
- Lineups appearAbout an hour before kickoff, where the competition provides them. This prediction does not use lineups.≈ 11:00 UTC
- KickoffThis page becomes the match centre14 Nov · 12:00 UTC
- Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
- Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC
How reliable are picks like this?
Across 16,809 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 39.9% · said 37.7% · n 2,949
40–49% Won 45.3% · said 44.8% · n 6,860
50–59% Won 55.6% · said 54.4% · n 4,146
60–69% Won 63.9% · said 64.4% · n 2,031
70–79% Won 76.5% · said 73.9% · n 646
80%+ Won 83.1% · said 84.5% · n 177
This pick sits in the 60–69% band (60.5%). Picks in that band won 63.9% of the time, and the model said 64.4% on average, over 2,031 matches.
Why Blumenthaler SV are the pick
Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.
-
Blumenthaler SV are rated 40 Elo points higher
Elo 1,653 against 1,613. On rating alone Blumenthaler SV would be expected to take 56% of the points on offer.
-
Blumenthaler SV score more
3.12 goals a game over 49 matches for Blumenthaler SV, against 2.60 over 47 for OSC Bremerhaven.
-
Defences are close
Blumenthaler SV concede 1.73 a game, OSC Bremerhaven 1.74.
-
Blumenthaler SV games more often go over 2.5 goals
88% of Blumenthaler SV matches, against 77% for OSC Bremerhaven. The model puts this match at 80% for over 2.5.
These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.
Compare the two teams
Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.
Match history used: up to 22 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
OSC Bremerhaven@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals 100
1653.4
ELO
1612.9
49
ELO · Matches
47
1653.4
Current Team ELO
1612.9
1612.9
Current Opponent ELO
1653.4
40.48
Current ELO Difference
-40.48
0.56
Expected score
0.44
49
History Matches
47
0.16
Residual Mean
0.11
61.09
Overperformance
57.96
0.03
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.34
Recent form16 signals 160
5
Matches
5
2.40
PPG
3.00
4.00
Goals for per game
3.20
2.40
Goals against per game
0.60
80.0%
Win rate
100.0%
10
Matches
10
2.10
PPG
2.80
3.30
Goals for per game
3.90
1.60
Goals against per game
1.20
70.0%
Win rate
90.0%
3.30
Recent 10 Goals Mean
3.90
2.57
Recent 10 Goals Std
2.12
1.60
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.20
1.62
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.25
0.56
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.30
3.69
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.10
Overall performance9 signals 90
49
Matches
47
2.12
PPG
1.87
67.3%
Win rate
57.4%
10.2%
Draw rate
14.9%
22.4%
Loss rate
27.7%
98.0%
Over 1.5 rate
91.5%
87.8%
Over 2.5 rate
76.6%
79.6%
Over 3.5 rate
61.7%
2.66
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.76
Venue performance10 signals 100
25
Matches
25
2.32
PPG
1.56
76.0%
Win rate
48.0%
4.0%
Draw rate
12.0%
20.0%
Loss rate
40.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
96.0%
Over 2.5 rate
76.0%
92.0%
Over 3.5 rate
64.0%
2.61
Goal difference · Standard deviation
3.20
25
History Matches
25
Scoring & attack16 signals 160
3.12
Goals for per game
2.60
91.8%
Scoring rate
87.2%
75.5%
BTTS rate
61.7%
3.36
Goals for per game
2.36
96.0%
Scoring rate
84.0%
80.0%
BTTS rate
68.0%
5.67
Goals for per game
4.33
100.0%
Scoring rate
100.0%
100.0%
BTTS rate
66.7%
49
History Matches
47
3.12
Goals Mean
2.60
1.70
Goals Std
1.91
91.8%
Scored 1+ rate
87.2%
81.6%
Scored 2+ rate
68.1%
69.4%
Scored 3+ rate
42.6%
3.36
Venue Goals Mean
2.36
Defense & conceding12 signals 120
1.73
Goals against per game
1.74
83.7%
Conceding rate
70.2%
1.84
Goals against per game
2.04
84.0%
Conceding rate
84.0%
1.33
Goals against per game
1.00
100.0%
Conceding rate
66.7%
49
History Matches
47
1.73
Conceded Mean
1.74
1.59
Conceded Std
1.63
42.9%
Conceded 2+ rate
48.9%
20.4%
Conceded 3+ rate
29.8%
1.84
Venue Conceded Mean
2.04
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals 110
16.3%
Clean-sheet rate
29.8%
8.2%
Failed-to-score rate
12.8%
16.0%
Clean-sheet rate
16.0%
4.0%
Failed-to-score rate
16.0%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
33.3%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
16.3%
Clean-sheet rate
29.8%
8.2%
Failed-to-score rate
12.8%
16.0%
Clean-sheet rate
16.0%
4.0%
Failed-to-score rate
16.0%
16.3%
Clean-sheet rate
29.8%
Volatility & stability4 signals 40
49
History Matches
47
0.76
Result entropy
0.87
2.66
Goal Difference Std
2.76
24.04
Stability score
12.84
Halftime resilience7 signals 70
49
Eligible Matches
46
28
Lead Matches
21
96.4%
Lead Win Rate
85.7%
0.98
Lead Points Retention
0.87
7
Trailing Matches
12
14.3%
Non-loss rate
25.0%
14.3%
Trailing Win Rate
16.7%
Goal timing5 signals 50
49
Halftime Coverage Matches
46
1.57
First Half Goals For Mean
1.13
0.63
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.89
1.55
Second Half Goals For Mean
1.46
1.10
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.89
Rest & schedule9 signals 90
84.04
Rest days
84.79
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
1
Short Rest History Matches
1
3.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
3.00
23
Normal Rest History Matches
22
2.22
Normal Rest Points Per Match
2.00
24
Long Rest History Matches
23
2.08
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.78
Competition & season17 signals 170
3
Matches
3
3.00
PPG
3.00
100.0%
Win rate
100.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
0.0%
Loss rate
0.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
100.0%
Over 2.5 rate
100.0%
100.0%
Over 3.5 rate
66.7%
2.36
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.62
3
Current Competition Matches
3
3.00
Current Competition PPG
3.00
4.33
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
3.33
5
Competition Season Count
4
4
Eligible Competition Season Count
3
0.78
Portability PPG Std
0.66
2.00
Portability PPG Range
1.62
39.00
Portability Score
43.07
Odds & market11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal 10
49
Clean History Matches
47
Matchup differences86 signals 086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO40.48
PPG0.25
GF0.53
GA-0.01
PPG0.00
PPG0.76
PPG-0.60
PPG-0.70
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches2
Clean-sheet rate-0.13
Failed-to-score rate-0.05
History Matches0
Clean-sheet rate0.0%
Failed-to-score rate-0.12
History Matches2
Goals Mean0.53
Goals Std-0.21
Scored 1+ rate4.6%
Scored 2+ rate13.5%
Scored 3+ rate26.8%
Venue Goals Mean1.00
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.60
Recent 10 Goals Std0.45
History Matches2
Conceded Mean-0.01
Conceded Std-0.04
Clean-sheet rate-0.13
Conceded 2+ rate-0.06
Conceded 3+ rate-0.09
Venue Conceded Mean-0.20
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.40
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.38
History Matches2
Result entropy-0.11
Goal Difference Std-0.10
Stability score11.20
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.26
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std1.59
Eligible Matches3
Lead Matches7
Lead Win Rate10.7%
Lead Points Retention0.10
Trailing Matches-5
Non-loss rate-0.11
Trailing Win Rate-0.02
Halftime Coverage Matches3
First Half Goals For Mean0.44
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.26
Second Half Goals For Mean0.09
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.21
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG0.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean1.00
Competition Season Count1
Eligible Competition Season Count1
Portability PPG Std0.12
Portability PPG Range0.38
Portability Score-4.07
Rest days-0.75
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Short Rest Points Per Match0.00
Normal Rest History Matches1
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.22
Long Rest History Matches1
Long Rest Points Per Match0.30
Current Team ELO40.48
Current Opponent ELO-40.48
Current ELO Difference80.95
Expected score0.12
History Matches2
Residual Mean0.04
Overperformance3.12
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.31
Latest results, with our pick
Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.
Blumenthaler SV
D
Aumund-Vegesack1–1Blumenthaler SV7 Nov · away
Pick: Blumenthaler SV 79% · missed L
Blumenthaler SV2–3Eiche Horn31 Oct · home
Pick: Blumenthaler SV 71% · missed L
Hemelingen1–0Blumenthaler SV25 Oct · away
Pick: Hemelingen 43% · hit W
Blumenthaler SV4–0Woltmershausen17 Oct · home
Pick: Blumenthaler SV 88% · hit W
Blumenthaler SV1–0BTS Neustadt29 Aug · home
Pick: Blumenthaler SV 81% · hit OSC Bremerhaven
D
OSC Bremerhaven1–1Vatan Sport6 Nov · home
Pick: OSC Bremerhaven 69% · missed W
OSC Bremerhaven5–0Schwachhausen30 Oct · home
Pick: OSC Bremerhaven 82% · hit W
Aumund-Vegesack0–3OSC Bremerhaven24 Oct · away
Pick: OSC Bremerhaven 74% · hit W
OSC Bremerhaven4–0Eiche Horn16 Oct · home
Pick: OSC Bremerhaven 62% · hit Earlier results appear as match history is added
About this match
Blumenthaler SV and OSC Bremerhaven meet in Oberliga - Bremen on Saturday 14 November 2026, kickoff 12:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC: Blumenthaler SV win 60.5%, draw 15.9%, OSC Bremerhaven win 23.5%. The pick is Blumenthaler SV win. Over 2.5 goals: 80.1%. Both teams to score: 67.9%.
Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.