CD Coria vs Unionistas de Salamanca
Match result probability Model pick: CD Coria win
CD Coria winPick
37.8%
Draw
30.1%
Unionistas de Salamanca win
32.2%
At kickoff this becomes the match centre
Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.
Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect
Both teams to score
Yes51.7%
No48.3%
Total goals · 2.5
Over 2.551.9%
Under 2.548.1%
How much we know
CD Coria history58 matches
Unionistas de Salamanca history63 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news
Your call
Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.
Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score
Match result: ours CD Coria
Over / under 2.5: ours Over
Both teams to score: ours Yes
Life of this match
One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.
- Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 8 h ahead8 Nov · 08:45 UTC
- Lineups appearAbout an hour before kickoff, where the competition provides them. This prediction does not use lineups.≈ 16:45 UTC
- KickoffThis page becomes the match centre14 Nov · 17:45 UTC
- Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
- Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC
How reliable are picks like this?
Across 16,809 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 39.9% · said 37.7% · n 2,949
40–49% Won 45.3% · said 44.8% · n 6,860
50–59% Won 55.6% · said 54.4% · n 4,146
60–69% Won 63.9% · said 64.4% · n 2,031
70–79% Won 76.5% · said 73.9% · n 646
80%+ Won 83.1% · said 84.5% · n 177
This pick sits in the 33–39% band (37.8%). Picks in that band won 39.9% of the time, and the model said 37.7% on average, over 2,949 matches.
Why CD Coria are the pick
Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.
-
CD Coria are rated 59 Elo points higher
Elo 1,589 against 1,530. On rating alone CD Coria would be expected to take 58% of the points on offer.
-
CD Coria score more
1.45 goals a game over 58 matches for CD Coria, against 1.19 over 63 for Unionistas de Salamanca.
-
Defences are close
CD Coria concede 1.19 a game, Unionistas de Salamanca 1.29.
-
Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games
50% of CD Coria matches, against 43% for Unionistas de Salamanca. The model puts this match at 52% for over 2.5.
These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.
Compare the two teams
Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.
Match history used: up to 21 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Unionistas de Salamanca@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals 100
1588.8
ELO
1530.2
58
ELO · Matches
63
1588.8
Current Team ELO
1530.2
1530.2
Current Opponent ELO
1588.8
58.58
Current ELO Difference
-58.58
0.58
Expected score
0.42
58
History Matches
63
0.07
Residual Mean
0.03
55.19
Overperformance
52.00
0.16
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.07
Recent form16 signals 160
5
Matches
5
2.00
PPG
1.80
1.80
Goals for per game
0.60
1.20
Goals against per game
0.80
60.0%
Win rate
60.0%
10
Matches
10
2.00
PPG
1.60
1.60
Goals for per game
0.90
1.10
Goals against per game
1.00
60.0%
Win rate
50.0%
1.60
Recent 10 Goals Mean
0.90
1.20
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.94
1.10
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.00
1.58
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.77
0.86
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.86
2.33
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.22
Overall performance9 signals 90
58
Matches
63
1.64
PPG
1.35
44.8%
Win rate
36.5%
29.3%
Draw rate
25.4%
25.9%
Loss rate
38.1%
77.6%
Over 1.5 rate
65.1%
50.0%
Over 2.5 rate
42.9%
29.3%
Over 3.5 rate
28.6%
1.83
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.60
Venue performance10 signals 100
27
Matches
31
1.93
PPG
0.94
51.9%
Win rate
25.8%
37.0%
Draw rate
16.1%
11.1%
Loss rate
58.1%
77.8%
Over 1.5 rate
71.0%
55.6%
Over 2.5 rate
48.4%
33.3%
Over 3.5 rate
32.3%
1.60
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.58
27
History Matches
31
Scoring & attack16 signals 160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
1.45
Goals for per game
1.19
77.6%
Scoring rate
65.1%
48.3%
BTTS rate
44.4%
1.81
Goals for per game
1.10
85.2%
Scoring rate
64.5%
51.9%
BTTS rate
48.4%
58
History Matches
63
1.45
Goals Mean
1.19
1.18
Goals Std
1.17
77.6%
Scored 1+ rate
65.1%
43.1%
Scored 2+ rate
33.3%
15.5%
Scored 3+ rate
17.5%
1.81
Venue Goals Mean
1.10
Defense & conceding12 signals 120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
1.19
Goals against per game
1.29
62.1%
Conceding rate
66.7%
0.96
Goals against per game
1.71
55.6%
Conceding rate
77.4%
58
History Matches
63
1.19
Conceded Mean
1.29
1.21
Conceded Std
1.24
36.2%
Conceded 2+ rate
38.1%
13.8%
Conceded 3+ rate
15.9%
0.96
Venue Conceded Mean
1.71
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
37.9%
Clean-sheet rate
33.3%
22.4%
Failed-to-score rate
34.9%
44.4%
Clean-sheet rate
22.6%
14.8%
Failed-to-score rate
35.5%
37.9%
Clean-sheet rate
33.3%
22.4%
Failed-to-score rate
34.9%
44.4%
Clean-sheet rate
22.6%
14.8%
Failed-to-score rate
35.5%
37.9%
Clean-sheet rate
33.3%
Volatility & stability4 signals 40
58
History Matches
63
0.97
Result entropy
0.99
1.83
Goal Difference Std
1.60
2.68
Stability score
1.37
Halftime resilience7 signals 70
58
Eligible Matches
63
17
Lead Matches
16
94.1%
Lead Win Rate
81.3%
0.96
Lead Points Retention
0.81
17
Trailing Matches
17
29.4%
Non-loss rate
29.4%
11.8%
Trailing Win Rate
11.8%
Goal timing5 signals 50
58
Halftime Coverage Matches
63
0.57
First Half Goals For Mean
0.41
0.64
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.44
0.88
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.78
0.55
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.84
Rest & schedule9 signals 90
92.01
Rest days
85.01
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
1
Short Rest History Matches
1
1.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
0.00
34
Normal Rest History Matches
32
1.56
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.69
22
Long Rest History Matches
29
1.86
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.07
Competition & season17 signals 170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
5
Competition Season Count
4
4
Eligible Competition Season Count
3
0.44
Portability PPG Std
0.26
1.17
Portability PPG Range
0.56
52.97
Portability Score
66.15
Odds & market11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal 10
58
Clean History Matches
63
Matchup differences86 signals 086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
ELO58.58
PPG0.29
GF0.26
GA-0.10
PPG0.99
PPG0.20
PPG0.40
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-5
Clean-sheet rate4.6%
Failed-to-score rate-0.13
History Matches-4
Clean-sheet rate21.9%
Failed-to-score rate-0.21
History Matches-5
Goals Mean0.26
Goals Std0.01
Scored 1+ rate12.5%
Scored 2+ rate9.8%
Scored 3+ rate-0.02
Venue Goals Mean0.72
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.70
Recent 10 Goals Std0.26
History Matches-5
Conceded Mean-0.10
Conceded Std-0.03
Clean-sheet rate4.6%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.02
Conceded 3+ rate-0.02
Venue Conceded Mean-0.75
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.10
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.80
History Matches-5
Result entropy-0.01
Goal Difference Std0.23
Stability score1.32
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.01
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std1.11
Eligible Matches-5
Lead Matches1
Lead Win Rate12.9%
Lead Points Retention0.15
Trailing Matches0
Non-loss rate0.0%
Trailing Win Rate0.0%
Halftime Coverage Matches-5
First Half Goals For Mean0.16
First Half Goals Against Mean0.19
Second Half Goals For Mean0.10
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.29
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count1
Eligible Competition Season Count1
Portability PPG Std0.19
Portability PPG Range0.61
Portability Score-13.17
Rest days7.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Short Rest Points Per Match1.00
Normal Rest History Matches2
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.13
Long Rest History Matches-7
Long Rest Points Per Match0.79
Current Team ELO58.58
Current Opponent ELO-58.58
Current ELO Difference117.2
Expected score0.17
History Matches-5
Residual Mean0.04
Overperformance3.18
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.09
Latest results, with our pick
Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.
CD Coria
L
CD Coria0–1Arenas Getxo1 Nov · home
Pick: CD Coria 41% · missed D
Mérida AD0–0CD Coria25 Oct · away
Pick: Mérida AD 46% · missed W
CD Coria2–1Athletic Club II18 Oct · home
Pick: CD Coria 38% · hit L
Zamora2–0CD Coria4 Oct · away
Pick: Zamora 47% · hit L
Real Unión4–1CD Coria30 Aug · away
Pick: CD Coria 40% · missed Unionistas de Salamanca
W
Unionistas de Salamanca1–0Zamora7 Nov · home
Pick: Unionistas de Salamanca 40% · hit L
Extremadura 19243–0Unionistas de Salamanca1 Nov · away
Pick: Extremadura 1924 43% · hit W
Unionistas de Salamanca2–1Athletic Club II24 Oct · home
Pick: Athletic Club II 39% · missed L
Racing Ferrol1–0Unionistas de Salamanca17 Oct · away
Pick: Racing Ferrol 38% · hit L
Unionistas de Salamanca1–3Lugo30 Aug · home
Pick: Unionistas de Salamanca 48% · missed About this match
CD Coria and Unionistas de Salamanca meet in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 on Saturday 14 November 2026, kickoff 17:45 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC: CD Coria win 37.8%, draw 30.1%, Unionistas de Salamanca win 32.2%. The pick is CD Coria win. Over 2.5 goals: 51.9%. Both teams to score: 51.7%.
Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.