Häcken II W vs KIF Örebro W
Match result probability Model pick: KIF Örebro W win
Häcken II W win
12.4%
Draw
17.4%
KIF Örebro W winPick
70.2%
At kickoff this becomes the match centre
Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.
Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect
Both teams to score
Yes51.6%
No48.4%
Total goals · 2.5
Over 2.562.0%
Under 2.538.0%
How much we know
Häcken II W history41 matches
KIF Örebro W history45 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news
Your call
Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.
Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score
Match result: ours KIF Örebro W
Over / under 2.5: ours Over
Both teams to score: ours Yes
Life of this match
One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.
- Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 3 h ahead8 Nov · 08:45 UTC
- Lineups appearAbout an hour before kickoff, where the competition provides them. This prediction does not use lineups.≈ 11:00 UTC
- KickoffThis page becomes the match centre14 Nov · 12:00 UTC
- Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
- Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC
How reliable are picks like this?
Across 16,809 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 39.9% · said 37.7% · n 2,949
40–49% Won 45.3% · said 44.8% · n 6,860
50–59% Won 55.6% · said 54.4% · n 4,146
60–69% Won 63.9% · said 64.4% · n 2,031
70–79% Won 76.5% · said 73.9% · n 646
80%+ Won 83.1% · said 84.5% · n 177
This pick sits in the 70–79% band (70.2%). Picks in that band won 76.5% of the time, and the model said 73.9% on average, over 646 matches.
Why KIF Örebro W are the pick
Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.
-
KIF Örebro W are rated 248 Elo points higher
Elo 1,607 against 1,359. On rating alone KIF Örebro W would be expected to take 81% of the points on offer.
-
KIF Örebro W score far more
1.02 goals a game over 41 matches for Häcken II W, against 2.18 over 45 for KIF Örebro W.
-
KIF Örebro W concede fewer
Häcken II W concede 2.00 a game, KIF Örebro W 1.29.
-
KIF Örebro W games more often go over 2.5 goals
56% of Häcken II W matches, against 71% for KIF Örebro W. The model puts this match at 62% for over 2.5.
These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.
Compare the two teams
Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.
Match history used: up to 23 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
KIF Örebro W@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals 100
1359.2
ELO
1607.0
41
ELO · Matches
45
1359.2
Current Team ELO
1607.0
1607.0
Current Opponent ELO
1359.2
-247.8
Current ELO Difference
247.8
0.19
Expected score
0.81
41
History Matches
45
-0.17
Residual Mean
0.11
38.53
Overperformance
57.60
-0.19
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.25
Recent form16 signals 160
5
Matches
5
0.80
PPG
2.40
1.60
Goals for per game
1.40
2.00
Goals against per game
1.00
20.0%
Win rate
80.0%
10
Matches
10
0.40
PPG
2.70
1.10
Goals for per game
2.00
2.00
Goals against per game
0.80
10.0%
Win rate
90.0%
1.10
Recent 10 Goals Mean
2.00
1.04
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.10
2.00
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
0.80
0.89
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.17
0.58
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.30
0.94
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.60
Overall performance9 signals 90
41
Matches
45
0.71
PPG
2.00
17.1%
Win rate
62.2%
19.5%
Draw rate
13.3%
63.4%
Loss rate
24.4%
82.9%
Over 1.5 rate
86.7%
56.1%
Over 2.5 rate
71.1%
29.3%
Over 3.5 rate
40.0%
1.84
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.17
Venue performance10 signals 100
20
Matches
24
0.60
PPG
1.96
15.0%
Win rate
58.3%
15.0%
Draw rate
20.8%
70.0%
Loss rate
20.8%
85.0%
Over 1.5 rate
91.7%
45.0%
Over 2.5 rate
70.8%
25.0%
Over 3.5 rate
41.7%
1.87
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.03
20
History Matches
24
Scoring & attack16 signals 160
1.02
Goals for per game
2.18
58.5%
Scoring rate
82.2%
48.8%
BTTS rate
53.3%
1.10
Goals for per game
2.29
60.0%
Scoring rate
87.5%
50.0%
BTTS rate
62.5%
1.00
Goals for per game
2.07
66.7%
Scoring rate
86.7%
66.7%
BTTS rate
46.7%
41
History Matches
45
1.02
Goals Mean
2.18
1.16
Goals Std
1.64
58.5%
Scored 1+ rate
82.2%
26.8%
Scored 2+ rate
64.4%
12.2%
Scored 3+ rate
33.3%
1.10
Venue Goals Mean
2.29
Defense & conceding12 signals 120
2.00
Goals against per game
1.29
87.8%
Conceding rate
66.7%
1.85
Goals against per game
1.25
90.0%
Conceding rate
70.8%
2.27
Goals against per game
1.20
100.0%
Conceding rate
60.0%
41
History Matches
45
2.00
Conceded Mean
1.29
1.34
Conceded Std
1.22
58.5%
Conceded 2+ rate
40.0%
31.7%
Conceded 3+ rate
15.6%
1.85
Venue Conceded Mean
1.25
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals 110
12.2%
Clean-sheet rate
33.3%
41.5%
Failed-to-score rate
17.8%
10.0%
Clean-sheet rate
29.2%
40.0%
Failed-to-score rate
12.5%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
40.0%
33.3%
Failed-to-score rate
13.3%
12.2%
Clean-sheet rate
33.3%
41.5%
Failed-to-score rate
17.8%
10.0%
Clean-sheet rate
29.2%
40.0%
Failed-to-score rate
12.5%
12.2%
Clean-sheet rate
33.3%
Volatility & stability4 signals 40
41
History Matches
45
0.83
Result entropy
0.83
1.84
Goal Difference Std
2.17
17.21
Stability score
17.33
Halftime resilience7 signals 70
41
Eligible Matches
45
10
Lead Matches
22
40.0%
Lead Win Rate
100.0%
0.50
Lead Points Retention
1.00
18
Trailing Matches
11
11.1%
Non-loss rate
27.3%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
9.1%
Goal timing5 signals 50
41
Halftime Coverage Matches
45
0.46
First Half Goals For Mean
1.00
0.68
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.60
0.56
Second Half Goals For Mean
1.18
1.32
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.69
Rest & schedule9 signals 90
83.96
Rest days
84.81
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
1
Short Rest History Matches
2
0.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
1.50
18
Normal Rest History Matches
21
0.89
Normal Rest Points Per Match
2.00
21
Long Rest History Matches
21
0.62
Long Rest Points Per Match
2.10
Competition & season17 signals 170
15
Matches
15
0.27
PPG
2.27
6.7%
Win rate
73.3%
6.7%
Draw rate
6.7%
86.7%
Loss rate
20.0%
80.0%
Over 1.5 rate
86.7%
73.3%
Over 2.5 rate
73.3%
26.7%
Over 3.5 rate
26.7%
1.06
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.93
15
Current Competition Matches
15
0.27
Current Competition PPG
2.27
-1.27
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
0.87
2
Competition Season Count
4
2
Eligible Competition Season Count
3
0.35
Portability PPG Std
0.90
0.69
Portability PPG Range
1.93
59.00
Portability Score
35.81
Odds & market11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal 10
41
Clean History Matches
45
Matchup differences86 signals 086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO-247.8
PPG-1.29
GF-1.15
GA0.71
PPG-2.00
PPG-1.36
PPG-1.60
PPG-2.30
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-4
Clean-sheet rate-0.21
Failed-to-score rate23.7%
History Matches-4
Clean-sheet rate-0.19
Failed-to-score rate27.5%
History Matches-4
Goals Mean-1.15
Goals Std-0.48
Scored 1+ rate-0.24
Scored 2+ rate-0.38
Scored 3+ rate-0.21
Venue Goals Mean-1.19
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.90
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.05
History Matches-4
Conceded Mean0.71
Conceded Std0.12
Clean-sheet rate-0.21
Conceded 2+ rate18.5%
Conceded 3+ rate16.2%
Venue Conceded Mean0.60
Recent 10 Conceded Mean1.20
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.27
History Matches-4
Result entropy0.00
Goal Difference Std-0.33
Stability score-0.11
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.29
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.66
Eligible Matches-4
Lead Matches-12
Lead Win Rate-0.60
Lead Points Retention-0.50
Trailing Matches7
Non-loss rate-0.16
Trailing Win Rate-0.09
Halftime Coverage Matches-4
First Half Goals For Mean-0.54
First Half Goals Against Mean0.08
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.62
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.63
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG-2.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean-2.13
Competition Season Count-2
Eligible Competition Season Count-1
Portability PPG Std-0.55
Portability PPG Range-1.24
Portability Score23.19
Rest days-0.85
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-1
Short Rest Points Per Match-1.50
Normal Rest History Matches-3
Normal Rest Points Per Match-1.11
Long Rest History Matches0
Long Rest Points Per Match-1.48
Current Team ELO-247.8
Current Opponent ELO247.8
Current ELO Difference-495.6
Expected score-0.61
History Matches-4
Residual Mean-0.28
Overperformance-19.07
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.44
Latest results, with our pick
Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.
Häcken II W
D
Husqvarna W1–1Häcken II W7 Nov · away
Pick: Husqvarna W 60% · missed L
Häcken II W1–4Göteborg W31 Oct · home
Pick: Göteborg W 76% · hit L
Gamla Upsala W3–0Häcken II W25 Oct · away
Pick: Gamla Upsala W 53% · hit L
Alingsås W2–0Häcken II W17 Oct · away
Pick: Alingsås W 51% · hit Earlier results appear as match history is added
KIF Örebro W
W
KIF Örebro W4–0Linköping W6 Nov · home
Pick: KIF Örebro W 49% · hit L
KIF Örebro W0–2Gamla Upsala W31 Oct · home
Pick: KIF Örebro W 80% · missed W
Alingsås W0–2KIF Örebro W24 Oct · away
Pick: KIF Örebro W 67% · hit W
KIF Örebro W7–2Jitex W17 Oct · home
Pick: KIF Örebro W 69% · hit W
KIF Örebro W2–1Umeå W29 Aug · home
Pick: KIF Örebro W 53% · hit About this match
Häcken II W and KIF Örebro W meet in Elitettan on Saturday 14 November 2026, kickoff 12:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC: Häcken II W win 12.4%, draw 17.4%, KIF Örebro W win 70.2%. The pick is KIF Örebro W win. Over 2.5 goals: 62.0%. Both teams to score: 51.6%.
Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.