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Elitettan Sweden Round 26 2026

Trelleborg W vs Jitex W

Trelleborg W Home · Elo 1,548
Sat 14 Nov
UTC
Not started
Jitex W Away · Elo 1,477
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Trelleborg W win
Trelleborg W winPick
46.7%
Draw
22.6%
Jitex W win
30.6%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes58.7%
No41.3%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.565.4%
Under 2.534.6%

How much we know

Trelleborg W history41 matches
Jitex W history43 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 3 h ahead
    8 Nov · 08:45 UTC
  2. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    14 Nov · 12:00 UTC
  3. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  4. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 16,809 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 39.9% · said 37.7% · n 2,949
40–49% Won 45.3% · said 44.8% · n 6,860
50–59% Won 55.6% · said 54.4% · n 4,146
60–69% Won 63.9% · said 64.4% · n 2,031
70–79% Won 76.5% · said 73.9% · n 646
80%+ Won 83.1% · said 84.5% · n 177
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (46.7%). Picks in that band won 45.3% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,860 matches.

Why Trelleborg W are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Trelleborg W are rated 71 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,548 against 1,477. On rating alone Trelleborg W would be expected to take 60% of the points on offer.

  • Scoring rates are level

    1.83 goals a game over 41 matches for Trelleborg W, against 1.67 over 43 for Jitex W.

  • Trelleborg W concede fewer

    Trelleborg W concede 1.32 a game, Jitex W 1.72.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    68% of Trelleborg W matches, against 70% for Jitex W. The model puts this match at 65% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 22 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Trelleborg W
Jitex W@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1548.5
ELO
1477.0
41
ELO · Matches
43
1548.5
Current Team ELO
1477.0
1477.0
Current Opponent ELO
1548.5
71.42
Current ELO Difference
-71.42
0.60
Expected score
0.40
41
History Matches
43
0.06
Residual Mean
-0.02
54.20
Overperformance
48.55
-0.03
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.07
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.20
PPG
1.80
1.20
Goals for per game
1.40
1.80
Goals against per game
0.80
20.0%
Win rate
60.0%
10
Matches
10
1.50
PPG
1.30
1.50
Goals for per game
1.10
1.70
Goals against per game
1.20
40.0%
Win rate
40.0%
1.50
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.10
1.20
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.30
1.70
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.20
1.73
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.08
0.99
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.86
2.09
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.87
Overall performance9 signals
90
41
Matches
43
1.83
PPG
1.42
56.1%
Win rate
41.9%
14.6%
Draw rate
16.3%
29.3%
Loss rate
41.9%
78.0%
Over 1.5 rate
83.7%
68.3%
Over 2.5 rate
69.8%
43.9%
Over 3.5 rate
44.2%
2.05
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.12
Venue performance10 signals
100
22
Matches
20
2.05
PPG
1.55
63.6%
Win rate
45.0%
13.6%
Draw rate
20.0%
22.7%
Loss rate
35.0%
72.7%
Over 1.5 rate
80.0%
68.2%
Over 2.5 rate
55.0%
45.5%
Over 3.5 rate
35.0%
2.15
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.08
22
History Matches
20
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.83
Goals for per game
1.67
80.5%
Scoring rate
81.4%
53.7%
BTTS rate
55.8%
1.95
Goals for per game
1.55
77.3%
Scoring rate
85.0%
45.5%
BTTS rate
45.0%
1.53
Goals for per game
1.07
86.7%
Scoring rate
60.0%
53.3%
BTTS rate
40.0%
41
History Matches
43
1.83
Goals Mean
1.67
1.34
Goals Std
1.39
80.5%
Scored 1+ rate
81.4%
53.7%
Scored 2+ rate
39.5%
34.1%
Scored 3+ rate
27.9%
1.95
Venue Goals Mean
1.55
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.32
Goals against per game
1.72
68.3%
Conceding rate
72.1%
1.14
Goals against per game
1.25
63.6%
Conceding rate
55.0%
1.60
Goals against per game
1.40
60.0%
Conceding rate
73.3%
41
History Matches
43
1.32
Conceded Mean
1.72
1.31
Conceded Std
1.35
31.7%
Conceded 2+ rate
55.8%
19.5%
Conceded 3+ rate
34.9%
1.14
Venue Conceded Mean
1.25
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
31.7%
Clean-sheet rate
27.9%
19.5%
Failed-to-score rate
18.6%
36.4%
Clean-sheet rate
45.0%
22.7%
Failed-to-score rate
15.0%
40.0%
Clean-sheet rate
26.7%
13.3%
Failed-to-score rate
40.0%
31.7%
Clean-sheet rate
27.9%
19.5%
Failed-to-score rate
18.6%
36.4%
Clean-sheet rate
45.0%
22.7%
Failed-to-score rate
15.0%
31.7%
Clean-sheet rate
27.9%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
41
History Matches
43
0.88
Result entropy
0.93
2.05
Goal Difference Std
2.12
12.15
Stability score
6.74
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
41
Eligible Matches
43
13
Lead Matches
14
84.6%
Lead Win Rate
71.4%
0.87
Lead Points Retention
0.79
11
Trailing Matches
16
27.3%
Non-loss rate
31.3%
9.1%
Trailing Win Rate
25.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
41
Halftime Coverage Matches
43
0.66
First Half Goals For Mean
0.67
0.63
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.79
1.17
Second Half Goals For Mean
1.00
0.68
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.93
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
84.00
Rest days
84.04
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
1
Short Rest History Matches
0
3.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
—
22
Normal Rest History Matches
23
1.68
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.22
17
Long Rest History Matches
19
1.88
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.58
Competition & season17 signals
170
15
Matches
15
1.60
PPG
1.20
46.7%
Win rate
33.3%
20.0%
Draw rate
20.0%
33.3%
Loss rate
46.7%
73.3%
Over 1.5 rate
73.3%
60.0%
Over 2.5 rate
46.7%
40.0%
Over 3.5 rate
20.0%
1.91
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.92
15
Current Competition Matches
15
1.60
Current Competition PPG
1.20
-0.07
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-0.33
3
Competition Season Count
4
2
Eligible Competition Season Count
2
0.22
Portability PPG Std
0.17
0.44
Portability PPG Range
0.34
69.44
Portability Score
74.71
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
41
Clean History Matches
43
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO71.42
PPG0.41
GF0.15
GA-0.40
PPG0.40
PPG0.50
PPG-0.60
PPG0.20
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-2
Clean-sheet rate3.8%
Failed-to-score rate0.9%
History Matches2
Clean-sheet rate-0.09
Failed-to-score rate7.7%
History Matches-2
Goals Mean0.15
Goals Std-0.05
Scored 1+ rate-0.01
Scored 2+ rate14.1%
Scored 3+ rate6.2%
Venue Goals Mean0.40
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.40
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.10
History Matches-2
Conceded Mean-0.40
Conceded Std-0.04
Clean-sheet rate3.8%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.24
Conceded 3+ rate-0.15
Venue Conceded Mean-0.11
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.50
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.66
History Matches-2
Result entropy-0.05
Goal Difference Std-0.07
Stability score5.41
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.13
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.22
Eligible Matches-2
Lead Matches-1
Lead Win Rate13.2%
Lead Points Retention0.09
Trailing Matches-5
Non-loss rate-0.04
Trailing Win Rate-0.16
Halftime Coverage Matches-2
First Half Goals For Mean-0.02
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.16
Second Half Goals For Mean0.17
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.25
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG0.40
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean0.27
Competition Season Count-1
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Portability PPG Std0.05
Portability PPG Range0.10
Portability Score-5.27
Rest days-0.04
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches1
Normal Rest History Matches-1
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.46
Long Rest History Matches-2
Long Rest Points Per Match0.30
Current Team ELO71.42
Current Opponent ELO-71.42
Current ELO Difference142.8
Expected score0.20
History Matches-2
Residual Mean0.08
Overperformance5.64
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.04

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Trelleborg W

W
Linköping W0–2Trelleborg W31 Oct · away
Pick: Linköping W 57% · missed
L
Trelleborg W0–4Umeå W24 Oct · home
Pick: Umeå W 42% · hit
L
Enskede W3–1Trelleborg W18 Oct · away
Pick: Trelleborg W 43% · missed
L
Husqvarna W1–0Trelleborg W29 Aug · away
Pick: Husqvarna W 39% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Jitex W

L
Jitex W0–1Elfsborg W7 Nov · home
Pick: Elfsborg W 55% · hit
W
Jitex W5–1Sandviken W1 Nov · home
Pick: Jitex W 74% · hit
D
Husqvarna W0–0Jitex W24 Oct · away
Pick: Husqvarna W 43% · missed
L
KIF Örebro W7–2Jitex W17 Oct · away
Pick: KIF Örebro W 69% · hit
D
Enskede W2–2Jitex W30 Aug · away
Pick: Jitex W 41% · missed

About this match

Trelleborg W and Jitex W meet in Elitettan on Saturday 14 November 2026, kickoff 12:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC: Trelleborg W win 46.7%, draw 22.6%, Jitex W win 30.6%. The pick is Trelleborg W win. Over 2.5 goals: 65.4%. Both teams to score: 58.7%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.