Linköping W vs Gamla Upsala W
Match result probability Model pick: Linköping W win
Linköping W winPick
67.9%
Draw
15.5%
Gamla Upsala W win
16.5%
At kickoff this becomes the match centre
Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.
Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect
Both teams to score
Yes57.7%
No42.3%
Total goals · 2.5
Over 2.566.6%
Under 2.533.4%
How much we know
Linköping W history47 matches
Gamla Upsala W history43 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news
Your call
Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.
Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score
Match result: ours Linköping W
Over / under 2.5: ours Over
Both teams to score: ours Yes
Life of this match
One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.
- Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 3 h ahead8 Nov · 08:45 UTC
- Lineups appearAbout an hour before kickoff, where the competition provides them. This prediction does not use lineups.≈ 11:00 UTC
- KickoffThis page becomes the match centre14 Nov · 12:00 UTC
- Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
- Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC
How reliable are picks like this?
Across 16,809 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 39.9% · said 37.7% · n 2,949
40–49% Won 45.3% · said 44.8% · n 6,860
50–59% Won 55.6% · said 54.4% · n 4,146
60–69% Won 63.9% · said 64.4% · n 2,031
70–79% Won 76.5% · said 73.9% · n 646
80%+ Won 83.1% · said 84.5% · n 177
This pick sits in the 60–69% band (67.9%). Picks in that band won 63.9% of the time, and the model said 64.4% on average, over 2,031 matches.
Why Linköping W are the pick
Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.
-
Linköping W are rated 118 Elo points higher
Elo 1,518 against 1,400. On rating alone Linköping W would be expected to take 66% of the points on offer.
-
Linköping W score more
1.40 goals a game over 47 matches for Linköping W, against 1.21 over 43 for Gamla Upsala W.
-
Linköping W concede fewer
Linköping W concede 1.83 a game, Gamla Upsala W 2.21.
-
Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games
72% of Linköping W matches, against 70% for Gamla Upsala W. The model puts this match at 67% for over 2.5.
These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.
Compare the two teams
Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.
Match history used: up to 24 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Gamla Upsala W@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals 100
1518.0
ELO
1400.2
47
ELO · Matches
43
1518.0
Current Team ELO
1400.2
1400.2
Current Opponent ELO
1518.0
117.9
Current ELO Difference
-117.9
0.66
Expected score
0.34
47
History Matches
43
0.01
Residual Mean
-0.12
50.97
Overperformance
42.07
0.34
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.03
Recent form16 signals 160
5
Matches
5
2.40
PPG
0.80
2.60
Goals for per game
1.60
1.60
Goals against per game
1.40
80.0%
Win rate
20.0%
10
Matches
10
2.50
PPG
0.90
2.40
Goals for per game
1.30
1.10
Goals against per game
1.50
80.0%
Win rate
20.0%
2.40
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.30
1.20
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.49
1.10
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.50
1.04
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.36
0.58
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.94
1.68
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.72
Overall performance9 signals 90
47
Matches
43
1.26
PPG
0.81
36.2%
Win rate
20.9%
17.0%
Draw rate
18.6%
46.8%
Loss rate
60.5%
89.4%
Over 1.5 rate
83.7%
72.3%
Over 2.5 rate
69.8%
40.4%
Over 3.5 rate
41.9%
2.17
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.10
Venue performance10 signals 100
21
Matches
22
1.52
PPG
0.86
42.9%
Win rate
22.7%
23.8%
Draw rate
18.2%
33.3%
Loss rate
59.1%
90.5%
Over 1.5 rate
90.9%
76.2%
Over 2.5 rate
86.4%
47.6%
Over 3.5 rate
45.5%
2.54
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.02
21
History Matches
22
Scoring & attack16 signals 160
1.40
Goals for per game
1.21
74.5%
Scoring rate
67.4%
59.6%
BTTS rate
60.5%
1.62
Goals for per game
1.32
81.0%
Scoring rate
68.2%
57.1%
BTTS rate
63.6%
2.07
Goals for per game
1.07
93.3%
Scoring rate
60.0%
66.7%
BTTS rate
60.0%
47
History Matches
43
1.40
Goals Mean
1.21
1.21
Goals Std
1.27
74.5%
Scored 1+ rate
67.4%
40.4%
Scored 2+ rate
32.6%
17.0%
Scored 3+ rate
9.3%
1.62
Venue Goals Mean
1.32
Defense & conceding12 signals 120
1.83
Goals against per game
2.21
83.0%
Conceding rate
90.7%
1.86
Goals against per game
2.32
76.2%
Conceding rate
90.9%
1.00
Goals against per game
1.80
66.7%
Conceding rate
93.3%
47
History Matches
43
1.83
Conceded Mean
2.21
1.34
Conceded Std
1.52
55.3%
Conceded 2+ rate
60.5%
27.7%
Conceded 3+ rate
32.6%
1.86
Venue Conceded Mean
2.32
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals 110
17.0%
Clean-sheet rate
9.3%
25.5%
Failed-to-score rate
32.6%
23.8%
Clean-sheet rate
9.1%
19.0%
Failed-to-score rate
31.8%
33.3%
Clean-sheet rate
6.7%
6.7%
Failed-to-score rate
40.0%
17.0%
Clean-sheet rate
9.3%
25.5%
Failed-to-score rate
32.6%
23.8%
Clean-sheet rate
9.1%
19.0%
Failed-to-score rate
31.8%
17.0%
Clean-sheet rate
9.3%
Volatility & stability4 signals 40
47
History Matches
43
0.93
Result entropy
0.86
2.17
Goal Difference Std
2.10
6.74
Stability score
14.03
Halftime resilience7 signals 70
47
Eligible Matches
43
15
Lead Matches
10
86.7%
Lead Win Rate
60.0%
0.89
Lead Points Retention
0.63
21
Trailing Matches
23
19.0%
Non-loss rate
13.0%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
4.3%
Goal timing5 signals 50
47
Halftime Coverage Matches
43
0.68
First Half Goals For Mean
0.53
0.83
First Half Goals Against Mean
1.05
0.72
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.67
1.00
Second Half Goals Against Mean
1.16
Rest & schedule9 signals 90
82.96
Rest days
84.04
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
1
—
Short Rest Points Per Match
0.00
24
Normal Rest History Matches
23
1.29
Normal Rest Points Per Match
0.91
22
Long Rest History Matches
18
1.27
Long Rest Points Per Match
0.78
Competition & season17 signals 170
15
Matches
15
2.40
PPG
0.67
73.3%
Win rate
13.3%
20.0%
Draw rate
26.7%
6.7%
Loss rate
60.0%
86.7%
Over 1.5 rate
73.3%
66.7%
Over 2.5 rate
53.3%
33.3%
Over 3.5 rate
26.7%
1.34
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.06
15
Current Competition Matches
15
2.40
Current Competition PPG
0.67
1.07
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-0.73
5
Competition Season Count
4
3
Eligible Competition Season Count
2
0.73
Portability PPG Std
0.09
1.78
Portability PPG Range
0.18
40.55
Portability Score
84.78
Odds & market11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal 10
47
Clean History Matches
43
Matchup differences86 signals 086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO117.9
PPG0.44
GF0.19
GA-0.38
PPG1.73
PPG0.66
PPG1.60
PPG1.60
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches4
Clean-sheet rate7.7%
Failed-to-score rate-0.07
History Matches-1
Clean-sheet rate14.7%
Failed-to-score rate-0.13
History Matches4
Goals Mean0.19
Goals Std-0.05
Scored 1+ rate7.0%
Scored 2+ rate7.9%
Scored 3+ rate7.7%
Venue Goals Mean0.30
Recent 10 Goals Mean1.10
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.29
History Matches4
Conceded Mean-0.38
Conceded Std-0.18
Clean-sheet rate7.7%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.05
Conceded 3+ rate-0.05
Venue Conceded Mean-0.46
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.40
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.32
History Matches4
Result entropy0.07
Goal Difference Std0.07
Stability score-7.29
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.36
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.04
Eligible Matches4
Lead Matches5
Lead Win Rate26.7%
Lead Points Retention0.26
Trailing Matches-2
Non-loss rate6.0%
Trailing Win Rate-0.04
Halftime Coverage Matches4
First Half Goals For Mean0.15
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.22
Second Half Goals For Mean0.05
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.16
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG1.73
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean1.80
Competition Season Count1
Eligible Competition Season Count1
Portability PPG Std0.64
Portability PPG Range1.61
Portability Score-44.24
Rest days-1.08
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-1
Normal Rest History Matches1
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.38
Long Rest History Matches4
Long Rest Points Per Match0.49
Current Team ELO117.9
Current Opponent ELO-117.9
Current ELO Difference235.8
Expected score0.33
History Matches4
Residual Mean0.13
Overperformance8.89
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.36
Latest results, with our pick
Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.
Linköping W
L
KIF Örebro W4–0Linköping W6 Nov · away
Pick: KIF Örebro W 49% · hit L
Linköping W0–2Trelleborg W31 Oct · home
Pick: Linköping W 57% · missed L
Sandviken W3–2Linköping W25 Oct · away
Pick: Linköping W 78% · missed D
Linköping W0–0Umeå W17 Oct · home
Pick: Linköping W 45% · missed L
Linköping W1–4Göteborg W29 Aug · home
Pick: Göteborg W 41% · hit Gamla Upsala W
L
Gamla Upsala W2–4Göteborg W7 Nov · home
Pick: Göteborg W 75% · hit W
KIF Örebro W0–2Gamla Upsala W31 Oct · away
Pick: KIF Örebro W 80% · missed W
Gamla Upsala W3–0Häcken II W25 Oct · home
Pick: Gamla Upsala W 53% · hit L
Elfsborg W2–0Gamla Upsala W17 Oct · away
Pick: Elfsborg W 71% · hit L
Gamla Upsala W1–3Sandviken W29 Aug · home
Pick: Gamla Upsala W 61% · missed About this match
Linköping W and Gamla Upsala W meet in Elitettan on Saturday 14 November 2026, kickoff 12:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC: Linköping W win 67.9%, draw 15.5%, Gamla Upsala W win 16.5%. The pick is Linköping W win. Over 2.5 goals: 66.6%. Both teams to score: 57.7%.
Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.