Rotselaar vs Sint-Truiden II
Match result probability Model pick: Sint-Truiden II win
Rotselaar win
33.1%
Draw
21.2%
Sint-Truiden II winPick
45.8%
At kickoff this becomes the match centre
Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.
Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect
Both teams to score
Yes63.9%
No36.1%
Total goals · 2.5
Over 2.568.2%
Under 2.531.8%
How much we know
Rotselaar history31 matches
Sint-Truiden II history39 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news
Your call
Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.
Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score
Match result: ours Sint-Truiden II
Over / under 2.5: ours Over
Both teams to score: ours Yes
Life of this match
One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.
- Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 10 h ahead8 Nov · 08:45 UTC
- Lineups appearAbout an hour before kickoff, where the competition provides them. This prediction does not use lineups.≈ 18:15 UTC
- KickoffThis page becomes the match centre14 Nov · 19:15 UTC
- Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
- Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC
How reliable are picks like this?
Across 16,809 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 39.9% · said 37.7% · n 2,949
40–49% Won 45.3% · said 44.8% · n 6,860
50–59% Won 55.6% · said 54.4% · n 4,146
60–69% Won 63.9% · said 64.4% · n 2,031
70–79% Won 76.5% · said 73.9% · n 646
80%+ Won 83.1% · said 84.5% · n 177
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (45.8%). Picks in that band won 45.3% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,860 matches.
Why Sint-Truiden II are the pick
Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.
-
The Elo ratings are level
Elo 1,460 against 1,464. On rating alone the teams are close to even.
-
Sint-Truiden II score more
1.52 goals a game over 31 matches for Rotselaar, against 2.10 over 39 for Sint-Truiden II.
-
Rotselaar concede fewer
Rotselaar concede 1.94 a game, Sint-Truiden II 2.15.
-
Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games
71% of Rotselaar matches, against 69% for Sint-Truiden II. The model puts this match at 68% for over 2.5.
These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.
Compare the two teams
Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.
Match history used: up to 26 Apr 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Sint-Truiden II@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals 100
1459.7
ELO
1464.1
31
ELO · Matches
39
1459.7
Current Team ELO
1464.1
1464.1
Current Opponent ELO
1459.7
-4.46
Current ELO Difference
4.46
0.49
Expected score
0.51
31
History Matches
39
-0.07
Residual Mean
-0.04
45.91
Overperformance
47.21
0.06
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.11
Recent form16 signals 160
5
Matches
5
1.20
PPG
1.60
2.20
Goals for per game
3.20
2.00
Goals against per game
2.60
20.0%
Win rate
40.0%
10
Matches
10
1.30
PPG
1.50
2.20
Goals for per game
2.90
1.80
Goals against per game
2.60
30.0%
Win rate
40.0%
2.20
Recent 10 Goals Mean
2.90
1.33
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.87
1.80
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
2.60
0.60
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.62
0.99
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.99
1.50
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.24
Overall performance9 signals 90
31
Matches
39
1.06
PPG
1.13
25.8%
Win rate
28.2%
29.0%
Draw rate
28.2%
45.2%
Loss rate
43.6%
87.1%
Over 1.5 rate
89.7%
71.0%
Over 2.5 rate
69.2%
41.9%
Over 3.5 rate
56.4%
1.68
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.09
Venue performance10 signals 100
15
Matches
19
0.60
PPG
0.89
6.7%
Win rate
15.8%
40.0%
Draw rate
42.1%
53.3%
Loss rate
42.1%
93.3%
Over 1.5 rate
89.5%
80.0%
Over 2.5 rate
52.6%
53.3%
Over 3.5 rate
47.4%
1.70
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.60
15
History Matches
19
Scoring & attack16 signals 160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
1.52
Goals for per game
2.10
83.9%
Scoring rate
82.1%
77.4%
BTTS rate
76.9%
1.60
Goals for per game
1.47
86.7%
Scoring rate
73.7%
86.7%
BTTS rate
73.7%
31
History Matches
39
1.52
Goals Mean
2.10
1.13
Goals Std
1.88
83.9%
Scored 1+ rate
82.1%
45.2%
Scored 2+ rate
51.3%
12.9%
Scored 3+ rate
33.3%
1.60
Venue Goals Mean
1.47
Defense & conceding12 signals 120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
1.94
Goals against per game
2.15
93.5%
Conceding rate
89.7%
2.27
Goals against per game
2.11
100.0%
Conceding rate
94.7%
31
History Matches
39
1.94
Conceded Mean
2.15
1.19
Conceded Std
1.46
61.3%
Conceded 2+ rate
61.5%
22.6%
Conceded 3+ rate
35.9%
2.27
Venue Conceded Mean
2.11
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
6.5%
Clean-sheet rate
10.3%
16.1%
Failed-to-score rate
17.9%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
5.3%
13.3%
Failed-to-score rate
26.3%
6.5%
Clean-sheet rate
10.3%
16.1%
Failed-to-score rate
17.9%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
5.3%
13.3%
Failed-to-score rate
26.3%
6.5%
Clean-sheet rate
10.3%
Volatility & stability4 signals 40
31
History Matches
39
0.97
Result entropy
0.98
1.68
Goal Difference Std
2.09
2.82
Stability score
2.07
Halftime resilience7 signals 70
21
Eligible Matches
31
5
Lead Matches
8
60.0%
Lead Win Rate
87.5%
0.67
Lead Points Retention
0.92
6
Trailing Matches
15
33.3%
Non-loss rate
33.3%
16.7%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals 50
21
Halftime Coverage Matches
31
0.57
First Half Goals For Mean
0.90
0.76
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.97
1.05
Second Half Goals For Mean
1.23
1.19
Second Half Goals Against Mean
1.35
Rest & schedule9 signals 90
202.3
Rest days
202.3
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
1
—
Short Rest Points Per Match
1.00
14
Normal Rest History Matches
19
1.29
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.21
16
Long Rest History Matches
18
0.75
Long Rest Points Per Match
0.94
Competition & season17 signals 170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
2
Competition Season Count
2
1
Eligible Competition Season Count
2
—
Portability PPG Std
0.02
—
Portability PPG Range
0.04
—
Portability Score
96.35
Odds & market11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal 10
31
Clean History Matches
39
Matchup differences86 signals 086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanPortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO-4.46
PPG-0.06
GF-0.59
GA-0.22
PPG-0.29
PPG-0.40
PPG-0.20
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-8
Clean-sheet rate-0.04
Failed-to-score rate-0.02
History Matches-4
Clean-sheet rate-0.05
Failed-to-score rate-0.13
History Matches-8
Goals Mean-0.59
Goals Std-0.75
Scored 1+ rate1.8%
Scored 2+ rate-0.06
Scored 3+ rate-0.20
Venue Goals Mean0.13
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.70
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.54
History Matches-8
Conceded Mean-0.22
Conceded Std-0.27
Clean-sheet rate-0.04
Conceded 2+ rate0.00
Conceded 3+ rate-0.13
Venue Conceded Mean0.16
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.80
Recent 10 Conceded Std-1.02
History Matches-8
Result entropy-0.01
Goal Difference Std-0.41
Stability score0.75
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.00
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.74
Eligible Matches-10
Lead Matches-3
Lead Win Rate-0.28
Lead Points Retention-0.25
Trailing Matches-9
Non-loss rate0.0%
Trailing Win Rate16.7%
Halftime Coverage Matches-10
First Half Goals For Mean-0.33
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.21
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.18
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.16
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count0
Eligible Competition Season Count-1
Rest days0.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-1
Normal Rest History Matches-5
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.08
Long Rest History Matches-2
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.19
Current Team ELO-4.46
Current Opponent ELO4.46
Current ELO Difference-8.92
Expected score-0.01
History Matches-8
Residual Mean-0.02
Overperformance-1.29
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.05
Latest results, with our pick
Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.
Rotselaar
L
Wilrijk3–1Rotselaar7 Nov · away
Pick: Rotselaar 43% · missed W
Tongeren3–4Rotselaar31 Oct · away
Pick: Tongeren 47% · missed L
Rotselaar1–2Tempo Overijse24 Oct · home
Pick: Rotselaar 58% · missed L
Royal Antwerp II3–0Rotselaar17 Oct · away
Pick: Royal Antwerp II 62% · hit L
Wellen1–0Rotselaar29 Aug · away
Pick: Wellen 52% · hit Sint-Truiden II
D
Bocholt0–0Sint-Truiden II31 Oct · away
Pick: Sint-Truiden II 42% · missed W
Sint-Truiden II7–5Tongeren25 Oct · home
Pick: Sint-Truiden II 48% · hit W
Hades1–2Sint-Truiden II17 Oct · away
Pick: Hades 42% · missed L
Rupel Boom2–1Sint-Truiden II4 Oct · away
Pick: Rupel Boom 67% · hit L
Sint-Truiden II0–5Wilrijk30 Aug · home
Pick: Sint-Truiden II 61% · missed About this match
Rotselaar and Sint-Truiden II meet in Second Amateur Division - VFV B on Saturday 14 November 2026, kickoff 19:15 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC: Rotselaar win 33.1%, draw 21.2%, Sint-Truiden II win 45.8%. The pick is Sint-Truiden II win. Over 2.5 goals: 68.2%. Both teams to score: 63.9%.
Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.