Royal Antwerp II vs Rupel Boom
Match result probability Model pick: Royal Antwerp II win
Royal Antwerp II winPick
37.7%
Draw
25.2%
Rupel Boom win
37.1%
At kickoff this becomes the match centre
Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.
Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect
Both teams to score
Yes55.7%
No44.3%
Total goals · 2.5
Over 2.558.3%
Under 2.541.7%
How much we know
Royal Antwerp II history42 matches
Rupel Boom history45 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news
Your call
Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.
Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score
Match result: ours Royal Antwerp II
Over / under 2.5: ours Over
Both teams to score: ours Yes
Life of this match
One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.
- Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 8 h ahead8 Nov · 08:45 UTC
- Lineups appearAbout an hour before kickoff, where the competition provides them. This prediction does not use lineups.≈ 16:30 UTC
- KickoffThis page becomes the match centre14 Nov · 17:30 UTC
- Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
- Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC
How reliable are picks like this?
Across 16,809 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 39.9% · said 37.7% · n 2,949
40–49% Won 45.3% · said 44.8% · n 6,860
50–59% Won 55.6% · said 54.4% · n 4,146
60–69% Won 63.9% · said 64.4% · n 2,031
70–79% Won 76.5% · said 73.9% · n 646
80%+ Won 83.1% · said 84.5% · n 177
This pick sits in the 33–39% band (37.7%). Picks in that band won 39.9% of the time, and the model said 37.7% on average, over 2,949 matches.
Why Royal Antwerp II are the pick
Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.
-
The Elo ratings are level
Elo 1,543 against 1,554. On rating alone the teams are close to even.
-
Scoring rates are level
1.71 goals a game over 42 matches for Royal Antwerp II, against 1.67 over 45 for Rupel Boom.
-
Defences are close
Royal Antwerp II concede 1.17 a game, Rupel Boom 1.27.
-
Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games
60% of Royal Antwerp II matches, against 58% for Rupel Boom. The model puts this match at 58% for over 2.5.
These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.
Compare the two teams
Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.
Match history used: up to 5 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Rupel Boom@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals 100
1542.6
ELO
1554.4
42
ELO · Matches
45
1542.6
Current Team ELO
1554.4
1554.4
Current Opponent ELO
1542.6
-11.86
Current ELO Difference
11.86
0.48
Expected score
0.52
42
History Matches
45
0.05
Residual Mean
0.06
53.70
Overperformance
53.88
0.06
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.02
Recent form16 signals 160
5
Matches
5
2.00
PPG
1.40
2.00
Goals for per game
1.40
0.60
Goals against per game
1.60
60.0%
Win rate
40.0%
10
Matches
10
1.80
PPG
1.70
2.10
Goals for per game
1.50
0.90
Goals against per game
1.40
50.0%
Win rate
50.0%
2.10
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.50
1.81
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.12
0.90
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.40
0.70
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.02
0.94
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.94
2.09
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.58
Overall performance9 signals 90
42
Matches
45
1.60
PPG
1.80
47.6%
Win rate
53.3%
16.7%
Draw rate
20.0%
35.7%
Loss rate
26.7%
69.0%
Over 1.5 rate
75.6%
59.5%
Over 2.5 rate
57.8%
33.3%
Over 3.5 rate
37.8%
1.99
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.69
Venue performance10 signals 100
22
Matches
23
1.73
PPG
1.61
50.0%
Win rate
47.8%
22.7%
Draw rate
17.4%
27.3%
Loss rate
34.8%
63.6%
Over 1.5 rate
73.9%
54.5%
Over 2.5 rate
56.5%
27.3%
Over 3.5 rate
34.8%
1.89
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.56
22
History Matches
23
Scoring & attack16 signals 160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
1.71
Goals for per game
1.67
76.2%
Scoring rate
82.2%
47.6%
BTTS rate
57.8%
1.68
Goals for per game
1.43
72.7%
Scoring rate
82.6%
45.5%
BTTS rate
60.9%
42
History Matches
45
1.71
Goals Mean
1.67
1.52
Goals Std
1.23
76.2%
Scored 1+ rate
82.2%
45.2%
Scored 2+ rate
48.9%
31.0%
Scored 3+ rate
26.7%
1.68
Venue Goals Mean
1.43
Defense & conceding12 signals 120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
1.17
Goals against per game
1.27
66.7%
Conceding rate
73.3%
0.95
Goals against per game
1.43
63.6%
Conceding rate
78.3%
42
History Matches
45
1.17
Conceded Mean
1.27
1.11
Conceded Std
1.08
33.3%
Conceded 2+ rate
33.3%
11.9%
Conceded 3+ rate
17.8%
0.95
Venue Conceded Mean
1.43
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
33.3%
Clean-sheet rate
26.7%
23.8%
Failed-to-score rate
17.8%
36.4%
Clean-sheet rate
21.7%
27.3%
Failed-to-score rate
17.4%
33.3%
Clean-sheet rate
26.7%
23.8%
Failed-to-score rate
17.8%
36.4%
Clean-sheet rate
21.7%
27.3%
Failed-to-score rate
17.4%
33.3%
Clean-sheet rate
26.7%
Volatility & stability4 signals 40
42
History Matches
45
0.93
Result entropy
0.92
1.99
Goal Difference Std
1.69
7.19
Stability score
8.10
Halftime resilience7 signals 70
32
Eligible Matches
32
9
Lead Matches
17
88.9%
Lead Win Rate
76.5%
0.93
Lead Points Retention
0.84
13
Trailing Matches
5
7.7%
Non-loss rate
40.0%
7.7%
Trailing Win Rate
20.0%
Goal timing5 signals 50
32
Halftime Coverage Matches
32
0.66
First Half Goals For Mean
0.84
0.69
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.38
1.00
Second Half Goals For Mean
1.06
0.59
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.81
Rest & schedule9 signals 90
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Short Rest Points Per Match
101.0
Rest days
133.2
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
0
18
Normal Rest History Matches
22
1.94
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.73
23
Long Rest History Matches
22
1.39
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.82
Competition & season17 signals 170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
3
Competition Season Count
5
2
Eligible Competition Season Count
2
0.67
Portability PPG Std
0.16
1.33
Portability PPG Range
0.32
42.86
Portability Score
75.95
Odds & market11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal 10
42
Clean History Matches
45
Matchup differences86 signals 086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO-11.86
PPG-0.20
GF0.05
GA-0.10
PPG0.12
PPG0.60
PPG0.10
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-3
Clean-sheet rate6.7%
Failed-to-score rate6.0%
History Matches-1
Clean-sheet rate14.6%
Failed-to-score rate9.9%
History Matches-3
Goals Mean0.05
Goals Std0.29
Scored 1+ rate-0.06
Scored 2+ rate-0.04
Scored 3+ rate4.3%
Venue Goals Mean0.25
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.60
Recent 10 Goals Std0.70
History Matches-3
Conceded Mean-0.10
Conceded Std0.03
Clean-sheet rate6.7%
Conceded 2+ rate0.0%
Conceded 3+ rate-0.06
Venue Conceded Mean-0.48
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.50
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.32
History Matches-3
Result entropy0.01
Goal Difference Std0.30
Stability score-0.91
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.00
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.51
Eligible Matches0
Lead Matches-8
Lead Win Rate12.4%
Lead Points Retention0.08
Trailing Matches8
Non-loss rate-0.32
Trailing Win Rate-0.12
Halftime Coverage Matches0
First Half Goals For Mean-0.19
First Half Goals Against Mean0.31
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.06
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.22
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count-2
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Portability PPG Std0.51
Portability PPG Range1.02
Portability Score-33.09
Rest days-32.17
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest History Matches-4
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.22
Long Rest History Matches1
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.43
Current Team ELO-11.86
Current Opponent ELO11.86
Current ELO Difference-23.71
Expected score-0.03
History Matches-3
Residual Mean0.00
Overperformance-0.18
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.07
Latest results, with our pick
Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.
Royal Antwerp II
W
Eendracht Termien0–2Royal Antwerp II7 Nov · away
Pick: Royal Antwerp II 39% · hit W
Royal Antwerp II7–0De Kempen31 Oct · home
Pick: Royal Antwerp II 66% · hit W
Wilrijk1–2Royal Antwerp II24 Oct · away
Pick: Royal Antwerp II 47% · hit W
Royal Antwerp II3–0Rotselaar17 Oct · home
Pick: Royal Antwerp II 62% · hit W
Royal Antwerp II2–0Nijlen29 Aug · home
Pick: Royal Antwerp II 64% · hit Rupel Boom
W
Rupel Boom1–0Nijlen1 Nov · home
Pick: Rupel Boom 70% · hit D
Diegem Sport2–2Rupel Boom25 Oct · away
Pick: Rupel Boom 47% · missed W
Rupel Boom4–1Wilrijk18 Oct · home
Pick: Rupel Boom 74% · hit W
Rupel Boom2–1Sint-Truiden II4 Oct · home
Pick: Rupel Boom 67% · hit L
Eendracht Termien4–0Rupel Boom30 Aug · away
Pick: Rupel Boom 47% · missed About this match
Royal Antwerp II and Rupel Boom meet in Second Amateur Division - VFV B on Saturday 14 November 2026, kickoff 17:30 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC: Royal Antwerp II win 37.7%, draw 25.2%, Rupel Boom win 37.1%. The pick is Royal Antwerp II win. Over 2.5 goals: 58.3%. Both teams to score: 55.7%.
Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.