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Second Amateur Division - VFV B Belgium VFV B - 12 2026

Tempo Overijse vs Racing Mechelen

Tempo Overijse Home · Elo 1,506
Sat 14 Nov
UTC
Not started
Racing Mechelen Away · Elo 1,459
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Racing Mechelen win
Tempo Overijse win
30.7%
Draw
20.9%
Racing Mechelen winPick
48.3%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes61.1%
No38.9%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.566.0%
Under 2.534.0%

How much we know

Tempo Overijse history2 matches
Racing Mechelen history42 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 10 h ahead
    8 Nov · 08:45 UTC
  2. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    14 Nov · 19:00 UTC
  3. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  4. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 16,809 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 39.9% · said 37.7% · n 2,949
40–49% Won 45.3% · said 44.8% · n 6,860
50–59% Won 55.6% · said 54.4% · n 4,146
60–69% Won 63.9% · said 64.4% · n 2,031
70–79% Won 76.5% · said 73.9% · n 646
80%+ Won 83.1% · said 84.5% · n 177
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (48.3%). Picks in that band won 45.3% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,860 matches.

Why Racing Mechelen are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Tempo Overijse are rated 47 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,506 against 1,459. On rating alone Tempo Overijse would be expected to take 57% of the points on offer.

  • Tempo Overijse score far more

    3.50 goals a game over 2 matches for Tempo Overijse, against 1.36 over 42 for Racing Mechelen.

  • Racing Mechelen concede fewer

    Tempo Overijse concede 2.50 a game, Racing Mechelen 1.60.

  • Tempo Overijse games more often go over 2.5 goals

    100% of Tempo Overijse matches, against 60% for Racing Mechelen. The model puts this match at 66% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 1 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Tempo Overijse
Racing Mechelen@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1505.9
ELO
1458.7
2
ELO · Matches
42
1505.9
Current Team ELO
1458.7
1458.7
Current Opponent ELO
1505.9
47.22
Current ELO Difference
-47.22
0.57
Expected score
0.43
2
History Matches
42
0.06
Residual Mean
-0.05
50.55
Overperformance
46.75
0.06
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.01
Recent form16 signals
160
2
Matches
5
1.50
PPG
1.40
3.50
Goals for per game
0.40
2.50
Goals against per game
0.80
50.0%
Win rate
40.0%
2
Matches
10
1.50
PPG
1.20
3.50
Goals for per game
0.90
2.50
Goals against per game
1.10
50.0%
Win rate
30.0%
3.50
Recent 10 Goals Mean
0.90
1.50
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.94
2.50
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.10
1.50
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.04
0.63
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.99
3.00
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.60
Overall performance9 signals
90
2
Matches
42
1.50
PPG
1.12
50.0%
Win rate
28.6%
0.0%
Draw rate
26.2%
50.0%
Loss rate
45.2%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
81.0%
100.0%
Over 2.5 rate
59.5%
100.0%
Over 3.5 rate
33.3%
3.00
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.78
Venue performance10 signals
100
0
Matches
21
—
PPG
1.10
—
Win rate
28.6%
—
Draw rate
23.8%
—
Loss rate
47.6%
—
Over 1.5 rate
76.2%
—
Over 2.5 rate
61.9%
—
Over 3.5 rate
33.3%
—
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.94
0
History Matches
21
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
3.50
Goals for per game
1.36
100.0%
Scoring rate
78.6%
100.0%
BTTS rate
64.3%
—
Goals for per game
1.24
—
Scoring rate
61.9%
—
BTTS rate
52.4%
2
History Matches
42
3.50
Goals Mean
1.36
1.50
Goals Std
1.17
100.0%
Scored 1+ rate
78.6%
100.0%
Scored 2+ rate
31.0%
50.0%
Scored 3+ rate
19.0%
—
Venue Goals Mean
1.24
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
2.50
Goals against per game
1.60
100.0%
Conceding rate
81.0%
—
Goals against per game
1.67
—
Conceding rate
81.0%
2
History Matches
42
2.50
Conceded Mean
1.60
1.50
Conceded Std
1.25
50.0%
Conceded 2+ rate
47.6%
50.0%
Conceded 3+ rate
21.4%
—
Venue Conceded Mean
1.67
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
19.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
21.4%
—
Clean-sheet rate
19.0%
—
Failed-to-score rate
38.1%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
19.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
21.4%
—
Clean-sheet rate
19.0%
—
Failed-to-score rate
38.1%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
19.0%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
2
History Matches
42
0.63
Result entropy
0.97
3.00
Goal Difference Std
1.78
36.91
Stability score
2.82
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
1
Eligible Matches
28
0
Lead Matches
3
—
Lead Win Rate
66.7%
—
Lead Points Retention
0.78
1
Trailing Matches
9
0.0%
Non-loss rate
11.1%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
1
Halftime Coverage Matches
28
0.00
First Half Goals For Mean
0.54
2.00
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.89
2.00
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.61
2.00
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.61
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Short Rest Points Per Match
105.1
Rest days
202.3
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
0
0
Normal Rest History Matches
23
—
Normal Rest Points Per Match
0.96
1
Long Rest History Matches
18
0.00
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.39
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
2
Competition Season Count
4
0
Eligible Competition Season Count
2
—
Portability PPG Std
0.06
—
Portability PPG Range
0.12
—
Portability Score
89.61
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
2
Clean History Matches
42
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGPPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreClean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rateVenue Goals MeanVenue Conceded MeanLead Win RateLead Points RetentionCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanPortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreShort Rest Points Per MatchNormal Rest Points Per Match
ELO47.22
PPG0.38
GF2.14
GA0.90
PPG0.10
PPG0.30
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-40
Clean-sheet rate-0.19
Failed-to-score rate-0.21
History Matches-21
History Matches-40
Goals Mean2.14
Goals Std0.33
Scored 1+ rate21.4%
Scored 2+ rate69.0%
Scored 3+ rate31.0%
Recent 10 Goals Mean2.60
Recent 10 Goals Std0.56
History Matches-40
Conceded Mean0.90
Conceded Std0.25
Clean-sheet rate-0.19
Conceded 2+ rate2.4%
Conceded 3+ rate28.6%
Recent 10 Conceded Mean1.40
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.46
History Matches-40
Result entropy-0.34
Goal Difference Std1.22
Stability score34.09
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.36
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std1.40
Eligible Matches-27
Lead Matches-3
Trailing Matches-8
Non-loss rate-0.11
Trailing Win Rate0.0%
Halftime Coverage Matches-27
First Half Goals For Mean-0.54
First Half Goals Against Mean1.11
Second Half Goals For Mean1.39
Second Half Goals Against Mean1.39
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count-2
Eligible Competition Season Count-2
Rest days-97.17
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest History Matches-23
Long Rest History Matches-17
Long Rest Points Per Match-1.39
Current Team ELO47.22
Current Opponent ELO-47.22
Current ELO Difference94.44
Expected score0.14
History Matches-40
Residual Mean0.11
Overperformance3.79
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.05

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Tempo Overijse

W
Tempo Overijse5–2Diegem Sport31 Oct · home
Pick: Diegem Sport 44% · missed
W
Rotselaar1–2Tempo Overijse24 Oct · away
Pick: Rotselaar 58% · missed
W
Tempo Overijse2–0De Kempen17 Oct · home
Pick: Tempo Overijse 46% · hit
W
Tempo Overijse3–0Hades29 Aug · home
Pick: Hades 42% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Racing Mechelen

W
Racing Mechelen4–1Hades7 Nov · home
Pick: Racing Mechelen 45% · hit
L
Eendracht Termien3–1Racing Mechelen1 Nov · away
Pick: Eendracht Termien 45% · hit
L
Racing Mechelen1–3Cappellen24 Oct · home
Pick: Racing Mechelen 47% · missed
W
Racing Mechelen4–1Tongeren17 Oct · home
Pick: Racing Mechelen 46% · hit
D
Racing Mechelen1–1Diegem Sport30 Aug · home
Pick: Racing Mechelen 43% · missed

About this match

Tempo Overijse and Racing Mechelen meet in Second Amateur Division - VFV B on Saturday 14 November 2026, kickoff 19:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC: Tempo Overijse win 30.7%, draw 20.9%, Racing Mechelen win 48.3%. The pick is Racing Mechelen win. Over 2.5 goals: 66.0%. Both teams to score: 61.1%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.