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4. liga - Divizie B Czechia Group B - 15 2026

Slovan Velvary vs Meteor Praha

Slovan Velvary Home · Elo 1,450
Sat 14 Nov
UTC
Not started
Meteor Praha Away · Elo 1,519
Football pitch Velvary Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Slovan Velvary win
Slovan Velvary winPick
51.1%
Draw
20.7%
Meteor Praha win
28.2%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes61.4%
No38.6%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.566.7%
Under 2.533.3%

How much we know

Slovan Velvary history55 matches
Meteor Praha history53 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 4 h ahead
    8 Nov · 08:45 UTC
  2. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    14 Nov · 13:00 UTC
  3. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  4. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 16,809 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 39.9% · said 37.7% · n 2,949
40–49% Won 45.3% · said 44.8% · n 6,860
50–59% Won 55.6% · said 54.4% · n 4,146
60–69% Won 63.9% · said 64.4% · n 2,031
70–79% Won 76.5% · said 73.9% · n 646
80%+ Won 83.1% · said 84.5% · n 177
This pick sits in the 50–59% band (51.1%). Picks in that band won 55.6% of the time, and the model said 54.4% on average, over 4,146 matches.

Why Slovan Velvary are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Meteor Praha are rated 69 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,519 against 1,450. On rating alone Meteor Praha would be expected to take 60% of the points on offer.

  • Meteor Praha score more

    1.60 goals a game over 55 matches for Slovan Velvary, against 1.83 over 53 for Meteor Praha.

  • Meteor Praha concede fewer

    Slovan Velvary concede 2.07 a game, Meteor Praha 1.43.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    67% of Slovan Velvary matches, against 68% for Meteor Praha. The model puts this match at 67% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 22 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Slovan Velvary
Meteor Praha@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1449.7
ELO
1518.9
55
ELO · Matches
53
1449.7
Current Team ELO
1518.9
1518.9
Current Opponent ELO
1449.7
-69.15
Current ELO Difference
69.15
0.40
Expected score
0.60
55
History Matches
53
-0.04
Residual Mean
0.02
47.11
Overperformance
51.57
0.02
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.08
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.40
PPG
2.40
1.40
Goals for per game
2.20
1.40
Goals against per game
1.20
40.0%
Win rate
80.0%
10
Matches
10
1.10
PPG
1.80
1.20
Goals for per game
2.10
2.10
Goals against per game
1.90
30.0%
Win rate
60.0%
1.20
Recent 10 Goals Mean
2.10
1.33
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.37
2.10
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.90
1.92
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.37
0.94
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.61
2.43
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.18
Overall performance9 signals
90
55
Matches
53
1.18
PPG
1.60
34.5%
Win rate
50.9%
14.5%
Draw rate
7.5%
50.9%
Loss rate
41.5%
81.8%
Over 1.5 rate
83.0%
67.3%
Over 2.5 rate
67.9%
45.5%
Over 3.5 rate
39.6%
2.17
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.06
Venue performance10 signals
100
29
Matches
25
1.10
PPG
1.32
31.0%
Win rate
44.0%
17.2%
Draw rate
0.0%
51.7%
Loss rate
56.0%
79.3%
Over 1.5 rate
80.0%
62.1%
Over 2.5 rate
64.0%
44.8%
Over 3.5 rate
40.0%
1.66
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.10
29
History Matches
25
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.60
Goals for per game
1.83
76.4%
Scoring rate
81.1%
67.3%
BTTS rate
60.4%
1.66
Goals for per game
1.56
75.9%
Scoring rate
72.0%
69.0%
BTTS rate
56.0%
2.33
Goals for per game
0.50
100.0%
Scoring rate
50.0%
100.0%
BTTS rate
0.0%
55
History Matches
53
1.60
Goals Mean
1.83
1.32
Goals Std
1.48
76.4%
Scored 1+ rate
81.1%
45.5%
Scored 2+ rate
47.2%
27.3%
Scored 3+ rate
32.1%
1.66
Venue Goals Mean
1.56
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
2.07
Goals against per game
1.43
89.1%
Conceding rate
77.4%
1.83
Goals against per game
1.68
93.1%
Conceding rate
84.0%
1.67
Goals against per game
1.50
100.0%
Conceding rate
50.0%
55
History Matches
53
2.07
Conceded Mean
1.43
1.68
Conceded Std
1.16
52.7%
Conceded 2+ rate
41.5%
30.9%
Conceded 3+ rate
18.9%
1.83
Venue Conceded Mean
1.68
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
10.9%
Clean-sheet rate
22.6%
23.6%
Failed-to-score rate
18.9%
6.9%
Clean-sheet rate
16.0%
24.1%
Failed-to-score rate
28.0%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
50.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
50.0%
10.9%
Clean-sheet rate
22.6%
23.6%
Failed-to-score rate
18.9%
6.9%
Clean-sheet rate
16.0%
24.1%
Failed-to-score rate
28.0%
10.9%
Clean-sheet rate
22.6%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
55
History Matches
53
0.90
Result entropy
0.82
2.17
Goal Difference Std
2.06
9.77
Stability score
17.75
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
55
Eligible Matches
50
11
Lead Matches
19
90.9%
Lead Win Rate
84.2%
0.94
Lead Points Retention
0.88
25
Trailing Matches
18
20.0%
Non-loss rate
16.7%
8.0%
Trailing Win Rate
16.7%
Goal timing5 signals
50
55
Halftime Coverage Matches
50
0.69
First Half Goals For Mean
0.84
1.15
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.76
0.91
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.98
0.93
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.66
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
84.88
Rest days
90.92
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
2
Short Rest History Matches
1
2.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
0.00
34
Normal Rest History Matches
25
1.15
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.44
18
Long Rest History Matches
26
1.22
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.88
Competition & season17 signals
170
3
Matches
2
2.33
PPG
1.50
66.7%
Win rate
50.0%
33.3%
Draw rate
0.0%
0.0%
Loss rate
50.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
50.0%
66.7%
Over 2.5 rate
50.0%
33.3%
Over 3.5 rate
0.0%
0.47
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.00
3
Current Competition Matches
2
2.33
Current Competition PPG
1.50
0.67
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-1.00
7
Competition Season Count
6
3
Eligible Competition Season Count
3
0.64
Portability PPG Std
0.24
1.55
Portability PPG Range
0.59
43.71
Portability Score
67.65
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
55
Clean History Matches
53
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO-69.15
PPG-0.42
GF-0.23
GA0.64
PPG0.83
PPG-0.22
PPG-1.00
PPG-0.70
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches2
Clean-sheet rate-0.12
Failed-to-score rate4.8%
History Matches4
Clean-sheet rate-0.09
Failed-to-score rate-0.04
History Matches2
Goals Mean-0.23
Goals Std-0.16
Scored 1+ rate-0.05
Scored 2+ rate-0.02
Scored 3+ rate-0.05
Venue Goals Mean0.10
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.90
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.05
History Matches2
Conceded Mean0.64
Conceded Std0.53
Clean-sheet rate-0.12
Conceded 2+ rate11.2%
Conceded 3+ rate12.0%
Venue Conceded Mean0.15
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.20
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.55
History Matches2
Result entropy0.08
Goal Difference Std0.11
Stability score-7.98
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.32
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.25
Eligible Matches5
Lead Matches-8
Lead Win Rate6.7%
Lead Points Retention0.06
Trailing Matches7
Non-loss rate3.3%
Trailing Win Rate-0.09
Halftime Coverage Matches5
First Half Goals For Mean-0.15
First Half Goals Against Mean0.39
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.07
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.27
Current Competition Matches1
Current Competition PPG0.83
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean1.67
Competition Season Count1
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Portability PPG Std0.40
Portability PPG Range0.97
Portability Score-23.94
Rest days-6.04
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches1
Short Rest Points Per Match2.00
Normal Rest History Matches9
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.29
Long Rest History Matches-8
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.66
Current Team ELO-69.15
Current Opponent ELO69.15
Current ELO Difference-138.3
Expected score-0.20
History Matches2
Residual Mean-0.06
Overperformance-4.46
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.06

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Slovan Velvary

L
Chomutov3–1Slovan Velvary6 Nov · away
Pick: Chomutov 59% · hit
L
Slovan Velvary2–4Baník Sokolov31 Oct · home
Pick: Baník Sokolov 46% · hit
L
Rapid Psáry3–1Slovan Velvary24 Oct · away
Pick: Slovan Velvary 46% · missed
L
Slovan Velvary0–3Slavoj Vyšehrad17 Oct · home
Pick: Slovan Velvary 69% · missed
W
Slovan Velvary2–1Karlovy Vary29 Aug · home
Pick: Karlovy Vary 43% · missed

Meteor Praha

L
Brandýs nad Labem3–0Meteor Praha31 Oct · away
Pick: Brandýs nad Labem 50% · hit
L
Meteor Praha2–4Sokol Hostouň25 Oct · home
Pick: Sokol Hostouň 51% · hit
L
Tempo Praha4–2Meteor Praha17 Oct · away
Pick: Tempo Praha 56% · hit
L
Meteor Praha0–4Mlada Boleslav26 Aug · home
Pick: Mlada Boleslav 46% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Slovan Velvary and Meteor Praha meet in 4. liga - Divizie B on Saturday 14 November 2026, kickoff 13:00 UTC. The match is played at Football pitch Velvary. ScoreProb published its prediction on 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC: Slovan Velvary win 51.1%, draw 20.7%, Meteor Praha win 28.2%. The pick is Slovan Velvary win. Over 2.5 goals: 66.7%. Both teams to score: 61.4%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.