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Third League - Southeast Bulgaria Southeast - 15 2026

Atletik Kuklen vs Gigant Saedinenie

Atletik Kuklen Home · Elo 1,454
Sat 14 Nov
UTC
Not started
Gigant Saedinenie Away · Elo 1,511
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Gigant Saedinenie win
Atletik Kuklen win
33.5%
Draw
22.5%
Gigant Saedinenie winPick
44.0%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes58.7%
No41.3%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.560.4%
Under 2.539.6%

How much we know

Atletik Kuklen history55 matches
Gigant Saedinenie history55 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 3 h ahead
    8 Nov · 08:45 UTC
  2. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    14 Nov · 12:30 UTC
  3. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  4. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 16,809 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 39.9% · said 37.7% · n 2,949
40–49% Won 45.3% · said 44.8% · n 6,860
50–59% Won 55.6% · said 54.4% · n 4,146
60–69% Won 63.9% · said 64.4% · n 2,031
70–79% Won 76.5% · said 73.9% · n 646
80%+ Won 83.1% · said 84.5% · n 177
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (44.0%). Picks in that band won 45.3% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,860 matches.

Why Gigant Saedinenie are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Gigant Saedinenie are rated 57 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,511 against 1,454. On rating alone Gigant Saedinenie would be expected to take 58% of the points on offer.

  • Gigant Saedinenie score more

    1.22 goals a game over 55 matches for Atletik Kuklen, against 1.60 over 55 for Gigant Saedinenie.

  • Gigant Saedinenie concede fewer

    Atletik Kuklen concede 2.04 a game, Gigant Saedinenie 1.38.

  • Atletik Kuklen games more often go over 2.5 goals

    65% of Atletik Kuklen matches, against 53% for Gigant Saedinenie. The model puts this match at 60% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 23 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Atletik Kuklen
Gigant Saedinenie@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1454.2
ELO
1511.0
55
ELO · Matches
55
1454.2
Current Team ELO
1511.0
1511.0
Current Opponent ELO
1454.2
-56.78
Current ELO Difference
56.78
0.42
Expected score
0.58
55
History Matches
55
-0.04
Residual Mean
0.00
46.94
Overperformance
50.30
-0.06
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.12
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.80
PPG
2.00
1.60
Goals for per game
3.20
1.40
Goals against per game
1.60
60.0%
Win rate
60.0%
10
Matches
10
1.20
PPG
1.70
1.40
Goals for per game
2.70
2.10
Goals against per game
2.10
40.0%
Win rate
50.0%
1.40
Recent 10 Goals Mean
2.70
1.36
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.19
2.10
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
2.10
1.45
Recent 10 Conceded Std
2.07
0.61
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.94
2.10
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.62
Overall performance9 signals
90
55
Matches
55
1.18
PPG
1.51
36.4%
Win rate
45.5%
9.1%
Draw rate
14.5%
54.5%
Loss rate
40.0%
80.0%
Over 1.5 rate
72.7%
65.5%
Over 2.5 rate
52.7%
47.3%
Over 3.5 rate
29.1%
2.24
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.97
Venue performance10 signals
100
27
Matches
29
1.48
PPG
1.10
48.1%
Win rate
31.0%
3.7%
Draw rate
17.2%
48.1%
Loss rate
51.7%
81.5%
Over 1.5 rate
79.3%
70.4%
Over 2.5 rate
55.2%
40.7%
Over 3.5 rate
37.9%
2.00
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.90
27
History Matches
29
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.22
Goals for per game
1.60
63.6%
Scoring rate
76.4%
52.7%
BTTS rate
41.8%
1.52
Goals for per game
1.38
70.4%
Scoring rate
72.4%
59.3%
BTTS rate
44.8%
1.00
Goals for per game
3.00
66.7%
Scoring rate
100.0%
33.3%
BTTS rate
100.0%
55
History Matches
55
1.22
Goals Mean
1.60
1.19
Goals Std
1.38
63.6%
Scored 1+ rate
76.4%
36.4%
Scored 2+ rate
45.5%
18.2%
Scored 3+ rate
21.8%
1.52
Venue Goals Mean
1.38
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
2.04
Goals against per game
1.38
87.3%
Conceding rate
61.8%
1.59
Goals against per game
1.90
85.2%
Conceding rate
69.0%
1.33
Goals against per game
2.67
66.7%
Conceding rate
100.0%
55
History Matches
55
2.04
Conceded Mean
1.38
1.56
Conceded Std
1.45
52.7%
Conceded 2+ rate
43.6%
29.1%
Conceded 3+ rate
21.8%
1.59
Venue Conceded Mean
1.90
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
12.7%
Clean-sheet rate
38.2%
36.4%
Failed-to-score rate
23.6%
14.8%
Clean-sheet rate
31.0%
29.6%
Failed-to-score rate
27.6%
33.3%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
33.3%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
12.7%
Clean-sheet rate
38.2%
36.4%
Failed-to-score rate
23.6%
14.8%
Clean-sheet rate
31.0%
29.6%
Failed-to-score rate
27.6%
12.7%
Clean-sheet rate
38.2%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
55
History Matches
55
0.83
Result entropy
0.92
2.24
Goal Difference Std
1.97
16.58
Stability score
8.49
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
15
Eligible Matches
16
5
Lead Matches
6
80.0%
Lead Win Rate
66.7%
0.80
Lead Points Retention
0.72
3
Trailing Matches
2
33.3%
Non-loss rate
0.0%
33.3%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
15
Halftime Coverage Matches
16
0.80
First Half Goals For Mean
0.75
0.60
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.44
0.73
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.88
0.80
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.81
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
83.90
Rest days
83.90
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
6
Short Rest History Matches
4
1.50
Short Rest Points Per Match
0.25
32
Normal Rest History Matches
34
1.09
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.68
16
Long Rest History Matches
16
1.31
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.38
Competition & season17 signals
170
3
Matches
3
1.00
PPG
1.33
33.3%
Win rate
33.3%
0.0%
Draw rate
33.3%
66.7%
Loss rate
33.3%
66.7%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
33.3%
Over 2.5 rate
100.0%
33.3%
Over 3.5 rate
100.0%
1.70
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.05
3
Current Competition Matches
3
1.00
Current Competition PPG
1.33
-0.33
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
0.33
3
Competition Season Count
3
3
Eligible Competition Season Count
3
0.10
Portability PPG Std
0.18
0.24
Portability PPG Range
0.40
83.88
Portability Score
73.78
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
55
Clean History Matches
55
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO-56.78
PPG-0.33
GF-0.38
GA0.65
PPG-0.33
PPG0.38
PPG-0.20
PPG-0.50
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches0
Clean-sheet rate-0.25
Failed-to-score rate12.7%
History Matches-2
Clean-sheet rate-0.16
Failed-to-score rate2.0%
History Matches0
Goals Mean-0.38
Goals Std-0.20
Scored 1+ rate-0.13
Scored 2+ rate-0.09
Scored 3+ rate-0.04
Venue Goals Mean0.14
Recent 10 Goals Mean-1.30
Recent 10 Goals Std0.17
History Matches0
Conceded Mean0.65
Conceded Std0.11
Clean-sheet rate-0.25
Conceded 2+ rate9.1%
Conceded 3+ rate7.3%
Venue Conceded Mean-0.30
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.00
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.63
History Matches0
Result entropy-0.08
Goal Difference Std0.27
Stability score8.09
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.32
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.52
Eligible Matches-1
Lead Matches-1
Lead Win Rate13.3%
Lead Points Retention0.08
Trailing Matches1
Non-loss rate33.3%
Trailing Win Rate33.3%
Halftime Coverage Matches-1
First Half Goals For Mean0.05
First Half Goals Against Mean0.16
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.14
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.01
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG-0.33
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean-0.67
Competition Season Count0
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Portability PPG Std-0.08
Portability PPG Range-0.17
Portability Score10.09
Rest days0.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches2
Short Rest Points Per Match1.25
Normal Rest History Matches-2
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.58
Long Rest History Matches0
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.06
Current Team ELO-56.78
Current Opponent ELO56.78
Current ELO Difference-113.6
Expected score-0.16
History Matches0
Residual Mean-0.05
Overperformance-3.36
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.17

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Atletik Kuklen

L
Atletik Kuklen0–3Spartak Plovdiv4 Nov · home
Pick: Spartak Plovdiv 59% · hit
W
Atletik Kuklen2–0Levski Karlovo31 Oct · home
Pick: Atletik Kuklen 51% · hit
L
Rodopa Smolyan1–0Atletik Kuklen24 Oct · away
Pick: Rodopa Smolyan 56% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Gigant Saedinenie

L
Dimitrovgrad4–1Gigant Saedinenie31 Oct · away
Pick: Gigant Saedinenie 40% · missed
W
Gigant Saedinenie2–1Sozopol24 Oct · home
Pick: Gigant Saedinenie 42% · hit
L
Rodopa Smolyan1–0Gigant Saedinenie21 Oct · away
Pick: Rodopa Smolyan 48% · hit
L
Levski Karlovo3–0Gigant Saedinenie17 Oct · away
Pick: Levski Karlovo 39% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Atletik Kuklen and Gigant Saedinenie meet in Third League - Southeast on Saturday 14 November 2026, kickoff 12:30 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC: Atletik Kuklen win 33.5%, draw 22.5%, Gigant Saedinenie win 44.0%. The pick is Gigant Saedinenie win. Over 2.5 goals: 60.4%. Both teams to score: 58.7%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.