FC 08 Villingen vs Teningen
Match result probability Model pick: FC 08 Villingen win
FC 08 Villingen winPick
68.3%
Draw
11.8%
Teningen win
20.0%
At kickoff this becomes the match centre
Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.
Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect
Both teams to score
Yes62.9%
No37.1%
Total goals · 2.5
Over 2.579.9%
Under 2.520.1%
How much we know
FC 08 Villingen history57 matches
Teningen history3 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news
Your call
Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.
Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score
Match result: ours FC 08 Villingen
Over / under 2.5: ours Over
Both teams to score: ours Yes
Life of this match
One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.
- Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 5 h ahead8 Nov · 08:45 UTC
- Lineups appearAbout an hour before kickoff, where the competition provides them. This prediction does not use lineups.≈ 13:00 UTC
- KickoffThis page becomes the match centre14 Nov · 14:00 UTC
- Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
- Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC
How reliable are picks like this?
Across 16,809 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 39.9% · said 37.7% · n 2,949
40–49% Won 45.3% · said 44.8% · n 6,860
50–59% Won 55.6% · said 54.4% · n 4,146
60–69% Won 63.9% · said 64.4% · n 2,031
70–79% Won 76.5% · said 73.9% · n 646
80%+ Won 83.1% · said 84.5% · n 177
This pick sits in the 60–69% band (68.3%). Picks in that band won 63.9% of the time, and the model said 64.4% on average, over 2,031 matches.
Why FC 08 Villingen are the pick
Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.
-
The Elo ratings are level
Elo 1,517 against 1,492. On rating alone the teams are close to even.
-
Scoring rates are level
1.84 goals a game over 57 matches for FC 08 Villingen, against 1.67 over 3 for Teningen.
-
FC 08 Villingen concede fewer
FC 08 Villingen concede 1.96 a game, Teningen 2.67.
-
Teningen games more often go over 2.5 goals
74% of FC 08 Villingen matches, against 100% for Teningen. The model puts this match at 80% for over 2.5.
These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.
Compare the two teams
Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.
Match history used: up to 22 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Teningen@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals 100
1516.9
ELO
1492.3
57
ELO · Matches
3
1516.9
Current Team ELO
1492.3
1492.3
Current Opponent ELO
1516.9
24.62
Current ELO Difference
-24.62
0.54
Expected score
0.46
57
History Matches
3
0.00
Residual Mean
-0.16
50.35
Overperformance
47.93
-0.05
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.16
Recent form16 signals 160
5
Matches
3
1.20
PPG
1.00
2.20
Goals for per game
1.67
2.00
Goals against per game
2.67
40.0%
Win rate
33.3%
10
Matches
3
1.20
PPG
1.00
1.80
Goals for per game
1.67
1.80
Goals against per game
2.67
30.0%
Win rate
33.3%
1.80
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.67
1.54
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.94
1.80
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
2.67
1.25
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.94
0.99
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.58
2.19
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.63
Overall performance9 signals 90
57
Matches
3
1.33
PPG
1.00
36.8%
Win rate
33.3%
22.8%
Draw rate
0.0%
40.4%
Loss rate
66.7%
82.5%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
73.7%
Over 2.5 rate
100.0%
57.9%
Over 3.5 rate
66.7%
2.20
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.63
Venue performance10 signals 100
25
Matches
2
1.32
PPG
1.50
36.0%
Win rate
50.0%
24.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
40.0%
Loss rate
50.0%
80.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
72.0%
Over 2.5 rate
100.0%
60.0%
Over 3.5 rate
50.0%
1.90
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.00
25
History Matches
2
Scoring & attack16 signals 160
1.84
Goals for per game
1.67
82.5%
Scoring rate
100.0%
68.4%
BTTS rate
100.0%
1.88
Goals for per game
2.00
84.0%
Scoring rate
100.0%
68.0%
BTTS rate
100.0%
3.00
Goals for per game
1.67
100.0%
Scoring rate
100.0%
66.7%
BTTS rate
100.0%
57
History Matches
3
1.84
Goals Mean
1.67
1.46
Goals Std
0.94
82.5%
Scored 1+ rate
100.0%
49.1%
Scored 2+ rate
33.3%
31.6%
Scored 3+ rate
33.3%
1.88
Venue Goals Mean
2.00
Defense & conceding12 signals 120
1.96
Goals against per game
2.67
80.7%
Conceding rate
100.0%
1.96
Goals against per game
2.00
76.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
1.00
Goals against per game
2.67
66.7%
Conceding rate
100.0%
57
History Matches
3
1.96
Conceded Mean
2.67
1.53
Conceded Std
0.94
56.1%
Conceded 2+ rate
100.0%
36.8%
Conceded 3+ rate
33.3%
1.96
Venue Conceded Mean
2.00
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals 110
19.3%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
17.5%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
24.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
16.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
33.3%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
19.3%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
17.5%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
24.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
16.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
19.3%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
Volatility & stability4 signals 40
57
History Matches
3
0.98
Result entropy
0.58
2.20
Goal Difference Std
1.63
2.50
Stability score
42.06
Halftime resilience7 signals 70
56
Eligible Matches
3
18
Lead Matches
0
61.1%
Lead Win Rate
—
0.69
Lead Points Retention
—
23
Trailing Matches
1
26.1%
Non-loss rate
0.0%
8.7%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals 50
56
Halftime Coverage Matches
3
0.79
First Half Goals For Mean
0.33
0.95
First Half Goals Against Mean
1.00
1.04
Second Half Goals For Mean
1.33
1.02
Second Half Goals Against Mean
1.67
Rest & schedule9 signals 90
84.04
Rest days
84.85
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
2
Short Rest History Matches
0
2.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
—
33
Normal Rest History Matches
1
1.42
Normal Rest Points Per Match
0.00
21
Long Rest History Matches
1
1.05
Long Rest Points Per Match
0.00
Competition & season17 signals 170
3
Matches
3
2.00
PPG
1.00
66.7%
Win rate
33.3%
0.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
33.3%
Loss rate
66.7%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
100.0%
Over 2.5 rate
100.0%
66.7%
Over 3.5 rate
66.7%
2.45
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.63
3
Current Competition Matches
3
2.00
Current Competition PPG
1.00
2.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-1.00
5
Competition Season Count
1
4
Eligible Competition Season Count
1
0.57
Portability PPG Std
—
1.46
Portability PPG Range
—
46.79
Portability Score
—
Odds & market11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal 10
57
Clean History Matches
3
Matchup differences86 signals 086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreLead Win RateLead Points RetentionPortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO24.62
PPG0.33
GF0.18
GA-0.70
PPG1.00
PPG-0.18
PPG0.20
PPG0.20
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches54
Clean-sheet rate19.3%
Failed-to-score rate17.5%
History Matches23
Clean-sheet rate24.0%
Failed-to-score rate16.0%
History Matches54
Goals Mean0.18
Goals Std0.52
Scored 1+ rate-0.18
Scored 2+ rate15.8%
Scored 3+ rate-0.02
Venue Goals Mean-0.12
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.13
Recent 10 Goals Std0.59
History Matches54
Conceded Mean-0.70
Conceded Std0.59
Clean-sheet rate19.3%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.44
Conceded 3+ rate3.5%
Venue Conceded Mean-0.04
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.87
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.31
History Matches54
Result entropy0.40
Goal Difference Std0.57
Stability score-39.57
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.41
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.56
Eligible Matches53
Lead Matches18
Trailing Matches22
Non-loss rate26.1%
Trailing Win Rate8.7%
Halftime Coverage Matches53
First Half Goals For Mean0.45
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.05
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.30
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.65
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG1.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean3.00
Competition Season Count4
Eligible Competition Season Count3
Rest days-0.81
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches2
Normal Rest History Matches32
Normal Rest Points Per Match1.42
Long Rest History Matches20
Long Rest Points Per Match1.05
Current Team ELO24.62
Current Opponent ELO-24.62
Current ELO Difference49.24
Expected score0.07
History Matches54
Residual Mean0.16
Overperformance2.41
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.10
Latest results, with our pick
Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.
FC 08 Villingen
D
FC 08 Villingen1–1Karlsruhe II31 Oct · home
Pick: FC 08 Villingen 64% · missed W
CFR Pforzheim0–2FC 08 Villingen24 Oct · away
Pick: FC 08 Villingen 46% · hit L
FC 08 Villingen0–5FV Ravensburg16 Oct · home
Pick: FC 08 Villingen 54% · missed L
FC 08 Villingen2–4Backnang29 Aug · home
Pick: Backnang 41% · hit Earlier results appear as match history is added
Teningen
L
Teningen1–4FC Nöttingen7 Nov · home
Pick: FC Nöttingen 47% · hit L
Teningen0–1Balingen31 Oct · home
Pick: Teningen 47% · missed D
1. FC Muhlhausen4–4Teningen25 Oct · away
Pick: Teningen 46% · missed L
Teningen2–4Karlsruhe II17 Oct · home
Pick: Teningen 42% · missed L
Teningen1–2FC Holzhausen29 Aug · home
Pick: FC Holzhausen 41% · hit About this match
FC 08 Villingen and Teningen meet in Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg on Saturday 14 November 2026, kickoff 14:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC: FC 08 Villingen win 68.3%, draw 11.8%, Teningen win 20.0%. The pick is FC 08 Villingen win. Over 2.5 goals: 79.9%. Both teams to score: 62.9%.
Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.