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Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg Germany Baden-Württemberg - 16 2026

Oberachern vs FV Ravensburg

Oberachern Home · Elo 1,560
Sat 14 Nov
UTC
Not started
FV Ravensburg Away · Elo 1,506
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Oberachern win
Oberachern winPick
50.4%
Draw
21.3%
FV Ravensburg win
28.3%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes60.1%
No39.9%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.563.4%
Under 2.536.6%

How much we know

Oberachern history53 matches
FV Ravensburg history55 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 4 h ahead
    8 Nov · 08:45 UTC
  2. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    14 Nov · 13:30 UTC
  3. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  4. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 16,809 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 39.9% · said 37.7% · n 2,949
40–49% Won 45.3% · said 44.8% · n 6,860
50–59% Won 55.6% · said 54.4% · n 4,146
60–69% Won 63.9% · said 64.4% · n 2,031
70–79% Won 76.5% · said 73.9% · n 646
80%+ Won 83.1% · said 84.5% · n 177
This pick sits in the 50–59% band (50.4%). Picks in that band won 55.6% of the time, and the model said 54.4% on average, over 4,146 matches.

Why Oberachern are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Oberachern are rated 54 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,560 against 1,506. On rating alone Oberachern would be expected to take 58% of the points on offer.

  • Scoring rates are level

    1.66 goals a game over 53 matches for Oberachern, against 1.53 over 55 for FV Ravensburg.

  • Defences are close

    Oberachern concede 1.64 a game, FV Ravensburg 1.58.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    66% of Oberachern matches, against 58% for FV Ravensburg. The model puts this match at 63% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 22 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Oberachern
FV Ravensburg@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1559.7
ELO
1506.1
53
ELO · Matches
55
1559.7
Current Team ELO
1506.1
1506.1
Current Opponent ELO
1559.7
53.58
Current ELO Difference
-53.58
0.58
Expected score
0.42
53
History Matches
55
0.05
Residual Mean
0.00
53.87
Overperformance
50.28
0.13
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.10
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
2.40
PPG
0.40
3.00
Goals for per game
0.60
2.00
Goals against per game
1.80
80.0%
Win rate
0.0%
10
Matches
10
1.90
PPG
1.20
2.50
Goals for per game
1.60
2.20
Goals against per game
1.40
60.0%
Win rate
30.0%
2.50
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.60
1.02
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.85
2.20
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.40
1.25
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.02
0.82
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.99
1.73
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.23
Overall performance9 signals
90
53
Matches
55
1.66
PPG
1.35
49.1%
Win rate
34.5%
18.9%
Draw rate
30.9%
32.1%
Loss rate
34.5%
75.5%
Over 1.5 rate
81.8%
66.0%
Over 2.5 rate
58.2%
43.4%
Over 3.5 rate
43.6%
1.88
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.92
Venue performance10 signals
100
26
Matches
28
1.65
PPG
1.25
46.2%
Win rate
32.1%
26.9%
Draw rate
28.6%
26.9%
Loss rate
39.3%
80.8%
Over 1.5 rate
71.4%
69.2%
Over 2.5 rate
57.1%
38.5%
Over 3.5 rate
42.9%
1.94
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.08
26
History Matches
28
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.66
Goals for per game
1.53
84.9%
Scoring rate
72.7%
62.3%
BTTS rate
56.4%
1.73
Goals for per game
1.21
84.6%
Scoring rate
60.7%
61.5%
BTTS rate
46.4%
3.33
Goals for per game
0.33
100.0%
Scoring rate
33.3%
66.7%
BTTS rate
33.3%
53
History Matches
55
1.66
Goals Mean
1.53
1.08
Goals Std
1.36
84.9%
Scored 1+ rate
72.7%
54.7%
Scored 2+ rate
43.6%
22.6%
Scored 3+ rate
23.6%
1.73
Venue Goals Mean
1.21
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.64
Goals against per game
1.58
73.6%
Conceding rate
78.2%
1.58
Goals against per game
1.50
69.2%
Conceding rate
75.0%
1.33
Goals against per game
1.33
66.7%
Conceding rate
66.7%
53
History Matches
55
1.64
Conceded Mean
1.58
1.59
Conceded Std
1.29
41.5%
Conceded 2+ rate
43.6%
26.4%
Conceded 3+ rate
25.5%
1.58
Venue Conceded Mean
1.50
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
26.4%
Clean-sheet rate
21.8%
15.1%
Failed-to-score rate
27.3%
30.8%
Clean-sheet rate
25.0%
15.4%
Failed-to-score rate
39.3%
33.3%
Clean-sheet rate
33.3%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
66.7%
26.4%
Clean-sheet rate
21.8%
15.1%
Failed-to-score rate
27.3%
30.8%
Clean-sheet rate
25.0%
15.4%
Failed-to-score rate
39.3%
26.4%
Clean-sheet rate
21.8%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
53
History Matches
55
0.94
Result entropy
1.00
1.88
Goal Difference Std
1.92
6.36
Stability score
0.12
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
53
Eligible Matches
53
14
Lead Matches
19
85.7%
Lead Win Rate
52.6%
0.88
Lead Points Retention
0.65
15
Trailing Matches
17
33.3%
Non-loss rate
41.2%
13.3%
Trailing Win Rate
17.6%
Goal timing5 signals
50
53
Halftime Coverage Matches
53
0.58
First Half Goals For Mean
0.77
0.79
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.70
1.08
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.81
0.85
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.91
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
84.83
Rest days
84.85
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
3
Short Rest History Matches
3
0.33
Short Rest Points Per Match
0.67
28
Normal Rest History Matches
29
1.82
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.31
21
Long Rest History Matches
22
1.67
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.41
Competition & season17 signals
170
3
Matches
3
3.00
PPG
0.67
100.0%
Win rate
0.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
66.7%
0.0%
Loss rate
33.3%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
66.7%
100.0%
Over 2.5 rate
33.3%
33.3%
Over 3.5 rate
0.0%
0.82
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.41
3
Current Competition Matches
3
3.00
Current Competition PPG
0.67
2.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-1.00
4
Competition Season Count
5
3
Eligible Competition Season Count
4
0.66
Portability PPG Std
0.61
1.41
Portability PPG Range
1.64
43.00
Portability Score
45.00
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
53
Clean History Matches
55
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO53.58
PPG0.31
GF0.13
GA0.06
PPG2.33
PPG0.40
PPG2.00
PPG0.70
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-2
Clean-sheet rate4.6%
Failed-to-score rate-0.12
History Matches-2
Clean-sheet rate5.8%
Failed-to-score rate-0.24
History Matches-2
Goals Mean0.13
Goals Std-0.28
Scored 1+ rate12.2%
Scored 2+ rate11.1%
Scored 3+ rate-0.01
Venue Goals Mean0.52
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.90
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.83
History Matches-2
Conceded Mean0.06
Conceded Std0.30
Clean-sheet rate4.6%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.02
Conceded 3+ rate1.0%
Venue Conceded Mean0.08
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.80
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.23
History Matches-2
Result entropy-0.06
Goal Difference Std-0.04
Stability score6.24
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.17
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.49
Eligible Matches0
Lead Matches-5
Lead Win Rate33.1%
Lead Points Retention0.23
Trailing Matches-2
Non-loss rate-0.08
Trailing Win Rate-0.04
Halftime Coverage Matches0
First Half Goals For Mean-0.19
First Half Goals Against Mean0.09
Second Half Goals For Mean0.26
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.06
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG2.33
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean3.00
Competition Season Count-1
Eligible Competition Season Count-1
Portability PPG Std0.05
Portability PPG Range-0.22
Portability Score-1.99
Rest days-0.02
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Short Rest Points Per Match-0.33
Normal Rest History Matches-1
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.51
Long Rest History Matches-1
Long Rest Points Per Match0.26
Current Team ELO53.58
Current Opponent ELO-53.58
Current ELO Difference107.2
Expected score0.15
History Matches-2
Residual Mean0.05
Overperformance3.58
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.22

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Oberachern

D
Oberachern0–0Essingen31 Oct · home
Pick: Oberachern 50% · missed
W
Young Boys Reutlingen1–2Oberachern24 Oct · away
Pick: Oberachern 43% · hit
W
Oberachern4–1TSV Singen17 Oct · home
Pick: Oberachern 67% · hit
W
FC Nöttingen0–1Oberachern29 Aug · away
Pick: Oberachern 44% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

FV Ravensburg

L
FV Ravensburg0–1Backnang7 Nov · home
Pick: Backnang 50% · hit
W
Normannia Gmünd1–3FV Ravensburg31 Oct · away
Pick: FV Ravensburg 47% · hit
L
FV Ravensburg0–1Reutlingen24 Oct · home
Pick: Reutlingen 44% · hit
W
FC 08 Villingen0–5FV Ravensburg16 Oct · away
Pick: FC 08 Villingen 54% · missed
W
FV Ravensburg3–0Essingen29 Aug · home
Pick: Essingen 42% · missed

About this match

Oberachern and FV Ravensburg meet in Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg on Saturday 14 November 2026, kickoff 13:30 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC: Oberachern win 50.4%, draw 21.3%, FV Ravensburg win 28.3%. The pick is Oberachern win. Over 2.5 goals: 63.4%. Both teams to score: 60.1%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.