ScoreProb
Log in
Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg Germany Baden-Württemberg - 16 2026

Reutlingen vs 1. FC Muhlhausen

Reutlingen Home · Elo 1,547
Sat 14 Nov
UTC
Not started
1. FC Muhlhausen Away · Elo 1,494
Stadion an der Kreuzeiche, Reutlingen Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Reutlingen win
Reutlingen winPick
83.9%
Draw
8.0%
1. FC Muhlhausen win
8.2%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes59.5%
No40.5%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.584.0%
Under 2.516.0%

How much we know

Reutlingen history52 matches
1. FC Muhlhausen history3 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 4 h ahead
    8 Nov · 08:45 UTC
  2. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    14 Nov · 13:30 UTC
  3. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  4. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 16,809 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 39.9% · said 37.7% · n 2,949
40–49% Won 45.3% · said 44.8% · n 6,860
50–59% Won 55.6% · said 54.4% · n 4,146
60–69% Won 63.9% · said 64.4% · n 2,031
70–79% Won 76.5% · said 73.9% · n 646
80%+ Won 83.1% · said 84.5% · n 177
This pick sits in the 80%+ band (83.9%). Picks in that band won 83.1% of the time, and the model said 84.5% on average, over 177 matches. This band has few matches, so treat the figures with care.

Why Reutlingen are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Reutlingen are rated 52 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,547 against 1,494. On rating alone Reutlingen would be expected to take 57% of the points on offer.

  • 1. FC Muhlhausen score more

    1.79 goals a game over 52 matches for Reutlingen, against 2.00 over 3 for 1. FC Muhlhausen.

  • Reutlingen concede fewer

    Reutlingen concede 1.52 a game, 1. FC Muhlhausen 3.67.

  • 1. FC Muhlhausen games more often go over 2.5 goals

    62% of Reutlingen matches, against 100% for 1. FC Muhlhausen. The model puts this match at 84% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 22 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Reutlingen
1. FC Muhlhausen@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1546.6
ELO
1494.2
52
ELO · Matches
3
1546.6
Current Team ELO
1494.2
1494.2
Current Opponent ELO
1546.6
52.39
Current ELO Difference
-52.39
0.57
Expected score
0.43
52
History Matches
3
0.05
Residual Mean
-0.13
53.26
Overperformance
48.35
0.23
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.13
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
3
2.40
PPG
1.00
2.00
Goals for per game
2.00
1.60
Goals against per game
3.67
80.0%
Win rate
33.3%
10
Matches
3
2.10
PPG
1.00
2.20
Goals for per game
2.00
1.50
Goals against per game
3.67
70.0%
Win rate
33.3%
2.20
Recent 10 Goals Mean
2.00
1.54
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.41
1.50
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
3.67
0.92
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.89
0.56
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.58
1.95
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.87
Overall performance9 signals
90
52
Matches
3
1.48
PPG
1.00
40.4%
Win rate
33.3%
26.9%
Draw rate
0.0%
32.7%
Loss rate
66.7%
86.5%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
61.5%
Over 2.5 rate
100.0%
42.3%
Over 3.5 rate
100.0%
2.05
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.87
Venue performance10 signals
100
26
Matches
2
1.62
PPG
1.50
46.2%
Win rate
50.0%
23.1%
Draw rate
0.0%
30.8%
Loss rate
50.0%
84.6%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
57.7%
Over 2.5 rate
100.0%
34.6%
Over 3.5 rate
100.0%
1.74
Goal difference · Standard deviation
3.50
26
History Matches
2
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.79
Goals for per game
2.00
84.6%
Scoring rate
66.7%
65.4%
BTTS rate
66.7%
1.85
Goals for per game
1.50
80.8%
Scoring rate
50.0%
57.7%
BTTS rate
50.0%
2.33
Goals for per game
2.00
100.0%
Scoring rate
66.7%
100.0%
BTTS rate
66.7%
52
History Matches
3
1.79
Goals Mean
2.00
1.36
Goals Std
1.41
84.6%
Scored 1+ rate
66.7%
50.0%
Scored 2+ rate
66.7%
26.9%
Scored 3+ rate
66.7%
1.85
Venue Goals Mean
1.50
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.52
Goals against per game
3.67
76.9%
Conceding rate
100.0%
1.27
Goals against per game
3.00
73.1%
Conceding rate
100.0%
1.00
Goals against per game
3.67
100.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
52
History Matches
3
1.52
Conceded Mean
3.67
1.34
Conceded Std
1.89
38.5%
Conceded 2+ rate
66.7%
23.1%
Conceded 3+ rate
66.7%
1.27
Venue Conceded Mean
3.00
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
23.1%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
15.4%
Failed-to-score rate
33.3%
26.9%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
19.2%
Failed-to-score rate
50.0%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
33.3%
23.1%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
15.4%
Failed-to-score rate
33.3%
26.9%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
19.2%
Failed-to-score rate
50.0%
23.1%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
52
History Matches
3
0.99
Result entropy
0.58
2.05
Goal Difference Std
2.87
1.24
Stability score
42.06
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
51
Eligible Matches
3
25
Lead Matches
1
56.0%
Lead Win Rate
100.0%
0.65
Lead Points Retention
1.00
10
Trailing Matches
1
30.0%
Non-loss rate
0.0%
20.0%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
51
Halftime Coverage Matches
3
0.96
First Half Goals For Mean
1.00
0.45
First Half Goals Against Mean
1.00
0.86
Second Half Goals For Mean
1.00
1.04
Second Half Goals Against Mean
2.67
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
84.85
Rest days
84.06
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
2
Short Rest History Matches
0
2.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
—
29
Normal Rest History Matches
1
1.45
Normal Rest Points Per Match
3.00
20
Long Rest History Matches
1
1.55
Long Rest Points Per Match
0.00
Competition & season17 signals
170
3
Matches
3
3.00
PPG
1.00
100.0%
Win rate
33.3%
0.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
0.0%
Loss rate
66.7%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
100.0%
Over 2.5 rate
100.0%
33.3%
Over 3.5 rate
100.0%
0.47
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.87
3
Current Competition Matches
3
3.00
Current Competition PPG
1.00
1.33
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-1.67
5
Competition Season Count
1
3
Eligible Competition Season Count
1
0.70
Portability PPG Std
—
1.63
Portability PPG Range
—
41.67
Portability Score
—
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
52
Clean History Matches
3
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scorePortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO52.39
PPG0.48
GF-0.21
GA-2.15
PPG2.00
PPG0.12
PPG1.40
PPG1.10
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches49
Clean-sheet rate23.1%
Failed-to-score rate-0.18
History Matches24
Clean-sheet rate26.9%
Failed-to-score rate-0.31
History Matches49
Goals Mean-0.21
Goals Std-0.05
Scored 1+ rate17.9%
Scored 2+ rate-0.17
Scored 3+ rate-0.40
Venue Goals Mean0.35
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.20
Recent 10 Goals Std0.12
History Matches49
Conceded Mean-2.15
Conceded Std-0.55
Clean-sheet rate23.1%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.28
Conceded 3+ rate-0.44
Venue Conceded Mean-1.73
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-2.17
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.96
History Matches49
Result entropy0.41
Goal Difference Std-0.82
Stability score-40.82
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.02
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.92
Eligible Matches48
Lead Matches24
Lead Win Rate-0.44
Lead Points Retention-0.35
Trailing Matches9
Non-loss rate30.0%
Trailing Win Rate20.0%
Halftime Coverage Matches48
First Half Goals For Mean-0.04
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.55
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.14
Second Half Goals Against Mean-1.63
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG2.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean3.00
Competition Season Count4
Eligible Competition Season Count2
Rest days0.79
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches2
Normal Rest History Matches28
Normal Rest Points Per Match-1.55
Long Rest History Matches19
Long Rest Points Per Match1.55
Current Team ELO52.39
Current Opponent ELO-52.39
Current ELO Difference104.8
Expected score0.15
History Matches49
Residual Mean0.17
Overperformance4.91
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.36

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Reutlingen

D
Reutlingen1–1CFR Pforzheim31 Oct · home
Pick: Reutlingen 54% · missed
W
FV Ravensburg0–1Reutlingen24 Oct · away
Pick: Reutlingen 44% · hit
W
Reutlingen3–0Türkspor Neckarsulm17 Oct · home
Pick: Reutlingen 73% · hit
W
Reutlingen3–0Normannia Gmünd29 Aug · home
Pick: Reutlingen 61% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

1. FC Muhlhausen

W
FC Nöttingen1–21. FC Muhlhausen30 Oct · away
Pick: FC Nöttingen 71% · missed
D
1. FC Muhlhausen4–4Teningen25 Oct · home
Pick: Teningen 46% · missed
D
1. FC Muhlhausen0–0Balingen18 Oct · home
Pick: Balingen 38% · missed
W
1. FC Muhlhausen5–2Bahlinger SC30 Aug · home
Pick: Bahlinger SC 54% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Reutlingen and 1. FC Muhlhausen meet in Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg on Saturday 14 November 2026, kickoff 13:30 UTC. The match is played at Stadion an der Kreuzeiche, Reutlingen. ScoreProb published its prediction on 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC: Reutlingen win 83.9%, draw 8.0%, 1. FC Muhlhausen win 8.2%. The pick is Reutlingen win. Over 2.5 goals: 84.0%. Both teams to score: 59.5%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.