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Oberliga - Bayern Süd Germany Bayern Süd - 19 2026

Gundelfingen vs 1880 Wasserburg

Gundelfingen Home · Elo 1,526
Sat 14 Nov
UTC
Not started
1880 Wasserburg Away · Elo 1,505
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Gundelfingen win
Gundelfingen winPick
52.5%
Draw
22.6%
1880 Wasserburg win
24.9%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes62.7%
No37.3%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.563.3%
Under 2.536.7%

How much we know

Gundelfingen history40 matches
1880 Wasserburg history7 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 4 h ahead
    8 Nov · 08:45 UTC
  2. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    14 Nov · 13:00 UTC
  3. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  4. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 16,809 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 39.9% · said 37.7% · n 2,949
40–49% Won 45.3% · said 44.8% · n 6,860
50–59% Won 55.6% · said 54.4% · n 4,146
60–69% Won 63.9% · said 64.4% · n 2,031
70–79% Won 76.5% · said 73.9% · n 646
80%+ Won 83.1% · said 84.5% · n 177
This pick sits in the 50–59% band (52.5%). Picks in that band won 55.6% of the time, and the model said 54.4% on average, over 4,146 matches.

Why Gundelfingen are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • The Elo ratings are level

    Elo 1,526 against 1,505. On rating alone the teams are close to even.

  • 1880 Wasserburg score more

    1.48 goals a game over 40 matches for Gundelfingen, against 1.71 over 7 for 1880 Wasserburg.

  • Gundelfingen concede fewer

    Gundelfingen concede 1.30 a game, 1880 Wasserburg 2.14.

  • 1880 Wasserburg games more often go over 2.5 goals

    55% of Gundelfingen matches, against 71% for 1880 Wasserburg. The model puts this match at 63% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 22 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Gundelfingen
1880 Wasserburg@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1526.1
ELO
1504.9
40
ELO · Matches
7
1526.1
Current Team ELO
1504.9
1504.9
Current Opponent ELO
1526.1
21.29
Current ELO Difference
-21.29
0.53
Expected score
0.47
40
History Matches
7
0.03
Residual Mean
0.02
52.06
Overperformance
50.59
-0.01
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.02
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.20
PPG
2.00
1.00
Goals for per game
2.00
1.60
Goals against per game
1.40
20.0%
Win rate
60.0%
10
Matches
7
1.30
PPG
1.43
1.10
Goals for per game
1.71
1.50
Goals against per game
2.14
30.0%
Win rate
42.9%
1.10
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.71
1.14
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.70
1.50
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
2.14
1.28
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.64
0.99
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.91
2.01
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.92
Overall performance9 signals
90
40
Matches
7
1.55
PPG
1.43
42.5%
Win rate
42.9%
27.5%
Draw rate
14.3%
30.0%
Loss rate
42.9%
77.5%
Over 1.5 rate
85.7%
55.0%
Over 2.5 rate
71.4%
30.0%
Over 3.5 rate
71.4%
2.04
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.92
Venue performance10 signals
100
20
Matches
4
1.80
PPG
1.50
55.0%
Win rate
50.0%
15.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
30.0%
Loss rate
50.0%
80.0%
Over 1.5 rate
75.0%
65.0%
Over 2.5 rate
75.0%
35.0%
Over 3.5 rate
75.0%
2.11
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.05
20
History Matches
4
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.48
Goals for per game
1.71
75.0%
Scoring rate
100.0%
57.5%
BTTS rate
71.4%
1.80
Goals for per game
1.75
80.0%
Scoring rate
100.0%
50.0%
BTTS rate
75.0%
1.14
Goals for per game
1.71
57.1%
Scoring rate
100.0%
57.1%
BTTS rate
71.4%
40
History Matches
7
1.48
Goals Mean
1.71
1.24
Goals Std
0.70
75.0%
Scored 1+ rate
100.0%
42.5%
Scored 2+ rate
57.1%
22.5%
Scored 3+ rate
14.3%
1.80
Venue Goals Mean
1.75
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.30
Goals against per game
2.14
75.0%
Conceding rate
71.4%
1.25
Goals against per game
2.50
65.0%
Conceding rate
75.0%
1.57
Goals against per game
2.14
85.7%
Conceding rate
71.4%
40
History Matches
7
1.30
Conceded Mean
2.14
1.36
Conceded Std
1.64
30.0%
Conceded 2+ rate
71.4%
10.0%
Conceded 3+ rate
42.9%
1.25
Venue Conceded Mean
2.50
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
25.0%
Clean-sheet rate
28.6%
25.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
35.0%
Clean-sheet rate
25.0%
20.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
14.3%
Clean-sheet rate
28.6%
42.9%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
25.0%
Clean-sheet rate
28.6%
25.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
35.0%
Clean-sheet rate
25.0%
20.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
25.0%
Clean-sheet rate
28.6%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
40
History Matches
7
0.98
Result entropy
0.91
2.04
Goal Difference Std
1.92
1.71
Stability score
8.59
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
39
Eligible Matches
7
11
Lead Matches
3
63.6%
Lead Win Rate
66.7%
0.76
Lead Points Retention
0.78
11
Trailing Matches
2
18.2%
Non-loss rate
0.0%
9.1%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
39
Halftime Coverage Matches
7
0.59
First Half Goals For Mean
0.71
0.74
First Half Goals Against Mean
1.00
0.92
Second Half Goals For Mean
1.00
0.54
Second Half Goals Against Mean
1.14
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
84.04
Rest days
84.85
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
1
Short Rest History Matches
1
3.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
3.00
24
Normal Rest History Matches
5
1.63
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.40
14
Long Rest History Matches
0
1.21
Long Rest Points Per Match
—
Competition & season17 signals
170
7
Matches
7
1.29
PPG
1.43
28.6%
Win rate
42.9%
42.9%
Draw rate
14.3%
28.6%
Loss rate
42.9%
85.7%
Over 1.5 rate
85.7%
42.9%
Over 2.5 rate
71.4%
42.9%
Over 3.5 rate
71.4%
2.26
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.92
7
Current Competition Matches
7
1.29
Current Competition PPG
1.43
-0.43
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-0.43
3
Competition Season Count
1
2
Eligible Competition Season Count
1
0.20
Portability PPG Std
—
0.39
Portability PPG Range
—
71.85
Portability Score
—
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
40
Clean History Matches
7
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scorePortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreLong Rest Points Per Match
ELO21.29
PPG0.12
GF-0.24
GA-0.84
PPG-0.14
PPG0.30
PPG-0.80
PPG-0.13
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches33
Clean-sheet rate-0.04
Failed-to-score rate25.0%
History Matches16
Clean-sheet rate10.0%
Failed-to-score rate20.0%
History Matches33
Goals Mean-0.24
Goals Std0.54
Scored 1+ rate-0.25
Scored 2+ rate-0.15
Scored 3+ rate8.2%
Venue Goals Mean0.05
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.61
Recent 10 Goals Std0.44
History Matches33
Conceded Mean-0.84
Conceded Std-0.28
Clean-sheet rate-0.04
Conceded 2+ rate-0.41
Conceded 3+ rate-0.33
Venue Conceded Mean-1.25
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.64
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.36
History Matches33
Result entropy0.07
Goal Difference Std0.12
Stability score-6.88
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.08
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.09
Eligible Matches32
Lead Matches8
Lead Win Rate-0.03
Lead Points Retention-0.02
Trailing Matches9
Non-loss rate18.2%
Trailing Win Rate9.1%
Halftime Coverage Matches32
First Half Goals For Mean-0.12
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.26
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.08
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.60
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG-0.14
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean0.00
Competition Season Count2
Eligible Competition Season Count1
Rest days-0.81
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Short Rest Points Per Match0.00
Normal Rest History Matches19
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.23
Long Rest History Matches14
Current Team ELO21.29
Current Opponent ELO-21.29
Current ELO Difference42.58
Expected score0.06
History Matches33
Residual Mean0.01
Overperformance1.47
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.04

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Gundelfingen

L
Deisenhofen4–0Gundelfingen7 Nov · away
Pick: Deisenhofen 42% · hit
L
Landshut2–1Gundelfingen31 Oct · away
Pick: Landshut 50% · hit
L
Gundelfingen0–1Hankofen-Hailing24 Oct · home
Pick: Hankofen-Hailing 46% · hit
L
Pfaffenhofen2–1Gundelfingen17 Oct · away
Pick: Pfaffenhofen 46% · hit
D
Gundelfingen1–1Kottern29 Aug · home
Pick: Gundelfingen 49% · missed

1880 Wasserburg

W
1880 Wasserburg2–0Sportfreunde Schwaig6 Nov · home
Pick: Sportfreunde Schwaig 41% · missed
W
Deisenhofen0–21880 Wasserburg31 Oct · away
Pick: Deisenhofen 55% · missed
L
1880 Wasserburg1–2Landshut23 Oct · home
Pick: Landshut 46% · hit
W
Hankofen-Hailing0–21880 Wasserburg17 Oct · away
Pick: Hankofen-Hailing 62% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Gundelfingen and 1880 Wasserburg meet in Oberliga - Bayern Süd on Saturday 14 November 2026, kickoff 13:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC: Gundelfingen win 52.5%, draw 22.6%, 1880 Wasserburg win 24.9%. The pick is Gundelfingen win. Over 2.5 goals: 63.3%. Both teams to score: 62.7%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.