Kirchanschöring vs Deisenhofen
Match result probability Model pick: Kirchanschöring win
Kirchanschöring winPick
45.3%
Draw
22.8%
Deisenhofen win
31.8%
At kickoff this becomes the match centre
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Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect
Both teams to score
Yes55.6%
No44.4%
Total goals · 2.5
Over 2.562.4%
Under 2.537.6%
How much we know
Kirchanschöring history54 matches
Deisenhofen history54 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news
Your call
Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.
Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score
Match result: ours Kirchanschöring
Over / under 2.5: ours Over
Both teams to score: ours Yes
Life of this match
One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.
- Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 4 h ahead8 Nov · 08:45 UTC
- Lineups appearAbout an hour before kickoff, where the competition provides them. This prediction does not use lineups.≈ 12:00 UTC
- KickoffThis page becomes the match centre14 Nov · 13:00 UTC
- Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
- Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC
How reliable are picks like this?
Across 16,809 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 39.9% · said 37.7% · n 2,949
40–49% Won 45.3% · said 44.8% · n 6,860
50–59% Won 55.6% · said 54.4% · n 4,146
60–69% Won 63.9% · said 64.4% · n 2,031
70–79% Won 76.5% · said 73.9% · n 646
80%+ Won 83.1% · said 84.5% · n 177
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (45.3%). Picks in that band won 45.3% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,860 matches.
Why Kirchanschöring are the pick
Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.
-
The Elo ratings are level
Elo 1,526 against 1,505. On rating alone the teams are close to even.
-
Kirchanschöring score more
1.89 goals a game over 54 matches for Kirchanschöring, against 1.31 over 54 for Deisenhofen.
-
Kirchanschöring concede fewer
Kirchanschöring concede 1.30 a game, Deisenhofen 1.46.
-
Kirchanschöring games more often go over 2.5 goals
59% of Kirchanschöring matches, against 50% for Deisenhofen. The model puts this match at 62% for over 2.5.
These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.
Compare the two teams
Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.
Match history used: up to 23 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Deisenhofen@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals 100
1525.7
ELO
1504.5
54
ELO · Matches
54
1525.7
Current Team ELO
1504.5
1504.5
Current Opponent ELO
1525.7
21.13
Current ELO Difference
-21.13
0.53
Expected score
0.47
54
History Matches
54
0.02
Residual Mean
0.01
51.51
Overperformance
50.44
-0.28
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.08
Recent form16 signals 160
5
Matches
5
0.80
PPG
1.00
1.00
Goals for per game
0.60
2.20
Goals against per game
1.60
20.0%
Win rate
20.0%
10
Matches
10
0.80
PPG
1.20
1.40
Goals for per game
1.10
2.20
Goals against per game
1.60
20.0%
Win rate
30.0%
1.40
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.10
1.02
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.30
2.20
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.60
0.87
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.74
0.86
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.99
1.40
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.54
Overall performance9 signals 90
54
Matches
54
1.65
PPG
1.50
46.3%
Win rate
40.7%
25.9%
Draw rate
27.8%
27.8%
Loss rate
31.5%
81.5%
Over 1.5 rate
72.2%
59.3%
Over 2.5 rate
50.0%
48.1%
Over 3.5 rate
29.6%
2.18
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.09
Venue performance10 signals 100
27
Matches
26
1.93
PPG
1.08
55.6%
Win rate
26.9%
25.9%
Draw rate
26.9%
18.5%
Loss rate
46.2%
85.2%
Over 1.5 rate
65.4%
55.6%
Over 2.5 rate
50.0%
44.4%
Over 3.5 rate
34.6%
1.65
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.21
27
History Matches
26
Scoring & attack16 signals 160
1.89
Goals for per game
1.31
77.8%
Scoring rate
68.5%
57.4%
BTTS rate
48.1%
2.15
Goals for per game
0.96
92.6%
Scoring rate
53.8%
63.0%
BTTS rate
38.5%
1.14
Goals for per game
1.00
71.4%
Scoring rate
57.1%
71.4%
BTTS rate
28.6%
54
History Matches
54
1.89
Goals Mean
1.31
1.54
Goals Std
1.21
77.8%
Scored 1+ rate
68.5%
51.9%
Scored 2+ rate
42.6%
35.2%
Scored 3+ rate
11.1%
2.15
Venue Goals Mean
0.96
Defense & conceding12 signals 120
1.30
Goals against per game
1.46
74.1%
Conceding rate
66.7%
1.00
Goals against per game
1.73
70.4%
Conceding rate
65.4%
2.14
Goals against per game
1.43
100.0%
Conceding rate
57.1%
54
History Matches
54
1.30
Conceded Mean
1.46
1.23
Conceded Std
1.62
35.2%
Conceded 2+ rate
33.3%
9.3%
Conceded 3+ rate
22.2%
1.00
Venue Conceded Mean
1.73
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals 110
25.9%
Clean-sheet rate
33.3%
22.2%
Failed-to-score rate
31.5%
29.6%
Clean-sheet rate
34.6%
7.4%
Failed-to-score rate
46.2%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
42.9%
28.6%
Failed-to-score rate
42.9%
25.9%
Clean-sheet rate
33.3%
22.2%
Failed-to-score rate
31.5%
29.6%
Clean-sheet rate
34.6%
7.4%
Failed-to-score rate
46.2%
25.9%
Clean-sheet rate
33.3%
Volatility & stability4 signals 40
54
History Matches
54
0.97
Result entropy
0.99
2.18
Goal Difference Std
2.09
3.30
Stability score
1.19
Halftime resilience7 signals 70
54
Eligible Matches
53
16
Lead Matches
14
87.5%
Lead Win Rate
78.6%
0.92
Lead Points Retention
0.83
12
Trailing Matches
18
25.0%
Non-loss rate
27.8%
16.7%
Trailing Win Rate
11.1%
Goal timing5 signals 50
54
Halftime Coverage Matches
53
0.93
First Half Goals For Mean
0.55
0.69
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.79
0.96
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.75
0.61
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.70
Rest & schedule9 signals 90
83.92
Rest days
84.83
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
1
Short Rest History Matches
2
0.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
0.00
35
Normal Rest History Matches
34
1.57
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.62
17
Long Rest History Matches
17
2.00
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.53
Competition & season17 signals 170
7
Matches
7
0.71
PPG
1.29
14.3%
Win rate
28.6%
28.6%
Draw rate
42.9%
57.1%
Loss rate
28.6%
85.7%
Over 1.5 rate
71.4%
71.4%
Over 2.5 rate
28.6%
57.1%
Over 3.5 rate
28.6%
1.51
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.50
7
Current Competition Matches
7
0.71
Current Competition PPG
1.29
-1.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-0.43
5
Competition Season Count
5
3
Eligible Competition Season Count
3
0.54
Portability PPG Std
0.26
1.20
Portability PPG Range
0.63
47.90
Portability Score
65.82
Odds & market11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal 10
54
Clean History Matches
54
Matchup differences86 signals 086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO21.13
PPG0.15
GF0.57
GA-0.17
PPG-0.57
PPG0.85
PPG-0.20
PPG-0.40
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches0
Clean-sheet rate-0.07
Failed-to-score rate-0.09
History Matches1
Clean-sheet rate-0.05
Failed-to-score rate-0.39
History Matches0
Goals Mean0.57
Goals Std0.32
Scored 1+ rate9.3%
Scored 2+ rate9.3%
Scored 3+ rate24.1%
Venue Goals Mean1.19
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.30
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.28
History Matches0
Conceded Mean-0.17
Conceded Std-0.39
Clean-sheet rate-0.07
Conceded 2+ rate1.9%
Conceded 3+ rate-0.13
Venue Conceded Mean-0.73
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.60
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.87
History Matches0
Result entropy-0.02
Goal Difference Std0.10
Stability score2.11
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.13
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-1.14
Eligible Matches1
Lead Matches2
Lead Win Rate8.9%
Lead Points Retention0.08
Trailing Matches-6
Non-loss rate-0.03
Trailing Win Rate5.6%
Halftime Coverage Matches1
First Half Goals For Mean0.38
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.11
Second Half Goals For Mean0.21
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.09
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG-0.57
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean-0.57
Competition Season Count0
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Portability PPG Std0.28
Portability PPG Range0.57
Portability Score-17.92
Rest days-0.92
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-1
Short Rest Points Per Match0.00
Normal Rest History Matches1
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.05
Long Rest History Matches0
Long Rest Points Per Match0.47
Current Team ELO21.13
Current Opponent ELO-21.13
Current ELO Difference42.27
Expected score0.06
History Matches0
Residual Mean0.01
Overperformance1.07
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.21
Latest results, with our pick
Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.
Kirchanschöring
L
Landshut4–0Kirchanschöring7 Nov · away
Pick: Landshut 50% · hit D
Hankofen-Hailing1–1Kirchanschöring31 Oct · away
Pick: Hankofen-Hailing 54% · missed L
Kirchanschöring0–2Pfaffenhofen24 Oct · home
Pick: Kirchanschöring 46% · missed W
Schalding-Heining0–2Kirchanschöring17 Oct · away
Pick: Kirchanschöring 51% · hit W
Kirchanschöring3–11860 Rosenheim29 Aug · home
Pick: Kirchanschöring 47% · hit Deisenhofen
W
Deisenhofen4–0Gundelfingen7 Nov · home
Pick: Deisenhofen 42% · hit L
Deisenhofen0–21880 Wasserburg31 Oct · home
Pick: Deisenhofen 55% · missed L
Sportfreunde Schwaig5–0Deisenhofen23 Oct · away
Pick: Sportfreunde Schwaig 46% · hit W
Landshut1–2Deisenhofen17 Oct · away
Pick: Landshut 50% · missed L
Deisenhofen1–5Pipinsried29 Aug · home
Pick: Pipinsried 49% · hit About this match
Kirchanschöring and Deisenhofen meet in Oberliga - Bayern Süd on Saturday 14 November 2026, kickoff 13:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC: Kirchanschöring win 45.3%, draw 22.8%, Deisenhofen win 31.8%. The pick is Kirchanschöring win. Over 2.5 goals: 62.4%. Both teams to score: 55.6%.
Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.