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Tweede Divisie Netherlands Round 13 2026

ROHDA Raalte vs Katwijk

ROHDA Raalte Home · Elo 1,524
Sat 14 Nov
UTC
Not started
Katwijk Away · Elo 1,522
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Katwijk win
ROHDA Raalte win
36.5%
Draw
20.3%
Katwijk winPick
43.2%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes60.4%
No39.6%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.558.7%
Under 2.541.3%

How much we know

ROHDA Raalte history52 matches
Katwijk history57 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 5 h ahead
    8 Nov · 08:45 UTC
  2. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    14 Nov · 14:00 UTC
  3. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  4. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 16,809 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 39.9% · said 37.7% · n 2,949
40–49% Won 45.3% · said 44.8% · n 6,860
50–59% Won 55.6% · said 54.4% · n 4,146
60–69% Won 63.9% · said 64.4% · n 2,031
70–79% Won 76.5% · said 73.9% · n 646
80%+ Won 83.1% · said 84.5% · n 177
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (43.2%). Picks in that band won 45.3% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,860 matches.

Why Katwijk are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • The Elo ratings are level

    Elo 1,524 against 1,522. On rating alone the teams are close to even.

  • Scoring rates are level

    1.60 goals a game over 52 matches for ROHDA Raalte, against 1.60 over 57 for Katwijk.

  • Defences are close

    ROHDA Raalte concede 1.52 a game, Katwijk 1.65.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    65% of ROHDA Raalte matches, against 68% for Katwijk. The model puts this match at 59% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 23 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
ROHDA Raalte
Katwijk@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1524.4
ELO
1521.9
52
ELO · Matches
57
1524.4
Current Team ELO
1521.9
1521.9
Current Opponent ELO
1524.4
2.51
Current ELO Difference
-2.51
0.50
Expected score
0.50
52
History Matches
57
0.03
Residual Mean
0.03
52.08
Overperformance
52.09
-0.20
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.02
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
0.00
PPG
1.00
0.60
Goals for per game
1.40
2.80
Goals against per game
1.20
0.0%
Win rate
20.0%
10
Matches
10
1.10
PPG
1.40
1.10
Goals for per game
1.80
1.90
Goals against per game
1.60
30.0%
Win rate
40.0%
1.10
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.80
0.94
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.47
1.90
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.60
1.58
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.02
0.94
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.96
1.83
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.04
Overall performance9 signals
90
52
Matches
57
1.60
PPG
1.35
46.2%
Win rate
36.8%
21.2%
Draw rate
24.6%
32.7%
Loss rate
38.6%
78.8%
Over 1.5 rate
84.2%
65.4%
Over 2.5 rate
68.4%
34.6%
Over 3.5 rate
38.6%
1.83
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.75
Venue performance10 signals
100
28
Matches
26
1.79
PPG
1.35
50.0%
Win rate
34.6%
28.6%
Draw rate
30.8%
21.4%
Loss rate
34.6%
89.3%
Over 1.5 rate
84.6%
71.4%
Over 2.5 rate
69.2%
42.9%
Over 3.5 rate
34.6%
1.78
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.77
28
History Matches
26
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.60
Goals for per game
1.60
82.7%
Scoring rate
77.2%
61.5%
BTTS rate
64.9%
1.93
Goals for per game
1.50
82.1%
Scoring rate
73.1%
64.3%
BTTS rate
61.5%
0.50
Goals for per game
0.50
50.0%
Scoring rate
50.0%
50.0%
BTTS rate
50.0%
52
History Matches
57
1.60
Goals Mean
1.60
1.15
Goals Std
1.20
82.7%
Scored 1+ rate
77.2%
50.0%
Scored 2+ rate
50.9%
17.3%
Scored 3+ rate
26.3%
1.93
Venue Goals Mean
1.50
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.52
Goals against per game
1.65
75.0%
Conceding rate
82.5%
1.54
Goals against per game
1.65
78.6%
Conceding rate
80.8%
4.50
Goals against per game
1.00
100.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
52
History Matches
57
1.52
Conceded Mean
1.65
1.46
Conceded Std
1.22
38.5%
Conceded 2+ rate
49.1%
19.2%
Conceded 3+ rate
22.8%
1.54
Venue Conceded Mean
1.65
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
25.0%
Clean-sheet rate
17.5%
17.3%
Failed-to-score rate
22.8%
21.4%
Clean-sheet rate
19.2%
17.9%
Failed-to-score rate
26.9%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
50.0%
Failed-to-score rate
50.0%
25.0%
Clean-sheet rate
17.5%
17.3%
Failed-to-score rate
22.8%
21.4%
Clean-sheet rate
19.2%
17.9%
Failed-to-score rate
26.9%
25.0%
Clean-sheet rate
17.5%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
52
History Matches
57
0.96
Result entropy
0.98
1.83
Goal Difference Std
1.75
4.34
Stability score
1.68
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
44
Eligible Matches
57
14
Lead Matches
15
85.7%
Lead Win Rate
80.0%
0.88
Lead Points Retention
0.87
11
Trailing Matches
20
18.2%
Non-loss rate
35.0%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
25.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
44
Halftime Coverage Matches
57
0.66
First Half Goals For Mean
0.72
0.52
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.75
0.80
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.88
0.93
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.89
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
83.08
Rest days
84.04
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
1
Short Rest History Matches
0
0.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
—
23
Normal Rest History Matches
29
1.52
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.41
27
Long Rest History Matches
27
1.78
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.22
Competition & season17 signals
170
2
Matches
2
0.00
PPG
0.50
0.0%
Win rate
0.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
50.0%
100.0%
Loss rate
50.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
50.0%
100.0%
Over 2.5 rate
0.0%
50.0%
Over 3.5 rate
0.0%
1.00
Goal difference · Standard deviation
0.50
2
Current Competition Matches
2
0.00
Current Competition PPG
0.50
-4.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-0.50
5
Competition Season Count
6
2
Eligible Competition Season Count
3
0.51
Portability PPG Std
0.46
1.01
Portability PPG Range
1.03
49.73
Portability Score
51.90
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
52
Clean History Matches
57
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO2.51
PPG0.25
GF0.00
GA-0.13
PPG-0.50
PPG0.44
PPG-1.00
PPG-0.30
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-5
Clean-sheet rate7.5%
Failed-to-score rate-0.05
History Matches2
Clean-sheet rate2.2%
Failed-to-score rate-0.09
History Matches-5
Goals Mean0.00
Goals Std-0.05
Scored 1+ rate5.5%
Scored 2+ rate-0.01
Scored 3+ rate-0.09
Venue Goals Mean0.43
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.70
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.53
History Matches-5
Conceded Mean-0.13
Conceded Std0.24
Clean-sheet rate7.5%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.11
Conceded 3+ rate-0.04
Venue Conceded Mean-0.12
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.30
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.56
History Matches-5
Result entropy-0.03
Goal Difference Std0.08
Stability score2.66
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.02
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.21
Eligible Matches-13
Lead Matches-1
Lead Win Rate5.7%
Lead Points Retention0.01
Trailing Matches-9
Non-loss rate-0.17
Trailing Win Rate-0.25
Halftime Coverage Matches-13
First Half Goals For Mean-0.06
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.23
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.08
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.04
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG-0.50
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean-3.50
Competition Season Count-1
Eligible Competition Season Count-1
Portability PPG Std0.04
Portability PPG Range-0.02
Portability Score-2.17
Rest days-0.96
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches1
Normal Rest History Matches-6
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.11
Long Rest History Matches0
Long Rest Points Per Match0.56
Current Team ELO2.51
Current Opponent ELO-2.51
Current ELO Difference5.02
Expected score0.01
History Matches-5
Residual Mean0.00
Overperformance-0.01
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.23

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

ROHDA Raalte

L
Koninklijke HFC4–1ROHDA Raalte7 Nov · away
Pick: Koninklijke HFC 58% · hit
L
RKAV Volendam3–0ROHDA Raalte29 Oct · away
Pick: RKAV Volendam 50% · hit
L
ROHDA Raalte0–1HHC24 Oct · home
Pick: HHC 53% · hit
L
Rijnsburgse Boys1–0ROHDA Raalte17 Oct · away
Pick: Rijnsburgse Boys 56% · hit
L
AFC Amsterdam2–0ROHDA Raalte29 Aug · away
Pick: AFC Amsterdam 58% · hit

Katwijk

L
Katwijk1–3GVVV Veenendaal7 Nov · home
Pick: Katwijk 59% · missed
W
Kloetinge1–3Katwijk24 Oct · away
Pick: Kloetinge 57% · missed
L
Katwijk1–2Ijsselmeervogels17 Oct · home
Pick: Ijsselmeervogels 39% · hit
W
Barendrecht0–2Katwijk29 Aug · away
Pick: Barendrecht 41% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

ROHDA Raalte and Katwijk meet in Tweede Divisie on Saturday 14 November 2026, kickoff 14:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC: ROHDA Raalte win 36.5%, draw 20.3%, Katwijk win 43.2%. The pick is Katwijk win. Over 2.5 goals: 58.7%. Both teams to score: 60.4%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.