Wisła Kraków U19 vs Jagiellonia U19
Match result probability Model pick: Wisła Kraków U19 win
Wisła Kraków U19 winPick
44.7%
Draw
21.3%
Jagiellonia U19 win
34.0%
At kickoff this becomes the match centre
Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.
Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect
Both teams to score
Yes65.4%
No34.6%
Total goals · 2.5
Over 2.573.1%
Under 2.526.9%
How much we know
Wisła Kraków U19 history43 matches
Jagiellonia U19 history43 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news
Your call
Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.
Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score
Match result: ours Wisła Kraków U19
Over / under 2.5: ours Over
Both teams to score: ours Yes
Life of this match
One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.
- Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 1 h ahead8 Nov · 08:45 UTC
- Lineups appearAbout an hour before kickoff, where the competition provides them. This prediction does not use lineups.≈ 09:00 UTC
- KickoffThis page becomes the match centre14 Nov · 10:00 UTC
- Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
- Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC
How reliable are picks like this?
Across 16,809 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 39.9% · said 37.7% · n 2,949
40–49% Won 45.3% · said 44.8% · n 6,860
50–59% Won 55.6% · said 54.4% · n 4,146
60–69% Won 63.9% · said 64.4% · n 2,031
70–79% Won 76.5% · said 73.9% · n 646
80%+ Won 83.1% · said 84.5% · n 177
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (44.7%). Picks in that band won 45.3% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,860 matches.
Why Wisła Kraków U19 are the pick
Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.
-
Wisła Kraków U19 are rated 34 Elo points higher
Elo 1,505 against 1,470. On rating alone Wisła Kraków U19 would be expected to take 55% of the points on offer.
-
Scoring rates are level
1.81 goals a game over 43 matches for Wisła Kraków U19, against 1.86 over 43 for Jagiellonia U19.
-
Wisła Kraków U19 concede fewer
Wisła Kraków U19 concede 1.74 a game, Jagiellonia U19 2.02.
-
Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games
79% of Wisła Kraków U19 matches, against 74% for Jagiellonia U19. The model puts this match at 73% for over 2.5.
These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.
Compare the two teams
Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.
Match history used: up to 22 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Jagiellonia U19@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals 100
1504.6
ELO
1470.2
43
ELO · Matches
43
1504.6
Current Team ELO
1470.2
1470.2
Current Opponent ELO
1504.6
34.39
Current ELO Difference
-34.39
0.55
Expected score
0.45
43
History Matches
43
0.01
Residual Mean
-0.03
50.53
Overperformance
47.79
0.08
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.12
Recent form16 signals 160
5
Matches
5
2.00
PPG
0.80
2.00
Goals for per game
1.00
1.80
Goals against per game
1.40
60.0%
Win rate
20.0%
10
Matches
10
1.40
PPG
0.80
1.80
Goals for per game
1.40
2.20
Goals against per game
1.60
40.0%
Win rate
20.0%
1.80
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.40
0.60
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.56
2.20
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.60
0.98
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.92
0.96
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.86
1.43
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.78
Overall performance9 signals 90
43
Matches
43
1.44
PPG
1.26
44.2%
Win rate
37.2%
11.6%
Draw rate
14.0%
44.2%
Loss rate
48.8%
90.7%
Over 1.5 rate
88.4%
79.1%
Over 2.5 rate
74.4%
55.8%
Over 3.5 rate
55.8%
2.00
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.22
Venue performance10 signals 100
22
Matches
21
1.09
PPG
0.95
31.8%
Win rate
23.8%
13.6%
Draw rate
23.8%
54.5%
Loss rate
52.4%
90.9%
Over 1.5 rate
76.2%
72.7%
Over 2.5 rate
66.7%
45.5%
Over 3.5 rate
52.4%
1.70
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.30
22
History Matches
21
Scoring & attack16 signals 160
1.81
Goals for per game
1.86
86.0%
Scoring rate
81.4%
76.7%
BTTS rate
72.1%
1.50
Goals for per game
1.52
86.4%
Scoring rate
76.2%
81.8%
BTTS rate
66.7%
2.33
Goals for per game
1.67
100.0%
Scoring rate
66.7%
100.0%
BTTS rate
66.7%
43
History Matches
43
1.81
Goals Mean
1.86
1.32
Goals Std
1.47
86.0%
Scored 1+ rate
81.4%
55.8%
Scored 2+ rate
48.8%
23.3%
Scored 3+ rate
34.9%
1.50
Venue Goals Mean
1.52
Defense & conceding12 signals 120
1.74
Goals against per game
2.02
88.4%
Conceding rate
86.0%
1.95
Goals against per game
2.10
95.5%
Conceding rate
81.0%
1.67
Goals against per game
1.33
100.0%
Conceding rate
66.7%
43
History Matches
43
1.74
Conceded Mean
2.02
1.14
Conceded Std
1.52
48.8%
Conceded 2+ rate
60.5%
30.2%
Conceded 3+ rate
27.9%
1.95
Venue Conceded Mean
2.10
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals 110
11.6%
Clean-sheet rate
14.0%
14.0%
Failed-to-score rate
18.6%
4.5%
Clean-sheet rate
19.0%
13.6%
Failed-to-score rate
23.8%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
33.3%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
33.3%
11.6%
Clean-sheet rate
14.0%
14.0%
Failed-to-score rate
18.6%
4.5%
Clean-sheet rate
19.0%
13.6%
Failed-to-score rate
23.8%
11.6%
Clean-sheet rate
14.0%
Volatility & stability4 signals 40
43
History Matches
43
0.88
Result entropy
0.90
2.00
Goal Difference Std
2.22
11.53
Stability score
9.64
Halftime resilience7 signals 70
34
Eligible Matches
39
8
Lead Matches
9
75.0%
Lead Win Rate
77.8%
0.83
Lead Points Retention
0.85
10
Trailing Matches
16
10.0%
Non-loss rate
18.8%
10.0%
Trailing Win Rate
6.3%
Goal timing5 signals 50
34
Halftime Coverage Matches
39
0.76
First Half Goals For Mean
0.64
0.79
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.95
0.97
Second Half Goals For Mean
1.08
0.85
Second Half Goals Against Mean
1.03
Rest & schedule9 signals 90
84.00
Rest days
84.00
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
1
Short Rest History Matches
0
0.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
—
19
Normal Rest History Matches
18
1.16
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.44
22
Long Rest History Matches
24
1.68
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.17
Competition & season17 signals 170
3
Matches
3
2.33
PPG
1.33
66.7%
Win rate
33.3%
33.3%
Draw rate
33.3%
0.0%
Loss rate
33.3%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
66.7%
100.0%
Over 2.5 rate
66.7%
66.7%
Over 3.5 rate
33.3%
0.47
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.25
3
Current Competition Matches
3
2.33
Current Competition PPG
1.33
0.67
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
0.33
3
Competition Season Count
3
3
Eligible Competition Season Count
3
0.45
Portability PPG Std
0.17
0.96
Portability PPG Range
0.43
52.60
Portability Score
74.13
Odds & market11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal 10
43
Clean History Matches
43
Matchup differences86 signals 086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO34.39
PPG0.19
GF-0.05
GA-0.28
PPG1.00
PPG0.14
PPG1.20
PPG0.60
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches0
Clean-sheet rate-0.02
Failed-to-score rate-0.05
History Matches1
Clean-sheet rate-0.15
Failed-to-score rate-0.10
History Matches0
Goals Mean-0.05
Goals Std-0.16
Scored 1+ rate4.7%
Scored 2+ rate7.0%
Scored 3+ rate-0.12
Venue Goals Mean-0.02
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.40
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.96
History Matches0
Conceded Mean-0.28
Conceded Std-0.37
Clean-sheet rate-0.02
Conceded 2+ rate-0.12
Conceded 3+ rate2.3%
Venue Conceded Mean-0.14
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.60
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.06
History Matches0
Result entropy-0.02
Goal Difference Std-0.22
Stability score1.88
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.10
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.35
Eligible Matches-5
Lead Matches-1
Lead Win Rate-0.03
Lead Points Retention-0.02
Trailing Matches-6
Non-loss rate-0.09
Trailing Win Rate3.8%
Halftime Coverage Matches-5
First Half Goals For Mean0.12
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.15
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.11
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.17
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG1.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean0.33
Competition Season Count0
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Portability PPG Std0.28
Portability PPG Range0.54
Portability Score-21.53
Rest days0.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches1
Normal Rest History Matches1
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.29
Long Rest History Matches-2
Long Rest Points Per Match0.52
Current Team ELO34.39
Current Opponent ELO-34.39
Current ELO Difference68.77
Expected score0.10
History Matches0
Residual Mean0.04
Overperformance2.74
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.20
Latest results, with our pick
Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.
Wisła Kraków U19
L
Arka Gdynia U191–0Wisła Kraków U196 Nov · away
Pick: Wisła Kraków U19 38% · missed D
Wisła Kraków U193–3Raków Częstochowa U1930 Oct · home
Pick: Wisła Kraków U19 57% · missed W
Śląsk Wrocław U191–2Wisła Kraków U1924 Oct · away
Pick: Śląsk Wrocław U19 45% · missed L
Wisła Kraków U193–4Legia Warszawa U1917 Oct · home
Pick: Legia Warszawa U19 55% · hit D
Wisła Kraków U193–3Polonia Warszawa U197 Oct · home
Pick: Wisła Kraków U19 46% · missed Jagiellonia U19
L
Polonia Warszawa U192–0Jagiellonia U1930 Oct · away
Pick: Polonia Warszawa U19 47% · hit D
Jagiellonia U194–4Arkonia U1925 Oct · home
Pick: Jagiellonia U19 43% · missed L
Stal Rzeszów U191–0Jagiellonia U1917 Oct · away
Pick: Stal Rzeszów U19 47% · hit W
Jagiellonia U195–3Lech Poznań U1914 Oct · home
Pick: Lech Poznań U19 40% · missed D
Arka Gdynia U192–2Jagiellonia U1929 Aug · away
Pick: Arka Gdynia U19 46% · missed About this match
Wisła Kraków U19 and Jagiellonia U19 meet in Central Youth League on Saturday 14 November 2026, kickoff 10:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC: Wisła Kraków U19 win 44.7%, draw 21.3%, Jagiellonia U19 win 34.0%. The pick is Wisła Kraków U19 win. Over 2.5 goals: 73.1%. Both teams to score: 65.4%.
Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.